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Author Topic: My 5 (Low risk) Tennis Prediction  (Read 951 times)
tsaroz (OP)
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January 23, 2016, 05:33:17 PM
Last edit: January 24, 2016, 08:43:19 AM by tsaroz
 #1

24 January
Australian Open Men's single
1. Novak Djokovic vs Gilles Simon : Novak Djokovic (1.347)
2. David Goffin vs Roger Federer : Roger Federer (1.518)

Australian Open Women's single
1. Margarita Gasparyan vs Serena Williams : Serena Williams (1.220)
2. Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Agnieszka Radwanska : Agnieszka Radwanska (1.285)
3. Maria Sharapova vs Belinda Bencic : Maria Sharapova (1.164)


Total Profit on 100% result = 1.534
Least possible profit on 1 loss = 0.016



.
.BIG WINNER!.
[15.00000000 BTC]


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January 23, 2016, 06:10:36 PM
 #2

Wondering, the numbers in brackets is the odds to win, correct? (1.347) etc.?

I see 1.02-1.04 everywhere. Where did you get the odds from Huh
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January 23, 2016, 06:17:23 PM
 #3

Rafael Nadal lost at the very beggining of the tournament. That's why I find tennis as an insecure bet, like most of the individual sports. However, if all your predictions are right, I'll follow your next one Wink ! My prediction thread is here : https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1325135.0. I focus mainly on soccer, but I may try other things in the future. If they're right and that you allow me, I'll repost them in my thread. Maybe I could help you on soccer and you on tennis Wink !
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January 23, 2016, 06:46:10 PM
 #4

24 January
Australian Open Men's single
1. Novak Djokovic vs Gilles Simon : Novak Djokovic (1.347)
2. David Goffin vs Roger Federer : Roger Federer (1.518)

Australian Open Women's single
1. Margarita Gasparyan vs Serena Williams : Serena Williams (1.220)
2. Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Agnieszka Radwanska : Agnieszka Radwanska (1.285)
3. Maria Sharapova vs Belinda Bencic : Maria Sharapova (1.164)


Total Profit on 100% result = 1.534
Least possible profit on 1 loss = 0.016

I will keep an eye on the predictions you post here, even if i dont use them it is still good to compare them to the picks i make myself Tongue As for the ones you posted right now, i would have pretty much taken the same ones, pretty hard to argue against picking them. Could you also please post the sites you make the bets on so that we could get roughly the same odds. Do you use BTC sites or fiat sites ?
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January 23, 2016, 06:47:53 PM
 #5

Rafael Nadal lost at the very beggining of the tournament. That's why I find tennis as an insecure bet, like most of the individual sports. However, if all your predictions are right, I'll follow your next one Wink ! My prediction thread is here : https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1325135.0. I focus mainly on soccer, but I may try other things in the future. If they're right and that you allow me, I'll repost them in my thread. Maybe I could help you on soccer and you on tennis Wink !

Ya what you said is correct and even nowadays in the media it is clear that most of the tennis players above 50 nos are in fixing the game, so betting on big names whoes odds are also very less that if they lose the match full loss is their , but i think djokovic , federrer we can bet on them other i dont believe in womans serene williams .
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January 23, 2016, 06:53:18 PM
 #6

Could you also please post the sites you make the bets on so that we could get roughly the same odds. Do you use BTC sites or fiat sites ?

I am pretty sure the odds in the OP is wrong.

It is around 1.02 to 1.05 for 3/5 of the listed picks.
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January 23, 2016, 08:15:56 PM
 #7

Nice predictions,I will bet some of your predictions.
Good Luck and better predictions.
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January 24, 2016, 12:48:59 AM
Last edit: January 24, 2016, 02:00:14 AM by tsaroz
 #8

Wondering, the numbers in brackets is the odds to win, correct? (1.347) etc.?

I see 1.02-1.04 everywhere. Where did you get the odds from Huh

Could you also please post the sites you make the bets on so that we could get roughly the same odds. Do you use BTC sites or fiat sites ?

I am pretty sure the odds in the OP is wrong.

It is around 1.02 to 1.05 for 3/5 of the listed picks.

Hi, the Odds were from https://nitrogensports.eu/ at about 5:00 to 5:30 PM 23 January forum time. These odds are generally the highest in bitcoin betting sites.




.
.BIG WINNER!.
[15.00000000 BTC]


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January 24, 2016, 04:41:00 AM
 #9

Rafael Nadal lost at the very beggining of the tournament. That's why I find tennis as an insecure bet, like most of the individual sports. However, if all your predictions are right, I'll follow your next one Wink ! My prediction thread is here : https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1325135.0. I focus mainly on soccer, but I may try other things in the future. If they're right and that you allow me, I'll repost them in my thread. Maybe I could help you on soccer and you on tennis Wink !

Nadal now is injured and doesn't have best form since his last big injuries, I don't think he will be back to his best form like several years ago.

now the king is djokovic definitely, and his bet is safe, imo.
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January 24, 2016, 04:41:52 AM
 #10

Wondering, the numbers in brackets is the odds to win, correct? (1.347) etc.?

I see 1.02-1.04 everywhere. Where did you get the odds from Huh

Could you also please post the sites you make the bets on so that we could get roughly the same odds. Do you use BTC sites or fiat sites ?

I am pretty sure the odds in the OP is wrong.

It is around 1.02 to 1.05 for 3/5 of the listed picks.

Hi, the Odds were from https://nitrogensports.eu/ at about 5:00 to 5:30 PM 23 January forum time. These odds are generally the highest in bitcoin betting sites.



I guessed as much. The bet is you mentioned in OP is different from the bet you made.

The bet you mentioned in the OP is Novak Djokovic vs Gilles Simon : Novak Djokovic Odds about 1.04-1.05
The bet you placed is Novak Djokovic (-2.5 Sets) (If there were 3 or more sets played, the bet loses even if he wins or something like that. I don't bet at Tennis)

No sportsbooks cannot give odds that high for such low risk games, because anyone can do arbitrage and make a nice amount with zero risk.


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January 24, 2016, 04:48:09 AM
 #11

Wondering, the numbers in brackets is the odds to win, correct? (1.347) etc.?

I see 1.02-1.04 everywhere. Where did you get the odds from Huh

Could you also please post the sites you make the bets on so that we could get roughly the same odds. Do you use BTC sites or fiat sites ?

I am pretty sure the odds in the OP is wrong.

It is around 1.02 to 1.05 for 3/5 of the listed picks.

Hi, the Odds were from https://nitrogensports.eu/ at about 5:00 to 5:30 PM 23 January forum time. These odds are generally the highest in bitcoin betting sites.



I guessed as much. The bet is you mentioned in OP is different from the bet you made.

The bet you mentioned in the OP is Novak Djokovic vs Gilles Simon : Novak Djokovic Odds about 1.04-1.05
The bet you placed is Novak Djokovic (-2.5 Sets) (If there were 3 or more sets played, the bet loses even if he wins or something like that. I don't bet at Tennis)

No sportsbooks cannot give odds that high for such low risk games, because anyone can do arbitrage and make a nice amount with zero risk.




Thank you for clarifying. I meant sure shot games but missed to mention that on OP.



.
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[15.00000000 BTC]


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Rainbot
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January 24, 2016, 06:29:26 AM
 #12

Wondering, the numbers in brackets is the odds to win, correct? (1.347) etc.?

I see 1.02-1.04 everywhere. Where did you get the odds from Huh

Could you also please post the sites you make the bets on so that we could get roughly the same odds. Do you use BTC sites or fiat sites ?

I am pretty sure the odds in the OP is wrong.

It is around 1.02 to 1.05 for 3/5 of the listed picks.

Hi, the Odds were from https://nitrogensports.eu/ at about 5:00 to 5:30 PM 23 January forum time. These odds are generally the highest in bitcoin betting sites.



I guessed as much. The bet is you mentioned in OP is different from the bet you made.

The bet you mentioned in the OP is Novak Djokovic vs Gilles Simon : Novak Djokovic Odds about 1.04-1.05
The bet you placed is Novak Djokovic (-2.5 Sets) (If there were 3 or more sets played, the bet loses even if he wins or something like that. I don't bet at Tennis)

No sportsbooks cannot give odds that high for such low risk games, because anyone can do arbitrage and make a nice amount with zero risk.


In his bet he has chosen Djokovic to win with +3 sets, meaning if dojokovic wins 3-0 he will win that bet but if Simon by any chance wins a set then he will lose that bet.

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