The official US Republican Primary thread

[Elwar]

I decided not to include the Democrat primary because I'd rather not have arguing back and forth but I'd like to use this thread to follow the Republican primary.

Today the Iowa caucus starts. For posterity, Trump is up front, Ted Cruz is behind him with Rubio, Carson and others shortly behind.

It might be interesting as it unfolds.

[Wilikon]

I decided not to include the Democrat primary because I'd rather not have arguing back and forth but I'd like to use this thread to follow the Republican primary.

Today the Iowa caucus starts. For posterity, Trump is up front, Ted Cruz is behind him with Rubio, Carson and others shortly behind.

It might be interesting as it unfolds.

Yes it will...

 

[saddampbuh]

trump will win every state, the others should go home

[Elwar]

trump will win every state, the others should go home

If Trump becomes president, I believe the next election he would likely receive over 99% of the vote.

As well as all future elections too.

[saddampbuh]

If Trump becomes president, I believe the next election he would likely receive over 99% of the vote.

As well as all future elections too.

in a choice between a trump family autocracy vs a third worldised democracy where niggers and spics vote themselves ever higher welfare payments i know which i'd choose. ivanka will make a great empress someday.

[Elwar]

The most disappointing thing about the Iowa result is that Marco Rubio got so many votes.

Results are:
Cruz: 27.7% (8 delegates)
Trump: 24.3% (7 delegates)
Rubio: 23.1% (7 delegates)

Rubio is the epitomy of the establishment candidate. Expect him to rise in NH and South Carolina 

[Elwar]

Looks like the establishment is sufficiently splitting their votes while Trump comes on strong in New Hampshire.

Results are:
Trump 35% (11 delegates)
Kasich 16% (3 delegates)
Cruz 12% (2 delegates)
Bush 11% (2 delegates)

Total:
Trump: 18
Cruz: 10
Rubio: 7
Kasich: 3
Bush: 2

[hugoworld]

trump will win every state, the others should go home

you are wrong .. trump will be loser of this elections.. because he isnt suitable for being president..

[bryant.coleman]

Looks like the establishment is sufficiently splitting their votes while Trump comes on strong in New Hampshire.

Results are:
Trump 35% (11 delegates)
Kasich 16% (3 delegates)
Cruz 12% (2 delegates)
Bush 11% (2 delegates)

Total:
Trump: 18
Cruz: 10
Rubio: 7
Kasich: 3
Bush: 2

So far, the establishment group is having 15 delegates. Cruz has won 10 so far, Carson 3, and Trump is having 18. Trump needs to step up his campaign. Iowa was a disaster. Perhaps he might be able to sweep South Carolina (they follow the "winner takes all" method for electing delegates). Or better, he can make Carson his VP, and gain some additional support.

[Spendulus]

trump will win every state, the others should go home

you are wrong .. trump will be loser of this elections.. because he isnt suitable for being president..

Suitable for being president?

LOL, as if Obama was....

[Elwar]

Looks like the establishment is sufficiently splitting their votes while Trump comes on strong in New Hampshire.

Results are:
Trump 35% (11 delegates)
Kasich 16% (3 delegates)
Cruz 12% (2 delegates)
Bush 11% (2 delegates)

Total:
Trump: 18
Cruz: 10
Rubio: 7
Kasich: 3
Bush: 2

So far, the establishment group is having 15 delegates. Cruz has won 10 so far, Carson 3, and Trump is having 18. Trump needs to step up his campaign. Iowa was a disaster. Perhaps he might be able to sweep South Carolina (they follow the "winner takes all" method for electing delegates). Or better, he can make Carson his VP, and gain some additional support.

22 counting establishment golden boy Rubio.

I only see Cruz and Carson as the final non-establishment candidates other than Trump. Barring Cruz rising over the next week I say screw it...let Trump win. How much worse could he make things? And all Cruz would do is maintain the status quo with mild improvements possibly.

[bryant.coleman]

22 counting establishment golden boy Rubio.

I only see Cruz and Carson as the final non-establishment candidates other than Trump. Barring Cruz rising over the next week I say screw it...let Trump win. How much worse could he make things? And all Cruz would do is maintain the status quo with mild improvements possibly.

How it gets to 22?

Here is my count: Marco Rubio - 7, John Kasich - 4, Jeb Bush - 3, Carly Fiorina - 1, Mike Huckabee - 1. The total for establishment wing is 16 delegates.

Now the non-establishment wing. Donald Trump - 17 (or 18?), Ted Cruz - 10, Ben Carson - 3, and Rand Paul -1.

[Elwar]

22 counting establishment golden boy Rubio.

I only see Cruz and Carson as the final non-establishment candidates other than Trump. Barring Cruz rising over the next week I say screw it...let Trump win. How much worse could he make things? And all Cruz would do is maintain the status quo with mild improvements possibly.

How it gets to 22?

Here is my count: Marco Rubio - 7, John Kasich - 4, Jeb Bush - 3, Carly Fiorina - 1, Mike Huckabee - 1. The total for establishment wing is 16 delegates.

Now the non-establishment wing. Donald Trump - 17 (or 18?), Ted Cruz - 10, Ben Carson - 3, and Rand Paul -1.

Was looking at the wrong numbers. Or I'm bad with math. Maybe I should vote for Bernie!

[bryant.coleman]

So before the Super Tuesday, we have two more primaries. The first one in South Carolina in about a week time, and the next in Nevada on next Saturday. A total of 80 delegates up for electing. Right now Trump is leading South Carolina with 36% of the vote, followed by Cruz at 20%. Right now, it seems like Trump will be able to win all the 50 delegates in SC.

[Daniel91]

OK, I'm not American and can't vote in US election but I'm very interesting in this election and read all news about it.
So, I guess my perspective is a little different from yours because I'm trying to find out which candidate will be the best US President
from the point of view of foreign policy.
Democrats already have good candidates, in my opinion, but among republican candidates I don't see some good candidate with experience in foreign policy.
It seems that the main focus of Republican candidates are conservative values and faith rather than political and security crisis in the world.
I'm sorry to say it but I don't see good republican candidate for US president.

[Elwar]

OK, I'm not American and can't vote in US election but I'm very interesting in this election and read all news about it.
So, I guess my perspective is a little different from yours because I'm trying to find out which candidate will be the best US President
from the point of view of foreign policy.
Democrats already have good candidates, in my opinion, but among republican candidates I don't see some good candidate with experience in foreign policy.
It seems that the main focus of Republican candidates are conservative values and faith rather than political and security crisis in the world.
I'm sorry to say it but I don't see good republican candidate for US president.

All of the remaining candidates plan to bomb the shit out of your country (doesn't matter what your country is, it will be carpet bombed for being foreign). Except Ben Carson and maybe Bernie Sanders. Everyone else will do Israel's bidding.

[bryant.coleman]

All of the remaining candidates plan to bomb the shit out of your country (doesn't matter what your country is, it will be carpet bombed for being foreign). Except Ben Carson and maybe Bernie Sanders. Everyone else will do Israel's bidding.

I don't think that Trump is in favor of invading third world nations. For sure he has made some inflammatory remarks as far as the Israeli-Palestinian situation is concerned, but he is very unlikely to bomb Iran or invade the DPRK. Carson can't be trusted as far as the foreign policy is concerned, but I'll agree with you that Sanders is a pacifist.

[Elwar]

All of the remaining candidates plan to bomb the shit out of your country (doesn't matter what your country is, it will be carpet bombed for being foreign). Except Ben Carson and maybe Bernie Sanders. Everyone else will do Israel's bidding.

I don't think that Trump is in favor of invading third world nations. For sure he has made some inflammatory remarks as far as the Israeli-Palestinian situation is concerned, but he is very unlikely to bomb Iran or invade the DPRK. Carson can't be trusted as far as the foreign policy is concerned, but I'll agree with you that Sanders is a pacifist.

True, Trump will have enough problems carpet bombing muslims and immigrants at home before he focuses on "bombing the shit out of" other nations.

[aardvark15]

From hearing Trump speak, I don't get a lot of specifics about any policies.  He seems very vague. I know he makes good speeches and talks broadly about things that people want to hear but I wish he would explain more about how he wants to accomplish certain things.

[Elwar]

From hearing Trump speak, I don't get a lot of specifics about any policies.  He seems very vague. I know he makes good speeches and talks broadly about things that people want to hear but I wish he would explain more about how he wants to accomplish certain things.

Group psychology has found that more people will support you when you agree on being against something than if you talk about what you support.

So saying "this sucks" or "that's lame" draws a larger crowd of people than saying "we should do things this way".