Alex Oliveira 3.500 vs Donald Cerrone / under 2.5 rounds 1.800
Oliveira underrated here and fan fav Cerrone is good but aggressive strikers like Oliveira have a good chance against him, Oliveira also with a reach advantage and nothing to lose. I see the fight as even odds so I will take the dog for 3.5 over the fan fav. Ill also take the under 2.5 as both these guys are finishers standing and with subs. No lay and prey here.
Derek Brunson 1.238 vs Roan Carneiro (scorecards = no action) 3.0
Brunson is a beast standing and on the ground strong wrestling. Could go the distance with him on top, horrible odds for a W but ill take it with Carneiro cards no bet.
Cody Garbrandt 1.278 Augusto Mendes (scorecards = no action) 3.55 Garbrandt the technical striker vs. Mendes a more wild style striker. Garbrandt wins with good figher IQ and technical boxing. I see this going the distance and Garbrandt win, Mendes cards no bet for a chance that Mendes lands a crazy kick KO.
Joe Riggs 3.250 Chris Camozzi
This is a lot closer than the odds show us. Riggs is old, but has good figher IQ good striking and very good ground and pound if he gets on top. Camozzi in and out of the UFC might be faster on the feet, but I will take the dog on this one, Riggs on top pounding on Camozzi.
Marion Reneau 1.541 vs Ashlee Evans-Smith
This is an interesting fight but Reneau´s striking is much better than Evans-Smith. Reneau is also a BJJ threat so take downs are not really an advantage for Evans-Smith. Ashlee is tough and beat a tranny once, but I will take the technial striker Renau here.
all odds from 5dimes
http://degenbet.com/ufc-fight-night-83-picks-odds/