Don't listen to the hype, nobody can predict where the price will go. Isn't it expected for people in a bitcoin forum to be bullish about it without looking at it from a neutral perspective?
i agree that halving effect (expecting a big rise) is just a hype, but i think this hype alone is effective enough to make the price rise.
just look at ETH which is the biggest hype of 2016,
it grew maybe more than 1000% just because of hype and social media spamming. yeah...that and some very strong hands with very deep pockets pumping it, supporting it, pumping it, supporting it.