Vote: Do you think Butterfly Labs will deliver their ASICs this month?

[BlackLilac Jordan]

I'm not breaking any news when I say that there has been an endless stream of posts about Butterfly Labs, specifically in regards to whether or not they will meet their latest shipping deadline for their ASIC devices. I tried to find a general poll on the subject but came up empty, and I'm interested in getting past the usual posters and seeing what the overall consensus of forum members is.

Plus, I'm bored, and I'm trying to stay awake until Blockchain.info starts working again.

I will use the exact question being wagered on at BitBet. I'm not a miner, and haven't followed the situation closely enough to make an educated guess myself, so I will abstain.

"Butterfly Labs aka BFL will deliver ASIC Bitcoin mining devices to their customers before 1st March 2013. Devices must be in scope of +-10% of advertised performance in order to be accepted as valid."


Please vote if you have an opinion on the matter. Poll closes February 25th.

[1713948661]

1713948661

[1713948661]

1713948661

[crazyates]

http://bitbet.us/bet/7/bfl-will-deliver-asic-devices-before-march-1st/

alternatively

http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=906

Some of us don't gamble. I will, however, submit a vote to a harmless poll.

[Fuzzy]

Dreams: They will deliver! 

Reality: More delays 

[crashoveride54902]

I voted no and have a bet for no too...think it's a safe bet

[Beta-coiner1]

I think GPU miners will be around for a long time to come.Asic is not ready for the Bitcoin scene until puts on the make-up,lol.

[Rawted]

well, i preordered a few jalapenos and a little single, so i'm hoping they deliver by March.

However, i've never witnessed a company have so many delays on a product that's for sale as BFL. There's some huge red flags being thrown up, and i honestly wouldn't be surprised if they didn't ship until summer or later.

I'm gonna go with no.

[Korbman]

Dreams: They will deliver! 

Reality: More delays 

Precisely my thought process as well 

I voted yes, solely based on maintaining optimism. Every other sign points to 'no' haha

[Bicknellski]

No.

March or April is my guestimate.

[Fiyasko]

Woah!, Someone bet 500btc that they will deliver!, I smell a BFL employees bet!

[Korbman]

Woah!, Someone bet 500btc that they will deliver!, I smell a BFL employees bet!

On BitBet? That was a while ago...I'd have more confidence if the bet was made this week or something ..not to mention there's just as much betting "no"

[Fiyasko]

Woah!, Someone bet 500btc that they will deliver!, I smell a BFL employees bet!

On BitBet? That was a while ago...I'd have more confidence if the bet was made this week or something ..not to mention there's just as much betting "no"

Aww i really should've checked the dates and looked at the betsofbitco.in first.
Why does bitbet have So Many bets in comparison to the latter? Is the the bet itself, Or the userbase? Im looking for the most populated betting site, and betsofbitco.in seems deserted

[Rampion]

I work with China. In February everything stops because the Chinese New Year. No way they ship in February.

[Fiyasko]

I work with China. In February everything stops because the Chinese New Year. No way they ship in February.

So you claim, That my electric companies telephone lines will not be open due to Chinese New Year?
And that (for the lulz) the police services across the world will all go on holliday on at the same time? (not to say that they will stop, Just that they would swap to Holliday style hours and active employees)
And that my nearby Walmart will be closed for the CNY?
And that i wont beable to buy booze due to the CNY?

Only china related things are going to be affected by the CNY, Seriously you're being a total fool here.

And incase you were reffering Only to shipping, Only China related shipments are going to slowdown, seriously. Goahead and tell me that my package (HDD) from Canada(Richmond BC), through Purolator(delivery service), To an island in Canada [Victoria BC(where i live)] is going to get slown down by the CNY.
I would love to hear you explanation as to how my package is going to stop moving when the CNY occurs.
MAYBE it MIGHT slowdown because of..... Hmm.... Chinas stuff not moving? how?

[crazyates]

Quote from Josh taken from here: https://forums.butterflylabs.com/announcements/692-bfl-asic-status.html

I have often fielded the question as to if Chinese New Year will affect our shipping. No, Chinese New Year it will not affect us. We have all of our parts needed to build the units in stock, with the exception of the chips. We have taken delivery of all of our Chinese made components at this time and they are filling up our warehouse and the assembly plant warehouse. Our fab is not located in China and our chips will be done before CNY in any event. Our packaging plant is located in California and obviously not affected by CNY, our assembly house is located in the US and thus also not affected.

[wtfvanity]

I work with China. In February everything stops because the Chinese New Year. No way they ship in February.

So you claim, That my electric companies telephone lines will not be open due to Chinese New Year?
And that (for the lulz) the police services across the world will all go on holliday on at the same time? (not to say that they will stop, Just that they would swap to Holliday style hours and active employees)
And that my nearby Walmart will be closed for the CNY?
And that i wont beable to buy booze due to the CNY?

Only china related things are going to be affected by the CNY, Seriously you're being a total fool here.

And incase you were reffering Only to shipping, Only China related shipments are going to slowdown, seriously. Goahead and tell me that my package (HDD) from Canada(Richmond BC), through Purolator(delivery service), To an island in Canada [Victoria BC(where i live)] is going to get slown down by the CNY.
I would love to hear you explanation as to how my package is going to stop moving when the CNY occurs.
MAYBE it MIGHT slowdown because of..... Hmm.... Chinas stuff not moving? how?

Obviously, he is talking about everything in China. He lives there.

However, have you tried to buy cheap crappy shit on ebay lately? All the sellers are away for the next 2-3 weeks and have their stores in a hold mode. How the fuck am I going to get my cute owl design silicone case for my iphone 4s?

[Rampion]

I work with China. In February everything stops because the Chinese New Year. No way they ship in February.

So you claim, That my electric companies telephone lines will not be open due to Chinese New Year?
And that (for the lulz) the police services across the world will all go on holliday on at the same time? (not to say that they will stop, Just that they would swap to Holliday style hours and active employees)
And that my nearby Walmart will be closed for the CNY?
And that i wont beable to buy booze due to the CNY?

Only china related things are going to be affected by the CNY, Seriously you're being a total fool here.

And incase you were reffering Only to shipping, Only China related shipments are going to slowdown, seriously. Goahead and tell me that my package (HDD) from Canada(Richmond BC), through Purolator(delivery service), To an island in Canada [Victoria BC(where i live)] is going to get slown down by the CNY.
I would love to hear you explanation as to how my package is going to stop moving when the CNY occurs.
MAYBE it MIGHT slowdown because of..... Hmm.... Chinas stuff not moving? how?

I'm obviously talking about everything in China. I don't believe they already have all the chips, etc. If they still need something from China, it won't be shipped before March. That's it. And it seems very strange to me that they don't assemble in China. It's way cheaper.

[k9quaint]

If BFL ever ships, this poll will evaluate to true. Because that month will be "this month" when they ship.
If they ever do ship, I will necro this thread and find an appropriate picture of a cat.

[qbits]

Woah!, Someone bet 500btc that they will deliver!, I smell a BFL employees bet!

imho this is someone who:
- has not preordered any asics
- is mining on GPU
- and is considering these options:

A) bfl will not deliver: in this case that someone will get their income through mining as btc price currently makes gpu mining profitable

B) bfl will deliver: in this case that someone will win a big bet

if they had preordered asics than the opposite bet would be warranted to hedge the risk of bfl folding

[Korbman]

Woah!, Someone bet 500btc that they will deliver!, I smell a BFL employees bet!

if they had preordered asics than the opposite bet would be warranted to hedge the risk of bfl folding

That's not a bad idea actually. I'm curious if anyone is actually doing this..

Or it could just be a whale with many thousands of Bitcoins...then placing 500 on a bet doesn't seem so bad.

[Zedster]

Some of us don't gamble. I will, however, submit a vote to a harmless poll.

Yet I bet you have BTC.  That my friend is a gamble in itself