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Author Topic: THE PRICE OF BITCOINS IS CRASHING SELL SELL SELL  (Read 22518 times)
lemonginger
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June 14, 2011, 11:03:21 PM
 #61

Fear inciting hate mongers like you are the reason the housing market crashed. If you wan't to incite a panic go somewhere else.

LOL. Pretty sure the housing market had some pretty basic fundamental reasons it crashed (and has further to fall) than someone crying Sell!
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June 15, 2011, 02:37:02 AM
 #62

The often repeated reason for Bitcoin's continued appreciation is the increasing difficulty in creating new Bitcoins.  This argument doesn't make much sense when you look at who is trading.  Most traders are not miners, therefore they don't care how much it costs to mine or how expensive a 6990 is.  There are already enough BTCs floating around to keep traders happy.

Actually, volume consistently drops after a difficulty jump. Hence yes the traders are the miners. Now it's possible older miners have no reason to trade, nor even to mine that much, but new miners do in fact trade. And newer still are in college dormrooms and at home paying rent. There's a lot of accusations of hoarding which is skewing ppl's estimations of the market.

Also people so this silly thing of thinking of Bitcoin as a single priced item. It's not. It's short term inflationary, long term deflationary. It has a pricing window. When difficulty doesn't keep up there is a volatility increase. When it does go up, the bottom rises and consolidates, while the top panics. The bots from the weekend were truly ridiculous. But circuit breakers could eaily be written into the bots. Don't trade up or down in high speed movements.

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kiwiasian
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June 16, 2011, 03:55:51 AM
 #63

So what do you guys think will become of the price now that difficulty has increased

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MaGNeT
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June 16, 2011, 05:16:37 AM
 #64

So what do you guys think will become of the price now that difficulty has increased

I just stepped in with my 5x 5780 and I never had much luck before, so I think it will drop like a brick...
lemonginger
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June 16, 2011, 05:18:24 AM
 #65

difficulty is a lagging and somewhat sticky indicator of price, not the other way around. besides, difficulty is known about in advance so could be priced in if people thought it would have an effect.
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June 17, 2011, 04:12:11 PM
 #66

So what do you guys think will become of the price now that difficulty has increased

I just stepped in with my 5x 5780 and I never had much luck before, so I think it will drop like a brick...

YMMD Cheesy
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June 17, 2011, 04:32:51 PM
 #67

You guys are forgetting that, despite the difficulty increase, the average number of bitcoin produced is still 50 every ten minutes. So, even if all the miners were trading, miners will still only ever be able to sell 7,200 bitcoin a day. I.E. supply of BTC on the market doesn't change with difficulty (SupplyxDemand stays the same). That's also a fairly small number compared to the overall daily volume.

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June 17, 2011, 05:41:34 PM
 #68

You guys are forgetting that, despite the difficulty increase, the average number of bitcoin produced is still 50 every ten minutes. So, even if all the miners were trading, miners will still only ever be able to sell 7,200 bitcoin a day. I.E. supply of BTC on the market doesn't change with difficulty (SupplyxDemand stays the same). That's also a fairly small number compared to the overall daily volume.

When the price of bitcoins wasn't crashing, the "Volume" was running about 30k. Even assuming that was all straight trades and not bots buying and selling back and forth, 7,200 / 30,000 = 25%. How is 1/4 of the market not significant?
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June 18, 2011, 03:25:28 AM
 #69


When the price of bitcoins wasn't crashing, the "Volume" was running about 30k. Even assuming that was all straight trades and not bots buying and selling back and forth, 7,200 / 30,000 = 25%. How is 1/4 of the market not significant?

I remember when it was rallying or going up, the volume was at 100,000. It seems to crash when volume gets low (last night and this morning it went down to $12, and volume was 30k, but it went up to $16 now and volume is at 99k). You're right, 7,200 is significant, but that's also assuming that everyone who's mining is selling them right away. There's a lot of assumptions with all of these ideas I guess.

mrblue
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November 09, 2013, 11:42:33 PM
 #70

 Grin Grin Grin
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November 10, 2013, 12:27:49 AM
 #71

Grin Grin Grin

Stop encouraging it Tongue
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November 10, 2013, 05:08:24 AM
 #72

Well done sir!    Grin

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davidorentol
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November 10, 2013, 08:35:47 AM
 #73



 I just bought 10 at $260. Now it's back up to $320. Thanks. Smiley

not for long time
AceCoin
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November 10, 2013, 06:24:39 PM
 #74



 I just bought 10 at $260. Now it's back up to $320. Thanks. Smiley

not for long time

i agree
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