Bitcoin Forecast, Bitcoin Speculation & Bitcoin Technical Analysis. Up or DOWN?

[S3052]

SBUX (Starbucks) about to break down .. will get nasty

I am currently at my local Starbucks enjoying a cup of coffee and completing my post on dollar cost averaging as a method of Bitcoin acquisition. By the way great work on your service. As for shorting SBUX vs buying more BTC, I will take the BTC. I do like their coffee.

Thanks for great feedback. I am always trying to make the best possible forecasts.

On Starbucks, I also like the company, the CEO is outstanding, and the products are great.
I just see that the worldwide trend is going down. Look at coffee prices, they have crashed and will crash more, which is a good indicator that coffee demand is going (will be going) down.

haven't drunken one coffee for over a year...for the prize of an starbucks coffee i can eat a whole lunch...

you hit the nail on the head.
There is a huge risk for Starbucks to experience price deflation. Soon people will return to home-brewed coffee which only costs pennies, or, if they go out, they do not want to pay more than a dollar or so

[molecular]

SBUX (Starbucks) about to break down .. will get nasty

I am currently at my local Starbucks enjoying a cup of coffee and completing my post on dollar cost averaging as a method of Bitcoin acquisition. By the way great work on your service. As for shorting SBUX vs buying more BTC, I will take the BTC. I do like their coffee.

Thanks for great feedback. I am always trying to make the best possible forecasts.

On Starbucks, I also like the company, the CEO is outstanding, and the products are great.
I just see that the worldwide trend is going down. Look at coffee prices, they have crashed and will crash more, which is a good indicator that coffee demand is going (will be going) down.

haven't drunken one coffee for over a year...for the prize of an starbucks coffee i can eat a whole lunch...

you hit the nail on the head.
There is a huge risk for Starbucks to experience price deflation. Soon people will return to home-brewed coffee which only costs pennies, or, if they go out, they do not want to pay more than a dollar or so

I've been to italy recently: espresso: €1, cappuchino: €2. sounds about right to me.

[S3052]

SBUX (Starbucks) about to break down .. will get nasty

I am currently at my local Starbucks enjoying a cup of coffee and completing my post on dollar cost averaging as a method of Bitcoin acquisition. By the way great work on your service. As for shorting SBUX vs buying more BTC, I will take the BTC. I do like their coffee.

Thanks for great feedback. I am always trying to make the best possible forecasts.

On Starbucks, I also like the company, the CEO is outstanding, and the products are great.
I just see that the worldwide trend is going down. Look at coffee prices, they have crashed and will crash more, which is a good indicator that coffee demand is going (will be going) down.

haven't drunken one coffee for over a year...for the prize of an starbucks coffee i can eat a whole lunch...

you hit the nail on the head.
There is a huge risk for Starbucks to experience price deflation. Soon people will return to home-brewed coffee which only costs pennies, or, if they go out, they do not want to pay more than a dollar or so

I've been to italy recently: espresso: €1, cappuchino: €2. sounds about right to me.

prices in the US, Switzerland, etc. need to deflate as well, and I am sure if Italy remains in the Eurozone you will get espressos for less than 30 cent soon.

[teek]

There is a huge risk for Starbucks to experience price deflation. Soon people will return to home-brewed coffee which only costs pennies, or, if they go out, they do not want to pay more than a dollar or so

After drinking tim hortons / star bucks / whatever coffee for years,  I finally decided to replace my $20 coffee maker (that I didn't use because it sucked) with a $100 model.  Now my coffee is awesome, I never go out for coffee anymore..  Though I live pretty good and could afford starbucks / whatever anyways, the coffee is so good at home and so much cheaper that it's a no brainer.   I was easily spending $100+ a month on coffee between me and my gf..  So how many times has that coffee maker paid off now that i've had it for a few months.. heh.

I am pretty sure I am not the only one coming to that realization.. and especially for people directly affected by the economic situation have / will drop starbucks like a bad habit..  Even if they are not directly affected..  makes no sense to pay $5 for a coffee.. or even $2 or $3..

Where was I going with this agian...  oh yeah.. short starbucks

[S3052]

There is a huge risk for Starbucks to experience price deflation. Soon people will return to home-brewed coffee which only costs pennies, or, if they go out, they do not want to pay more than a dollar or so

After drinking tim hortons / star bucks / whatever coffee for years,  I finally decided to replace my $20 coffee maker (that I didn't use because it sucked) with a $100 model.  Now my coffee is awesome, I never go out for coffee anymore..  Though I live pretty good and could afford starbucks / whatever anyways, the coffee is so good at home and so much cheaper that it's a no brainer.   I was easily spending $100+ a month on coffee between me and my gf..  So how many times has that coffee maker paid off now that i've had it for a few months.. heh.

I am pretty sure I am not the only one coming to that realization.. and especially for people directly affected by the economic situation have / will drop starbucks like a bad habit..  Even if they are not directly affected..  makes no sense to pay $5 for a coffee.. or even $2 or $3..

Where was I going with this agian...  oh yeah.. short starbucks

+1000 

[S3052]

A short term update has just been sent to subscribers.

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[S3052]

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[kokjo]

this thread used to be interesting, now its just advertisement spam...

[klaus]

this thread used to be interesting, now its just advertisement spam...

... maybe no need for this thread to be interesting.

S3052's member forecast is fully on track - thats a lot more important !


S3052 - thanks for your service.

[kokjo]

this thread used to be interesting, now its just advertisement spam...

... maybe no need for this thread to be interesting.

S3052's member forecast is fully on track - thats a lot more important !


S3052 - thanks for your service.

brainwashed zombie reply detected.

so you are a loyal member of S3052 subscription service, eh?

[dree12]

this thread used to be interesting, now its just advertisement spam...

Sure, there's been a lot of advertisement spam, but this thread is still the most viewed topic in speculation. Because of the lenient rules set by the OP, people prefer to advertise here.

[S3052]

Below is a chart displaying historical volatility. It shows that typically, higher volatility goes hand in hand with higher bitcoin prices

[adamstgBit]

Below is a chart displaying historical volatility. It shows that typically, higher volatility goes hand in hand with higher bitcoin prices

is bitcoin a day traders dream come true?

[S3052]

Below is a chart displaying historical volatility. It shows that typically, higher volatility goes hand in hand with higher bitcoin prices

is bitcoin a day traders dream come true?

It's probably even better as a weekly / monthly trader. If you pick the multiweek / -month lows and highs (i.e. the one in April 2011 at 0.58$, then 31.89 $ in June 2011, then the low in Nov 2011 at 1.994 $, then you can be a happy camper

[S3052]

SBUX (Starbucks) about to break down .. will get nasty

here we go. not a bad forecast :-)

[S3052]

The bitcoin and financial markets newsletter has just been sent to subscribers.

EXCITING WEEKS IN THE BITWORLD AND FINANCIAL WORLD OVERALL.
i.e. more than +100 % since our breakout call on bitcoins

If you are interested to subscribe, send an email to S3052@gmx.ch

[S3052]

as many people are speculating about this, I did a comparison of current bitcoin charts in 2012 versus the 2011 ramp up to the all time high:http://bit.ly/qJDsYw

[smoothie]

as many people are speculating about this, I did a comparison of current bitcoin charts in 2012 versus the 2011 ramp up to the all time high:http://bit.ly/qJDsYw

Yes I see that breakout of the trend channel too.

[S3052]

The bitcoin and financial markets newsletter has just been sent to subscribers.

i.e. more than +110 % since our breakout call on bitcoins

If you are interested to subscribe, send an email to S3052@gmx.ch

[S3052]

For people interested in stock market forecasts, I am also including then in my subscription service:

Here some examples http://stocktwits.com/BitcoinAnalyst: