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Author Topic: Bitmain's Released Antminer S9, World's First 16nm Miner Ready to Order  (Read 530802 times)
alh
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May 31, 2016, 06:15:16 PM
 #61

based on my assumptions of difficulty movement (primarly a ~30% drop within a few weeks of halving), seems like with free power ROI takes 5-6months.  With 0.07/kwh its closer to 10-12 months.

I can have one hosted at $0.06/kwh (+15% tax), and am likely to pull the trigger if it falls to 3.5BTC via BTCUSD price swings. At 3.9BTC, its a gamble - it would probably break even but after a full ~16month lifespan ROI would probably be 10-20% at most

So how long does it take to "Break Even" (aka ROI) if your expected -30% difficulty change doesn't actually materialize?

A 30% difficulty drop is roughly equivalent to a 420PH decrease if I am looking at things correctly.
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May 31, 2016, 06:21:11 PM
 #62

And of course I just ordered 2x of the batch18 s7's last night....
Argg  Shocked
Damn good performance !

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May 31, 2016, 06:22:57 PM
 #63

When will Bitfury announce their bankruptcy?
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May 31, 2016, 06:32:30 PM
 #64

We will need to see a btc price above $800 to really have this make any kind of sense.  Here is hoping the happens.

I see no reason it shouldn't. It's already begun rising from a very steady price, the halving is only a month away! We'll have to wait for the halving to see though. I've got good feeling Smiley

BTC price is not gonna go anywhere because of the halving. BTC halving price adjustment already took place last year when the price doubled from 225ish to the 400+ we've been healthily sitting at since this year.

You don't think it will skyrocket like it did after the last halving? I see no reason it shouldn't Like you said we've been healthily sitting at the same price for a long time, I feel this current rise in price is only a signal of the halving that's coming.
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May 31, 2016, 06:35:27 PM
 #65

based on my assumptions of difficulty movement (primarly a ~30% drop within a few weeks of halving), seems like with free power ROI takes 5-6months.  With 0.07/kwh its closer to 10-12 months.

I can have one hosted at $0.06/kwh (+15% tax), and am likely to pull the trigger if it falls to 3.5BTC via BTCUSD price swings. At 3.9BTC, its a gamble - it would probably break even but after a full ~16month lifespan ROI would probably be 10-20% at most

So how long does it take to "Break Even" (aka ROI) if your expected -30% difficulty change doesn't actually materialize?

A 30% difficulty drop is roughly equivalent to a 420PH decrease if I am looking at things correctly.

i dont see that happening at all. It will go up and up.. We just saw a huge show of force on the network.  If i was doing calcs id be factoring in another 600 ph increase over the next 3 - 4 months  This is def a waiting game>  Huge gamble to buy now before halving..

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1484047.msg14975076#msg14975076

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d57heinz

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May 31, 2016, 06:57:43 PM
 #66

based on my assumptions of difficulty movement (primarly a ~30% drop within a few weeks of halving), seems like with free power ROI takes 5-6months.  With 0.07/kwh its closer to 10-12 months.

I can have one hosted at $0.06/kwh (+15% tax), and am likely to pull the trigger if it falls to 3.5BTC via BTCUSD price swings. At 3.9BTC, its a gamble - it would probably break even but after a full ~16month lifespan ROI would probably be 10-20% at most

So how long does it take to "Break Even" (aka ROI) if your expected -30% difficulty change doesn't actually materialize?

A 30% difficulty drop is roughly equivalent to a 420PH decrease if I am looking at things correctly.

i dont see that happening at all. It will go up and up.. We just saw a huge show of force on the network.  If i was doing calcs id be factoring in another 600 ph increase over the next 3 - 4 months  This is def a waiting game>  Huge gamble to buy now before halving..

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1484047.msg14975076#msg14975076

Best Regards
d57heinz

Probably the best bet right now. Wait and see what happens with the halving before putting any serious money in. Too many unknowns at the moment.
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May 31, 2016, 08:01:44 PM
 #67

Quoting from the first page... sorry

Not sure what they have in mind for the controller board? It's populated for 4 Hash Boards and 2 Fans but has provision for 20 Hash Boards and 10 Fans...

...

Now you know what kind of beast they have in their farms Cheesy 93.3 TH/s with 10 Delta fans on push pull.... tasty

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May 31, 2016, 08:23:41 PM
 #68

Looks like the same fans so I'm going to guess that they're just as noisy as the S7.  Can't wait to read a review on these but they are just too much for me to risk right now.

BTC: 1GENERALrtBAjEv2Ps5cmEW1FADnXh1bCZ
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May 31, 2016, 08:32:10 PM
 #69

I wonder what the sound levels are like for the S9

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May 31, 2016, 08:39:45 PM
 #70

I wonder what the sound levels are like for the S9

I'm guessing same as s7.
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May 31, 2016, 10:30:29 PM
Last edit: May 31, 2016, 11:49:42 PM by NotFuzzyWarm
 #71

Since Summer is upon us, as soon as I get notice that my last 2x s7b18's I ordered last night are shipped (great timing there ay what?) I will be ordering an s9.

Right now I have 4x s7's running at home being 5.2kw worth of heat load being added to what my AC has to handle so is a no brainer there: take 3 of the s7's off line and replace with the 1 s9. Introductory pricing be damned the combined miner and AC power savings make it a winner for me. Best part is that the ~1,350w load fits perfectly with the 1,800w (2.2kVA) Cyberpower always on-line UPS at home so no worries about dropping >14THs from low power line or blackouts (also have a permanent home generator to handle extended outages) Cheesy. For those wondering, got the GE 11kw whole-house genset ~ 3 years ago after my area of Detroit had a 2-week long blackout -- during a big summertime storm the local substation literally blew which in-turn damaged the feeders to it ... Of course since then the longest outage has been maybe 1/2hr at worst  Roll Eyes

At least for now I can replace the last s5's I have at work with a couple of the displaced s7's and will have spares...

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May 31, 2016, 11:24:58 PM
 #72

okay I did a second order paid it  and it is marked not paid expired.


https://blockchain.info/tx/19bc78bb91eec02a46cc91bd5c9d63f618a0ec26ae675811b61337c8be5feefa




first order is marked paid.


https://blockchain.info/tx/7e5239e1e64a53c5fa39aa4fa3a475460fb6dafeb6c0b9e34e5c80f5d644559d


so this does happen and it is late in China  but  I hope they fix this sooner rather then later.

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 MΞTAWIN  THE FIRST WEB3 CASINO   
.
.. PLAY NOW ..
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May 31, 2016, 11:38:58 PM
 #73

When will Bitfury announce their bankruptcy?

In "2 weeks™"  Cheesy

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May 31, 2016, 11:45:09 PM
 #74

If you think the price is good, buy an s9. (imho $1200 is realistic)

If you speculate the price of BTC will rise before the halving, buy BTC.

If you are sitting on the fence unsure but in the future know you want s9's and need to spend funds then buy hardware for them in advance. ie. power supplies etc and wait a month or two.
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June 01, 2016, 12:08:23 AM
 #75

okay I did a second order paid it  and it is marked not paid expired.


https://blockchain.info/tx/19bc78bb91eec02a46cc91bd5c9d63f618a0ec26ae675811b61337c8be5feefa




first order is marked paid.


https://blockchain.info/tx/7e5239e1e64a53c5fa39aa4fa3a475460fb6dafeb6c0b9e34e5c80f5d644559d


so this does happen and it is late in China  but  I hope they fix this sooner rather then later.

This happened to me.  I paid within 7 minutes of my order.  It showed expired for about 3 hours.  During that time I flamed them with emails and support tickets.  They did not respond to any of those, but I did get a "Paid" email confirmation about 6 hours later.  21:00 GMT.
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June 01, 2016, 01:17:36 AM
 #76

okay I did a second order paid it  and it is marked not paid expired.


https://blockchain.info/tx/19bc78bb91eec02a46cc91bd5c9d63f618a0ec26ae675811b61337c8be5feefa




first order is marked paid.


https://blockchain.info/tx/7e5239e1e64a53c5fa39aa4fa3a475460fb6dafeb6c0b9e34e5c80f5d644559d


so this does happen and it is late in China  but  I hope they fix this sooner rather then later.

This happened to me.  I paid within 7 minutes of my order.  It showed expired for about 3 hours.  During that time I flamed them with emails and support tickets.  They did not respond to any of those, but I did get a "Paid" email confirmation about 6 hours later.  21:00 GMT.

over the last 2 years this has happened 5 or 6 times to me.

I had trouble getting coins setup for the second unit first one was easier.

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▀██████████████████▀
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▀▀███████▀▀
.
 MΞTAWIN  THE FIRST WEB3 CASINO   
.
.. PLAY NOW ..
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June 01, 2016, 01:22:27 AM
 #77

it's very effisient, but im not sure we can take ROI in 1year Sad
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June 01, 2016, 03:02:02 AM
 #78

Nice!  Impressive specs. which equate to timing of release.  So you may be close to roi by or just after halving but what then.  Who doesn't want one?  I think it still might be more viable to by btc now and hold.
The otherside of the coin is if btc jumps in price at halving this is the only miner to have. 
Still, good job again seeing this through to completion as always.
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June 01, 2016, 04:07:27 AM
 #79

I like the hash rate, but that price though...Give it a few months and it'll drop in price.

Back in my day Bitcoin used to cost $69
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June 01, 2016, 04:32:26 AM
 #80

Hahhahahaha! $2100. BITMAIN must be feeling like top of the world right now to quote a price like this.
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