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fantasticromantic (OP)
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July 08, 2016, 06:55:54 AM |
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Who will lead in Trump vs. Clinton polling on July 13?After Hillary Clinton increased her lead in RealClearPolitics polling to 6.8 ten days ago, Trump and his campaign managed to lower it under 5.0 in the last week, but today Hilary closed polling at 5.0 lead. So, what will happen next? In the focus today, and probably following days, is the news that FBI Director James Comey confirmed that some of Hillary Clinton's statements and explanations about her email server to the House Benghazi Committee last October were not true, as evidenced by the bureau's investigation into whether she mishandled classified information. So, could this influence Hillary’s polling? Some think that she will go down under 4.9% lead on July 13, and if you have same opinion you have great odds at the moment. Range of 5.0% to 5.9% is still in lead and most likely to happen. But, at the same time, Donald Trump is not quiet either, so could Hillary again go over 6.0% lead in the next seven days?
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fantasticromantic (OP)
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July 09, 2016, 11:59:17 AM |
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Following the referendum result, the British pound has become the world's worst performing currency, falling even behind the Argentinian peso. At the same time, it is confirmed that either Theresa May or Andrea Leadsom will be Britain's next Prime Minister so could this help pound to recover, or will it go way more down by the end of the year? Next UK Prime MinisterSome think that British pound will go so down that it could hit history-making dollar parity by end of 2016. Though, more analysts predict $1.20-$1.30 could hold for sterling this year. Yesterday it closed at $1.29, after being at $1.49 on June 23, before the referendum results came in. "While GBP has already seen steep declines across the board we think it remains vulnerable to a prolonged decline even from these levels. Our current forecast profile sees GBPUSD falling to $1.20 by the end of this year ($1.25 by end-Q3)," says Ned Rumpeltin at TD Securities. GBP vs USD: Value of Pound at year endSo, where do you think pound value will stop at the end of the year? Fairlay market, like most analysts, gives the biggest chances that on December 31 it will be in range between $1.21 to $1.40, but range of $1.01 to $1.20 is also likely to happen. Thus, you can find great odds if you think it could go to $1.00 or Under, or recover Over $1.40. |
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fantasticromantic (OP)
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July 12, 2016, 08:05:01 AM |
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Oil prices fell once again this morning amid signs of an economic slowdown in Asia and evidence that US shale producers have now adapted to lower prices. Brent Crude Oil opened today at $46.49, after being at $50.10 last Monday. But, let’s look further on and try to predict where it will close at the end of the year. According to Goldman Sachs, it will remain in a range of $45-50 per barrel over the next 12 months, as there is also mounting evidence that US shale drillers can adapt to prices of $45 or higher. But, few weeks ago former Shell Oil President told he’s “pretty bullish” on $80 per barrel oil by the end of the year. End of the year price of Crude Oil“Sometime in the fall, it could be in October or November, the Russians and the Saudis have got to get a grip on reality that they cannot face 2017 with the same collapse in their budgets… they are going to have to do something and the best thing for them to do, because they are so oil dependent, is to let the price of oil rise further,” he said. So, what is your opinion on the price of a barrel of Brent Crude Oil, in USD, on December 31, 2016? Can it go over $75.00, or will it go up but stay in the range of $50.00 - $74.99? Or, do you think recent trends will continue so it will close year in the current range at $25.00 - $49.99, or even under $25.00? |
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fantasticromantic (OP)
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July 13, 2016, 06:14:14 AM |
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You can love it, or even hate it but confusion about Pokemon Go has been rising worldwide as its unprecedented growth makes more and more headlines. So, this game has been flooding the news and neighbourhoods but for many it seems as silly as it is impenetrable. And what is this fuss all about? The answer is Pokemon Go, the new smartphone game from Nintendo and Niantic Labs. According to data tabled by Digital Vision, two days after the app’s launch, Pokemon Go was installed on 5.16% of Android devices in the US and had roared to the top of the iTunes app store’s free app charts. Nintendo’s stocks are reported to have risen to their highest value since 1983 and demand for the game was so high, with servers crashing regularly, that Amazon’s chief technology officer, Werner Vogels, even offered to share the traffic load. How long will Pokemon Go be at the top of the App Store?So, you surely tried to play it as well, or some of your friends did. Or, if you’ve been out and about over the past few days, chances are you’ve seen people frantically swiping their smartphones in front of places of interest, or listened with slight alarm as friends chattered excitedly about how they “caught a Sandshrew behind the supermarket”. All in all, it is all really popular and interesting, so much that it brought a $7.5-billion US surge in Nintendo's market value. But for how long will this craziness about Pokemon Go last, or to ask more accurate question: “How long will Pokemon Go! be at the top of the App Store?” For weeks, months, or could it stay there even in 2017? At Fairlay market you have six different options, but take care that we put starting period for July 8, 2016 at 10:00 GMT time. So, what is your opinion on this market, and Pokemon Go itself? |
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fantasticromantic (OP)
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July 14, 2016, 11:34:11 AM |
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RealClearPolitics polling: Hillary is keeping lead just above 4.0% but can Trump lower it in the next week? After raising to 6.0% lead on June 28, first half of July wasn’t great for Hillary as Trump managed to keep her lead under 5.0%, and it was at the recently lowest 4.3% yesterday. But what will happen next, and will Hillary move up in the polls after Sanders’ endorsement, or will Trump use momentum and move her lead even lower? Who will lead in Trump vs. Clinton polling on July 20?So, recent polling certainly showed that Hillary was taking hit for her email scandal lies, and she even lost her lead in some important countries like Florida. With this, both Hillary Clinton and her campaign team should be freaking out, as issues with her honesty has been a sticking point for many Democrats during her primary run. Thus, there is solid chance that she could go under 4.0% in polling lead, and you have great odds if you think she could go even under 3.0% lead. At the same time, Trump will receive a bump in the polling after the Republican National Convention next week and he also has to announce his vice presidential pick. So, will polling get even tighter? |
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fantasticromantic (OP)
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July 19, 2016, 08:24:50 AM |
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Theresa May shaked up government with new-look cabinet, but who will leave it first?Interesting week is behind us in UK politics as new Prime Minister Theresa May has unveiled a nearly completely new look cabinet, in a major departure from predecessor David Cameron's top team. And it couldn’t be more interesting. George Osborne, Michael Gove, John Whittingdale, Nicky Morgan and Oliver Letwin have all been sacked by Mrs May. Liz Truss is justice secretary, Justine Greening takes education and Tory leadership contender Andrea Leadsom has been promoted to environment secretary. Boris Johnson became foreign secretary. Philip Hammond was made chancellor. First Cabinet Member to LeaveSo, new cabinet has plenty of interesting names, at the end of which is Eurosceptic David Davis who will, meanwhile, take charge of negotiating Britain's exit from the European Union, in a newly created post of Brexit secretary. And, it is Davis who is amongst those who could be the first one to leave the cabinet if things don’t go as he or May want. Andrea Leadsom, who was seen as a candidate for the new Prime minister, is also with good chances to leave first. But, of course, the first favorite is a new foreign secretary Boris Jonson as many see him leave before the end of year. But, could someone else, like Liam Fox, who was appointed as the new international trade secretary, or Amber Rudd, who took over Mrs May's former role as home secretary, leave the Cabinet first? Make your prediction at Fairlay.
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