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Vbs
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March 15, 2012, 09:47:24 AM |
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A pic is in order   "Simulation of coin tosses: Each frame, a coin is flipped which is red on one side and blue on the other. The result of each flip is added as a colored dot in the corresponding column. As the pie chart shows, the proportion of red versus blue approaches 50-50 (the Law of Large Numbers). But the difference between red and blue does not systematically decrease to zero." ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamblers_fallacy) |
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"Bitcoin: mining our own business since 2009" -- Pieter Wuille
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kano
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Activity: 4466
Merit: 1798
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
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March 15, 2012, 10:20:12 AM |
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Not necessary - and also somewhat pointless quoting content from the Wikipedia. Wikipedia is only as accurate as whoever happened to write the content or last edit it ... My reference was only for the sake of naming the fallacy  (though your quote is valid, it's a bad idea to quote something from the wikipedia) Assuming Math Man is doing actuarial studies, he should know a lot more about statistics than the contents of that page and leave it to him to argue with Meni who also clearly knows a lot of statistics theory if you have read any of the bitcoin statistical analysis he has done. I'm not very good at stats, but this discussion falls under the heading of something that I understand which was the reason for my very first comment (blame those damn nonce ranges for that  ) |
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Vbs
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March 15, 2012, 11:15:45 AM
Last edit: March 15, 2012, 12:03:53 PM by Vbs |
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But... but... that Wikipedia example was soooooooo staring at me! I'd be toast if I quoted from Wikipedia for a research paper. As in "really burnt" toast. I'm also no expert at probabilities, but I did have to chew a good dosage of stochastic processes while finishing college (EE) I'm not very good at stats, but this discussion falls under the heading of something that I understand which was the reason for my very first comment And you were right on the money! |
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Inaba (OP)
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March 15, 2012, 12:31:34 PM |
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Something is dreadfully wrong with Namecoin. I am going to be swapping out the wallet and blockchain today and see if that resolves the issue. If it does not, then the namecoin block chain itself is broken, which seems unlikely.
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If you're searching these lines for a point, you've probably missed it. There was never anything there in the first place.
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Kluge
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March 15, 2012, 03:59:55 PM |
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Something is dreadfully wrong with Namecoin. I am going to be swapping out the wallet and blockchain today and see if that resolves the issue. If it does not, then the namecoin block chain itself is broken, which seems unlikely.
Can't wait to receive my negative NMC bonus.   |
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Inaba (OP)
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March 15, 2012, 04:38:24 PM |
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ARG WTH!
I will get that fixed sorry about that.
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If you're searching these lines for a point, you've probably missed it. There was never anything there in the first place.
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P_Shep
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This is not OK.
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March 15, 2012, 08:11:30 PM |
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16+ hour blocks sucks balls.
That is all.
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Kluge
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Activity: 1218
Merit: 1015
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March 16, 2012, 12:18:03 AM |
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ARG WTH!
I will get that fixed sorry about that.
Thanks. Confirming it's fixed. |
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GenTarkin
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March 16, 2012, 02:57:12 PM |
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17hr BTC block? is it legit or is it stuck again?!
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stevegee58
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Activity: 916
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March 16, 2012, 03:11:07 PM |
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Blocks this long aren't that uncommon. They've been 24+ hours before.
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You are in a maze of twisty little passages, all alike.
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Inaba (OP)
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March 16, 2012, 03:12:32 PM |
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We are actually running fairly close to median for this difficulty level.
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If you're searching these lines for a point, you've probably missed it. There was never anything there in the first place.
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stevegee58
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Activity: 916
Merit: 1003
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March 16, 2012, 03:15:09 PM |
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Is it possible to see the full block history? It looks like you can only go back 50 blocks.
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You are in a maze of twisty little passages, all alike.
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Inaba (OP)
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March 16, 2012, 03:21:23 PM |
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Yes there is a link at the bottom to download the full history..
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If you're searching these lines for a point, you've probably missed it. There was never anything there in the first place.
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stevegee58
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March 16, 2012, 03:27:54 PM |
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It only seems to go back to Feb 26
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You are in a maze of twisty little passages, all alike.
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Inaba (OP)
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March 16, 2012, 03:41:37 PM |
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Hmm I will take a look shortly
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If you're searching these lines for a point, you've probably missed it. There was never anything there in the first place.
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Inaba (OP)
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March 16, 2012, 03:43:21 PM |
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Just checked, it goes all the way back to block 1 when I download it.
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If you're searching these lines for a point, you've probably missed it. There was never anything there in the first place.
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stevegee58
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March 16, 2012, 03:47:11 PM |
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I think it's only returning the blocks I had earnings on.
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You are in a maze of twisty little passages, all alike.
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P_Shep
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Activity: 1795
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This is not OK.
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March 16, 2012, 05:26:34 PM |
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20 HOUR BLOCKS SUCKS DONKEY BALLS.
That is all.
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Inaba (OP)
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Activity: 1260
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March 16, 2012, 06:55:47 PM |
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You are right... should work now, I had to change the query.
P_Shep: Giant ones. GRRR No stuck blocks this time.
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If you're searching these lines for a point, you've probably missed it. There was never anything there in the first place.
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The-Real-Link
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March 16, 2012, 07:51:10 PM |
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Figured, I come back and give your pool a shot and we get 22+ hour blocks. Ouch indeed.
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Oh Loaded, who art up in Mt. Gox, hallowed be thy name! Thy dollars rain, thy will be done, on BTCUSD. Give us this day our daily 10% 30%, and forgive the bears, as we have bought their bitcoins. And lead us into quadruple digits
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