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Question: Price prediction for the May 21 weekly close:
<$20,000 - 7 (8%)
$20,000 - $22,000 - 0 (0%)
$22,000 - $24,000 - 2 (2.3%)
$24,000 - $26,000 - 3 (3.4%)
$26,000 - $28,000 - 7 (8%)
$28,000 - $30,000 - 12 (13.8%)
$30,000 - $32,000 - 20 (23%)
$32,000 - $34,000 - 8 (9.2%)
$34,000 - $36,000 - 6 (6.9%)
$36,000 - $38,000 - 3 (3.4%)
$38,000 - $40,000 - 2 (2.3%)
>$40,000 - 17 (19.5%)
Total Voters: 87

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 25638366 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (168 posts by 4 users with 9 merit deleted.)
fillippone
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February 26, 2020, 10:54:05 AM

Regarding the CoronaVirus outbreak in Italy.
Why Italy?
I have a guess.
According to a Bloomberg survey, Italy has the fourth most efficient Heath service in the world.
This Service is basically free, or prepaid via taxes if you want.
Cost control has been tightened, but still the vast burden of it is on the central state (trough local governments) who can then spend how much they want.
I think in Italy a little bit less than 9,000 people have been tested for corona virus.
Other countries haven’t disclosed this information but apparently we are in the ballpark of 7,000 for UK and less than 500 (five hundreds) for France.
So this explains why Italy had so many cases. Other countries have the same percentages with CoronaVirus, yet they don’t know, yet.
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Last of the V8s
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February 26, 2020, 10:57:45 AM

HSI’s intellectual property group leverages its relationship with the pharmaceutical industry to obtain actionable intelligence used to target the trafficking of counterfeit pharmaceuticals that contain opioids. For example, agents assigned to the National Cyber-Forensics and Training Alliance work with brand protection representatives to further develop investigative leads for HSI field offices. The BCSC has developed a Cryptocurrency Intelligence Program (CIP) which identifies unlicensed money services businesses in the form of independent cryptocurrency brokers’ use of peer-to-peer (P2P) sites, online forums and classified advertisements, and darknet markets (DNM) to engage in unlicensed money services businesses (MSB) activity. A large portion of these unlicensed MSBs are engaged in laundering narcotics proceeds, including opioid trafficking.

The only mention of cryptocurrencies in that whole 300 page shitfest, but quite enough to remind us the only thing these bullies want for us is to be sent to their re-education-through-labour camps where we grow kale and study the statist classics.
dragonvslinux
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February 26, 2020, 11:21:00 AM

CME chart is looking interesting, currently testing both the 200 MA on the 4 hr as well as the Daily chart (that are bullishly sloping upwards):



Volume has been dropping off, so as per usual expecting volatility to kick in based on bouncing of these support levels or falling to the "gap" of $8.5K:



Looks like it might be time to flush out some weak hands to make the next leg up stronger:



[/center]

HODL
Paashaas
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February 26, 2020, 11:22:28 AM

The WHO no longer has a procedure to declare something a pandemic, official statement from 2 days ago.

WHO leader makes a public statement that the world must prepare for a global pandemic.

WHO declares that Corona-tama has peaked in china.

This is how entire cultures collapse. Nobody knows what the fuck anyone else is doing, everyone is lying and nobody is held to account.

GDP is more important than human lives.

This outbreak is a huge scandal/crime and we all going to pay for it.
OutOfMemory
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February 26, 2020, 11:28:01 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1), d_eddie (1)

Hard to get some beans, noodles and rice already.

Came home and i saw that i already advanced to Jr. Member!!! ...again  Roll Eyes
Again?

This is mainly for VB1001:

cygan
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February 26, 2020, 11:40:15 AM

The WHO no longer has a procedure to declare something a pandemic, official statement from 2 days ago.

WHO leader makes a public statement that the world must prepare for a global pandemic.

WHO declares that Corona-tama has peaked in china.

This is how entire cultures collapse. Nobody knows what the fuck anyone else is doing, everyone is lying and nobody is held to account.

https://cointelegraph.com/news/coronavirus-3-technical-reasons-why-bitcoin-price-broke-below-94k
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Last of the V8s
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February 26, 2020, 11:51:18 AM

Nice graph by @flibbr showing the traded price of 1 btc aginst the cost to mine one over time




Looks like a partial BS to me.
First off, I remember 2015-miners did not have huge profitability back then (that is erroneously shown).
Second part of why it is BS-because there is no sharp changes in profitability at the halving point (mid 2016, for example).
Recent numbers look OK.

Thanks for this. Yes I blindly followed flibbr, but actually what's graphed is not the 'cost to mine' but

Takes QUANDL Bitcoin blockchain difficulty data, three variables (hashrate in THs/sec, power consumption in kWh, and electricity costs in cents/kWh) and calculates the base line for cash flow in US dollars. The default is an AntMiner S15 at 10 cents/kWh.

When price is above this line, miners with the given conditions have positive cash flow (i.e. they make more money mining than their running costs), and when below the line, they would be better off turning their rigs off (if this simple model can be applied to their particular circumstance).

Assumptions:
1. All costs are consolidated into one "electricity cost" variable, including things like rent and wages for mining farms.
2. 12.5 BTC/block emission schedule (update source code upon next halving).

So, exactly as you say, it is useless for 2015 times and the previous halving event, but fine since then - the 12.5BTC era.

Could anyone please send Biodom's post some merit?
OutOfMemory
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February 26, 2020, 11:58:09 AM


Could anyone please send Biodom's post some merit?

sent
Last of the V8s
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February 26, 2020, 12:00:05 PM


Could anyone please send Biodom's post some merit?

sent

ta
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February 26, 2020, 12:05:20 PM


thanks also to Gyrsur, who merited a post of mine earlier today, so i had a full sMerit for Biodom
El duderino_
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February 26, 2020, 12:09:33 PM

Daaaaaamn
Gyrsur
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February 26, 2020, 12:14:51 PM


thanks also to Gyrsur, who merited a post of mine earlier today, so i had a full sMerit for Biodom

never mind! I was able to send it to you because I just received 5 merit from Globb0 in the night. thank you Globb0!
somac.
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February 26, 2020, 12:15:53 PM

Corn is looking a bit sickly. I've noticed that as the price has been dropping the order book on the ask side grows fairly quickly again. In my mind this would indicate that for now sellers are chasing the price down. I hoping that this is not a large long-term down channel. See pic. Seems unlikely.

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February 26, 2020, 12:16:35 PM

Daaaaaamn

That's what i thought yesterday, about 30 minutes after i had a fair amount of white russian (not the drink  Grin )
#nohomo


thanks also to Gyrsur, who merited a post of mine earlier today, so i had a full sMerit for Biodom

never mind! I was able to send it to you because I just received 5 merit from Globb0 in the night. thank you Globb0!


Browser zoom gave up  Undecided Had to copy/paste. Daaaamn  Grin

EDIT: What about the bug? Nuked or gave up?
Last of the V8s
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February 26, 2020, 12:20:08 PM

^ just press the quote button to read that silly/tiny stuff
Gyrsur
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February 26, 2020, 12:21:44 PM

   Bitstamp ADL    9,021.22 USD   
(source: Bitstamp API)
d_eddie
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February 26, 2020, 12:24:13 PM

I wonder what became of cousin nutildah's BSV short. Grin

I know what happened to my BCH short  Wink
OutOfMemory
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February 26, 2020, 12:25:47 PM

^ just press the quote button to read that silly/tiny stuff

Thanks, i think i have been reading this several times but i must have always forgotten about it.
Knocking against $9.2k  Cool

EDIT: Aaaaaannnd through  Grin
bitcoinPsycho
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February 26, 2020, 12:32:41 PM

Update:



Some foreplay action before we move along. Tongue



Absolutely. ahem
d_eddie
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February 26, 2020, 12:40:06 PM

I am travelling right now
(Yes, travelling in CoronaVirus land, trying to avoid contagion).
I cannot get hold of the whole report, but looks interesting to me:

Quote
The team a @jpmorgan released a monster 74-page cryptocurrency report a few days ago.

Too long?

Here's a thread summarizing the best parts 👇
https://twitter.com/mjdibb/status/1232505570508201984

Here's the whole enchilada

https://markets.jpmorgan.com/research/open/url/t59R6MoBP2TUkWA_itSQBbfUlco1CmYnoNL3dA6WVSm82drJuOYLvdZIqDyuXyp-L4OrVEFw_eAu4UgzicsInqAwjcbKIQHiPfGEjPF2Rt5PKUltFmEKGQaC3DeLBoW7?action=print

Yes the main thing is will you please avoid getting ill for as long as possible. We wouldn't mind reports from the front lines and stuff like that, but we want you fit and healthy and that's all there is to it.


edit: what does that mean, that the document is watermarked? should I expect the Spanich Inquisition?

The table of contents doesn't contain a single instance of the word "bitcoin".  Roll Eyes
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