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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26367799 times)
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eXPHorizon
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August 28, 2021, 03:15:36 PM
Last edit: August 28, 2021, 03:39:59 PM by eXPHorizon

The Tunguska Event of 1908 was not caused by Tesla. I've likely known about that longer than you have been alive. There was no way to generate that amount of electrical power at that time, much less focus it. It is considered an impact event.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tunguska_event

Oh you have no idea 😁

Nikola created a device that could generate the power output as a Modern nuclear reactor turned up to its maximum
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August 28, 2021, 03:34:41 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

https://medium.com/blockstream-markets-weekly/blockstream-markets-weekly-aug-27-2021

- Blockstream raises $210M and acquires hardware maker Spondoolies (as the first step in the establishment of Blockstream’s new ASIC division)
- BTC held by funds/corporates ticks higher as MST buys another $177M worth of BTC
- Morgan Stanley funds expand GBTC positions
- futures-backed ETF may be just weeks away
- and Cuba looks to follow El Salvador’s lead on Bitcoin

Speaking of Blockstream: I fully agree with that tweet.
Not that I hate them, but they are not a good company as an investment.



On the other hand, you don't make a magic internet coin worth 1 Trln Dollar just hodling the coins.



As much as a respect Paul Sztorc (quite a bit) I think this is fallacious, and basically the exact same argument as "Lazlo is a fool for spending half a billion on Pizza".

Blockstream is controversial for some decent reasons... but they are contributing more the the bitcoin ecosystem than all but a few other companies.  Making this kind of omlette requires broken eggs.
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August 28, 2021, 03:36:07 PM

The Tunguska Event of 1908 was not caused by Tesla. I've likely known about that longer than you have been alive. There was no way to generate that amount of electrical power at that time, much less focus it. It is considered an impact event.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tunguska_event

It certainly was not a impact event as trees in center still stood upright or at worst broke halve way up.
Tesla certainly had nothing to do with it, that is just flat out trolling.
Most likely natural gas leaked out in large amounts and lighting ignited it.
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August 28, 2021, 03:41:15 PM
Last edit: August 28, 2021, 04:01:22 PM by eXPHorizon

Have you ever seen Lightning stuck a tree? I have, it cause exacly that what you describe. Trees cut down the middle and its top exploded off

Imagine a tree being struck multiple times by massive amount of electricity.

Ok something like Goku Going Ssj3 against Kid Buu kinda lightning show 😆😆

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August 28, 2021, 03:45:51 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1), Hueristic (1), JayJuanGee (1)

It's not difficult to get rich. It's difficult to stay rich.
Not to say stay rich for 700 years.
As I said the other day to @LFC_Bitcoin:

An important fact to bear in mind is that the children of these long-term richies don't get educated the same way as us lumpen proletariat, they get educated in the means and methods to preserve this wealth. They are also inducted into the networks which assist them in maintaining their status.

Things can still go wrong, of course but most of the stories of kids blowing the wealth their parents built are from the nouveau rich who have focused on building their wealth, not their legacy.
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August 28, 2021, 03:49:49 PM

Well, wouldja look at that?!??!  

I DID have a balance on Gox!




_edit_  Still reeling!  All the talk I do about not leaving your balance laying around, and in reality I was GOXED.


Good god man. Opsec!
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August 28, 2021, 04:00:41 PM

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/culture/1-million-bitcoin-price-billionaire

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However for Balaji it appears that there is another, perhaps more fascinating flippening that will come soon - the flippening of billionaires. He says that when bitcoin hits milestones like $100,000, there will be as many bitcoin billionaires as there are traditional billionaires. When bitcoin hits one million dollars, the world’s bitcoin and crypto billionaires will surpass the number of traditional billionaires.

This assumes that those holding continue to hold. Part of the process of growth is that new people come onboard and holders divest some of theirs to live the lifestyle they've earned.

There will still be plenty of billionaires, no doubt but I would suggest far fewer than he's expecting.
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August 28, 2021, 04:01:26 PM


Explanation
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August 28, 2021, 04:04:58 PM

Like laszlo's pizza buyer: if he'd have known the value of bitcoin today he should have kept its treasure.

He could have rebought, he chose not to.
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August 28, 2021, 04:10:53 PM
Last edit: May 15, 2023, 11:14:45 PM by fillippone


As much as a respect Paul Sztorc (quite a bit) I think this is fallacious, and basically the exact same argument as "Lazlo is a fool for spending half a billion on Pizza".

Blockstream is controversial for some decent reasons... but they are contributing more the the bitcoin ecosystem than all but a few other companies.  Making this kind of omlette requires broken eggs.

Ah,
Great minds think alike:


https://twitter.com/fillippone1/status/1431529565755740166?s=21



An important fact to bear in mind is that the children of these long-term richies don't get educated the same way as us lumpen proletariat, they get educated in the means and methods to preserve this wealth. They are also inducted into the networks which assist them in maintaining their status.

Things can still go wrong, of course but most of the stories of kids blowing the wealth their parents built are from the nouveau rich who have focused on building their wealth, not their legacy.

A fun article I was reading right now:

First-class flights, chauffeurs and bribery: the secret life of a private tutor

Quote

Tutoring has become a weapon in the global arms race in education. There’s no limit to what some parents will pay

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August 28, 2021, 04:20:11 PM

Tutoring has become a weapon in the global arms race in education. There’s no limit to what some parents will pay


It's definitely time for a refocus on education, I think. Right now seems to be a golden opportunity too with things in flux. I received what I consider to be a decent education but there were definitely things missing that could have led to me exploiting several opportunities which, frankly, I had no capability to deal with.
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August 28, 2021, 04:29:56 PM

the morning wall report

dyor

1h



4h

stronghands
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August 28, 2021, 05:00:25 PM

Well, wouldja look at that?!??!  

I DID have a balance on Gox!




_edit_  Still reeling!  All the talk I do about not leaving your balance laying around, and in reality I was GOXED.


Good god man. Opsec!

I could certainly be wrong.. But my opsec is borked way past anything this picture reveals.  This just reveals that I had an account on Mt Gox with a least a trivial amount of Bitcoin under the same name I use here.  My post history has already given all of that away.  Several times.  Also my address reuse, and other early errors make my privacy nearly non existent...  It's sad but true.
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August 28, 2021, 05:01:26 PM


Explanation
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August 28, 2021, 05:06:18 PM
Merited by Paashaas (1), bitcoinPsycho (1)

Quote from: Farmer Bill

Delusions of Grandeur

You mean me don't you?



I do not know why But i feel so much pity for People Who only learned about money in their life and just revolve their life about money.

Get a fucking grip, you diptwat.

If you are participating in a thread that is about bitcoin, then the fucking topic is about money and value and various kinds of topics that are related, so if you come to the thread and you proclaim that too many people are obsessed with money in this thread, then you are surely not being genuine.

Another thing is that participants in this thread come from a lot of differing angles in terms of their perceptions but also in terms of how much value they might be starting with.

Folks who come to the thread, and seek handouts do not really have much if anything to contribute except for stating their wishes to improve their position, but don't even seem inclined to make one fucking effort in the direction of improving their lot.

There are many times that we have both shown historical levels of small contributions that have gone a long way, but also mentioned that if you are not starting with hardly shit, not even a dollar per day, then you just do what you can.. maybe you save for the month, and you are able to put together $30.. which would still be $1 per day, but it took you the whole month to save it up.  Of course, we might discuss a bit higher amounts of investment because the majority of normies can afford more than $1 per day and it would likely pay off quite a bit more to attempt to be a wee bit more aggressive, if the ability to be aggressive is there.  Yet, in any event each person can ONLY do as much as s/he can in terms of figuring out how to much to be able to invest into bitcoin on a fairly regular basis, if possible.

No intuition to inventions, Just : how am I going to rob the next person blindly. Thats all they learned..

Just like the person Who only learned that 1+1=2 and there is no other way 😂

You are just making up shit.. that's called a strawman argument.  You make up some bullshit and easy argument of the supposed position of others in order that you can easily knock it down..   Not a genuine way of attempting to have a conversation.


Look at the post below quote by Farmer Bill, the JJG Post and look at JJG posting history. He is talking about the same thing over and over and over again with Words swithched up. Like a Politician would do..

And no I dont want a troll like JJG to know anything. He deserves to know nothing 🙂he deserves to be kept in the Dark.

No I do not want to give JJG any space 😁

Of course, if you have little to no ability to actually read the substance, then of course, everything is going to look alike... just words on paper, right?  It shows more about your lack of abilities rather than anything else.

By the way, regarding BTC price, we surely have been in a kind of less than 8% correction zone for about the past 5 days.. with the low of $46,309 a couple of days ago, and surely questions regarding if the price is going to continue UP or not...Not bad ongoing upwards pressures, and surely getting back above our local high of $50,562 from 5 days ago would not be a bad thing and really does not seem that difficult to achieve, especially with the price bouncing in the $48ks and $49ks in the past 24 hours-ish.

Nice...

Nice...

[edited out]

Thanks for taking the time to comment on my post and for a snippet into some aspects of your personal life.

Good observation, that although I do not have a boss, I do have obligations to certain entities via contracts, in which I often have little sway over the terms.

I like your example that one of the things Bitcoin has enabled you to do, was to walk away from a business you were not happy to be running and to move on with your life. It's often hard for folk to just say fuck it and walk, because of the sunk cost that's been invested over the years.

Sure.  Sometimes there can be calculations that regard "how much work do I want to put into this?"....  And, sure, I had been put into a position in which I was doing some of my usual accounting and behind the scenes business matters, but the disappearance of the other partner caused me to have to do those duties too.. which likely is not that unusual when entering into joint projects that any kind of wrap up or changes in the business direction might not be agreed upon.. so then a lot of work could come from such a changed situation, and even a situation in which a guy/gal thought that s/he had a lot of control and even profits from little labor becomes a lot of labor and even questionable in terms of how much profits are coming from the amount of work that ends up having to be deployed to keep the ball in the air.

We can also consider that in 2013 to 2016, my expectations in regards to bitcoin was appreciating that "it could become very BIG, but I am NOT going to rely upon such bitcoin BIGness to live my life."  So yeah, I had been hoping that bitcoin would appreciate 6% per year, but it did not have to, and I thought that maybe I could get 2x or 3x or 4x of my return expectations, but I did not need that either.  If it did not happen, then it did not happen.

So in late 2017, when we see a BTC price appreciation of more than 20x my expectations and then even a correction that still remains at least 3x above my bottoming expectations, there still remains something quite tangible and concrete in terms of the creation of an incentive that the side investment in little fiends ends up having greater returns than the business and surely with quite a bit less efforts.. so if the returns are greater, and even if the value ends up surpassing the value of the business (even multiples of value), too, then there is a kind of negating of the need to either keep the business open or to feel any kind of compelling concern about attempting to recoup value from the business, either...

The business that seemed to have a decent amount of value started to have some feelings of being something like a shitcoin that is held, and might seem to have a decent amount of value to others, but when the prize (bitcoin) dwarfs such value, then that same business starts to be perceived as being kind of peanuts (relatively speaking).

As for my son's continuing investment it is much greater than the figures you envisage. Far from being reckless he regards this amount as sound investment towards his future.
He bought his first coins in 2011 whilst a student over in England from Intersango GBP1000 around $1500 worth at the time, 200+ coins.
The money was deposited in cash over the counter to Intersango's account, what trust! It was early days and UK banking system was not ready for this or to grant Intersango proper banking facilities. They were all sold at $30 (6X purchase price) to help fund his studies.
In and out of Bit and Shit coin over the years he's now in a good job in finance in the City of London and has been increasing his stash of Bitcoin again over last several years. Like nanobtc he did not like the farming life, but the long hours and hard work in all weather put him in a good position to take life in its stride. When colleagues bitch about their long hours or hard work he tells them to go work on a farm for a month.


Of course, I am not necessarily interested in getting into too many particulars of your son, but I did consider that ongoingly it remains a good topic to bat around ideas about what it takes to get to fuck you status and also to maintain fuck you status, and surely when a guy is younger there can be some trade-offs that are difficult to calculate in terms of deciding to give up the regular jobs and perhaps to just be a full time money manager (manager of his own money).. and for sure, if there is a bit of cushion in there, then any of us could be more prepared for the various unexpected aspects.

Many of us personally realize that even if we are young and healthy, we do have to attempt to account for ongoing health costs whether it is just maintaining some kind of insurance or somehow being able to calculate insurance/health care costs if multi-jurisdictions are potentially involved.

There are quite a few people who will NOT really rely upon all their anticipated future sources of income whether it might be a combination of pension benefits, various retirement plans such as 401ks or roths or other private tax deferred plans or something like social security.  If a guy is 40-ish, he might calculate that by the time that he can draw from those various funds, the amounts might not be as much as projected, so there could be ways to discount the future value of those funds to account for those kinds of risks.  Some medical based funds could also fit into such category in terms of some insurance carriers are NOT even going to want to fund you in the future, and none of us can really guarantee that we might not end up having some health condition or accident that causes us to either need coverage and/or to have more medical expenses than we had anticipated.

Another thing that guys might do is to just account for the various assets that he currently has control over (they are not age-based), and to consider that he could maintain x lifestyle on this amount of withdraw of funds and even have a cushion too, and if those future age-based funds do end up coming through, then so be it, they end up being like windfall value that does not affect his thought regarding how much value it takes to go into fuck you status based on considerations of the value that is currently available to him (and his anticipated withdrawal/burn rate...

Just to flesh that last paragraph out a wee bit further.  Let's just say that the thoughts on current life style are about $3k to $4k per month, so $6,666 per month of fuck you status would be comfortable because there is an extra $3k or so per month there... but then there might be thoughts of wanting to increase living standards or even to make new purchases, and surely traditional folks who enter into retirement will consider that they want to remove most of their extra expenses because they are anticipating that their fixed income is going to be worth less and less with the passage of time (it will not keep up with inflation, even if it has an inflation adjusting component built into it).  So surely the cushion can be helpful, but it is also going to be important to consider whether fuck you status is going to mean sustaining a similar standard of living or if it might involve some additional expenses whether travel related or purchase of property, yachts, hookers, lambos and blow, so none of those extra expenses would be unreasonable so long as they are contemplated in terms of reasonable and prudent income draws rather than prematurely living off of principle.. and even living off the principle would not necessarily be unreasonable, either so long as you know and appreciate the difference between living off of sustainable withdrawals of income versus actually living off of the principle.

On a side note, I am wonder if maybe your son found out about bitcoin before you?  or did you find out about bitcoin before him?  It is interesting that there also could be some simultaneous finding out about bitcoin, but then each of you end up reinforcing the ideas of each other once you find out that the other knows about it - because who cannot appreciate the values of good ideas (such as bitcoin), once they figure out some of the value propositions behind it?

Maybe some of the frustrating part for many of us longer term bitcoiners remains that sometimes we have conversations with peeps who we believe should "get it" but something never seems to click with some of these people..... Do the consider that my continuous willingness to talk about the topic with them is because I am desperate?  I tell them that I give no shits about if they invest or not, even while telling them that they should be investing 1% to 10% of their investment portfolio into bitcoin.. that tends to be my punchline to everyone, and then attempting to leave it upon them to figure out the details.. but still even seemingly smart people have a lot of difficulties appreciating the fact that even a small allocation ends up being a good hedge, overall.  

So yeah, back to your son, I can imagine that there can be all kinds of possible scenarios in terms of levels of conviction, willingness to get involved in shitcoins, and even the Peter/Spencer Schiff scenarios of seeming opposite positions of father/son - though sometimes gotta wonder with public personas, too..

Peter surely admits that he makes a whole fucking lot of money (by gaining attention) from his ongoing anti-bitcoin stance.. because he gets way more attention to any of his dumbass ideas once he mentions bitcoin.  
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August 28, 2021, 06:05:10 PM

I'm fourth gen farmer. I built a spray rig on a 1974 Dodge 4x4 3/4 ton truck. It had a 500 gallon tank, I could spray 40 acres in about one hour. I am out of the game now, but the spray rig was kinda fun, actually. It was highly computerized, and I was very precise in my application.

Ever miss the farmer life? I appreciate the simplicity it projects outwards, the entire lifestyle, although I'm well aware that it's not all that simple in reality.

I do, but it's somewhat through rose-colored glasses, now that I am away from it. I miss living in the country (but I'm going back to live on ancestral ground), I like being 10 miles away from the nearest Pepsi machine. I like that there are about 4 people per square mile, and I grew up with all of them, and their parents grew up with my parents.

I do *not* miss insane working hours (my record was 104 hours in one week, once), I don't miss the weather, governments and markets deciding on whether I can make a living this year. I drove over 1200 acres three or four times a year. I don't miss old equipment breaking down (and I was the guy welding them back together when possible). I do *not* miss wrestling with cattle in the mud and their shit.

I like your descriptions of farming life, I can put up with the piss and shit, long hours in the tractor, having to have skills to fix everything, the weather. Its a constant challenge that keeps me going. The thing that most gets to me though is government interference in my life. The markets well that is just life, a good harvest does not always mean good returns in a year of glut.
I am well impressed that you converted a Dodge 4X4 to a capable spray rig. Happy days.
Wish you well for your return home.

Whether we like it or not, farming has ongoing and persistent government components that would be quite difficult to completely escape in modern times, especially.,. and that just seems to be part of the profession whether it is government interference with the food prices, or various kinds of land or growing subsidies, and even if the smaller farmer operations can possibly avoid some of those interrelationships that may well be filled with tensions, probably even the smallest of farmers will get irritated by various government interrelations even when s/he might have attempted to set up his operation in a way to minimize such interrelations.

There could be questions regarding how much fuck you status any guy/gal/family who is engaged in farming really has.. depending on how you set up your farming operations.. and for sure, the last time I checked, land was not very mobile, either..

It's like when there were all kinds of battles between employers and workers in the 90s, even though the manufacturers would say, we will just move to Mexico.. blah blah blah.. Hotel owners were not credibly able to make those kinds of threats... of course, all industries have their levels of complications and limitations, and surely fuck you status would not necessarily mean that you gotta leave your industry or line of work because sometimes work can be structured in ways in which you have more freedom and control by being an owner versus a worker.. so even though we do frequently consider fuck you status in terms of giving up your job.. from a workers perspective, fuck you status is likely not just about what job you have or obligations you have, but maybe your options and whether you feel that you have a certain amount of freedom with your time.. even perhaps within balancing obligations that you have (too many obligations or not?).

^^^ (when I login, I don't see this..whatever this is)

It is funny how you always make these conjectures without actually knowing anything about me.
Contrary to you, who at various times said that you own 0.63 btc and and other times said that you are "rich as f-k", I maintain my bitcoin account details private.
ad astra per aspera

 I think you took him out of context.  When he said "rich as f-k", he was talking his vocabulary; his literal book.

+1  WO merit

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/culture/1-million-bitcoin-price-billionaire

Quote
However for Balaji it appears that there is another, perhaps more fascinating flippening that will come soon - the flippening of billionaires. He says that when bitcoin hits milestones like $100,000, there will be as many bitcoin billionaires as there are traditional billionaires. When bitcoin hits one million dollars, the world’s bitcoin and crypto billionaires will surpass the number of traditional billionaires.

This assumes that those holding continue to hold. Part of the process of growth is that new people come onboard and holders divest some of theirs to live the lifestyle they've earned.

There will still be plenty of billionaires, no doubt but I would suggest far fewer than he's expecting.

I am not really disagreeing with anything that you are asserting here, richy.. except perhaps a kind of implication that you seem to be making that seems to have a kind of presumption that the rich bitcoiners are likely to have some inherent weaknesses in being able to HODL.

I might be just arguing (if we might label it as that) with you about your way of phrasing the matter. Of course, with rising BTC prices, we are going to end up getting sales and even more BTC distribution, but I really doubt that BTC HODLers are going to be especially weak or even weak enough to really negate the overall idea in regards to a whole fuck of a lot of wealth transferring taking place from traditional wealth to bitcoin wealth.. so sure there might be some devils in the details.. and that might be getting caught up in the weeds... when the overall main point is likely true in terms of the actual ongoing BIG ASSedly wealth transfer that is in progress and likely to continue to be in progress whether peeps want to recognize and appreciate the magnitude of such ongoing wealth transfer or not.  In other words, you better get some bitcoin in case it catches on.    Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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+1  WO merit

   Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

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August 28, 2021, 06:13:42 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1), nutildah (1)

From Wikipedia (Cuba). Smiley

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August 28, 2021, 06:28:32 PM


Yes...

I know copycats come in all shapes, colors, stripes and sizes.. .

Go try to figure that one out, toxicmoxic?  if you can? #nohomo
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