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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 25489810 times)
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Hueristic
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September 12, 2021, 04:08:54 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (4)




2 different pic’s of the same location

Perfect location where El D. Takes his quiet times and while BTC doing it’s thing….

So peaceful in here ….

But where is it….

I fully expect homer to see a fin in that river, identify the mutated variant of the color scheme on its scales and nail your exact location by the reflections off said scales! Cheesy

My Guess is middle earth.



Edit:
Nice get fillippone!
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September 12, 2021, 05:01:26 PM


Explanation
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September 12, 2021, 05:08:26 PM
Merited by Hueristic (1)

.....
I just looked in my directory trying to figure out if I could call "bitcoin" directly, and since I did not find a listing, I looked under king daddy, honey badger, satoshi nakamoto, and lillie fiend.. still no luck.  

Personally, I cannot find any way to get in touch with bitcoin or any of the pseudonyms that I can think of to make a request for UPpity.  

Probably there is someone better connected than me.. perhaps?  perhaps?  

....


Perhaps your lil selfie should make a callening to the BBB?   (Better Bitcoin Bureau).....Surely?

Great idea sirazmuth.

You may well want to make a song, poem or coin about our mutual quest: "searching for bitcoin"  - or perhaps some other fitting title.. but you know that nearly no matter what you do (unless you happen to be spoiled brat homer), you are going to get criticized for it.   Cheesy  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy


[edited out]

Sooo...
What do you figure the chances of Bitcoin ever going below $50k again after January?
I think like 2%..

I think the risk/reward between now and the end of the year is... Outrageous..

Selling now? Hahahahahaha.. No..

It's likely to be way higher than 2% - absent certain scenarios playing out.. (like BTC going to supra $350k in that timeline and also in that regard, it is going to take a while for either the 208-week moving average or even the higher 104-week to get above $50k.. gosh will either of them be over $50k by February 2022..? perhaps the 104-week moving average will get to higher than $50k by February 2022.. but high doubts about the 208-week moving average to get to those kinds of BTC price thresholds within that timeline.

In other words, how can we have much if any clue about attempting to assign a probability value to the next leg, if we do not know how the preceding leg plays out... and how far and how fast (including how many coins are traded) affects how the 208-week moving average and the 104-week moving averages gravitate UP to higher and higher prices (bottom prices).

I had already made various probability assignments regarding what I had thought that the tops of various upside possibilities could be for this cycle  (references to a couple of those threads of thoughts about possible upside scenarios here 1 and here 2), but I also had not put a specific timeline on when the top of this cycle would be reached.... except for asserting that I thought that the cycle could play out anytime between this quarter and the third quarter of 2022.. of course, the more aspects of price that you attempt to assign, whether amount of top or when it is likely to happen creates lower and lower levels of probabilities of certainty .. so I have some troubles attempting to be too specific.. even though I do not tend to have problems with others who seem to be overly specific, and I have even more problems if they want to argue about being certain about their supposed specific scenarios.

Once one of the scenarios plays out (in terms of BTC price moves in the next 4-5 months) then we can be more realistic in assigning probabilities to various downsides scenarios.  Of course, right now as I type this post, our extreme bottoms (for this particular time) are still something like $22,800 (based on 104-week moving average) if presuming a bull market and something like $15,200 (based on 208-week moving average)if presuming a bear market.. so I am not even really seeing either of those bottom numbers crossing over $50k soon.. the bottom numbers move up relatively slowly, and over course, each of those bottom number indicators move up in more steep curves when the actual BTC price goes higher and goes up with volume and is sustained UP.  They are both lagging indicators, but seem to be pretty damned good when trying to assess where extreme BTC price bottoms are currently (as typing) or where BTC price bottoms might realistically be going in the future - whether projecting out 4-5 months or even attempting to project bottoms a year to 4 years out from now.
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September 12, 2021, 05:15:55 PM


anoniem foto versturen

4km from where I was

This is a touristic place …

 There are so many beautiful places that most of us would never see.  I honestly appreciate the photos you share.  

Thx xhomerx and indeed there are a lot of beautiful places, even in Belgium Ardennes we have some very very nice green spots...
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September 12, 2021, 05:16:54 PM

Nothing to say about bitcoin apart from two factoids:
1. Something is not right in Strike (J. Mallers) and El Salvador cooperation.
2. We are getting close to 40% dominance (coming down from 72 on Jan 2).
https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CRYPTOCAP-BTC.D/

Some might find it insignificant, but to me it either a turn around within 5 points or a multi-polar (multichain ) world where PTB would be gunning their "favorite" chains to ridiculous levels from time to time and bitcoin settles at where gold settled (15% of the stock market, roughly). A big player (and bigger than any other), but not a majority (>50%) chain.
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September 12, 2021, 05:17:24 PM

@jjg...I suspend my assertion that you are a bot.
Clearly, just a nincompoop humanoid.
This would be too difficult to program, maybe.
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September 12, 2021, 05:30:33 PM

Nothing to say about bitcoin apart from two factoids:
1. Something is not right in Strike (J. Mallers) and El Salvador cooperation.
2. We are getting close to 40% dominance (coming down from 72 on Jan 2).
https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CRYPTOCAP-BTC.D/

Some might find it insignificant, but to me it either a turn around within 5 points or a multi-polar (multichain ) world where PTB would be gunning their "favorite" chains to ridiculous levels from time to time and bitcoin settles at where gold settled (15% of the stock market, roughly). A big player (and bigger than any other), but not a majority (>50%) chain.

Oh gawd.. you come out with some weird shit, sometimes... which likely continues to show why you fail/refuse to adequately invest in bitcoin currently, and likely helps to explain why you have also historically failed/refuse to adequately invest in bitcoin...

 Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes



and partly explains why you be so whiney butthurt grumpening so much of dee time.

 Tongue Tongue Tongue

@jjg...I suspend my assertion that you are a bot.
Clearly, just a nincompoop humanoid.
This would be too difficult to program, maybe.

I am glad that you are capable of changing your mind maybe sometimes based on maybe new facts that you might perceive.
 Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

 Tongue Tongue Tongue
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September 12, 2021, 05:47:40 PM
Last edit: September 12, 2021, 09:58:37 PM by Biodom

Alts ate bitcoin's lunch for the last 9 mo and now getting to eat our dinner.
That's the main lesson vis-à-vis bitcoin in 2021 (so far).

If you forfeited investment in good alts, you lost a big chunk of this bull appreciation.
I know a couple (of mid and large cap) which did 100X in 2021 alone.
That's life-changing numbers if you were aggressive enough and took profits about now or in May (for some).

Pantera's Capital D. Morehead was right about this-kudos to him.
Maybe I should invest some in his projects...perhaps, not now, but during the bear phase when prices would be lower.

However, if we will continue to meager at 46-50K until the end of September, I might consider buying Dec or March out of the money call options on btc or maybe even a bit of a leveraged bet instead (not 80X, of course).

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September 12, 2021, 06:01:35 PM


Explanation
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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September 12, 2021, 06:40:13 PM

Selling now? Hahahahahaha.. No..

sell? lmao hell no and the only reason i stopped buying atm is in case it goes down further i can grab me some moar corn even cheaper.
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September 12, 2021, 07:01:26 PM


Explanation
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September 12, 2021, 07:06:15 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (7), vapourminer (2), JayJuanGee (2), jojo69 (1)


Pale blue trace = 100 week geometric mean of bitcoin’s price


Slide the geomean 150 weeks up its trend line


Performing a mean is similar in principle to integration, which puts you a quarter cycle out of phase. Sliding the geomean three quarters of a cycle (a little less than three years) puts it back in phase and gives you a rough extrapolation of support for bitcoin price’s historic response to the halvings, which follows a step function.



zooming in, projected support

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September 12, 2021, 07:23:52 PM

Alts ate bitcoin's lunch for the the last 9 mo and now getting to eat our dinner.
That's the main lesson vis-à-vis bitcoin in 2021 (so far).

Yes.. of course. Showing your dweebness and inability to stay on topic.



If you forfeited investment in good alts, you lost a big chunk of this bull appreciation.

You are likely close to retarded.. .or at least showing it.

Any investment into any asset needs to account for upside and downside potential.  The mere fact that some risky pump and dump scams happen to outperform bitcoin on some short-terms scale selected by uie-pooie does not cause them to be a good (or better than bitcoin) investment.

I know a couple (of mid and large cap) which did 100X in 2021 alone.
That's life-changing numbers if you were aggressive enough and took profits about now or in May (for some).

Is that what you did?  Is that why you are inadequately or under-allocated to bitcoin, relatively speaking?

Pantera's Capital D. Morehead was right about this-kudos to him.
Maybe I should invest some in his projects...perhaps, not now, but during the bear phase when prices would be lower.

Maybe you should take your brainstormening unresolved ponderenings to some other thread where they might be potentially quasi-relevant?

However, if we will continue to meager at 46-50K until the end of September, I might consider buying Dec or March out of the money call options on btc or maybe even a bit of a leveraged bet instead (not 80X, of course).

You sound a wee bit distracted, but whatever, you do you.

Selling now? Hahahahahaha.. No..

sell? lmao hell no and the only reason i stopped buying atm is in case it goes down further i can grab me some moar corn even cheaper.

None of us longer timers should be completely out of fiat - or at least if we might be ready, willing and able to attempt to play the BIGGER BTC price swings.

Yet, we know some guys (and gal) who are even worried about attempting to play BIGGER BTC price swings.. so I am not going to personally fault them for that... especially if they are already pretty decently allocated in BTC (possibly over-allocated too, if there could be such a thing?  hahahahaha)

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September 12, 2021, 08:01:25 PM


Explanation
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September 12, 2021, 08:10:00 PM
Last edit: September 12, 2021, 08:24:45 PM by Biodom

Q: can @jjg get moar stupenings per sq meter of the posting space?
A: yes, he/she can

Someone is consumed by emotions..unable to recognize a simple fact that bitcoin returns THIS year suck big time, but it might change starting in October.
Dominance decline (with no reversal) surely indicates a multi polar world where bitcoin is just one big actor.
As long as bitcoin stays above 50%, there is always a chance that other projects functionality would be folded into bitcoin.
At 40%-still a small chance, at 35% almost no chance and at 30%-no chance.

It is what it is, and I still have much more than 40.7% allocated to bitcoin (more like slightly below 60%) so you can call me "overweight" in bitcoin, but I am not going to sit idly twisting my thumbs and doing retarded sell outs-sell ins (in and out of fiat) which some people here are proposing.
In fact, @jjg probably cost many millions in lost opportunity to those who listened to his/her diatribes in the last 9-10 mo or so.

If all alts suddenly collapse, that would be even better still since the majority of my cryptocurrencies (or maybe you like to call them "virtual currencies", lol) are in bitcoin and my cost in btc and alts (aka "shitcoins") is now below ZERO. I am playing essentially with the house money....for the win.
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September 12, 2021, 09:01:35 PM


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September 12, 2021, 09:09:17 PM

Soon-ish HODLsleep

Imo the time to crack the 50k nut again has arrived ….
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September 12, 2021, 09:13:51 PM
Last edit: September 12, 2021, 09:23:53 PM by sirazimuth

.....

From Google:



Only thing missing is those happy family type folks gathering up the wild fruit in a basket in the foreground with a "GODS KINGDOM" splashed across the bottom.

Btw, did I tell you wo bros I subscribe to "The Watchtower" magazine?*  Not sure if they accept bitcoin in heaven however.....

GO BITCOIN




*I didn't? Oh ok, well that's because I don't.....but yawl probably guessed that already...
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September 12, 2021, 09:32:24 PM
Merited by OutOfMemory (1)

Bart is back I see.
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Infographics save lives


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September 12, 2021, 09:36:21 PM
Last edit: September 12, 2021, 10:23:49 PM by Zedpastin
Merited by JayJuanGee (3), vapourminer (1), JimboToronto (1)

Alts ate bitcoin's lunch for the the last 9 mo and now getting to eat our dinner.
That's the main lesson vis-à-vis bitcoin in 2021 (so far).

If you forfeited investment in good alts, you lost a big chunk of this bull appreciation.
I know a couple (of mid and large cap) which did 100X in 2021 alone.
That's life-changing numbers if you were aggressive enough and took profits about now or in May (for some).

Pantera's Capital D. Morehead was right about this-kudos to him.
Maybe I should invest some in his projects...perhaps, not now, but during the bear phase when prices would be lower.

However, if we will continue to meager at 46-50K until the end of September, I might consider buying Dec or March out of the money call options on btc or maybe even a bit of a leveraged bet instead (not 80X, of course).


What are you talking about? how did altcoins 'eat Bitcoin for lunch' what altcoins are you talking about? Altcoins are shit coins and if you think that any altcoin can out perform Bitcoin then you are wrong. Even if you can show me evidence that altcoins have out performed Bitcoin in the last couple of months then my argument back would be that you are nitpicking a short term to try prove and influence the data. How much are your beloved altcoins worth? How much is Bitcoin worth? The only fair way of comparing investing in altcoins vs Bitcoin would be to compare how many years they have been here and then take the entire data from that time period and compare it to the 1st x years of Bitcoin. You will see that Bitcoin outperforms every single one of them. Bitcoin will then out perform every one of them in the future too. How do I know this? because I am basing it on long term data instead of your nitpicked data. Bitcoin has proven every time it has been doubted that it is the best investment out there in the world. Better than stocks and better than any property you could ever build.
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