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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26367641 times)
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nioc
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May 20, 2016, 02:22:08 PM

Going to my local store to buy some btc.  Be right back.
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TooDumbForBitcoin
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May 20, 2016, 02:26:14 PM

The halving is soon, the sensible prediction would be sideways 'ish' for a month or three. Then when the halving has had an effect we'll go to around $550-600 at least.

I guess it's possible a few whales could manipulate the price by selling a load of coins to crash the price pre halving & then buy back in before the predicted halving related rise.

Aside from that I haven't seen anything really negative that'd cause a sizeable drop.

Anybody else agree?

The halving is already priced in. Everyone knows about it, miners are prepared, it's not like it's gonna sneak up on them and shoot the price up. All the coins are already priced in. The only thing not priced in is any changes. 

Also the bollinger bands, just because the bands are tight right now doesn't mean we're going up. We can also go down, but last time the bands were this tight, we went sideways for some time.

That's the great thing about BB compared to other TA.  With BB you know only one of three things can happen.
Hyperjacked
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May 20, 2016, 02:29:28 PM


yes sir! Thanks for the heads up... Grin

good times ahead...cheers m8
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May 20, 2016, 02:29:58 PM

Newsflash: Blockstream getting bought out by DAO, Bitcoin to turn into ETH sidechain.

https://www.reddit.com/r/TheDao/comments/4k07vs/we_should_just_purchase_blockstream_outright_and/

Bullish?
jbreher
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May 20, 2016, 03:09:24 PM

With BB you know only one of three things can happen.

1) Price gonna up
2) Price gonna down
3) Price gonna sideways









(?)
Torque
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May 20, 2016, 03:29:13 PM

If the Bitcoin exchange rate roughly doubles every 3 years due to halving (and mining hashrate rises in lockstep) and continues to do so for the next two decades, then its ROI rate will literally spank *every* other known investment in the world today that's been around for at least 7+ years or longer.

But of course the 'get rich quick' crowd won't or refuse to believe it, and will gladly part ways with their money on other scams and too-good-to-be-true "investments".

They will lose. Badly.
SomaliRebel
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May 20, 2016, 03:38:53 PM

If the Bitcoin exchange rate roughly doubles every 3 years due to halving (and hashrate rises in lockstep) and continues to do so for the next two decades, then its ROI rate will literally spank *every* other known investment in the world today that's been around for at least 7+ years or longer.

But of course the 'get rich quick' crowd won't or refuse to believe it, and will gladly part ways with their money on other scams and too-good-to-be-true "investments".

Conversely, if ETH exchange rate ...goes up by 1600%, what's the word I'm looking for? watevs, if ETH exchange rate increases roughly 16-fold every 5 months, and continues to do so for the next two decades, then its ROI rate will literally spank *every* other known investment in the world today that's been around for at least 7+ years or longer.

My stupid hypothetical more profitable than your stupid hypothetical. I win. brb, ether.
Torque
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May 20, 2016, 03:43:40 PM

If the Bitcoin exchange rate roughly doubles every 3 years due to halving (and hashrate rises in lockstep) and continues to do so for the next two decades, then its ROI rate will literally spank *every* other known investment in the world today that's been around for at least 7+ years or longer.

But of course the 'get rich quick' crowd won't or refuse to believe it, and will gladly part ways with their money on other scams and too-good-to-be-true "investments".

Conversely, if ETH exchange rate ...goes up by 1600%, what's the word I'm looking for? watevs, if ETH exchange rate increases roughly 16-fold every 5 months, and continues to do so for the next two decades, then its ROI rate will literally spank *every* other known investment in the world today that's been around for at least 7+ years or longer.

My stupid hypothetical more profitable than your stupid hypothetical. I win. brb, ether.

ETH hasn't been around for 7+ years yet. In fact let's talk in just 12 months, when I'm sure the ETH price will be MUCH MUCH lower than it is right now.  Many orders of magnitude lower in fact.  Because ETH = SCAM.

And ETH isn't even mined, it's premined crap. So no mining support. At all.  Soon to be cast in the waste bin along with the others (i.e., NXT, Ripple, etc.)
nioc
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May 20, 2016, 03:45:26 PM

Going to my local store to buy some btc.  Be right back.

In case anybody is wondering this is real.

They sent it with a fee of 0.0000678 BTC which was not enough for it to be included in the next block.  I guess people are actually using this bitcoin thing.
adamstgBit
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May 20, 2016, 03:47:16 PM

Going to my local store to buy some btc.  Be right back.

In case anybody is wondering this is real.

They sent it with a fee of 0.0000678 BTC which was not enough for it to be included in the next block.  I guess people are actually using this bitcoin thing.

wait what
you can buy bitcoins from your "local store"
what store?
you sure you aren't buying a "money gram" which you later convert to BTC on the net or some shit?
is the exchange rate any good?
MingLee
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May 20, 2016, 03:50:28 PM

If the Bitcoin exchange rate roughly doubles every 3 years due to halving (and hashrate rises in lockstep) and continues to do so for the next two decades, then its ROI rate will literally spank *every* other known investment in the world today that's been around for at least 7+ years or longer.

But of course the 'get rich quick' crowd won't or refuse to believe it, and will gladly part ways with their money on other scams and too-good-to-be-true "investments".

Conversely, if ETH exchange rate ...goes up by 1600%, what's the word I'm looking for? watevs, if ETH exchange rate increases roughly 16-fold every 5 months, and continues to do so for the next two decades, then its ROI rate will literally spank *every* other known investment in the world today that's been around for at least 7+ years or longer.

My stupid hypothetical more profitable than your stupid hypothetical. I win. brb, ether.

ETH hasn't been around for 7+ years yet. In fact let's talk in just 12 months, when I'm sure the ETH price will be MUCH MUCH lower than it is right now.  Many orders of magnitude lower in fact.  Because ETH = SCAM.

And ETH isn't even mined, it's premined crap. So no mining support. At all.
Well the entire "support" system for it revolves around making applications for it (and I think there's a bit of mining involved at some point in the production chain), so it primarily benefits coders and people who can develop applications. Anyone else who is interested isn't able to get very far because of this.

ETH only spiked in value because there was a movement with Bitcoin we'll see it as a secondary currency investors will move to in the event of dips with Bitcoin, but it will never reach the point of being a legitimate rival to Bitcoin, primarily because it is driven entirely through speculation and not through actual application.
SomaliRebel
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May 20, 2016, 03:52:12 PM

If the Bitcoin exchange rate roughly doubles every 3 years due to halving (and hashrate rises in lockstep) and continues to do so for the next two decades, then its ROI rate will literally spank *every* other known investment in the world today that's been around for at least 7+ years or longer.

But of course the 'get rich quick' crowd won't or refuse to believe it, and will gladly part ways with their money on other scams and too-good-to-be-true "investments".

Conversely, if ETH exchange rate ...goes up by 1600%, what's the word I'm looking for? watevs, if ETH exchange rate increases roughly 16-fold every 5 months, and continues to do so for the next two decades, then its ROI rate will literally spank *every* other known investment in the world today that's been around for at least 7+ years or longer.

My stupid hypothetical more profitable than your stupid hypothetical. I win. brb, ether.

ETH hasn't been around for 7+ years yet. In fact let's talk in just 12 months, when I'm sure the ETH price will be MUCH MUCH lower than it is right now.  Many orders of magnitude lower in fact.  Because ETH = SCAM.

No, ETH hasn't been around for 7 years, what's your point?
Not sure where you get the "roughly doubling every 3 years." In the first three years, BTC price has gone up by roughly infinity, as it does with all cryptos.  In the following three, price went up to $1200, fell back to ~160, and recovered to 440 where it is now.
So "roughly doubles every 3 years"? Explain that shit.

Re. your edit:
>And ETH isn't even mined, it's premined crap. So no mining support.
You mean we don't have to burn progressively bigger mountains of Chinese coal when ETH price goes up? And don't have to worry about devs making backroom deals with the 5-9 people controlling 90% of the hashpower?
Whatever will we do ?! Shocked
adamstgBit
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May 20, 2016, 03:54:31 PM

If the Bitcoin exchange rate roughly doubles every 3 years due to halving (and hashrate rises in lockstep) and continues to do so for the next two decades, then its ROI rate will literally spank *every* other known investment in the world today that's been around for at least 7+ years or longer.

But of course the 'get rich quick' crowd won't or refuse to believe it, and will gladly part ways with their money on other scams and too-good-to-be-true "investments".

Conversely, if ETH exchange rate ...goes up by 1600%, what's the word I'm looking for? watevs, if ETH exchange rate increases roughly 16-fold every 5 months, and continues to do so for the next two decades, then its ROI rate will literally spank *every* other known investment in the world today that's been around for at least 7+ years or longer.

My stupid hypothetical more profitable than your stupid hypothetical. I win. brb, ether.

ETH hasn't been around for 7+ years yet. In fact let's talk in just 12 months, when I'm sure the ETH price will be MUCH MUCH lower than it is right now.  Many orders of magnitude lower in fact.  Because ETH = SCAM.

No, ETH hasn't been around for 7 years, what's your point?
Not sure where you get the "roughly doubling every 3 years." In the first three years, BTC price has gone up by roughly infinity, as it does with all cryptos.  In the following three, price went up to $1200, fell back to ~160, and recovered to 440 where it is now.
So "roughly doubles every 3 years"? Explain that shit.

it appears to roughly 10X every 3 years  Cheesy

this time its different
this time its going to 100X

32,000$
nioc
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May 20, 2016, 03:57:26 PM

Going to my local store to buy some btc.  Be right back.

In case anybody is wondering this is real.

They sent it with a fee of 0.0000678 BTC which was not enough for it to be included in the next block.  I guess people are actually using this bitcoin thing.

wait what
you can buy bitcoins from your "local store"
what store?
you sure you aren't buying a "money gram" which you later convert to BTC on the net or some shit?
is the exchange rate any good?

Appropriately a drug store (pharmacy) but it's mostly at stores that service cell phones.  Rate is ~1/2% high plus 1% fee.  Much better than an ATM.  Hell Coinbase charges 1% when they deduct directly from your bank account and Circle with "no fees" has a worse bottom line rate.
SomaliRebel
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May 20, 2016, 04:02:51 PM

If the Bitcoin exchange rate roughly doubles every 3 years due to halving (and hashrate rises in lockstep) and continues to do so for the next two decades, then its ROI rate will literally spank *every* other known investment in the world today that's been around for at least 7+ years or longer.

But of course the 'get rich quick' crowd won't or refuse to believe it, and will gladly part ways with their money on other scams and too-good-to-be-true "investments".

Conversely, if ETH exchange rate ...goes up by 1600%, what's the word I'm looking for? watevs, if ETH exchange rate increases roughly 16-fold every 5 months, and continues to do so for the next two decades, then its ROI rate will literally spank *every* other known investment in the world today that's been around for at least 7+ years or longer.

My stupid hypothetical more profitable than your stupid hypothetical. I win. brb, ether.

ETH hasn't been around for 7+ years yet. In fact let's talk in just 12 months, when I'm sure the ETH price will be MUCH MUCH lower than it is right now.  Many orders of magnitude lower in fact.  Because ETH = SCAM.

No, ETH hasn't been around for 7 years, what's your point?
Not sure where you get the "roughly doubling every 3 years." In the first three years, BTC price has gone up by roughly infinity, as it does with all cryptos.  In the following three, price went up to $1200, fell back to ~160, and recovered to 440 where it is now.
So "roughly doubles every 3 years"? Explain that shit.

it appears to roughly 10X every 3 years  Cheesy

this time its different
this time its going to 100X

32,000$

Actually no, it appears roughly infinityX every three years. No amount of shitty performance after the initial infinity% rise from zero will make the average anything less than infinity.
Now if you wanna look at how much worse (than infinity) each consecutive 3-year rise was, otoh ...actually, don't. Shit's depressing enough as it is.
adamstgBit
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May 20, 2016, 04:04:42 PM

Going to my local store to buy some btc.  Be right back.

In case anybody is wondering this is real.

They sent it with a fee of 0.0000678 BTC which was not enough for it to be included in the next block.  I guess people are actually using this bitcoin thing.

wait what
you can buy bitcoins from your "local store"
what store?
you sure you aren't buying a "money gram" which you later convert to BTC on the net or some shit?
is the exchange rate any good?

Appropriately a drug store (pharmacy) but it's mostly at stores that service cell phones.  Rate is ~1/2% high plus 1% fee.  Much better than an ATM.  Hell Coinbase charges 1% when they deduct directly from your bank account and Circle with "no fees" has a worse bottom line rate.
that sounds like a pretty Fing good rate for obtaining bitcoin on the spot.
adamstgBit
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May 20, 2016, 04:06:21 PM

If the Bitcoin exchange rate roughly doubles every 3 years due to halving (and hashrate rises in lockstep) and continues to do so for the next two decades, then its ROI rate will literally spank *every* other known investment in the world today that's been around for at least 7+ years or longer.

But of course the 'get rich quick' crowd won't or refuse to believe it, and will gladly part ways with their money on other scams and too-good-to-be-true "investments".

Conversely, if ETH exchange rate ...goes up by 1600%, what's the word I'm looking for? watevs, if ETH exchange rate increases roughly 16-fold every 5 months, and continues to do so for the next two decades, then its ROI rate will literally spank *every* other known investment in the world today that's been around for at least 7+ years or longer.

My stupid hypothetical more profitable than your stupid hypothetical. I win. brb, ether.

ETH hasn't been around for 7+ years yet. In fact let's talk in just 12 months, when I'm sure the ETH price will be MUCH MUCH lower than it is right now.  Many orders of magnitude lower in fact.  Because ETH = SCAM.

No, ETH hasn't been around for 7 years, what's your point?
Not sure where you get the "roughly doubling every 3 years." In the first three years, BTC price has gone up by roughly infinity, as it does with all cryptos.  In the following three, price went up to $1200, fell back to ~160, and recovered to 440 where it is now.
So "roughly doubles every 3 years"? Explain that shit.

it appears to roughly 10X every 3 years  Cheesy

this time its different
this time its going to 100X

32,000$

Actually no, it appears roughly infinityX every three years. No amount of shitty performance after the initial infinity% rise from zero will make the average anything less than infinity.
Now if you wanna look at how much worse (than infinity) each consecutive 3-year rise was, otoh ...actually, don't. Shit's depressing enough as it is.

that's a really unfair and misleading way to look at it...
SomaliRebel
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May 20, 2016, 04:10:35 PM

that's a really unfair and misleading way way to look at it...

Life is unfair, Buttercup.
That said, please buy bitcoins immediately at your local pharmacy, must form massive buy wall @440, which is currently being tested.
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May 20, 2016, 04:17:26 PM

http://www.economist.com/news/science-and-technology/21699099-blockchain-technology-could-improve-reliability-medical-trials-better
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May 20, 2016, 05:00:03 PM

The market looks quite "natural" recently.
There's not so much volatility if we compare last months with previous ones.
But calm sea waters may change rapidly as we all know.


This website is pretty decent for checking bitcoin's volatility as compared with the dollar, and currently volatility is quite down... .. yet I agree, a spike in volatility is possible to occur really quickly...


https://btcvol.info/
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