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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 17976463 times)
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cmacwiz
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April 21, 2017, 06:39:15 PM

Happy days, the price is creeping up. Whilst nothing overly exciting (long term) a successful assault on $1300 would feel good.

As for BFX, they've had so many problems over the last year or two. I have no idea why people were still willing to leave bitcoin's or USD there. So many warnings but people continued to use them. Fuckinh stupid if you ask me.

Interestingly, bitfinex's determination to fix their problems (bfx tokens) makes them come across as honestly trying. Why would an exchange suddenly act maliciously and fleece everybody, when they have worked hard to make up for their past technical and financial issues? Then again, Gox had (and tried to fix?) problems before the big heist.

When you play with fire, you can get burnt. You can also cook a great steak.
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April 21, 2017, 06:51:42 PM

Happy days, the price is creeping up. Whilst nothing overly exciting (long term) a successful assault on $1300 would feel good.

As for BFX, they've had so many problems over the last year or two. I have no idea why people were still willing to leave bitcoin's or USD there. So many warnings but people continued to use them. Fuckinh stupid if you ask me.

Interestingly, bitfinex's determination to fix their problems (bfx tokens) makes them come across as honestly trying. Why would an exchange suddenly act maliciously and fleece everybody, when they have worked hard to make up for their past technical and financial issues? Then again, Gox had (and tried to fix?) problems before the big heist.

When you play with fire, you can get burnt. You can also cook a great steak.


I have been pondering this a bit too.

My dollar situation on Bitfinex is a bit strange.

In August 2016, just like everyone else who held value on Bitfinex, about 36% of my value on Bitfinex was socialized into BFX tokens, and over about 7 months those BFX tokens were slowly reimbursed.. maybe around 10% of them were reimbursed into dollars between September 2016 and March 2017, even though bitcoin prices doubled during that time.

So, yeah there ended up being opportunity costs to have had value tied up in BFX tokens, but then April 3, Bitfinex reimbursed 100% of all of the then outstanding BFX tokens, which caused my account to have a larger percentage of dollars in the account.

Thereafter, when the bank account drama developed and therefore BTC price disparities, it became less feasible to buy bitcoins with dollars on Bitfinex because the price of bitcoins on Bitfinex turned into about a 5-8% premium.

And, again the price disparity that conveniently came after they had redeemed all BFX tokens seems like another opportunity for insiders on Bitfinex to game the system.

Sure, I don't really want to read malice into coincidences and/or incompetence, but sometimes the longer that the disparity exists, the more opportunities seem to exist for insiders to exploit and make appearances as one thing when other things are going on (isn't that smoke and mirrors?).
 
I guess that I am saying that the situation can become a bit more irritating, when you might hold value there and then you recognize these little ways in which your value is potentially being undermined and/or manipulated in ways that are really difficult to prove.

Again, I am not really much of any kind of conspiracist, but these coincidental disparities continue to cause concerns.

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April 21, 2017, 07:01:38 PM

I was just saying that when there's growth this quick with no serious positive events to cause it, it's reasonable to think that at the very least there will be a serious correction before it keeps moving forward.

I don't see Bitcoin's recent growth as being quick. I see it as slow and fairly steady.

It's been correcting itself as it goes along. Today is a good example. After breaking $1250 it pulled back $10.

I also don't think it needs any reason for growth other than the natural continued adoption worldwide and the pre-planned scarcity that was programmed into it.

Bitcoin is neither over-bought nor overvalued. If anything it is oversold due to the fiat transfer crisis at Finex leading to the dumping of coins on other exchanges
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April 21, 2017, 07:04:45 PM

Wall spotted, BitStamp. 1k bid at spot.


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April 21, 2017, 07:36:08 PM

This is very weird.

It's the first time that, being so close to ATH, the thread is not full of rocket pictures and moon posts... In fact, I haven't seen any.

Bullish?

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bartolo
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April 21, 2017, 07:37:21 PM

I think that bitcoin is simply walking the way it went going before rumors about the possible hardfork stopped its scale for some time.
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the next 5 years are critical.


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April 21, 2017, 07:40:46 PM

This is very weird.

It's the first time that, being so close to ATH, the thread is not full of rocket pictures and moon posts... In fact, I haven't seen any.

Bullish?

Its a really good development. Everytime we post rockets here it caused bad luck and we crashed. Dont post any rockets or we are doomed

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April 21, 2017, 08:09:58 PM

This is very weird.

It's the first time that, being so close to ATH, the thread is not full of rocket pictures and moon posts... In fact, I haven't seen any.

Bullish?


Well it seems people are getting used to that price level. Cheesy
For pictures of rocket launches or bitcoin heading moon I think we will need a new ATH or some short crazy upwards spike!

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the next 5 years are critical.


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April 21, 2017, 08:20:30 PM

This is very weird.

It's the first time that, being so close to ATH, the thread is not full of rocket pictures and moon posts... In fact, I haven't seen any.

Bullish?


Well it seems people are getting used to that price level. Cheesy
For pictures of rocket launches or bitcoin heading moon I think we will need a new ATH or some short crazy upwards spike!

Anyway I posted this yesterday tho  Cheesy

I want to believe



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becoin
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April 21, 2017, 08:21:21 PM

could be bitfinex a new mtgox pump?

I don't see any pump yet.

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April 21, 2017, 09:00:27 PM

could be bitfinex a new mtgox pump?

I don't see any pump yet.
Currently, the price on Bitfinex is 1323 USD.  The price on Bitstamp is 1242 USD and the price on BTC-E is 1235 USD, even though BTC-E is having problems with fiat deposits as well.

There's a huge pump already, and it's only going to get bigger.

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April 21, 2017, 09:02:51 PM

Currently, the price on Bitfinex is 1323 USD.  The price on Bitstamp is 1242 USD and the price on BTC-E is 1235 USD, even though BTC-E is having problems with fiat deposits as well.

There's a huge pump already, and it's only going to get bigger.

that's not a pump. that's the symptom of exchange dysfunction.

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April 21, 2017, 09:16:07 PM

For the love of Adam, please Bitfinex get to $1337 before you pull back.

(I speculate that is hopefully the moment we will see our OP back in it's true form)

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cmacwiz
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April 21, 2017, 09:26:54 PM

Happy days, the price is creeping up. Whilst nothing overly exciting (long term) a successful assault on $1300 would feel good.

As for BFX, they've had so many problems over the last year or two. I have no idea why people were still willing to leave bitcoin's or USD there. So many warnings but people continued to use them. Fuckinh stupid if you ask me.

Interestingly, bitfinex's determination to fix their problems (bfx tokens) makes them come across as honestly trying. Why would an exchange suddenly act maliciously and fleece everybody, when they have worked hard to make up for their past technical and financial issues? Then again, Gox had (and tried to fix?) problems before the big heist.

When you play with fire, you can get burnt. You can also cook a great steak.


I have been pondering this a bit too.

My dollar situation on Bitfinex is a bit strange.

In August 2016, just like everyone else who held value on Bitfinex, about 36% of my value on Bitfinex was socialized into BFX tokens, and over about 7 months those BFX tokens were slowly reimbursed.. maybe around 10% of them were reimbursed into dollars between September 2016 and March 2017, even though bitcoin prices doubled during that time.

So, yeah there ended up being opportunity costs to have had value tied up in BFX tokens, but then April 3, Bitfinex reimbursed 100% of all of the then outstanding BFX tokens, which caused my account to have a larger percentage of dollars in the account.

Thereafter, when the bank account drama developed and therefore BTC price disparities, it became less feasible to buy bitcoins with dollars on Bitfinex because the price of bitcoins on Bitfinex turned into about a 5-8% premium.

And, again the price disparity that conveniently came after they had redeemed all BFX tokens seems like another opportunity for insiders on Bitfinex to game the system.

Sure, I don't really want to read malice into coincidences and/or incompetence, but sometimes the longer that the disparity exists, the more opportunities seem to exist for insiders to exploit and make appearances as one thing when other things are going on (isn't that smoke and mirrors?).
 
I guess that I am saying that the situation can become a bit more irritating, when you might hold value there and then you recognize these little ways in which your value is potentially being undermined and/or manipulated in ways that are really difficult to prove.

Again, I am not really much of any kind of conspiracist, but these coincidental disparities continue to cause concerns.

As for bfx tokens, bitfinex could have taken a big hit if bitcoin crashed hard and stayed down, so it seems they were a bit fortunate in that regard.

Otherwise, it does seem like they make a mistake/oversight, and then go about a practical way of solving it that doesn't prioritize integrity. That is to say, they take no issue in exploiting a hairy circumstance that they incidentally created.

In the meantime, bitfinex users have only one hope:

"Swiper no swiping! Swiper no swiping! Swiper no swiping!"
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April 21, 2017, 09:34:02 PM

This is very weird.

It's the first time that, being so close to ATH, the thread is not full of rocket pictures and moon posts... In fact, I haven't seen any.

Bullish?


We're nowhere near an ATH. We're over $100 away.

Surely you're not counting Bitfinex. Their price means nothing. Haven't you been following the news about their bank transfer woes?
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April 21, 2017, 09:34:37 PM

could be bitfinex a new mtgox pump?

I don't see any pump yet.
Currently, the price on Bitfinex is 1323 USD.  The price on Bitstamp is 1242 USD and the price on BTC-E is 1235 USD, even though BTC-E is having problems with fiat deposits as well.

There's a huge pump already, and it's only going to get bigger.

That is only 6% price differential. That can hardly be described as a new mtgox pump.

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April 21, 2017, 09:48:01 PM

[edited out]

As for bfx tokens, bitfinex could have taken a big hit if bitcoin crashed hard and stayed down, so it seems they were a bit fortunate in that regard.

Otherwise, it does seem like they make a mistake/oversight, and then go about a practical way of solving it that doesn't prioritize integrity. That is to say, they take no issue in exploiting a hairy circumstance that they incidentally created.

In the meantime, bitfinex users have only one hope:

"Swiper no swiping! Swiper no swiping! Swiper no swiping!"

I don't mind giving some benefit of the doubt to various exchange operators or even attempting to ascribe some incidentalness to whatever situation develops - yet you come off as giving way too much credence to them and also acting as if we really know what happened and what is happening. 

The world is much more complicated with a variety of players - and several Bitfinex insiders know a whole hell-of-a lot more than what they are sharing, and no doubt that there is a variety of risk, too, and sure it is much better for many of us that Bitfinex chose to socialize some of the risk (and loss) rather than to run off with bitcoins.. .but in the end, there are a variety of players and a variety of levels information, misinformation and spin - and at this point, we cannot really know the answers to some of the questions that you seem to assume.

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April 21, 2017, 10:11:20 PM


I don't mind giving some benefit of the doubt to various exchange operators or even attempting to ascribe some incidentalness to whatever situation develops - yet you come off as giving way too much credence to them and also acting as if we really know what happened and what is happening. 

The world is much more complicated with a variety of players - and several Bitfinex insiders know a whole hell-of-a lot more than what they are sharing, and no doubt that there is a variety of risk, too, and sure it is much better for many of us that Bitfinex chose to socialize some of the risk (and loss) rather than to run off with bitcoins.. .but in the end, there are a variety of players and a variety of levels information, misinformation and spin - and at this point, we cannot really know the answers to some of the questions that you seem to assume.

I am not giving the benefit of the doubt to bitfinex; I am confident that what their top notch PR squad says is not what is going on. This doesn't mean that the things could be incidental, then exploited. Hell, was Gox an accident?
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April 21, 2017, 10:17:13 PM


I don't mind giving some benefit of the doubt to various exchange operators or even attempting to ascribe some incidentalness to whatever situation develops - yet you come off as giving way too much credence to them and also acting as if we really know what happened and what is happening.  

The world is much more complicated with a variety of players - and several Bitfinex insiders know a whole hell-of-a lot more than what they are sharing, and no doubt that there is a variety of risk, too, and sure it is much better for many of us that Bitfinex chose to socialize some of the risk (and loss) rather than to run off with bitcoins.. .but in the end, there are a variety of players and a variety of levels information, misinformation and spin - and at this point, we cannot really know the answers to some of the questions that you seem to assume.

I am not giving the benefit of the doubt to bitfinex; I am confident that what their top notch PR squad says is not what is going on. This doesn't mean that the things could be incidental, then exploited. Hell, was Gox an accident?

Fair enough.

I may merely be quibbling regarding how you said something rather than what you said.

I think that we largely agree that there is likely a lot going on and sometimes what they say and what they do can have some variance, too.

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April 21, 2017, 10:38:52 PM

I didn't mean to imply that Bitcoin would fall so dramatically that it wouldn't recover, that it would fail or even that we're moving into a bear market.  I was just saying that when there's growth this quick with no serious positive events to cause it, it's reasonable to think that at the very least there will be a serious correction before it keeps moving forward.

One might argue that it isn't even reasonable that we're here, but here we are. If this rally can surpass the ATH, then we may see an extension into the 1600s or more.
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