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Question: Sept. 21 Closing Price:
$0 - 3 (3.8%)
<$8,000 - 4 (5%)
$8,000-$8,500 - 1 (1.3%)
$8,500-$9,000 - 1 (1.3%)
$9,000-$9,500 - 2 (2.5%)
$9,500-$10,000 - 5 (6.3%)
$10,000-$10,500 - 15 (18.8%)
$10,500-$11,000 - 15 (18.8%)
$11,000-$11,500 - 17 (21.3%)
$11,500-$12,000 - 5 (6.3%)
>$12,000 - 7 (8.8%)
>$20,000 - 5 (6.3%)
Total Voters: 80

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 21366630 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (106 posts by 21 users deleted.)
smartcomet
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March 15, 2018, 01:14:53 AM

Coinbase gets e-money license in the UK
https://techcrunch.com/2018/03/13/coinbase-emoney/

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This will be welcome news for cryptocurrency fans in the U.K. and Europe. Coinbase, one of more popular and accessible cryptocurrency exchanges, has been granted an e-money license by the U.K. regulator the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA).
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March 15, 2018, 01:25:25 AM

+1 WoSMerit to JJG, wordy man in nonwordy disguise. You're much more effective and - I'll dare unusual adjectives - enjoyable to read when you dress up this way. Try it more often, if you manage. Please.  Tongue


Here's how I feel:



Not that I had any real hope, deep inside. But I had to try, you see.
 Roll Eyes
d_eddie
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March 15, 2018, 01:25:56 AM

By the way..all WOsM's are strictly one to one. So you get one..you can give one.
Hey no way, scammer man!  Angry
The WOsM brochure boasted about 100x leverage...
Biodom
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March 15, 2018, 01:27:07 AM
Merited by infofront (1), Last of the V8s (1)

Which low? The lowest BTC has been since I have been involved was about $170. I don't think you mean that low however; since setting a bid a 1000 below that would be impossible. Unless the exchanges make it possible to have people disposing of their BTC by paying someone to take them off their hands. Cheesy

170 left of a former 1300, or a -87% loss. Just any similar event of that magnitude is missing today. There was no Mt.Gox happening. Not even possible anymore since there are 114 tradesites doing above $1,000,000 *daily* volume.
Source https://coinmarketcap.com/exchanges/volume/24-hour/all/ beware some might hand out false data.

Tried projecting a similar decay onto $20,000 to get that "new 170 datapoint" since it looks again like $2600, that 2x ATH of 2013 mentioned bevore. Just a Gox order of magnitude event is still missing. Watching USDT peg closely.

Forecast of that kind are uncharted territory so best taken with a grain of salt.

I don't think that there is any magic formula like this, but if there is one, then I offer the following:

In 2013-2015 from Bitstamp's 1160 it was more like 85% decline, which was less than about 93.75% of the previous decline (from $32 to $2). If we, indeed, have reduced oscillations now, then bottom might be at 77% decline, which would be about $4544 and it will take a while, probably until the end of the year, maybe Nov (bottom like in 2011) or January (like early 2015 bottom)

It is also possible (although I am currently trending to reject this idea) that we are doing a double peak like in 2013 with current period being the equivalent of $260 (april) to $66-68 move back then (first down on april 16, double bottom on July 6). it was about 74% move if you count between $260 and average between two bottoms (about $67).
We already moved once from $19760 to $5984 (I am getting it from tradingview, others could be slightly different), which is 69.7%.
In this scenario we double dip in around $5800-6000 at around May 1, then surge.

TL;DR either a longer term bear market with possibly $4500-4600 bottom OR a double bottom at around 5600-5800, maybe sometime in May.
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March 15, 2018, 01:32:54 AM

+1 WoSMerit to JJG, wordy man in nonwordy disguise. You're much more effective and - I'll dare unusual adjectives - enjoyable to read when you dress up this way. Try it more often, if you manage. Please.  Tongue


Here's how I feel:



Not that I had any real hope, deep inside. But I had to try, you see.
 Roll Eyes

I cannot see nor hear.  lalalalalalallalalala
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March 15, 2018, 01:34:28 AM

Bob,   I'm ready for that drink. Single malt kinda guy. A shot of Dalmore is high on the bucket list or a older Balvenie might be just as nice. I'll do my best not to get any bitcoiner tears in it.
32D6TKWE5LEgNk6u92bEm1GNAzmnheXbCt

Sheeit  Embarrassed

Ok. PM me your meatspace address. Do you want to supply the blindfold, or should I ?
Naughty. Play fair!
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March 15, 2018, 01:37:38 AM
Merited by Toxic2040 (1)

The mammoths told me a story all day yesterday.
They were changing their stride, their shape, their voice.
They called, they screamed.
There was nowhere to run.
I got my short started.
It helped.
But I couldn't hodl it all the way down.
Now I'm trying to rebuild it higher.
Little by little.

Talking openly about the mammoths started it all.
That's asking for it, isn't it?

Now I know this thread is being monitored by nasty whales.
jojo69
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March 15, 2018, 01:40:44 AM
Merited by yefi (1), BobLawblaw (1), Last of the V8s (1)

Bob,   I'm ready for that drink. Single malt kinda guy. A shot of Dalmore is high on the bucket list or a older Balvenie might be just as nice. I'll do my best not to get any bitcoiner tears in it.
32D6TKWE5LEgNk6u92bEm1GNAzmnheXbCt

Sheeit  Embarrassed

Ok. PM me your meatspace address. Do you want to supply the blindfold, or should I ?

Hey!!!!!!! 


We are not all getting drinks?

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March 15, 2018, 01:42:32 AM

Bob,   I'm ready for that drink. Single malt kinda guy. A shot of Dalmore is high on the bucket list or a older Balvenie might be just as nice. I'll do my best not to get any bitcoiner tears in it.
32D6TKWE5LEgNk6u92bEm1GNAzmnheXbCt

Sheeit  Embarrassed

Ok. PM me your meatspace address. Do you want to supply the blindfold, or should I ?

Hey!!!!!!! 


We are not all getting drinks?



I'll have it without a blindfold, please.

Oh and by the way, hail to the legend!
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March 15, 2018, 01:43:14 AM

Bob,   I'm ready for that drink. Single malt kinda guy. A shot of Dalmore is high on the bucket list or a older Balvenie might be just as nice. I'll do my best not to get any bitcoiner tears in it.
32D6TKWE5LEgNk6u92bEm1GNAzmnheXbCt

Sheeit  Embarrassed

Ok. PM me your meatspace address. Do you want to supply the blindfold, or should I ?

Hey!!!!!!!  


We are not all getting drinks?



People at the bottom:
Acid rain?
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March 15, 2018, 01:46:05 AM
Last edit: March 15, 2018, 01:57:33 AM by Icygreen

Bob,   I'm ready for that drink. Single malt kinda guy. A shot of Dalmore is high on the bucket list or a older Balvenie might be just as nice. I'll do my best not to get any bitcoiner tears in it.
32D6TKWE5LEgNk6u92bEm1GNAzmnheXbCt

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Ok. PM me your meatspace address. Do you want to supply the blindfold, or should I ?

Alright, PM'ed but no blindfolds dude. I wouldn't want to miss the show  Wink

I can see 8000 where I will purchase another $100k Of BTC. What is your plans?

On top of buying drinks for the entire thread, I'll suck your dick if we see $8,000 USD/BTC this year.

You can quote me on that.
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March 15, 2018, 02:00:56 AM

Alright, PM'ed but no blindfolds dude. I wouldn't want to miss the show  Wink

 Uhh. Wow. So he PM'd me his address.

 Shit just got real.

 So I guess now is a bad time to say "I was just kidding guys !", huh ?

 I don't think I've ever fucked up a "hunch" with Bitcoin this badly before...

 Sad
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March 15, 2018, 02:02:06 AM

That reminds me; I just bought a new blindfold.... Can't see myself wearing it though.

Edit: spelling
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March 15, 2018, 02:14:12 AM
Merited by Toxic2040 (1)

I woke up and see the current value of bitcoin! HOLD HOLD HOLD!

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March 15, 2018, 02:18:49 AM

Premise: Heading down to 5.x (Last area of significant support, 3.5k is just too much too soon right now)

Under bitphysics™ this means at least one material sized interim bounce on the way down. Anyone with a supportable plan to catch it?
Icygreen
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March 15, 2018, 02:19:04 AM

Alright, PM'ed but no blindfolds dude. I wouldn't want to miss the show  Wink

 Uhh. Wow. So he PM'd me his address.

 Shit just got real.

 So I guess now is a bad time to say "I was just kidding guys !", huh ?

 I don't think I've ever fucked up a "hunch" with Bitcoin this badly before...

 Sad

But its not my address, just one of the many places I can receive mail.
Just an integrity check is all  Wink but ya, I do like scotch.
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March 15, 2018, 02:24:39 AM

Premise: Heading down to 5.x (Last area of significant support, 3.5k is just too much too soon right now)

Under bitphysics™ this means at least one material sized interim bounce on the way down. Anyone with a supportable plan to catch it?

Yea like I said to someone else here. Just keep a stop order 1000 dollars off the low. You will miss the bottom by 1000 dollars but if it goes to 1300 you will be getting it for 2300 instead of blowing your powder at 6000 only to watch it fall to 1300. Well anyway it's just an idea. Curious what others think about it. This idea assumes that by the time it has a full 1000 dollar bounce than the bottom is probably in. Thoughts on that assumption?
fortune143
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March 15, 2018, 02:25:05 AM

common someone say for every sold BTC there is a buyer Smiley

Right after someone says "the next 24 hours are critical"

Not before "1btc is still 1btc"

so if i understand, even in the next critical 24hours ... 1BTC wil still be 1BTC  Huh

Wait wait I've got one. We should all be happy about this decline, it's just a chance to buy more cheaper!

That's Koreck Isaac Newton.  Even if we are not happy, we should be willing to make some lemonade out of these lemons.   Tongue Tongue

Buy the effing dip guise  Wink
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March 15, 2018, 02:33:51 AM
Merited by Last of the V8s (1)

somebody roll the mayor over

he'll drown in his own vomit like that
bluebits
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March 15, 2018, 02:40:00 AM

Premise: Heading down to 5.x (Last area of significant support, 3.5k is just too much too soon right now)

Under bitphysics™ this means at least one material sized interim bounce on the way down. Anyone with a supportable plan to catch it?

Yea like I said to someone else here. Just keep a stop order 1000 dollars off the low. You will miss the bottom by 1000 dollars but if it goes to 1300 you will be getting it for 2300 instead of blowing your powder at 6000 only to watch it fall to 1300. Well anyway it's just an idea. Curious what others think about it. This idea assumes that by the time it has a full 1000 dollar bounce than the bottom is probably in. Thoughts on that assumption?

I meant a bounce off of something like 6400 back up to 7400. Logic:

- People are paying 8k a coin right now = market is a long way from accepting that things are over
- Things aren't over = Traders will expect a bottom or bounce somewhere soon

Result is a bounce. The big one will be for the next sizable glade. On the way to this final glade it can't go straight down from 9k to 5k, it has to bounce somewhere along the way.
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