JJG, you make a great point. However, I'm not here to say that the sky is falling down. I really believe in bitcoin, but it looks like we're in one of those times when the price is not likely to rally to ridiculous and delicious new heights. And there will a time we bitcoiners will dance victorious. It's just my opinion that 2018 is just not it.
Tell you what. Let's make a game out of this prediction of mine, what do you propose?
At this point, I don't have a problem of taking you at your word that you truly believe bitcoin to be bearish at this moment. I just believe such bear assessment is premature. There just is not enough evidence or time yet. By the way, I am not the one making any kind of prediction here, I am merely criticizing yours as too much too soon.
By the way, even though many of us understand that there is no exact historical mandate that would cause some kind of exact replication of what had happened previously; however, we can still have approximations and rhyming... So recently, there have been a lot of assertions about whether we are more likely to be in an early 2013 like price scenario or in an early 2014 like price scenario.
Personally, I think that it is more likely that we are in an early 2013 like scenario, and mostly I am of that belief based on the length and slowness of the overall trend and how we got to our present point and even the $20k top.. which I do not assess to be a blow-off top, yet.
However, I surely could be wrong, and I am merely stating that there is not enough evidence yet that we have either already reached the blow off top which would support a conclusion that we are closer to a early 2014 like scenario.
I am not sure what kind of game can be made of this, because the evidence seems premature to be coming to rash conclusions, even though it is also possible that in the longer run, you could be correct - even though to me, it seems that you are prematurely calling something that is not yet reasonable to call.
I cannot really think of any reasonable games that are not just rising to the level of speculative gambling because I, personally, buy more bitcoins if the price is going down and I sell if the price is going up. I might tweak the amounts a little bit here or there, and my overall belief in bitcoin and my overall bullishness shows in my tendency to attempt to accumulate bitcoins rather than dollars.. So do you have something in mind regarding a game?