Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[JayJuanGee]

Bitcoin in Dec 2021 (more than 18 mo after halving) would be...

1. At peak (similar to 2013 and 2017)? 100k? 160K?
2. Coming off earlier blowoff peak in 2019-2020?
3. Being stuck in the doldrums, albeit with a higher price of 8K-10k?

IMHO, probabilities (from scenario 1-3) are 40%, 30%, 30%.

Your opinion?

Interesting scenarios, and they do seem to cover several possibilities, but not all of the possibilities, right?  So the answers could not add up to 100%, unless the answers are covering all of the possibilities in your list of scenarios. Right?

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[HairyMaclairy]

pretty decent, this is all just noise in the falling wedge so far.  I put our next date with destiny in mid November when we will meet an ascending log trend that dates back to 2012.  Find support there and we are parabolic again, fail that support and we, finally, start to get real capitulation with 3K almost assured and 1200 not out of the question.

Agree.  I believe we cannot achieve capitulation without breaking downwards from the log trend from 2012.  It’s only a question of time. I also believe we will hit absolute bottom within a month of breaking the log trend and start the long slow road to $100k plus.  I have no idea what the bottom number is - I can only measure by time until halvening.  But by definition, capitulation is a number low enough that it puts the fear of the end of the world into sellers.  

Edit:  there is a real possibility we will break upwards from the descending wedge once or twice more before we break downwards from the long term log trend from 2012.  This would moderate the depth of the plunge when we do break.  

[El duderino_]

SOON!!

 Sorry I'm out of sMerits again!




edit: Thank you, merci!

Doing what i can with my remaining 3 Smerits but man i recieved a (very generous amount of Smerits....) last weeks , but they fly away .......  like its nothing , whatever Just woke up early and love to see a pump in the morning hours it fits good with my coffee and morning exercises So keep Going BTC doing good  

[wayna]

There is certainly a wall that keeps the price not going under 5500 USD but this period has been pretty flat. This could be a good moment to buy but I still expect a bearish trend until the end of September, maybe more.

I am actually waiting for a lower price

That's a speculation but this end of the year won't be as much bullish as 2017 was.

[Phil_S]

https://twitter.com/Beastlyorion/status/1032121259209969665

It's 3:8 time scale, but yeah pretty similar:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg44232758#msg44232758

[JayJuanGee]

Calamari for everyone!

I'm getting confused.  What was the Calamari thing?  I recall mentioning that I got a funny stomach from eating too much Calamari, and Mymenace told me to fuck off.  I don't recall any Roach post about Calamari.

[reactorjuno]

Did I dream or BTC price gained + 300 USD in 1 minute at 1 UTC at the time of maintenance of Bitnex platform  I can smell manipulation, a boss who wish a leverage x100 to get the jackpot. Can not predict such a thing !! ... but well perhaps we are heading to 8k, who knows?

[crypmike]

They are fine



https://twitter.com/crypto/status/1032180963655200768

[HairyMaclairy]

I smell hubris at Bitmex

[Rosewater Foundation]

Calamari for everyone!

I'm getting confused.  What was the Calamari thing?  I recall mentioning that I got a funny stomach from eating too much Calamari, and Mymenace told me to fuck off.  I don't recall any Roach post about Calamari.

The Jews are manipulating the world into thinking squid is food. It's all very subtle and nefarious, lots of ins and outs.

[Rosewater Foundation]

I, for one, am shifting my focus to fiat accumulation to be in a position to take advantage of the latter possibility.

Ballsy. I wish you excellent good luck.

[realr0ach]

That's why I don't reproduce.  I'm only responsible for ruining myself.

You're a shitlib and most shitlibs are not keen on reproducing.  It's not possible to become a shitlib without having bad genes, an inferiority complex, and having been stuffed in trash cans all through high school, which makes it so you can only relate to other weaklings, underdogs, and gutter trash.  The first person to accurately classify leftism as a mental illness based on inferiority complex was Ted Kaczynski.  Hopefully he's more famous someday, because this is probably the most widespread and dangerous mental illness that exists.

You see no reason to reproduce because A)  You're scared that your genes are not up to par and will create some type of physical abomination because deep down you see yourself as the 'untermensch', and B)  You think it will just be a form of torture on the child anyway by having a large chance of becoming a replica of yourself.  Yes, you might be able to claim you have some other valid reason, but if all those were eliminated, it all comes back to points like these.

As for me, I really just do not live in the same universe as you people and see things like marriage as the equivalent of signing a contract binding you to be the legal caretaker of a prostitute, while also proclaiming that women are equal to men, so just nothing about it really adds up to me.  No, Icygreen, I will not marry you.

[Rosewater Foundation]

That's why I don't reproduce.  I'm only responsible for ruining myself.

bad genes, an inferiority complex, and having been stuffed in trash cans all through high school, which makes it so you can only relate to other weaklings, underdogs, and gutter trash.

This is why we get along so well. We're kindred gutter trash.

[El duderino_]

for all maybe upset not buying bottom .... do not mind still many waves to ride untill ATH and especially the next ATH's so keep buying when there are
opportunity's 

[realr0ach]

for all maybe upset not buying bottom

Is this the 75th Micgoossens bottom call?  And has down syndrome gone airborne on the forum again?  Because you have yet another day of no volume anywhere except the single entity that controls the price operating on Bitfinex, and he makes it so fucking obvious it's just mind blowing and people think this is all perfectly normal to have the whole market rigged by a single actor not for days, weeks, months, but YEARS LOL.  

How do people even call this shit a market?  There is no market.  There's just 1 person on Bitfinex.  The most fraudulent of Jewish assets is more of an aggregate market than this.  The only real question is what wold the bitcoin price be without this guy?  He almost single handedly dragged the entire market from $200 to $20,000 all by himself with Bitfinex fraud, tethers, and other bullshit.  Satoshi is a completely irrelevant figure compared to the effect this serial scammer has had on bitcoin.

[El duderino_]

for all maybe upset not buying bottom

Is this the 75th Micgoossens bottom call?  And has down syndrome gone airborne on the forum again?  Because you have yet another day of no volume anywhere except the single entity that controls the price operating on Bitfinex, and he makes it so fucking obvious it's just mind blowing and people think this is all perfectly normal to have the whole market rigged by a single actor not for days, weeks, months, but YEARS LOL. 

How do people even call this shit a market?  There is no market.  There's just 1 guy on Bitfinex.  The most fraudulent of Jewish assets is more of an aggregate market than this.

i did never like never made a bottom call i even never predict a price or so ......
i actually think there are to many only looking to short time price predictions ....., most of the other topics always asking about prices while there are absolute non wizards knowing the price and sharing it for short term wanna get rich overnight peoples.....everybody just gotta see for themselfs to believe in the longterm succes of BTC or not and when you believe its just BUY and HODL if not its just like you to buy some metal.
BUT i never called an actual BOTTOM just few fun things are no calls..... i'm just absolute not qualified to talk what or where the price will be and i believe NO one is .......    only THE BIG PICTURE of BTC , and one day you will maybe see it as well

[realr0ach]

This market is in deep shit if Bitmex (a garbage bucketshop) is making that much money, because it signifies there's a titanic amount of dumb money in crypto, and dumb money always creates giant craters in the end.  I wouldn't be surprised if some of these exchanges are doing narco-money laundering or other insane shit to account fo a big chunk of their traffic, though.  Sort of how like Bitfinex supposedly had $400 million connected to drug money seized in Poland....

[gentlemand]

This is why we get along so well. We're kindred gutter trash.

I for one can sense every single female yearning for the opportunity to propagate my astonishing genes even when they find me perched on their garden wall pinching out a caught short loaf in their vegetable patch, but there's no way I will permit their dilution so no woman will ever be anointed by my golden prong again.

[serveria.com]

Just spotted Micgoosens and realroach have quite similar avatar pics so my crazy assumption is that roach is in fact Micgoosens's alter ego  he appears every time Mic enters his "zen mood".

[realr0ach]

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-08-21/michael-cohen-exploring-possible-plea-deal-prosecutors

How is this story not everywhere?  It's the most important news story of the year?  The Jews are trying to shakedown Cohen to flip on Trump, and they seem to have gotten him pretty good, so now Trump has two options:

1)  Fold like a coward and do whatever the Jew World Order tells him to do as their puppet slave

2)  Exterminate them all