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Question: July 28 Closing Price:
<$3,000 - 2 (8%)
<$8,000 - 1 (4%)
$8,001-$8,500 - 0 (0%)
$8,501-$9,000 - 0 (0%)
$9,001-$9,500 - 4 (16%)
$9,501-$10,000 - 1 (4%)
$10,001-$10,500 - 0 (0%)
$10,501-$11,000 - 6 (24%)
$11,001-$11,500 - 4 (16%)
$11,501-$12,000 - 0 (0%)
$12,001-$12,500 - 2 (8%)
$12,501-$13,000 - 1 (4%)
$13,001-$13,500 - 1 (4%)
$13,501-$14,000 - 1 (4%)
>$14,000 - 2 (8%)
>$18,000 - 0 (0%)
Total Voters: 25

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 21294765 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (102 posts by 19 users deleted.)
Last of the V8s
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January 11, 2019, 08:23:29 PM

new fud: China bans bitcoin
https://bitcoinist.com/bitcoin-node-illegal-china/
"In other words, the new law makes it illegal for users to download and run bitcoin’s free and publicly available software client because a “blockchain service provider” can be a node that provides the blockchain information service to the public.
In order to do so, they’d have to go through a registration process and give up their private information."
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January 11, 2019, 08:24:47 PM

^Chinese BTC ban - the gift that keeps on giving.


I'd proudly hang a Hal Finney portrait on my wall.
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January 11, 2019, 08:27:42 PM


Pah.

The less China the better. Soon the entire Bitmain board will be dancing in sex clubs in return for food and shelter.
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January 11, 2019, 08:31:37 PM
Merited by Last of the V8s (1)

new fud: China bans bitcoin
https://bitcoinist.com/bitcoin-node-illegal-china/
"In other words, the new law makes it illegal for users to download and run bitcoin’s free and publicly available software client because a “blockchain service provider” can be a node that provides the blockchain information service to the public.
In order to do so, they’d have to go through a registration process and give up their private information."

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January 11, 2019, 08:32:21 PM

They'd never ban nodes in the West Shocked
#jihanknew #neo #anythingbutbitcoin
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January 11, 2019, 08:43:17 PM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (1)

Think they'll revise it once they've filled their bags - 'Oh we didn't mean individuals, just companies' ?
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January 11, 2019, 08:52:23 PM

Think they'll revise it once they've filled their bags - 'Oh we didn't mean individuals, just companies' ?

They usually do. How many times has China unbanned Bitcoin now?
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January 11, 2019, 08:53:45 PM

Think they'll revise it once they've filled their bags - 'Oh we didn't mean individuals, just companies' ?

Any time China bans bitcoin, I think it’s their government trying to manipulate the price so they can buy.
I might be way off but I’ve thought it for years.
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January 11, 2019, 09:00:04 PM

Been a busy day, good the price didn’t do anything when i wasn’t watching, now come on
F***ing weekend PUMP

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January 11, 2019, 09:17:22 PM
Last edit: January 12, 2019, 10:21:49 AM by HairyMaclairy
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (1), Last of the V8s (1)

Ok so Ive been invested in BTC since 2018 with an average cost basis of about 8k per coin. Sadly I dont see how we arent going to have at least one more huge move down well below 3k. I have orders to buy 3 more coins if we hit 2k. I dont want to sell rn but I am considering taking out a short position here. I believe in Bitcoin, but Im tired of so much losing in my first year Embarrassed

Could a few members help me out and post their best argument for why we already saw the bottom, or their best argument of why we are gonna have another big move to new lows.

Thank you in advance.

Stop worrying about shorting the final gasp of the bear market and start thinking about when you are going to long the bottom and how you are going to do it.  Much more profitable.

I have thought about this, thats why I said I have orders to buy 3 more coins at 2k. Thats all I can afford to lose. It will bring my total investment to almost 40k. I will not invest another dollar after that. All ive known investing in Bitcoin is a terrible bear market and its hard not to worry as early adopters dump on my face Cry, but thank you for the advice.

Im interested in hearing other Bitcoiners best argument(s) as to why the bottom is not in yet(i believe it isnt but hope im wrong). If you have one id love to hear it. If not thanks anyway.



The bottom is probably not in, but it is also probably very close.  It could happen tomorrow or anytime in the next 8 months before the halvening starts to kick in.

We need a deep penetration of the 200 Week Moving Average to kick off an enormous volume spike that will seal the bottom of this bear market.  So basically we are sitting around waiting for one final, terrifying price crash.



If you want to wait until it is "safe" to buy, wait until the Moving Averages are all back in the correct order, eg 30 is above the 50 which is above the 100 which is above the 200.  This last happened in November 2016 around $420 which sparked the first real rally of the bull market.  The taupe and purple lines (50 and 100) were the last to uncross in November 2016.   It is reasonable to expect they will uncross again sometime in late 2019, early 2020 at latest.

All of this assumes we follow the model of the 2014 / 2015 cryptowinter.  To date we have followed it closely, so there is no particular reason to think we will not continue to do so.  

This is not investment advice, I am a drunk with hygiene issues and a degenerate gambler.
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January 11, 2019, 09:49:55 PM

*giggling intensifies*
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January 11, 2019, 09:57:16 PM

....
This is not investment advice, I am a drunk with hygiene issues and a degenerate gambler.

Aren't we all?
  Wink
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January 11, 2019, 10:02:42 PM

*giggling intensifies*



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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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January 11, 2019, 10:03:20 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1), bitserve (1)

During the next bull run (or black friday) I will have to order both the Trezor Model T and the Ledger Nano X. Unfortunately, I am currently too poor to even consider it.

ive had a trezor one for years and bought a trezor t last year. since the t was new ive only put a little on it so far as ive been waiting for the real world, out in the wild test before i really trust it as i do the trezor one. havent heard anything bad yet so its probably fine.

as with any important new tech or update in the crypto world i always wait a bit for others to test it 1st.
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January 11, 2019, 10:08:37 PM

The bottom is probably not
We need a deep penetration
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January 11, 2019, 10:18:44 PM


disgusting market
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January 11, 2019, 10:27:39 PM

This is amazing
https://twitter.com/cryptograffiti/status/1083570939353280512?s=21

Prints are available too
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January 11, 2019, 10:48:52 PM


The bottom is probably not in, but it is also probably very close.  It could happen tomorrow or anytime in the next 8 months before the halvening starts to kick in.

We need a deep penetration of the 200 Week Moving Average to kick off an enormous volume spike that will seal the bottom of this bear market.  So basically we are sitting around waiting for one final, terrifying price crash.



If you want to wait until it is "safe" to buy, wait until the Moving Averages are all back in the correct order, eg 30 is above the 50 which is above the 100 which is above the 200.  This last happened in November 2016 around $420 which sparked the first real rally of the bull market.  The taupe and purple lines (30 and 50) were the last to uncross in November 2016.   It is reasonable to expect they will uncross again sometime in late 2019, early 2020 at latest.

All of this assumes we follow the model of the 2014 / 2015 cryptowinter.  To date we have followed it closely, so there is no particular reason to think we will not continue to do so.  

This is not investment advice, I am a drunk with hygiene issues and a degenerate gambler.

Hey Hairy, I always follow your TA with interest and play at my own, too. I too think the 2014 /2015 overlay is pretty close. 

So; while I agree Bitcoin did have to wait until Nov 2016 to really start the last bull run, it was in January 2015 that saw the last push down of the bears to new lows.  So, while things are not in the bull zone yet, do you not think it 'possible' (as my hopium-addled brain thinks) that this is finally the beginning of the end?

Personally, I am thinking a dull sideways, but slowly upward grind (sure, with fits and starts) from here to the end of this year. Not a bull run yet - but past the definitive end of the bear market. 

I have stuck my neck out with predictive and likely foolhardy posts in the past 24 hours, but I don't think the FUD is working any more, I think too many people think that even here is cheap - and I think too many people would rather buy at 3XXX and risk it dipping than be forced to buy at 4K or 5K if Bitcoin has a French Weekend when they aren't watching.

If there is to be a new ATH, according to pattern - with the order of increase we saw between the last two, then (to extrapolate) what is the difference buying at 3K or 2K if it might hit 50K inside 2 years?
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January 11, 2019, 11:06:41 PM
Last edit: January 11, 2019, 11:24:09 PM by kurious

During the next bull run (or black friday) I will have to order both the Trezor Model T and the Ledger Nano X. Unfortunately, I am currently too poor to even consider it.

ive had a trezor one for years and bought a trezor t last year. since the t was new ive only put a little on it so far as ive been waiting for the real world, out in the wild test before i really trust it as i do the trezor one. havent heard anything bad yet so its probably fine.

as with any important new tech or update in the crypto world i always wait a bit for others to test it 1st.

Am dithering too.  I have two Ledger S and a Trezor from many months back that are still in their packaging.  

I am just in paper wallets that are secure and laminated in fire proof and highly secure locations and now I am wondering how much of my time I want to spend working through a new tech learning-curve that I need to master when it is important enough I really have to take it very seriously.

The main reason I got them was that forks were a 'thing' - and the paper wallets were tiresome hassle for a while. Now it seems that era is over and they are just fine sitting there and being safe.
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January 11, 2019, 11:35:12 PM

Ok so Ive been invested in BTC since 2018 with an average cost basis of about 8k per coin. Sadly I dont see how we arent going to have at least one more huge move down well below 3k. I have orders to buy 3 more coins if we hit 2k. I dont want to sell rn but I am considering taking out a short position here. I believe in Bitcoin, but Im tired of so much losing in my first year Embarrassed

Could a few members help me out and post their best argument for why we already saw the bottom, or their best argument of why we are gonna have another big move to new lows.

Thank you in advance.

Stop worrying about shorting the final gasp of the bear market and start thinking about when you are going to long the bottom and how you are going to do it.  Much more profitable.

I have thought about this, thats why I said I have orders to buy 3 more coins at 2k. Thats all I can afford to lose. It will bring my total investment to almost 40k. I will not invest another dollar after that. All ive known investing in Bitcoin is a terrible bear market and its hard not to worry as early adopters dump on my face Cry, but thank you for the advice.

Im interested in hearing other Bitcoiners best argument(s) as to why the bottom is not in yet(i believe it isnt but hope im wrong). If you have one id love to hear it. If not thanks anyway.



The bottom is probably not in, but it is also probably very close.  It could happen tomorrow or anytime in the next 8 months before the halvening starts to kick in.

We need a deep penetration of the 200 Week Moving Average to kick off an enormous volume spike that will seal the bottom of this bear market.  So basically we are sitting around waiting for one final, terrifying price crash.

https://i.ibb.co/drs0p1x/Missing-volume.png

If you want to wait until it is "safe" to buy, wait until the Moving Averages are all back in the correct order, eg 30 is above the 50 which is above the 100 which is above the 200.  This last happened in November 2016 around $420 which sparked the first real rally of the bull market.  The taupe and purple lines (30 and 50) were the last to uncross in November 2016.   It is reasonable to expect they will uncross again sometime in late 2019, early 2020 at latest.

All of this assumes we follow the model of the 2014 / 2015 cryptowinter.  To date we have followed it closely, so there is no particular reason to think we will not continue to do so.  

This is not investment advice, I am a drunk with hygiene issues and a degenerate gambler.

This is the best answer I have seen, thank you. I do not know what is wrong with the weird Ballerina guy but I used the ignore button on him. I do not want to interact with rude people. I just opened a small short and will look out for that volume spike.
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