Bitcoin Forum
May 26, 2019, 12:30:23 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 0.18.0 [Torrent] (New!)
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Poll
Question: What year will we achieve a new ATH?
2019 - 43 (28.7%)
2020 - 59 (39.3%)
2021 - 34 (22.7%)
2022 - 8 (5.3%)
2023 - 1 (0.7%)
Never - 5 (3.3%)
Total Voters: 150

Pages: « 1 ... 23038 23039 23040 23041 23042 23043 23044 23045 23046 23047 23048 23049 23050 23051 23052 23053 23054 23055 23056 23057 23058 23059 23060 23061 23062 23063 23064 23065 23066 23067 23068 23069 23070 23071 23072 23073 23074 23075 23076 23077 23078 23079 23080 23081 23082 23083 23084 23085 23086 23087 [23088] 23089 23090 23091 23092 23093 23094 23095 23096 23097 23098 23099 23100 23101 23102 23103 23104 23105 23106 23107 23108 23109 23110 23111 23112 23113 23114 23115 23116 23117 23118 23119 23120 23121 23122 23123 23124 23125 23126 23127 23128 23129 23130 23131 23132 23133 23134 23135 23136 23137 23138 ... 23965 »
  Print  
Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 21180713 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (24 posts by 13 users deleted.)
JohnUser
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 938
Merit: 708


View Profile WWW
March 13, 2019, 07:02:53 PM


Our way isn't to move them off ?
1558873823
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1558873823

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1558873823
Reply with quote  #2

1558873823
Report to moderator
1558873823
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1558873823

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1558873823
Reply with quote  #2

1558873823
Report to moderator
1558873823
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1558873823

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1558873823
Reply with quote  #2

1558873823
Report to moderator
Advertised sites are not endorsed by the Bitcoin Forum. They may be unsafe, untrustworthy, or illegal in your jurisdiction. Advertise here.
AlcoHoDL
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 522
Merit: 144


Addicted to HoDLing!


View Profile
March 13, 2019, 07:16:31 PM
Merited by GrosWesh (1), nanobtc (1)

I didn't even know Calvin Ayre before viewing his photo with the underage girls... What a sick f*ck!

I quickly browsed through his Twitter account. There are literally dozens of similar photos of him with little girls, mostly of Asian and African origin. In some of these photos you can also see Craig Wright, Roger Ver and other members of the BCash / BCH and BSV teams. Wright & Ver are also featured in several other posts.

Calvin Ayre is clearly associated with, and heavily promotes BSV/BCH.

It just goes to show what sick minds are behind those shitcoins...
JayJuanGee
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1904
Merit: 1761


How much alt coin diversification is needed? 0%?


View Profile
March 13, 2019, 07:30:27 PM

House in Australia-being auctioned in crypto:
https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-casuarina-129081390

Not sure if any dolphins would qualify, but whales would do, probably  Grin

On a separate issue:

Question to TA experts: how likely would be a situation when we try to get to ATH, then fail (around, say, 15-18K) and revert to at least a short term, but significant bear?
Unlikely; possible, but not likely; likely (if you can show %% in your opinion)?
I am no TA expert, but my own estimate of those probabilities is 70%-20%-10%

In stocks, this happens all the time, witness the famous SP500 double top in 2000 and 2007-2008 at above 1500.
The reason I am asking is because essentially all predictions are showing the same fractal with $1600-3122 low, then a smooth increase (by an exponent) to 80K-400K.
The alternative take would be that in this (or next) cycle this pattern would be broken.


Certainly, I am NOT opposed to attempting to figure out longer term waves of BTC price and assigning probabilities to various scenarios, and to me there seems to b almost no great chance that anyone (even whales) can predict exact BTC price waves or even manipulate the price to such an extent to actually cause the wave that they would like to happen, so in that regard, a scenario in which BTC price approaches ATH but only gets within a 10% to 25% range of it and does not breach it remains decently likely, perhaps within a 30% or so arena. 

Of course, the overall sentiment remains that when momentum bring BTC within a 10% to 20% range of the previous ATH, then momentum is going to bring it over such previous ATH, and likely surpass such previous ATH by at least 50%, and that common sentiment drives what actually ends up happening and causes any alternative scenario to be really capitally intensive to carry out, so that is why I suggest 30% as the highest of such probability, but likely, a realistic probability would be below 15%.

So, even though the odds are against breaking back down after getting so close to the previous ATH, there is going to b a whole hell of a lot of FUD spreading and misinformation that actually describes such low probability scenario as if it is much more likely to happen than it is.. and that is likely to be a dominant narrative that tries (and will be somewhat successful) to trick HODLers out of some or all of their coins.
Toxic2040
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 616
Merit: 920



View Profile
March 13, 2019, 07:48:54 PM

-snip-
On a separate issue:

Question to TA experts: how likely would be a situation when we try to get to ATH, then fail (around, say, 15-18K) and revert to at least a short term, but significant bear?
Unlikely; possible, but not likely; likely (if you can show %% in your opinion)?
I am no TA expert, but my own estimate of those probabilities is 70%-20%-10%

In stocks, this happens all the time, witness the famous SP500 double top in 2000 and 2007-2008 at above 1500.
The reason I am asking is because essentially all predictions are showing the same fractal with $1600-3122 low, then a smooth increase (by an exponent) to 80K-400K.
The alternative take would be that in this (or next) cycle this pattern would be broken.


Certainly, I am NOT opposed to attempting to figure out longer term waves of BTC price and assigning probabilities to various scenarios, and to me there seems to b almost no great chance that anyone (even whales) can predict exact BTC price waves or even manipulate the price to such an extent to actually cause the wave that they would like to happen, so in that regard, a scenario in which BTC price approaches ATH but only gets within a 10% to 25% range of it and does not breach it remains decently likely, perhaps within a 30% or so arena. 

Of course, the overall sentiment remains that when momentum bring BTC within a 10% to 20% range of the previous ATH, then momentum is going to bring it over such previous ATH, and likely surpass such previous ATH by at least 50%, and that common sentiment drives what actually ends up happening and causes any alternative scenario to be really capitally intensive to carry out, so that is why I suggest 30% as the highest of such probability, but likely, a realistic probability would be below 15%.

So, even though the odds are against breaking back down after getting so close to the previous ATH, there is going to b a whole hell of a lot of FUD spreading and misinformation that actually describes such low probability scenario as if it is much more likely to happen than it is.. and that is likely to be a dominant narrative that tries (and will be somewhat successful) to trick HODLers out of some or all of their coins.

So you would describe the possibility as somewhere between 15% and 3% of a pull back from the breaching the next ATH? or between 30% and 15%?  or between 30% and 3%? You might be able to deduce why I am asking for something more specific. The ranges you postulate are fairly broad imho and I would really like to put you more on the spot with posting such a prediction.   Smiley
Biodom
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1960
Merit: 1214



View Profile
March 13, 2019, 07:49:00 PM

Question to TA experts: how likely would be a situation when we try to get to ATH, then fail (around, say, 15-18K) and revert to at least a short term, but significant  bear?
Unlikely; possible, but not likely; likely (if you can show %% in your opinion)?
I am no TA expert, but my own estimate of those probabilities is 70%-20%-10%

In stocks, this happens all the time, witness the famous SP500 double top in 2000 and 2007-2008 at above 1500.
The reason I am asking is because essentially all predictions are showing the same fractal with $1600-3122 low, then a smooth increase (by an exponent) to 80K-400K.
The alternative take would be that in this (or next) cycle this pattern would be broken.

I would have to say 86.89% unlikely, 10.11% possible; but not likely and 3% likely. I would further add that I think after this cycle ends there is a good chance the next cycle will be much shorter as in the 2013-2014 run up/dip/run up.
W

#stronghands'19

Does the intercept of the exponent and logarithmic regression curves represents the likely future peak (at around 80K)?
jbreher
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2394
Merit: 1260


lose: unfind ... loose: untight


View Profile
March 13, 2019, 07:53:02 PM

No, I likely wouldn't. To the extent that it may mean what you are implying*, it would mean I have failed as a father. For not instilling a foundation upon which she might lead a happy, fulfilling, and helpful life.

Relevance to my observation that dishonest and dishonorable opponents are once again using falsehoods to try to taint a coin by association? None.


Your relentless defensiveness and apologism for creepy people and aspects of things you have no influence over is really bleedin' weird.

If you had a point you wished to make, it did not make it into your post.
Toxic2040
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 616
Merit: 920



View Profile
March 13, 2019, 08:07:31 PM

Does the intercept of the exponent and logarithmic regression curves represents the likely future peak (at around 80K)?

That is how I am interpreting the data though I would like to note that I tend to be very conservative in most of my projections. I am a firm believer in the hope for the best, prepare for the worst mentality.
HairyMaclairy
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 840
Merit: 1371


Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist


View Profile
March 13, 2019, 08:29:32 PM

My crack about Calvin Ayre being CEO of BSV was a crack at Ricky Falconwings calling himself CEO of Bcash.  

Notwithstanding the above, we all know that Calvin Ayre funded the mining equipment that got BSV off the ground and it would not have existed without Ayre’s money.  Whether that was a profitable venture for Ayre remains to be seen.  

Certainly BSV is sinking faster than a 737 Max.
Pamoldar
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1134
Merit: 1231


One of the world's leading Bitcoin-powered casinos


View Profile WWW
March 13, 2019, 08:54:46 PM

Good evening WO fams.
After a long day I am home and going to watch Liverpool match.

Come on Liverpool. Just a win please.

Where is LFC?
mindrust
Legendary
*
Online Online

Activity: 1442
Merit: 1380



View Profile
March 13, 2019, 09:07:33 PM
Merited by cAPSLOCK (1), JayJuanGee (1)


Does the intercept of the exponent and logarithmic regression curves represents the likely future peak (at around 80K)?

That $80k peak makes me drool.



I also expect the top to be at between $80k and 100k and time frame looks alright too. 2022 is also pretty OK for me.

If you haven't yet, you should also see Trace Mayer's interview from 21st Feb '19.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vC5im-hiHXo

The institutional money is still not in the game and they won't be till they fix the legal stuff. Be glad, even at these price levels, we are still the early adopters.
bitserve
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 854
Merit: 732


HODL.


View Profile
March 13, 2019, 09:10:13 PM

House in Australia-being auctioned in crypto:
https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-casuarina-129081390

Not sure if any dolphins would qualify, but whales would do, probably  Grin


That's some quality real estate porn.

Last of the V8s
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1148
Merit: 2134


Be a bank.


View Profile
March 13, 2019, 09:11:02 PM

Quote from: A Simple Guide to British Parliamentary Procedure
You have two sides, one out in the field and one in. Each man that's in the side that's in goes out, and when he's out he comes in and the next man goes in until he's out. When they are all out, the side that's out comes in and the side that's been in goes out and tries to get those coming in, out. Sometimes you get men still in and not out.
When a man goes out to go in, the men who are out try to get him out, and when he is out he goes in and the next man in goes out and goes in. There are two men called umpires who stay out all the time and they decide when the men who are in are out. When both sides have been in and all the men have been out, and both sides have been out twice after all the men have been in, including those who are not out, that is the end of the game.
mindrust
Legendary
*
Online Online

Activity: 1442
Merit: 1380



View Profile
March 13, 2019, 09:17:52 PM

House in Australia-being auctioned in crypto:
https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-casuarina-129081390

Not sure if any dolphins would qualify, but whales would do, probably  Grin


That's some quality real estate porn.









Real Estate porn best porn.

And best Porn is in LA.

The shit they sell in LA on Zillow is unbelievable. This pretty thing is only $88 Million btw. Not much for a long term hodler.

Bob or Elwar can afford it easily probably.  Wink
HairyMaclairy
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 840
Merit: 1371


Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist


View Profile
March 13, 2019, 09:18:56 PM

If you are looking for a particularly deep rabbit hole with a technical bent, may I commend to you this thread on the Professional Pilots Rumour Network (PPRUNE) regarding the crash of the Ethiopian 737 Max and subsequent political and commercial fall out.  A blow by blow account with many informed observers (and a few ill-informed just to spice things up).

https://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/619272-ethiopian-airliner-down-africa.html
JayJuanGee
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1904
Merit: 1761


How much alt coin diversification is needed? 0%?


View Profile
March 13, 2019, 09:21:50 PM
Merited by Toxic2040 (1)

[ edited out]

So you would describe the possibility as somewhere between 15% and 3% of a pull back from the breaching the next ATH? or between 30% and 15%?  or between 30% and 3%? You might be able to deduce why I am asking for something more specific. The ranges you postulate are fairly broad imho and I would really like to put you more on the spot with posting such a prediction.   Smiley

So, yes.  The thing about predicting the future, is that it is difficult, and even that I am not so sure about all the factors in such medium term price waves, including how powerful any bear entity(ies) might be in order to go against BTC market price momentum, which all of us seem to be acknowledging to be a very powerful kind of force that can become quite difficult to control or to reverse once it gains momentum in a certain direction.

I am not sure from where you got 3% out of my previous post, but I think that what I said is that most reasonable and likely paths would be that a meaningful and successful pull back after getting close to previous ATH without breaching such ATH would be less than 15%, but there could be scenarios in the "possible" (rather than "probable" - as you had framed the matter) realm that could bring such a BTC price pullback into the up to 30% arena. 

The main reason that I am allowing some deviation of my more prudent "less than 15%" estimation to devolve into a more sloppy, less than 30% prediction is because of a category of known unknowns that comprise of very rich governments and banking institutions (including those playing around with BTC futures, and BTC shorting instruments) that allow for both a printing of nearly as much fiat money as they want and also some abilities to engage in short term (and maybe even possible longer term) misleading and camouflaging about whether they actually have the bitcoins that they are shorting (through fractional reserves and re-hypothecation) that may or may not be less successful than it had been in other paper asset markets (such as with gold, where surely gold is much more difficult to demand delivery or auditing, as compared with BTC). 

So, I do not claim to be any kind of genius, but I trying to grant a certain amount of benefit of the doubt to some kind of possibility that sophisticated financial players might be ready, willing and able to effectively engage in both extreme measured dirty playing, shenanigans and/or that they might be ready, willing and able to engage in a decent amount of short-term losses in order to stave off some of the seemingly inevitableness of upwards BTC price appreciation in the coming years and maybe even stall a bit longer the next bull run for an additional several years. 

Yes, I may be giving such financial and government too much credit in both their ability to accomplish such BTC manipulation or their willingness to accomplish such BTC manipulations, but I like to be somewhat mentally and financially prepared for worser case scenarios... and not take BTC price appreciation nor past patterns of BTC price performance for granted.
JayJuanGee
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1904
Merit: 1761


How much alt coin diversification is needed? 0%?


View Profile
March 13, 2019, 09:24:34 PM

Does the intercept of the exponent and logarithmic regression curves represents the likely future peak (at around 80K)?

That is how I am interpreting the data though I would like to note that I tend to be very conservative in most of my projections. I am a firm believer in the hope for the best, prepare for the worst mentality.


You seem way more bullish than bitserve, and perhaps a few other capitulated negative Nancies.   Wink Wink
infofront
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1666
Merit: 1686


Shitcoin Minimalist


View Profile
March 13, 2019, 09:33:57 PM
Last edit: March 13, 2019, 09:45:10 PM by infofront




I'll take the one in the pink.  Cool
realr0ach
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 658
Merit: 292


#TheGoyimKnow


View Profile
March 13, 2019, 09:47:10 PM

More champagne, Mr JuanGee?  Perhaps I should fetch the Bently for this evening?

realr0ach
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 658
Merit: 292


#TheGoyimKnow


View Profile
March 13, 2019, 10:01:06 PM

I didn't even know Calvin Ayre before viewing his photo with the underage girls... What a sick f*ck!

I quickly browsed through his Twitter account. There are literally dozens of similar photos of him with little girls, mostly of Asian and African origin. In some of these photos you can also see Craig Wright, Roger Ver and other members of the BCash / BCH and BSV teams. Wright & Ver are also featured in several other posts.

Calvin Ayre is clearly associated with, and heavily promotes BSV/BCH.

It just goes to show what sick minds are behind those shitcoins...

You mean like pizzagate Brock Pierce in bitcoin whose hobby before craptocurrency was him and his roommate getting arrested for Podesta Molesta parties?  Every single one of these digital shitcoins is filled to the brim with nothing but retard scammers, fly by night grifters, weirdos, and Jewish merchants.
JimboToronto
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2184
Merit: 1241


You're never too old to be young.


View Profile
March 13, 2019, 10:01:15 PM

Good afternoon Bitcoinland.

Sitting in a bar at YYZ killing time. They'd overbooked my flight almost 2 hours ago, so I'm waiting for a flight to Mex City in about 3 hours.
 
Tomorrow AM (way too early... farmers' hours... 7:30 AM) I fly down to Cancun a day late. Geeze, I thought my trip north would be a few days. Now it's turned into over a week.

At least they're compensating me with a $20 dinner voucher and a check for $1000. Not bad for a $289 ticket. More than pays for my trip up and back including taxis etc.

Sometimes things can be a pain but basically life is good.
___

Meanwhile Bitcoin is still going sideways... currently $3872USD/ $5150CAD (Bitcoinaverage).

For all you superstitious folks who think I can magically control Bitcoin prices by going south and north, the price is about the same as it was a week ago when I flew up. Go figure.
Pages: « 1 ... 23038 23039 23040 23041 23042 23043 23044 23045 23046 23047 23048 23049 23050 23051 23052 23053 23054 23055 23056 23057 23058 23059 23060 23061 23062 23063 23064 23065 23066 23067 23068 23069 23070 23071 23072 23073 23074 23075 23076 23077 23078 23079 23080 23081 23082 23083 23084 23085 23086 23087 [23088] 23089 23090 23091 23092 23093 23094 23095 23096 23097 23098 23099 23100 23101 23102 23103 23104 23105 23106 23107 23108 23109 23110 23111 23112 23113 23114 23115 23116 23117 23118 23119 23120 23121 23122 23123 23124 23125 23126 23127 23128 23129 23130 23131 23132 23133 23134 23135 23136 23137 23138 ... 23965 »
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Sponsored by , a Bitcoin-accepting VPN.
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!