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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 21434952 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (129 posts by 23 users deleted.)
JSRAW
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April 20, 2019, 10:51:42 AM

New scam in town 😂

https://twitter.com/Cryptanzee/status/1119038416136691713?s=19
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April 20, 2019, 10:53:15 AM

An immigrant in England made my second home 🙂

I do hope you're safely in hiding.

My own ailing mother voted for Brexit and stabbed someone to death only last week for buying Polish ham down the supermarket. As they lay dying they said it was only because it was cheaper. She hissed that she didn't care and carried on digging with her blade until the entire contents of their torso lay steaming all over the aisle.

I like your mom, is she single?
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April 20, 2019, 10:57:02 AM

Now V8 is back, I can post some random thoughts I've had recently.

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April 20, 2019, 11:00:05 AM

Oh and another one I had 10 days or so ago:



Is that the best green dildo we've seen or what?
micgoossens
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April 20, 2019, 11:04:03 AM
Last edit: April 20, 2019, 11:30:37 AM by micgoossens

Oh and another one I had 10 days or so ago:



Is that the best green dildo we've seen or what?

Damn you Made me look fast to the charts Roll Eyes
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April 20, 2019, 11:07:38 AM

Damn you Made me look fast to the charts Roll Eyes

I did say 10 days ago dude.
I've missed on some decent shitposting the last few weeks.

Sooo, go on, spit it out, what message did Arriemoller send you? Cool
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April 20, 2019, 11:09:06 AM

Oh and another one I had 10 days or so ago:



Is that the best green dildo we've seen or what?

what is possible man? Grin
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April 20, 2019, 11:13:28 AM

Now V8 is back, I can post some random thoughts I've had recently.



The important thing is to pretend that this bet never happened.  

At least until someone gets shitfaced at the WO Christmas party.
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April 20, 2019, 11:16:58 AM


I hope not, green should scare most away.
Other than that I'm happy for you.

I'm sure we have XXL, XL, L, M, S & r0ach size penis here. Some with a downtrend and some with an uptrend.
gembitz is hermaphrodite - it don't count.
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April 20, 2019, 11:18:09 AM

The important thing is to pretend that this bet never happened.  

At least until someone gets shitfaced at the WO Christmas party.

Sorry sir, which bet are you referring to? Grin
Oh, and which Xmas?
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April 20, 2019, 11:21:47 AM
Last edit: April 20, 2019, 11:33:23 AM by gentlemand

I like your mom, is she single?

Yes, but no conjugal visits in Britain. Will you be my Daddy anyway?


That's very bad and sad.
Was it in the news? I don't read the news nor watch the channels by the way. Too boring and full of propaganda.

It MIGHT not have been totally serious. But I don't let her talk to foreigners or ethnic minorities anyway. Awkward things happen.
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April 20, 2019, 11:32:17 AM

Bitcoin 5312$
+0.82% (24 hours)
+4.91% (1 week)
+31.77% (1 month)
-39.65% (1 year)
How long may take to recover this 39.65%?
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April 20, 2019, 11:33:09 AM

My Take on The Bump & Run Reversal Theory! (Bitcoin)

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Quote
Hi friends! Welcome to this update analysis on Bitcoin! Let's get right to it! Looking at the weekly BLX chart, we can see tat Bitcoin continues to struggle at overhead resistance. That resistance is the weekly 50 EMA (in orange,) which is intersecting exactly with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement , which is produced from the decline from 6000-3000. We also have big resistance at 5500, from the low on November 12th, 2017, which the recent high was rejected at. However, Bitcoin has surpassed a descending trendline (in black,) that has recently been popularized on the internet as a key part of a potential "bump and run reversal" bottom formation (more on that later.)

So, we are at a critical retracement level (61.8%,) while simultaneously testing a critical moving average (weekly 50 EMA ,) after being rejected at lateral overhead resistance (5500,) but above some newly found support (lead in trendline .) Taking all of that into consideration, I have come to the conclusion that I must do my own assessment of this bump and run reversal theory, to see if it sway's my view. Because currently, from a pure probability standpoint, I do believe that there is a much higher chance that we fall from here, as opposed to the probability that Bitcoin continues to rally. With that said, perhaps the bump and run reversal argument has merit (anything is possible.) Regardless, if we did move higher, the upside would likely be very limited. You can see that the weekly 50 MA (in red) is falling toward price action, just above the weekly 50 EMA . So, if BTC broke out higher, it would have to contend with that, and then the ultimate resistance zone between 5777 and slightly above 6000 (in red.) With that said, I am still cautiously sitting on the sidelines, after taking profits from my long that I've added to since December.

Looking at the Stochastic RSI , we can see that it is pegged on 100, and has been there since the beginning of March. Additionally, the daily RSI just came off of near record overbought territory, and the daily MACD is also showing signs of exhaustion, after printing a bearish crossover a few days ago.

Recently, I saw the argument that has been circulating around the internet regarding the bump and run bottoming setup for Bitcoin . While I do think that the bottom is in, I'm not too sure about the bump and run reversal theory. So, let's take a look at the chart in depth, to see how that theory stacks up with the technical requirements necessary to produce a bump and run reversal.

1. Lead in Trendline: "If it's too steep, then the ensuing bump is unlikely to be significant enough. If the trend line is not steep enough, then the subsequent trend line break will occur too late. Bulkowski advises that an angle of 30 to 45 degrees is preferable." Our lead in trendline is -23°.

This is below the "preferable" range.

2. Bump Phase: "Ideally, the angle of the trend line from the bump's advance should be about 50% greater than the angle of the trend line extending up from the lead-in phase. Roughly speaking, this would call for an angle between 45 and 60 degrees." Our bump phase trendline is -54°.

This is in line with the required angle.

3. Bump Validation: "The distance from the lowest low of the bump to the lead-in trend line should be at least twice the distance from the lowest low in the lead-in phase to the lead-in trend line . These distances can be measured by drawing a vertical line from the highest highs to the lead-in trend line ."

Distance of lowest low of bump to lead in: 3008
Distance of lowest low of lead in to lead in: 2185.

So, 3008 is not "at least twice" the distance of 2185. Therefore, the bump was not validated.

4. Bump Rollover: Clearly we saw a bump rollover when price rose from the lows.

5. Volume: The volume progression looks consistent with that of the bump and run reversal volume requirements.

6. Run Phase: "The run phase begins when the pattern breaks support from the lead-in trend line ... Once the break occurs, the run phase takes over, and the rally continues."

According to this description, we are in the "run phase."

7. Resistance Turns Support: "After the trend line is broken, there is sometimes a retracement that tests the newfound support level . Potential resistance-turned-support levels can also be identified from the reaction highs within the bump."

So, based on this, we could see price return to the lead in trendline , to test it for support. That could also be near the highs formed during the bump phase.

In summary, this is not a perfect textbook bump and run reversal pattern. I think it does help to confirm that the bottom is in. However, I still think the overhead resistance is too great to be broken right now, and the indicators show clear exhaustion. Therefore, we should expect price to return to the lead in trendline , to test it for support as the theory suggests. That is what I think is the most likely scenario. From there, I think Bitcoin will progressively become more bullish .

I'm the master of the charts, the professor, the legend, the king, and I go by the name of Magic! Au revoir.

***This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.***


https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BLX/XbjRN4ZH-My-Take-on-The-Bump-Run-Reversal-Theory-Bitcoin/
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April 20, 2019, 11:48:20 AM



I do hope you're safely in hiding.

My own ailing mother voted for Brexit and stabbed someone to death only last week for buying Polish ham down the supermarket. As they lay dying they said it was only because it was cheaper. She hissed that she didn't care and carried on digging with her blade until the entire contents of their torso lay steaming all over the aisle.
That's very bad and sad.
Was it in the news? I don't read the news nor watch the channels by the way. Too boring and full of propaganda.


No but again neither was Bitserve's story about his balls.
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April 20, 2019, 11:56:04 AM

Good morning gentlemen. Nice to see the price has broken $5,300, who knows, maybe a nice weekend pump still to come.


Unlike like last year, we've had pretty good weekends lately. Let's hope it stays that way !

Bitcoin Indicators Are Bullish.

https://medium.com/@CL20/bitcoin-indicators-are-bullish-205a6b30f9e0

"1. We are Above Realized Value
Historically, every time Bitcoin goes under the realized value, it has been the most difficult period of the bear market, and everytime bitcoin pulls back above realized value, a new parabolic bull run begins. We’re now above the realized value!

2. Miner Revenue
If history repeats itself, bitcoin is within the accumulation zone, according to miner’s revenue.

3. CVDD
CVDD tracks the cumulative sum of this value-time destruction as coins move from old hands into new hands as a ratio to the market age.

4. Volatility
Each time bitcoin price capitulated and found the bottom, it has came with a spike in volatility. It appears we have already capitulated and hit the bottom, as marked by the spike in volatility.

5. False On-chain Volume data was Painting an Overly Bearish Picture.
Some analyst have been confused as to why NVT has been showing extremely bearish signals. Recently, it was found that blockchain.com who provide the onchain volume data, the information at core of NVT’s formulae, has been supplying the market with wrong data.

The updated indicator looks much less bearish."
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April 20, 2019, 12:08:36 PM

In other news NVT has never worked so we are going to blame a third party
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April 20, 2019, 12:28:27 PM

Apparently he made it to Vietnam so out of immediate danger

It's Ironic that he had to run to Vietnam where BTC is illegal as a means of payment.
Live to fight another day.... Essential rule of survival

I fully support Elwar and his ambitions but just find it Ironic that so very few countries have made BTC illegal for payments yet that is where he had to go.

Reality if a fucked up place to live.

You're talking about my mind come, brother, we are  enjoy  Grin

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Google translate did dick this time to help out.
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April 20, 2019, 12:29:15 PM

Well stupid people deserve it LOL
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April 20, 2019, 12:33:31 PM

Yes I've put the JJG bot into read-only mode for the past few days.
Spring is here and he starts to feel a stirring in his algos, a yearning for fellow bots of the female variety.
It's a dangerous time for him as well as frankly for us; we do not want these things to proliferate.
Look what happened last year; I let the experiment run a bit and we were left with the cryotourist bot, the slammielayer bot, the kingnocoiner bot; all hideous aberrations with their views and dodgy deals and fake interests in shitcoins and counterarguments and whatnot.
Maybe he's a bit emotional and took the shut the fuck up JJG  Wednesday a bit too to heart. (Or at least his internet persona did)
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April 20, 2019, 12:35:00 PM

Quote
If you’re still in $crypto after you’ve:

- been scammed
- been dumped on
- woken up in complete shock
- bought the top of a pump
- panic sold the bottom

🙏 Congrats 🙏

There are only a select few who can say this 💯

https://twitter.com/MrMichaelNye/status/1000752750425075712?s=19
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