Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[_javi_]

...it's not even really possible for mining to go up like 10x anymore...

Maths: you can always make a math problem harder and it will need more work to be solved. Always

Infinite dams needed? ROFL

Make the reward interesting enough, and everybody will join and mine.

[1714078262]

1714078262

[1714078262]

1714078262

[1714078262]

1714078262

[LFC_Bitcoin]

yes


Yes and yes i read it  

Yes, you must!!

Lol

Ninja edit, didn’t want to incriminate myself

[kurious]

There were originally reports of r0ach sockpuppets spreading conspiracy theories and race hatred.

Quoting nonsense:  ignored

[VB1001]

Both are garbage.  Since Bitcoin is not fungible, the govt will just claim ANY attempt to mix or obfuscate transaction history is a money laundering crime.  So the default state of Bitcoin's existence will always just be a govt tracking and control system that abolishes the 5th amendment where everything you do is monitored in real-time.

This is among the long lists of reasons why you should NEVER support any piece of shit, non-fungible currency and should always insist on using real, fungible, physical commodity money (gold, silver, copper, etc) that doesn't function as both a tracking system and permissioned ledger.  Anything non-fungible will always be a permissioned ledger in the end.  The only possible endgame evolution of craptocurrency will be identical to the Chinese social credit score system.  You 3rd world Indian children scammers need to fuck off with your shilling for crypto garbage that are just trojan horses for a cashless society slavery system from (((the state))).

Since the 1st of the month. If you are not bullish on Bitcoin you are doing it wrong.

$BTC $XAU $SPX

https://twitter.com/CanteringClark/status/1158375817904369667

Keep buying rocks.

[realr0ach]

There were originally reports of multiple shooters at different areas of the walmart/mall.

Quoting nonsense:  ignored

Even PBS says there were 4 shooters at walmart and PBS is by no means right wing.  The false flag is completely blown apart.  Fuck off anti-1st and 2nd amendment shitlibs and your Mossad false flag terrorism.

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/police-warn-of-an-active-shooter-at-an-el-paso-texas-mall

Besides, this is Wall Observer.  We fly the swastika here m8.

[gentlemand]

I started buying in May 2014. I’ve never declared any tax at all. Correct me if I’m wrong but you only pay capital gains tax when you start to sell?

Only when you sell for fiat. If you convert to another digital asset you don't pay capital gains. At least not yet.

Nope. In the UK and US every move to fiat or alts is a disposal and therefore taxable. Could be totally different where you're at but everyone should do a little homework or you may end up with a tax bill 100x bigger than your current holdings.

[realr0ach]

Bitmex is a FUD dump factory, disguised  as a crypto exchange

Quit trolling, Marcus of Tel Aviv.  It's not the bucketshop Bitmex holding down the price of Bitcoin, it's the fact Bitcoin has zero fundamentals because it's designed to centralize giving it no reason to even exist, not to mention being utter shit compared to physical metals even if it wasn't designed to centralize.  That and mining expansion is required to pump and dump Bitcoin higher but global mining is already enormous and cannot increase ten fold to support any of these idiotic, unrealistic price numbers people claim unless you're willing to wait 20-40 years for numerous more halvings.

[VB1001]

https://twitter.com/lopp/status/1158718880451301377

[kurious]

I started buying in May 2014. I’ve never declared any tax at all. Correct me if I’m wrong but you only pay capital gains tax when you start to sell?

Only when you sell for fiat. If you convert to another digital asset you don't pay capital gains. At least not yet.

Actually HMRC considers any transaction that involves a gain, even if it is crypto-to-crypto is taxable, not just conversion to fiat.  So if you have some BTC from way back and convert some into (say) LTC, there is a gain that is taxable if what you paid originally is converted now into something that is more valuable in the transaction.

There is good software to help with this.  

Where LFC is OK, is that if you are just a hodler and have never traded you are ok, as you have never realised the gains; so no CGT is due.  If you do trade into anything else (buy Lambo with BTC, buy some alts etc) it's a capital gain if the value realised is worth more than you originally paid.

Another reason to HODL, for the UK-based OGs...

EDIT:  Gentlemand beat me to it. Props, Sir!

[realr0ach]

Please stop quoting idiots who believe in the Walmart false flag shooting.  You can already extrapolate what's going on from Shitunlocker the JIDF shill.  The kikes are blackmailing Trump with threats of linking him to Epstein and Trump folded.  Did Trump hang out on Lolita island and do criminal stuff?  Hell if I know.  But even if he didn't he folded like a bitch to threats of them attempting to frame him and is now committing treason and trying to get rid of the 2nd amendment for the evil cult of Judaism.

[bkbirge]

I started buying in May 2014. I’ve never declared any tax at all. Correct me if I’m wrong but you only pay capital gains tax when you start to sell?

Only when you sell for fiat. If you convert to another digital asset you don't pay capital gains. At least not yet.

Nope. In the UK and US every move to fiat or alts is a disposal and therefore taxable. Could be totally different where you're at but everyone should do a little homework or you may end up with a tax bill 100x bigger than your current holdings.

Yes you are right, my information was incorrect. Not sure if it was outdated or I just never learned it correctly, but I agree with your warning. Here's some more recent info applicable to US folks:

When US president Donald Trump signed his monumental tax bill into effect late last year, it more clearly defined cryptocurrency as a taxable entity. It included an amendment to section 1031 (a)(1), which concerns “like kind exchanges,” meaning any crypto being traded for another is now legally taxable. So even if you have never converted your crypto into fiat currency (i.e. the US dollar), but you have traded between two cryptos (like buying ethereum using your bitcoin), then you need to declare it. If you unintentionally earned money through one of your currencies forking, even though you didn’t have control over it, then that’s also a taxable event.
https://qz.com/1247447/bitcoin-and-ethereum-income-tax-if-you-traded-crypto-on-coinbase-you-owe-the-irs/

[VB1001]

I started buying in May 2014. I’ve never declared any tax at all. Correct me if I’m wrong but you only pay capital gains tax when you start to sell?

Only when you sell for fiat. If you convert to another digital asset you don't pay capital gains. At least not yet.

Actually HMRC considers any transaction that involves a gain, even if it is crypto-to-crypto is taxable, not just conversion to fiat.  So if you have some BTC from way back and convert some into (say) LTC, there is a gain that is taxable if what you paid originally is converted now into something that is more valuable in the transaction.

There is good software to help with this.  

Where LFC is OK, is that if you are just a hodler and have never traded you are ok, as you have never realised the gains; so no CGT is due.  If you do trade into anything else (buy Lambo with BTC, buy some alts etc) it's a capital gain if the value realised is worth more than you originally paid.

Another reason to HODL, for the UK-based OGs...

https://cointracking.info/

Accept BTCitcoin payment, but it has free version up to 200 transactions.

CoinTracking - Profit/Loss Portfolio and Tax Reporting for Digital Currencies

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=220238

[Paashaas]

Keep stacking Satoshi's.

[bitcoinPsycho]

"Please stop quoting idiots"

Oops

[realr0ach]

Thank you, bitcoinPsycho, JayJuanGee, Trollgoossens, and Elwar for demonstrating your talented ability to make a crackpipe glow red.

[kurious]

I started buying in May 2014. I’ve never declared any tax at all. Correct me if I’m wrong but you only pay capital gains tax when you start to sell?

Only when you sell for fiat. If you convert to another digital asset you don't pay capital gains. At least not yet.

Actually HMRC considers any transaction that involves a gain, even if it is crypto-to-crypto is taxable, not just conversion to fiat.  So if you have some BTC from way back and convert some into (say) LTC, there is a gain that is taxable if what you paid originally is converted now into something that is more valuable in the transaction.

There is good software to help with this.  

Where LFC is OK, is that if you are just a hodler and have never traded you are ok, as you have never realised the gains; so no CGT is due.  If you do trade into anything else (buy Lambo with BTC, buy some alts etc) it's a capital gain if the value realised is worth more than you originally paid.

Another reason to HODL, for the UK-based OGs...

https://cointracking.info/

Accept BTCitcoin payment, but it has free version up to 200 transactions.

CoinTracking - Profit/Loss Portfolio and Tax Reporting for Digital Currencies

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=220238

Actually I did try this one last year and I found it was OK on US, not so on UK.

This one is more expensive - but it did my tax return last year and was worth every cent:

IMHO - this one is superb:  https://www.cointracker.io

[JayJuanGee]

I am more interested in the price zone between $15k and $17.5k.   Let's see how that zone does?  We need an observational study of that zone.

Hate to (partially) disagree, but I think that zone wont last long on the first (sorry, actually second) visit.  As I said before, the resistance at 14k is so strong that price will either stay below for months, or break out and make a quick run for the ATH.

However, it is after the 20k is challenged that any support in the 14k to 20k zone could be formed.

I do admit that the technicals can be outweighed by events, especially in times of economic turmoil, but they will always have their effect. It's rather like statistics, there can always be another adjustment for factors which were not apparent in the original data.

I will take your asserted prognosis with a decently-sized grain of salt.

Sure, I am far from certain whether BTC is ready to break above $14k, yet, but there are decent chances that we could break into such $15k to $17.5k price arena and then drop back down.

I surely am not asserting that there are not going to be various resistance points along the way towards breaking above ATHs again or even that it might not take a good number of efforts to get above certain price points while experiencing up to to 30% to 50% corrections along the way, too.  All of those are within the range of normal price moves with such a nascent asset class like bitcoin - and part of the reason that a lot of your more seemingly bearish scenarios that seem to decently heavily rely upon technicalities that are likely modeled on more mature market behaviors of centralized industries that even if they have exponential growth, they are still not to the same paradigm shifting price pressures that BTC is likely experiencing that provide it with much more upwards price fuel than your formulas and technicals give credit....

In other words, honey badger might well be saying fuck you to those technicals on a number of future occasions, just like she has done in a decent number of past times.  We will see... we will see.  Neither my financials nor my psychology rely upon such Upwards BTC price movement, and I am certainly prepared for either direction, including if bitcoin were to fall into a more boring flat scenario which probably technicals like yours would give a much higher probability to such scenarios than I believe is really in the likely cards for our baby BTC.

By the way, a little factual correction, when we break into the $15k to $17.5k zone, this will be our third time, to the extent that I would tentatively consider the six weeks around the $19,666 ATH to have been two breaks above $14k based on a correction that brought BTC down to $11k-ish after it had already reached $19,666 and then made it back up to $17.2k before finally succumbing to the relatively long and drawn out correction that led to our December 2018 low of $3,122 - which I would concede to have had been a bear market - maybe a mini-bear market as it is turning out to be, but surely we were there for a bit of time before reversing back into our current bull market.

[JayJuanGee]

[edited out]

Also the very wealthy status is very different from people to people, some see X-amount as pretty wealthy others need ten times more ... I don't know for other people, but for myself being wealthy means not stopping with working, but being able to work/preform to do what you wanna do, for example if i'm a big dog lover and i'm able to buy a big piece of land in a country that I wish to live in and live there with taking care of those animals without the need to worry about any financial stuff thats being wealthy, as for elwar being busy with seasteading without to worry thats being wealthy, if I would like to live as a perma vacation guy and living on the beach with a cocktail bar renting out jetski's or whatever .... or 1000 of different thing as long there are no financial struggles thats being wealthy imo

Another category is being filthy rich, in here you are wealthy and able to just keep buying whatever gadget you want without any financial struggle, fly where ever you like, invest in every people you like, sleep at the only most expensive places etc

But not everyone is seeking for the same wealth/happiness as others .... People are very different in there seeking for wealth, as I know many almost everyone dreaming of the filthy rich status, but when they reached it then it will not always satisfy there true needs and there life become pointless very easy....

People always will need some kind of purpose cause being filthy reach and the life of only party will get boring AF to.... especially when a 20-30 rich AF dude blows his life away partying to then become 50-60-70 years old and look back to his pointless life with probably non female to truly love him.... Many die old and alone bitter and without any true happiness, so keep having goals in life not only the goal of reaching money wealth but do something with the gained wealth that will satisfy your life on daily base

As far as the level of rich that is needed to be able to live passively on your wealth, that is a matter of living within your means.  You can do that with $1,000 per month and some people might need $3k, $6k, $10k or more in order to feel that they have either a sufficient income or a sufficient cushion.  So any of those income amounts could allow NOT having to work depending on what part of the world you live and what kind of expenses that you have on a regular basis including what kinds of luxuries that you want to enjoy.  So, yeah, anytime that you can maintain yourself on passive income that means that you do not have to work, and any work that you do would be by choice.

Regarding filthy rich, we already batted around a lot of differing conceptions about the difference between regular rich and filthy rich, so I am not sure whether it would be fruitful to do that again, but there could be some societal expectations involved I suppose in that when you would join a kind of minority club status regarding the exceedingly high level of your rich.. maybe that would cross into filthy status?

Regarding fulfilling life that seems to be more of a psychological thing than a money thing.... Most people might agree that money does not necessarily buy happiness, but probably it takes a lot of the burdens away that could allow for more happiness, and perhaps our hookers, lambos and blow would not quite achieve happiness by themselves....   Some of us will likely need to be guinea pigs in a kind of experiment to have to test some of those theories to be able to really get some better ideas about whether we become more happy with those things or we feel unfulfilled.

[El duderino_]

Bitcoin at $1: it'll never go to $10.

Bitcoin at $10: it'll never go to $100.

Bitcoin at $100: it'll never go to $1000.

Bitcoin at $1000: it'll never go to $10,000.

Bitcoin at $10,000: it'll never go to $100,000.

Never say never.

https://twitter.com/onemanatatime/status/1157636997206253568?s=21

Always one of best reminders

[JayJuanGee]

600k+ $BTC by Sept 2021 if we copy the 2015-2017 price action 😎🚀

#Bitcoin2019 #bitcoin


https://twitter.com/Crypto_Tone1/status/1158361271022030848?s=20

When people getting overly Bullish and talking my language

Lol fuck off mic!
That is seriously overly bullish although just imagine  

Edit - Whoever pulled the flush again - You are dead to me 

That is less bullish than McAfee.  Remember McAfee prediction 1:  BTC to $500k by end of 2020.   McAfee prediction 2:  BTC to $1 million by end of 2020.