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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 62

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26364591 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
UnDerDoG81
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May 24, 2020, 06:52:56 PM

Whats the price miners will give up and BTC dies? I wonder if these greedy people let BTC collapse just to make profit.
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Globb0
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May 24, 2020, 06:55:26 PM
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Whats the price miners will give up and BTC dies? I wonder if these greedy people let BTC collapse just to make profit.

I think they will give up around 8k best to sell everything

A good technical analyst mindrust told me its going to zero
Biodom
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May 24, 2020, 06:55:47 PM
Last edit: May 24, 2020, 07:06:03 PM by Biodom

Whats the price miners will give up and BTC dies? I wonder if these greedy people let BTC collapse just to make profit.
I have no idea what you are talking about.

BTW, according to the 2016 "fractal", we might have a 30% draw-down from high before resuming the bull market.
So, I penciled in 7000ish (plus minus $500) as a possibility. If not, excellent as well, I don't want to scare the newbies and/or children.
Globb0
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May 24, 2020, 06:57:33 PM

Stop shilling your coin Biodom
Biodom
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May 24, 2020, 07:03:26 PM

Stop shilling your coin Biodom

my coin? you mean btc, I hope  Grin
JayJuanGee
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May 24, 2020, 07:03:51 PM

Hertz has filed for Chapter 11

Damn. And Rickards told me to short _Avis_. Oh well.

If you are short on something and it folds? do you lose anyway?

I can never remember which it is but longs or shorts you have to make a buy to exit at market price? or both

Forgive my lack of comprehension. I probably read it here over the years and lost the fine detail.


1.  When you are short, you sell for $X and hope to rebuy it at a lower price.  Your profit is $X - your buy price - fees and charges.  

2. If you are short something and it folds, then it is complicated because you have sold it and still have the obligation to buy it.  It may have a zero value but if it is suspended from trading then you can’t buy it.  Which is awkward.  So unfortunately the answer is “it depends” on the terms of the trade you entered into which is probably set out in the Exchange rules.  This is a trap for young players.

I am no expert about any of this, either, which is maybe causing me to be overly confused by your explanation 2.

Let's stay with the example of a short, for now:  I thought that Globb0 was suggesting a situation in which a trader wants to get out of short prior to getting force out of it (presumably a trader gets forced out when the BTC price moves too far up before the trader can close the position).

So, for the sake of attempting to learn MOAR better (hypothetical) let's also assume some terms of a recent BTC trade, let's say on May 21, a trader was convinced that BTC prices were going down to below $8,500 or lower before the BTC price goes above $9,200, so that trader enters a fairly aggressive position to short 1BTC at $8,800-ish, with a plan to close that short at around $8,500 - but will be willing to ride out such short under certain circumstances or to close such short earlier if the BTC price does not reach $8,500 as expected.  So the level of confidence causes the shorter to leverage in such a way that he would be forced to close his short at $9,300 and lose his whole BTC- so feeling some confidence that he has a cushion between $9,200 and $9,300 because he does not expect the BTC price to go above $9,200 before it at least goes down to $8,500.

The BTC price ends up moving against this trader's short, and on May 23, he gets nervous that he is going to be forced to close at $9,300 and lose his whole BTC, so instead he manually closes the short at $9,250.  I am thinking that he just closes and loses most of his position but not all of it.  Maybe he loses 80% rather than 100%?  Globb0 seemed to have been asking whether the trader has to buy into the trade to close early, but I am thinking that the trader had already put up all of the collateral that he needed, so if he decides to close early, it is just a matter of where he closes that determines how much he is going to lose, but he does not have to put any more BTC into his trade because whatever he does is already been put up as collateral.

My whole point in bringing this up, Hairy, is because I thought that your answer was only addressing the more extreme situation of being forced out of the position when I thought that Globb0 was trying to explore the extent of the negative impact on a trader (or perhaps if a trader could save himself some money) when the trader decides to close out early rather than being forced out of his position.



No I wasn't saying exit early. it was an question about the absolute. You come to exit but you cant

Fair enough.... I did not know that there was such a situation that could arise, and accordingly, then maybe Hairy had answered your question for that kind of a scenario.

Seems that my hypothetical revision of the question then would have ended up being for me, then.  I still would not mind an answer to my revised and seemingly misplaced question.

Whats the price miners will give up and BTC dies? I wonder if these greedy people let BTC collapse just to make profit.

I think they will give up around 8k best to sell everything

A good technical analyst mindrust told me its going to zero

Hahahahaha..

Actually better to just sell now... Why wait for $8k when currently you can sell for $8,960-ish?
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May 24, 2020, 07:06:41 PM

Whats the price miners will give up and BTC dies? I wonder if these greedy people let BTC collapse just to make profit.
I have no idea what you are talking about.

BTW, according to the 2016 "fractal", we might have a 30% draw-down from high before resuming the bull market.
So, I penciled in 7000ish (plus minus $500) as a possibility. If not, excellent as well.


There is a price point where mining does not make any sense/profit because the mining itself is more expensive than the price of the coin.
Last of the V8s
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May 24, 2020, 07:12:14 PM
Merited by gentlemand (9), LFC_Bitcoin (7), El duderino_ (3), VB1001 (2), Hueristic (1), Raja_MBZ (1)

Gentlemen forget about the price for a moment as I owe you an apology, having shitposted, or maybe shatpost, my way to 1006 over 9000 posts in your august forum.
Any apology would be hollow however, intending as I do to continue such shitpostery to the very moon.



Thank you all for enabling me in my habit, and of course xhomerx10 for the superb hat.
JayJuanGee
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May 24, 2020, 07:14:23 PM

Whats the price miners will give up and BTC dies? I wonder if these greedy people let BTC collapse just to make profit.
I have no idea what you are talking about.

BTW, according to the 2016 "fractal", we might have a 30% draw-down from high before resuming the bull market.
So, I penciled in 7000ish (plus minus $500) as a possibility. If not, excellent as well.


There is a price point where mining does not make any sense/profit because the mining itself is more expensive than the price of the coin.

Have you heard about BTC's difficulty adjustment?

It's a little thingie-ma-jiggie that happens about every two weeks, every 2016 blocks to be more exact.

You might want to look into that difficulty adjustment thingie... before getting your panties into a twist regarding played out nonsense downward spiraling mining theories.
Biodom
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May 24, 2020, 07:16:48 PM

Whats the price miners will give up and BTC dies? I wonder if these greedy people let BTC collapse just to make profit.
I have no idea what you are talking about.

BTW, according to the 2016 "fractal", we might have a 30% draw-down from high before resuming the bull market.
So, I penciled in 7000ish (plus minus $500) as a possibility. If not, excellent as well.


There is a price point where mining does not make any sense/profit because the mining itself is more expensive than the price of the coin.

No, there is no such number because the difficulty adjusts lower dynamically once marginally profitable or unprofitable miners exit.
It does not make sense for some to mine at a certain price point at the current difficulty, but it does not mean that it is true for MOST at any particular difficulty.
Last of the V8s
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May 24, 2020, 07:33:13 PM

to whit:
UnDerDoG81
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May 24, 2020, 07:49:17 PM

Whats the price miners will give up and BTC dies? I wonder if these greedy people let BTC collapse just to make profit.
I have no idea what you are talking about.

BTW, according to the 2016 "fractal", we might have a 30% draw-down from high before resuming the bull market.
So, I penciled in 7000ish (plus minus $500) as a possibility. If not, excellent as well.


There is a price point where mining does not make any sense/profit because the mining itself is more expensive than the price of the coin.

No, there is no such number because the difficulty adjusts lower dynamically once marginally profitable or unprofitable miners exit.
It does not make sense for some to mine at a certain price point at the current difficulty, but it does not mean that it is true for MOST at any particular difficulty.

Allright, thats new to me.
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May 24, 2020, 07:49:27 PM



Side note: It's OVER 9000!!!!!
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May 24, 2020, 07:52:56 PM
Merited by bitebits (1)

Allright, thats new to me.

Are you, um, feeling OK?

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May 24, 2020, 07:58:38 PM
Merited by Hueristic (1)

Vegeta can fuck off!
He’s bored the fuck out of me for a long time & also cost me about 0.15BTC.

Wake me up at over $11,000.
UnDerDoG81
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May 24, 2020, 08:04:54 PM

Allright, thats new to me.

Are you, um, feeling OK?



Yeah invested since 2014 but thats it.
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May 24, 2020, 08:21:02 PM

Look we get it. 9000. Vegeta. over. under, hahhaha very fucking funny

but everyone knows the minute it goes above ten two it's going to 17k within ten days

so let's get on with it, we will find new and more stimulating memes to fuck with the ATH levels
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May 24, 2020, 08:23:29 PM
Last edit: May 24, 2020, 08:38:12 PM by Biodom

btc is fighting off the annoying pest Vegeta...

How about your dark core score?
https://getpocket.com/explore/item/the-dark-core-of-personality

The actual test is here:
http://qst.darkfactor.org

Not predicting anything for WO, but I am slightly on the dark side (took a shorter variant), lol.
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May 24, 2020, 08:28:37 PM

Good evening WO! It was a long evening for me with Poker hands. Managed to finish at 4th.

Watching @ $8,986
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May 24, 2020, 08:32:31 PM
Last edit: May 14, 2023, 05:04:32 PM by BitcoinGirl.Club

That homeboy with extreme luck knocked me out finally.


This guy possibly gone over 10 to 15 times ALL-In and survived until at the end:

LOL Trofo
You gone ALL IN with some low cards?

He ended second but I gotta tell you guys that I have never seen such lucky partner in a poker table. Whatever he was doing, it was going in his favor.
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