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Question: What happens first:
$65,000 - 59 (86.8%)
$48,000 - 9 (13.2%)
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26336924 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (170 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
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July 02, 2020, 08:02:25 AM


We need only $790 ish pump everyday for next 30 days, so easy peasy... Wink
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There are several different types of Bitcoin clients. The most secure are full nodes like Bitcoin Core, which will follow the rules of the network no matter what miners do. Even if every miner decided to create 1000 bitcoins per block, full nodes would stick to the rules and reject those blocks.
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All good things to those who wait


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July 02, 2020, 08:43:07 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1), Paashaas (1)

[editet out]

Well, JJG, I will say it. I'm jealous. Jealous of you, and many other early adopters, and most of the WO brothers. Jealous in a good way. I love you all (no homo) and wish you the very best. As much as I understand the inner workings of Bitcoin (and that was the main force that drove me to it), I can't help but admitting that I could have done better. Much better. I had the fiat. Lots of fiat. A good part of which I used to buy BTC. But not when I should have. I waited, and ended up buying much less than I could have bought. Sometimes we must take risks. And not just take risks, but take them at the right time. Because if you time it wrongly, you end up risking more for less. So, hats off to you guys 'n' gals, you deserve it.

It's cash. That's the beauty of it. You don't need to know who I am, I don't need to know who you are. Add to this the ability to transact over-the-air, via a channel that only needs to be able to transfer information, and you're entering Star Trek territory. You're Captain Kirk and I'm Scotty and we're thousands of miles away from each other and we're beaming up cash to each other. It's as clean and pure as it gets. And the more you understand how it all works, the more it sucks you in. It's like a beautiful woman you just can't take your eyes off of. And she wants you too. She accepts you for who you are...

No, I'm not smoking leaves from the elephant garden, although it sounds like it. The second time I felt so excited about something was when I watched a BBC documentary about Fermat's Last Theorem. The next day I called BBC and asked for the transcript (there was no YouTube at the time), which they kindly sent me. Such mathematical theorems may sound boring and pointless to most of us, but they really are maps. They're mapping the universe. It's like being in a pitch-black room without a single clue of what's inside. So you start to feel the objects, forming some images in your mind, of their shapes, their function, their significance. And at some rare moments during the course of this exploration, a brilliant mind comes along and flicks a switch, which illuminates part of the room, helping you see the treasures that exist right next to you, waiting to be harnessed, to be understood. Satoshi Nakamoto helped illuminate part of that room and gave us this brilliant mathematical construct called Bitcoin. That's the way I see it anyway...

As for Lambos, hookers and blow, this is something that may happen, but not just yet. Not for me. My stash's current value is far too small to be spending it on such indulgences. Their time will come, but we're (I'm) not there just yet. Regardless of where this path will lead us, though, I feel lucky and blessed to be part of this. Let the riches come when they should (fully agree with your "why not both" comment), but let that not be a target, but a consequence.

I can relate to that. When I decided to go full in Sept 2017, I realized the risk that I try to catch a train at the last station from where it won't go any further. But I took the risk and don't regret about my choice. I think it is obvious that the exponential growth from below $1 to 20K$ in 8 years is not possible to be repeated in our lifetime. Back then even one buyer with several hundred bucks could drive the price up by 10%. Honestly, I find the expectations for future growth, by comparing to the previous peaks, ridiculous. Including Plan B, C or whatever. I think that in the years to come, we can realistically expect a new ATH between $40K and $50K. It is still possible to have a peak above 100K, but it would be brief. For prices in $300K-400K area we should probably wait another 4-5 years. Overall, if anyone entered like me at prices around $4-5K, in 8 years the profit would probably be like 100x, compared to > 20 000x for the same time interval 2009-2017. Of course, itt is still a very good profit to live with. The problem is that Bitcoin can do anything else with the same probability in the years to come. Nothing is guaranteed. Probably the best idea is to cash out something on the way up as an insurance of another long bear market.
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July 02, 2020, 08:47:23 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)


We need only $790 ish pump everyday for next 30 days, so easy peasy... Wink

2016 (Halving): $660
2016 (EOY): $1000
2017 (Q4): ATH

2020 (Halving): $8500
2020 (EOY): $13,000 <-- Predicted
2021 (Q4): $30,000 <-- Predicted

I find the above SOMA predictions quite conservative.
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July 02, 2020, 09:32:22 AM
Merited by Paashaas (1)


We need only $790 ish pump everyday for next 30 days, so easy peasy... Wink

2016 (Halving): $660
2016 (EOY): $1000
2017 (Q4): ATH

2020 (Halving): $8500
2020 (EOY): $13,000 <-- Predicted
2021 (Q4): $30,000 <-- Predicted

I find the above SOMA predictions quite conservative.

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July 02, 2020, 10:03:36 AM
Merited by Paashaas (1)

Bitcoin - Volume Profile Fixed Range Analysis & Seasonality
Quote
Quote
Volume Profile Fixed Range Analysis
Takeaways:
1. The previous dominant trend direction moving into the beginning of the year can help in determining the direction of that year's trend.
2. Consolidation (range) occurs at High Volume Nodes and can determine the direction of the emerging trend.
3. Price has largely Distributed throughout 2018 the Accumulation of 2016/17.
4. Price has yet to Distribute the Accumulation of 2019. This is evidenced by the violent rejection from Accumulation in 2020.
5. Price is currently in an uptrend entering an HVN . Likelihood of re-accumulation and continuation of the uptrend.

Although the prediction was made 18 hours ago, I think looking back over the past few years, it seems that Bitcoin will pump up a lot again, hitting around USD $ 22500.

Source: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/2g6DLkmQ-Bitcoin-Volume-Profile-Fixed-Range-Analysis-Seasonality/
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July 02, 2020, 10:12:04 AM


We need only $790 ish pump everyday for next 30 days, so easy peasy... Wink

2016 (Halving): $660
2016 (EOY): $1000
2017 (Q4): ATH

2020 (Halving): $8500
2020 (EOY): $13,000 <-- Predicted
2021 (Q4): $30,000 <-- Predicted

I find the above SOMA predictions quite conservative.

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July 02, 2020, 10:21:35 AM


We need only $790 ish pump everyday for next 30 days, so easy peasy... Wink

2016 (Halving): $660
2016 (EOY): $1000
2017 (Q4): ATH

2020 (Halving): $8500
2020 (EOY): $13,000 <-- Predicted
2021 (Q4): $30,000 <-- Predicted

I find the above SOMA predictions quite conservative.

Bear  Tongue

No panic bro price pump soon $ 22600- $ 32700 We hope to see something better soon.
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July 02, 2020, 10:53:36 AM

I'm a bit worried about Bawb, this is really alarming: https://apps.texastribune.org/features/2020/texas-coronavirus-cases-map/?_ga=2.5304819.1159550180.1593644808-1137361237.1593644808  Sad
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July 02, 2020, 11:01:58 AM


We need only $790 ish pump everyday for next 30 days, so easy peasy... Wink

2016 (Halving): $660
2016 (EOY): $1000
2017 (Q4): ATH

2020 (Halving): $8500
2020 (EOY): $13,000 <-- Predicted
2021 (Q4): $30,000 <-- Predicted

I find the above SOMA predictions quite conservative.

Bear  Tongue

Yeah, it is... Doing a direct up-scaling from the 2016 halving, we get this:

2016 (Halving): $660
2016 (EOY): $1000
2017 (Q4): $20,000 (ATH)

2020 (Halving): $8500
2020 (EOY): $13,000 <-- Direct up-scaling
2021 (Q4): $260,000 <-- Direct up-scaling

Better?

I just don't believe 2017's ATH mega-pump can happen so fast this time...

I'm quite happy with the green prices. Slow 'n' steady.
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July 02, 2020, 11:25:54 AM

2020 (Halving): $8500
2020 (EOY): $13,000 <-- Predicted
2021 (Q4): $30,000 <-- Predicted

2020 (Halving): $8500
2020 (EOY): $13,000 <-- Direct up-scaling
2021 (Q4): $260,000 <-- Direct up-scaling

Better?

I just don't believe 2017's ATH mega-pump can happen so fast this time...

I'm quite happy with the green prices. Slow 'n' steady.

My SOMA numbers are like this:

2020 EOY: ATH (21-25k)
2021: 250k-450k   
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July 02, 2020, 11:28:47 AM


We need only $790 ish pump everyday for next 30 days, so easy peasy... Wink

2016 (Halving): $660
2016 (EOY): $1000
2017 (Q4): ATH

2020 (Halving): $8500
2020 (EOY): $13,000 <-- Predicted
2021 (Q4): $30,000 <-- Predicted

I find the above SOMA predictions quite conservative.

Bear  Tongue
Better send some Beer Wink Cheesy Grin
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July 02, 2020, 11:35:49 AM
Merited by BobLawblaw (1)

2020 (Halving): $8500
2020 (EOY): $13,000 <-- Predicted
2021 (Q4): $30,000 <-- Predicted

2020 (Halving): $8500
2020 (EOY): $13,000 <-- Direct up-scaling
2021 (Q4): $260,000 <-- Direct up-scaling

Better?

I just don't believe 2017's ATH mega-pump can happen so fast this time...

I'm quite happy with the green prices. Slow 'n' steady.

My SOMA numbers are like this:

2020 EOY: ATH (21-25k)
2021: 250k-450k   

Fucking hell boys, do you genuinely think so?

Dunno what I’d do with that much money  Cool
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July 02, 2020, 12:05:10 PM

Imagine that drop from $250k all the way down to $40k. Tongue
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July 02, 2020, 12:05:57 PM

2020 (Halving): $8500
2020 (EOY): $13,000 <-- Predicted
2021 (Q4): $30,000 <-- Predicted

2020 (Halving): $8500
2020 (EOY): $13,000 <-- Direct up-scaling
2021 (Q4): $260,000 <-- Direct up-scaling

Better?

I just don't believe 2017's ATH mega-pump can happen so fast this time...

I'm quite happy with the green prices. Slow 'n' steady.

My SOMA numbers are like this:

2020 EOY: ATH (21-25k)
2021: 250k-450k   

Fucking hell boys, do you genuinely think so?

Dunno what I’d do with that much money  Cool

$250k would be very much appreciated  Wink
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July 02, 2020, 12:12:56 PM
Merited by Paashaas (1)

Imagine that drop from $250k all the way down to $40k. Tongue

Have to keep a big amount of fiat on an exchange ready to try & get the bottom & buy some back
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July 02, 2020, 01:08:13 PM

2020 (Halving): $8500
2020 (EOY): $13,000 <-- Predicted
2021 (Q4): $30,000 <-- Predicted

2020 (Halving): $8500
2020 (EOY): $13,000 <-- Direct up-scaling
2021 (Q4): $260,000 <-- Direct up-scaling

Better?

I just don't believe 2017's ATH mega-pump can happen so fast this time...

I'm quite happy with the green prices. Slow 'n' steady.

My SOMA numbers are like this:

2020 EOY: ATH (21-25k)
2021: 250k-450k   

Man, if this happens I'll eat my d... No!

OK, I admit defeat. $250k+ in one year. I like this!
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July 02, 2020, 01:44:27 PM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (2)

Imagine that drop from $250k all the way down to $40k. Tongue

I can only see a massive panic-FOMO-buying when that event happens
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July 02, 2020, 01:45:34 PM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (2), fillippone (2), infofront (1)

..and in that desirable moment of 250k.. have you thought on how to cash out??

If that ever happens, it will be nice to know how to materialize the money out of thin air.

Seychelles.. Panama.. Portugal?? You know.. i'm only asking for a friend who is planning his holidays..

btw, i came across this blog by Stephan Livera
(Bitcoin Tax Strategies) https://stephanlivera.com/episode/183/
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July 02, 2020, 01:48:13 PM

..and in that desirable moment of 250k.. have you thought on how to cash out??

If that ever happens, it will be nice to know how to materialize the money out of thin air.

Seychelles.. Panama.. Portugal?? You know.. i'm only asking for a friend who is planning his holidays..

btw, i came across this blog by Stephan Livera
(Bitcoin Tax Strategies) https://stephanlivera.com/episode/183/

Somewhere exotic that’s a tax haven, perhaps near South America, the finest cocaine, beautiful women, cocktails.
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July 02, 2020, 01:54:02 PM

Still buying most consumer goods with BTC via purse.  
However if there were no fiat discount to do so, there'd be no incentive. So basically, Roger is responsible for my continued spending of BTC since resurrecting purse. See, goofballs can still be useful.
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