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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
7/14 - 0 (0%)
7/21 - 1 (0.9%)
7/28 - 11 (10.1%)
8/4 - 16 (14.7%)
8/11 - 7 (6.4%)
8/18 - 6 (5.5%)
8/25 - 8 (7.3%)
After August - 60 (55%)
Total Voters: 109

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26466269 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Richy_T
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May 24, 2021, 02:03:51 PM

Newegg is offering a 10% discount if you buy with virtual coins today.

Unfortunately, the only hardware I'm in the market for right now is a GPU and they're all out of stock because crypto.
luckygenough56
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May 24, 2021, 02:13:24 PM

Newegg is offering a 10% discount if you buy with virtual coins today.

Unfortunately, the only hardware I'm in the market for right now is a GPU and they're all out of stock because crypto.
Gaming laptops everywhere

but desktop gpus rip
heslo
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May 24, 2021, 02:19:15 PM

Newegg is offering a 10% discount if you buy with virtual coins today.

Unfortunately, the only hardware I'm in the market for right now is a GPU and they're all out of stock because crypto.

Man, aren't the prices insane?!? I'm so glad I snagged a 3080 on launch night at RRP. In my country they're going for nearly triple what I paid for my card
cAPSLOCK
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May 24, 2021, 02:22:50 PM



I really kind of like Pal.

But his arrogant "You maxis are toxic and should welcome other ideas" nonsense was pretty strong right before the dump.

I wonder if he came around at all yet, or will just hold the line.
luckygenough56
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May 24, 2021, 02:34:43 PM

oh and by the way, you know what i think about all those sneaky dickhead investors who supposedly buy in the top of an on going bullrun, they just messing with us to boost the run. I mean no investors in their right mind would do that it's their job to know when to invest, you can bet they bought at 3k and below, it's just common sense.
El duderino_
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May 24, 2021, 02:34:57 PM


https://twitter.com/_jonasschnelli_/status/1396534511752552449?s=21
JayJuanGee
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May 24, 2021, 02:37:16 PM


<snipped a bunch of nonsense>


Could you stop clinging and following me around? Put me on ignore or something, otherwise it feels like stalking.
You see zero value in my posts, I see negative value in yours, both in style and substance.
Let's agree on this and and stop cross posting.

I expect an answer and then I will not directly respond to anything you utter as long as you do the same.

Deal?

No


in such case, you are going to be IGNORED from now on.
keep posting bullshit (or is it horseshit?) though, it seems to be entertaining to others.

Oh poor me.    Cry Cry Cry

I have already found that you are tending to post quite a bit of nonsense in this public thread.. I am not clear if it is increasing overall or just during certain times where you ramp up the nonsense to proclaim the BTC price is going down further when it already went down 53% in a bull market.. does that make any senses?  

Anywhoo.. , to the extent that I determine to respond to your largely lack of insight wanna be  soothsayer posts, I will continue to do so.  

By the way, why would I care if I receive any interactions from uie puie, unless there might be some way that you could clarify a misunderstanding, but in recent times, you have not been too much into clarifying anyhow, except to reiterate your mostly nonsense or to devolve into irrelevant off topic ideas about what kind of person I might happen to be.... that helps, right?  

In that regard, you already frequently have not really been responding substantively anyhow, so probably it will go better without having you respond to just further muddy with baloney on what nonsense you had already spewed.
UnDerDoG81
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May 24, 2021, 02:40:28 PM

Alts pumping hard. Is this trustable or a trap and we see it bleed out tomorrow again.

Yesterday I checked for the new Mercedes C AMG Cabrio 2021. Affordable nice car. But after checking my wallet I cancelled that thought  Cheesy

This dump teached me one thing. Take fucking profits. Since 2013 I never took a single cent of profit. Unfortunately the greed in the brain gets out of control during pumps. You say "just a bit more just a bit more it's going to 6 digits for sure just be patient" and then you watch your portfolio dumping down 50%+. Cashing out 10% at 60k would have given me better sleep the last 3 nights.
Gatorelf
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May 24, 2021, 02:42:10 PM

oh and by the way, you know what i think about all those sneaky dickhead investors who supposedly buy in the top of an on going bullrun, they just messing with us to boost the run. I mean no investors in their right mind would do that it's their job to know when to invest, you can bet they bought at 3k and below, it's just common sense.

you can bet the house if they mention they are in, they have been in a while
lightfoot
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May 24, 2021, 02:44:26 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (6), LoyceV (4), JayJuanGee (1)

Alts pumping hard. Is this trustable or a trap and we see it bleed out tomorrow again.

Yesterday I checked for the new Mercedes C AMG Cabrio 2021. Affordable nice car. But after checking my wallet I cancelled that thought  Cheesy

This dump teached me one thing. Take fucking profits. Since 2013 I never took a single cent of profit. Unfortunately the greed in the brain gets out of control during pumps. You say "just a bit more just a bit more it's going to 6 digits for sure just be patient" and then you watch your portfolio dumping down 50%+. Cashing out 10% at 60k would have given me better sleep the last 3 nights.

I always recommend taking a little off the top. Even a few K, that way when it falls you can think "Oh I got a bit of money out at the high point, no big deal". Don't dump the whole wad of course, but just enough to make you happy and keep your financial ship afloat.

This... is just normal bitcoin noise. And if I had to sell a few K at 35k the world wouldn't come to an end either.
JayJuanGee
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May 24, 2021, 02:47:27 PM
Merited by LoyceV (5), El duderino_ (2), vapourminer (1), macson (1)

This thread is about observing walls but is entertaining and a bit sad there are even legendary members that still don't seem to get it, selling bitcoin for fiat. That sugar rush of a few extra dollars gained will soon fade while the pain of not having bitcoins will last and increase forever.

Seems a bit of a strong statement to presume that guys need to be focusing ONLY on bitcoin when not only do we live in a fiat dominated world, there are all kinds of timeline and individualistic considerations, too.

Accordingly, there are ways to appreciate bitcoin as the best investment that the world has ever seen but still to balance that investment - so perhaps how any person might consider this matter might have to do with how much of their wealth might already be tied up into bitcoin and even own personal circumstances.  Think about the matter.  Sure, you may need or want other things based on your own personal circumstances, but don't be fucking judging other peeps because they draw lines in differing places.

Let's create a hypothetical that can be tweaked.. but here goes:

Let's say a person had around $500k in wealth in 2012, and that person had a goal to minimally try to achieve a million in 8-10 years which may not be total fuck you status but would put such person in a pretty decent financial position.  Such person heard about bitcoin around that time, so decided to diversify some of his investment into bitcoin.. just to see how it plays out.. but did not want to risk too much on such pie in the sky bitcoin thingie.. so decides to put 1% of his wealth into bitcoin, which would be about $5,000.    By the time, he made all the transactions and paid the fees, the $5k ends up buying him 500BTC (at $10 per BTC).  

Such person considers that he is going to attempt to be mostly hands off about his BTC investment but to trade it a bit and to maybe try to make some additional money that way, too.  Between 2012 and 2015, he notices that his traditional investment had gone up to about $700k and he was able to fold some of his trades into dollars and continue to stack dollar investments, but his BTC investment had gone up to about $250 per coin, but his stash of BTC had gone down to 250 BTC.  His 25x which would have been about $62,500  ($250 x 250BTC).  

He recognized that his trading BTC was not really increasing his BTC stash.. and even though he was able to fold some of his BTC profits into dollars, he was going to stop fucking around with his BTC.  He noticed that his BTC was in a kind of price trough for most of 2015.. so he decides to put another $12,500 into BTC.. so instead of having 250 BTC he would up his BTC to 300 BTC and mostly just leave his BTC at 300 for the coming years and just see how the whole thing plays out.  

In some sense he feels that he has overinvested in BTC because by 2015 the BTC price has been down for about a year, but he would just let the matter sit for a few years and see how it plays out.  

By the time, 2021 comes along, maybe his traditional investment had ended up performing pretty well and it is at around $1million (maybe even more than a million and even approaching his earlier fuck you status levels), but he sees with inflation and several of the problems in the world including the future world, he has to move his fuck you status up to minimally starting at $2million.. just to have a wee bit more cushion to alleviate some of his stress.. and provide a bit more financial comfort.  

So, if he is just looking at his traditional investments, they are not quite helping him to get over his fuck you status threshold, even though he feels that those traditional investments are doing decently well in the whole scheme of things.  He looks at his BTC, and sees that they are valued at around $12million (300 BTC x $40k).   Sure there are ways that the guy can recognize potential downside of the BTC, but largely his BTC has become a pretty damned large percentage of his overall wealth, and it is really 12x the size of his wealth that is fitting in the traditional categories, even though he did not invest much more than 1% of his wealth into BTC it has magnified to becoming 12x of all his wealth in the other traditional categories combined.

Accordingly, why lecture guys.. legendary or not about selling some of their BTC?

Personally, I see no fucking problem for a guy in such a scenario (which is actually more than reasonable to have had happened to some OGs in this thread - not saying that anything like that happened to yours truly, but I can imagine it happening to some peeps).  Accordingly, for a guy like that to cash out some of his BTC and to live a bit instead of focusing on BTC ONLY blah blah blah seems to be a good and valuable thing and a real world thing.. rather than pie in the sky ideology about some nonsense detachment from a real world in which you can get a lot of satisfaction by purchasing goods and services in stinky dollars.  They might not hold their value, but you can still get things through such dollars.  

Sure, maybe the guy could have just gotten stuck with a much smaller stack of 100BTC, but he would still have a similar situation to ONLY have $4million in BTC value at this time.. but in our actual hypothetical, at this time, he has 300 BTC and he has $12million in value...,

In any event, there should be no problem for him to shave a wee bit of BTC off and whether he shaves 10 BTC off at $30k ($300k) or he shaves 10 BTC off at $60k ($600k), he might give few shits either way...

He could also shave off 30BTC and have few problems with reducing his BTC stash by 10% - that would be 30 BTC off at $30k ($900k) or he shaves 30 BTC off at $60k ($1.8 million).

Even after those shavings, this guy still has built a good investment in BTC, and he remains pretty damned comfortable in his traditional investments too, but his BTC has way out performed his traditional investments and even if he shaves off a decent quantity of BTC at amounts within his discretion and based on his own circumstances including considering his cashflow, timeline, risk tolerance and perhaps a few other factors, even with such shaveings of profits, he still would have plenty of allocations in both BTC and in traditional assets.. and maybe he would be able to enjoy some hookers, lambos, blow and maybe even a nice place by the lake or on a ranch without even hardly putting much of a dent in the bank..

Of course, some goods and services are going to hold their value better than other goods and services, and so there will be some discretion in terms of does he feel some desires that his wealth continues to grow (does he have enough) or does he want to consume a bit.. which may deplete both his current wealth status or his potential for future growth, but he might give few shits.. especially if he had a goal of having $2million in personal wealth by 2021, but he currently has $12million or so just in his BTC.. so, just in his BTC there is $10million more than he feels that he needs (again, his discretion regarding how much he believes he needs presently or into the future).

Does my hypothetical seem pie in the sky or not?  Of course, you can reduce the quantities, or you can reduce the timeline, so maybe there are quite a few guys who have a way shorter time that they have been in BTC, and maybe they have ONLY gotten in BTC since 2016, 2017 or some other shorter time period, so they have not been able to build up so much BTC, but they could still have some similar potentiality in terms of the future growth of their BTC, and once they get beyond their personal targets whether that be $2million in value or otherwise, then of course they can still continue to hold BTC, but they might want to shave off some profits too... and how the fuck are they going to value their wealth?  you think dollars have no meaning, then move to hookers, lambos, blow and property by lakes/ranches.  But dollars are still going to get you those things and even if BTC is likely to appreciate more than those other things, I see no reason not to enjoy some or all of those other things, if they give you pleasure on a personal level or whatever.
luckygenough56
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May 24, 2021, 02:49:30 PM

This is the most realistic chart i found so far



this thread is so much more pleasant when you put El duderino_ JJG and marcus of gugus on ignore list, not reading their insufferable rhetoric is like sweet sweet vacations  Wink
LoyceV
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May 24, 2021, 02:54:07 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

This dump teached me one thing. Take fucking profits. Since 2013 I never took a single cent of profit.
Last December I sold a significant part (so I don't risk paying taxes over a high value when it's not worth it anymore if Bitcoin drops). I could have sold 3-4 times higher a few months later. But (afterwards) this made me realize I sold around the value of the previous (2017) peak, and what you're saying sounds the same: you didn't want to sell at $60k, but dropping to $30k makes you want to sell at $60k. I'm not saying that's a bad thing, but to me it felt a bit like I fell for it.

I always recommend taking a little off the top.
That's what I did in 2017: every time it went up x percent, I sold a tiny bit. Then mostly stopped selling until December 2020. This year, I didn't continue selling a tiny bit because I felt like I sold too much in December already.
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May 24, 2021, 03:01:35 PM


Explanation
UnDerDoG81
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May 24, 2021, 03:14:43 PM
Merited by LoyceV (4), vapourminer (1), JayJuanGee (1)

This dump teached me one thing. Take fucking profits. Since 2013 I never took a single cent of profit.
Last December I sold a significant part (so I don't risk paying taxes over a high value when it's not worth it anymore if Bitcoin drops). I could have sold 3-4 times higher a few months later. But (afterwards) this made me realize I sold around the value of the previous (2017) peak, and what you're saying sounds the same: you didn't want to sell at $60k, but dropping to $30k makes you want to sell at $60k. I'm not saying that's a bad thing, but to me it felt a bit like I fell for it.

2013/14 I entered the market. Bought some at $150 and 80% at $700-800. Shortly after that it dumped hard. I said fuck it I will go down with the ship and not sell at a loss of 60%. 2017/18 I only watched the price. And got shocked by the dump. This time I was prepared, watching every indicator, charts, bought a Glassnode yearly membership etc. No indicator was showing that we are near the top at 64k besides pi cycle top indicator. So this dump came out of nowhere again. At 60k I did not think about selling. But yes, now I guess I would sell a bit. Even though I believe we are still in the bull market and go to 6 digits, you never know.

Luckily I dont need the money. But you never know what the future brings. They push the climate change BS very hard and that's not good for BTC even though BTC mining uses renewable energies, media does not care about truth.
Arriemoller
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May 24, 2021, 03:14:56 PM

Going up yo

Richy_T
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May 24, 2021, 03:31:12 PM

Man, aren't the prices insane?!? I'm so glad I snagged a 3080 on launch night at RRP. In my country they're going for nearly triple what I paid for my card

Kinda sucks. I bought Cyberpunk and the GPU I was trying to use just wasn't quite up to the job. I've been looking out for a capable GPU but Cyberpunk has already dropped in price a couple of times.
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May 24, 2021, 03:35:17 PM

Going up yo


#bitcoin🍆 never dies yo 🤪

https://twitter.com/ChrisKnight407/status/1396807692916822020

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May 24, 2021, 03:41:09 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1)

Called him out on giving bad advice to newbies regarding wallet safekeeping. He didn't want to have a discussion, because I had actual arguments, so he just decided to block me and hide my replies to him.

Do you mean "wallet.dat" (Bitcoin core) or hardware wallets?

Hardware wallets are such a tempting platform for deliberate security design flaws, also where safety features against user mistakes can be abused. You need to trust the people behind the design, trust the factory producing it, and even if you design your own hardware completely you need to security review any mass produced chips used. There are lots of trolls, wallet brand shills and genuine victims out there, all in a mix, so maybe he took the "ten foot pole" approach.
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May 24, 2021, 03:46:45 PM

Does anyone get the feeling that we might be about to see a face-melting rise now that the FUD has shaken all the weak hands? I'm pretty excited to see what develops over the next few hours, days and weeks.

$75k imminent!

I would not want to get too pie in the sky in my speculation about what could happen.. upside versus downside, yet frequently if there is a decently sized correction, then it could take a bit of time (a few weeks for the buy pressure to begin to build and then to create a lot of UPside movements).

I am thinking that the April to June 2019 uptrend of 3.5x during that short period was blamed on the plustoken, but who really knows?.. sometimes we can end up experiencing very considerable upside movements in a very short period of time.. whether 3.5x is possible at these prices or a mere 2x would be possible remains to be seen..., and of course, there are no guarantees either, including that more correction could be on its way.. .. sorry to be all over the place in terms of my short-term thinking, but I doubt that we can have confidence in either direction, and sure a reverse could create upside momentum.. but surely not guaranteed. 

Inspite of some of the concerns that the short term has downward momentum, I do personally believe that there are considerable difficulties to continue such DOWNity momentum in a bull market, and merely wishing away the bull market has its own problems - including questions about whether more froth needs to be removed from shitcoins and several of which (too many? who knows?) are seeming to bounce pretty well too in this latest bounce of the past 24 hours.
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