Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[1713948739]

1713948739

[1713948739]

1713948739

[1713948739]

1713948739

[1713948739]

1713948739

[DaRude]

Do we think China is starting to have any second thoughts about the carpe diem they might have been tempted by?

I gotta admit.  I have always been afraid that Hyperbitcoinization would be accompanied by geopolitical upheaval and possibly war.

Chicken?  Egg?

It's not turning out really how I had expected, really.

Yeah China bothers me, perhaps they're still waiting for something bigger to make their move?

Honestly cannot imagine how hyperbitcoinization can happen without some major geopolitical event. Probably good that its not happening now. Like been said before

It would have been nice to get this attention in any other context...

[Toxic2040]

probably need to eyeball some best and worst case scenarios...oof

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[savetherainforest]

probably need to eyeball some best and worst case scenarios...oof

WHy not both??    

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[cAPSLOCK]

#LNMETA

OK.  I am mildy drunk, and I think that my WO brethren will not be mad about talking about something tangentially on topic under the (very understandable) circumstances while geopolitical pressures are taking center stage, but if not?  Well get infofront to delete it... whatever.

  Bob.  

OK.  So the channels I have with you tend to flow to the liquidity being on your side.  Both DEEJ and JEED  are that way right now.

So for now what I am going to do is set the fees on our channel UP a little.  And also all other Wumbo outgoing channels I will drop their fees.  If my poor stupid brain is tracking this will attract traffic to flow INTO our channel, but then OUT OF my others (which is where the fees get charged).

I really want to make our channels go back and forth  constantly... 16mm IN, 16mm out rinse, lather, repeat 300 times.   So once I get the liquidy back onto my side I will switch again, and flow it all our again...  Hopefully the script you found ends up automating this... but I thought I'd try it with our channels first to see how it goers.

CURRENTLY I could care less about fees.  I just do not want to LOSE money doing this.  And I want to have the highest traffic possible.   Once I achieve this some more... then I can optimise to make at LEAST enough to cover layer 1 fees.

Moje sudno na povitrianij podušci povne vuhriv!!!

cAPSLOCK is offering some very active inbound liquidity (dude, check your nodes, both are down), as are some other folk who have connected to me, and even transacting at my default 1000/250 rates upon connecting - Not going to complain AT ALL.

I have been running on a 16GB SD card since the beginning a couple years ago.  That is becomming not quite enough anymore.  So I moved the node over to a 128GB card.

Once the migration was done the bitcoind daemon is not reliably starting.  *sigh*

I have rebuilt the thing a couple times, and each time it's the same... so for NOW I just am bring it up manually after a reboot.  And voila, it's working like a charm.

So you should see my node again now.  Hopefully.  Though I still have some work to do to understand why the damn thing is not coming up after a reboot... seems almost like tyhere is a window of time where the daemon's pid file (stored on the HDD) cannot be written at first...  Anyway.  I will deal with this later.  Now it's time for a nap.

[nanobtc]

Does anyone have a valid, non-scam BTC address to donate to Ukraine>

I found this, but don't know: https://cryptotips.eu/en/blog/how-to-donate-crypto-to-ukraine/

[cAPSLOCK]

Does anyone have a valid, non-scam BTC address to donate to Ukraine>

I found this, but don't know: https://cryptotips.eu/en/blog/how-to-donate-crypto-to-ukraine/

As far as I can tell the 357a3So9CbsNfBBgFYACGvxxS6tMaDoa1P address is legit.

But obviously DYOR.  I can't tell what is real anymore really...

That said... what are you donating to?  I am not answering that question, only asking it.  Who is in on this global psyop?  Could the money going to that official (?) Ukraine address be funding the people putting the show on for us, instead of the victims of aggression?

It's really hard to know for me... 

[suchmoon]

Does anyone have a valid, non-scam BTC address to donate to Ukraine>

https://twitter.com/Ukraine (which is the same as in your link)

Confirmed by Bloomberg to be the real thing: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-26/ukraine-soliciting-crypto-donations-after-russian-invasion

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[BobLawblaw]

#LNMETA
OK.  So the channels I have with you tend to flow to the liquidity being on your side.  Both DEEJ and JEED  are that way right now.
So for now what I am going to do is set the fees on our channel UP a little.  And also all other Wumbo outgoing channels I will drop their fees.  If my poor stupid brain is tracking this will attract traffic to flow INTO our channel, but then OUT OF my others (which is where the fees get charged).

This is certainly messy business. Do what you need to on your end. No stress intended. I'm not going anywhere this time. Starting to get flow across other channels now.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[Toxic2040]

WHy not both??    

why not?  plenty of reasons..most obvious is I dont know many foolish enough to sell their coin at a price much lower than currently observed.... most certainly not around here anyway

However, I do know the road both ways are much closer than they appear. An all out ground war between Russia and NATO...or something more calamitous occurring could easily drive the price within that range. Even a protracted conflict between Ukraine and Russia will have noticeable effects I think.

------


-idle thoughts that have taken me quite some time to sort thru-

How did this come to be I sit and wonder... Warfare changed somewhere...some might say it was August 6th, 1945..some December 2nd, 1942 or maybe it was November 8th, 1895..

Nuclear weapons

I mean we have to talk about it right? This fucking madman is sitting over there right now with his finger on the button.


How and why have we come to a place where we threaten and hold hostage the entire population of this planet?  Yes...   ALL OF US.



Seriously we need to get a handle on this right fucking now. Someone who Putin trusts needs to step in and say dude..walk this back man...just walk it back. What ever you think you need or want from the West can be worked out another way.

Or...he needs to be put down..because I dont think the guy will step down.

The reality of what is needed.

The 3.5% Rule
https://carrcenter.hks.harvard.edu/publications/35-rule-how-small-minority-can-change-world

https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20190513-it-only-takes-35-of-people-to-change-the-world

In each case, civil resistance by ordinary members of the public trumped the political elite to achieve radical change.

Quite extraordinarily..nonviolent movements prove the most successful.

Looking at hundreds of campaigns over the last century, Chenoweth found that nonviolent campaigns are twice as likely to achieve their goals as violent campaigns. And although the exact dynamics will depend on many factors, she has shown it takes around 3.5% of the population actively participating in the protests to ensure serious political change.

That would be 5,111,332 people in Russia and 277,556,216 people globally.

Can we do this as a species? Can enough people stand up and say enough is enough! Another filter...a keyhole to pass through.

Its not just in Russia..its in the United States, the EU, India..China...its global and needs to be brought to heel. The nation states and autocrats who use fear, death and destruction to foster compliance from the general population. These cartels of weapons industry that perpetuate the seeds of war.

The last thing Ukraine needs right now is more guns, planes and bombs. It needs the people of Russia to realise they have been duped again by the political elite.

It needs Peace.

apologise if this is disjointed or filled with half formed thoughts...got a pretty good buzz going too.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[eXPHorizon]

 

[DaRude]

WHy not both??    

why not?  plenty of reasons..most obvious is I dont know many foolish enough to sell their coin at a price much lower than currently observed.... most certainly not around here anyway

However, I do know the road both ways are much closer than they appear. An all out ground war between Russia and NATO...or something more calamitous occurring could easily drive the price within that range. Even a protracted conflict between Ukraine and Russia will have noticeable effects I think.

------


-idle thoughts that have taken me quite some time to sort thru-

How did this come to be I sit and wonder... Warfare changed somewhere...some might say it was August 6th, 1945..some December 2nd, 1942 or maybe it was November 8th, 1895..

Nuclear weapons

I mean we have to talk about it right? This fucking madman is sitting over there right now with his finger on the button.


How and why have we come to a place where we threaten and hold hostage the entire population of this planet?  Yes...   ALL OF US.



Seriously we need to get a handle on this right fucking now. Someone who Putin trusts needs to step and say dude..walk this back man...just walk it back. What ever you think you need or want from the West can be worked out another way.

Or...he needs to be put down..because I dont think the guy will step down.

The reality of what is needed.

The 3.5% Rule
https://carrcenter.hks.harvard.edu/publications/35-rule-how-small-minority-can-change-world

https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20190513-it-only-takes-35-of-people-to-change-the-world

In each case, civil resistance by ordinary members of the public trumped the political elite to achieve radical change.

Quite extraordinarily..nonviolent movements prove the most successful.

Looking at hundreds of campaigns over the last century, Chenoweth found that nonviolent campaigns are twice as likely to achieve their goals as violent campaigns. And although the exact dynamics will depend on many factors, she has shown it takes around 3.5% of the population actively participating in the protests to ensure serious political change.

That would be 5,111,332 people in Russia and 277,556,216 people globally.

Can we do this as a species? Can enough people stand up and say enough is enough! Another filter...a keyhole to pass through.

Its not just in Russia..its in the United States, the EU, India..China...its global and needs to be brought to heel. The nation states and autocrats who use fear, death and destruction to foster compliance from the general population. These cartels of weapons industry that perpetuate the seeds of war.

The last thing Ukraine needs right now is more guns, planes and bombs. It needs the people of Russia to realise they have been duped again by the political elite.

It needs Peace.

apologise if this is disjointed or filled with half formed thoughts...got a pretty good buzz going too.

We figured it out back in the 60s with MAD. Cooler heads prevailed, world realized that big powers need some space around them to feel safe (Cuba and US). Now we decided to test that theory again and see if Russia really needs that cushion. Regional conflict is being escalated into a global one. Now no one can back down without loosing face, we got to come to an edge before powers can sit down, do their dick measuring contest, then deescalate and pencil in some new lines on this globe. The closer we get to the edge the longer everyone shuts up about the new lines, cause you know, we almost just went over the edge.
So far, odds seems to be good that it'll happen before someone slips on that red button. Should then repeat again with China and Taiwan, India and Pakistan etc ... someone always wants to push that line so this is the best our species could come up with.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[Toxic2040]

the late night ruble report

dyor

BTCRBL

4h


USDRBL

D

stronghands

[somac.]

https://twitter.com/glassnode/status/1498129130809876480