Kinda near my birthday
I expect big things from the fallout of the next halving. I dunno if our last bull run was diluted due to the fall out from what COVID did to the world economy. We did not have a blow off top like after previous halving’s.
I really think $250,000+ will be the price of 1
BTC at some point in 2025 (obviously it always takes a while for the supply shock to take effect on the price post halving).
We will get the fireworks that we were promised in 2021.
Now is a good time to buy but I am waiting for lower with a large stack of fiat.
You already know that I don't really agree with your theory about how things are going to end up working out because I believe that you are both being too rigid and also building in a kind of presumption of disappointment regarding our 2021 performance - even though factually you are true.... and you may well end up being correct in regards to how all of this is going to play out between now and 2025-ish... ...
For sure, I am quibbling in terms of degree.. and also quibbling a bit with your waiting to buy.. even though you may well end up being correct about that too.. .hahahahaha ..
It is not like any of us longer term bulls are really wrong, even if we might well get some details wrong along the way, here and there... .. including that mostly HODLing has been a great ass strategy - whether you consider mostly HODLing as 50% HODLing, 75% HODLing or 95% HODLing....
Actually, it seems that even some of the more bearish bitcoiners who engaged something less than 50% HODLing and maybe even ONLY retained something like 25% did pretty damned well for their lil selfies - even if the higher levels of HODLing seem to be closer to the better practices.
One thing that each of us (supposedly adults with decent decision-making capacities) is to attempt to structure in such a way that we feel that we did a pretty damned good job - even if there might well end up being ways that we could have structured some of our actions a bit better, but in the end, we have been doing something close to our best with the information that we have and attempting to include adequate considerations of our emotional status too... in order to end up with decent results because we largely stuck with a plan that we figured out would work within a variety of possible BTC price performance scenarios.. and if our plans have some flexibilities in them they end up with pretty high levels of performance even if NOT perfect performance .. but maybe even something like 80% perfect or something like that - which ends up being pretty damned good - especially if we are comparing ourselves to various no coiners who ended up getting hardly any of that.. and even the ones that dabbled way too whimpily.. and for sure we have received pay-offs for not dabbling too whimpily - at least in regards to bitcoin - not sure if we can make those claims to all areas of our lives because there are likely ways that a lot of us guys (and gal) have various other faults in other aspects of our lives.. without necessarily wanting to judge too much.
I am reminded of one more thing.. and no real issues with guys wanting to dabble in luxury items of hookers, lambos and blow, but for sure some kinds of consumption can end up screwing us up in various ways - in terms if there might be some ways that we might be able to help our own health with life style choices, and bitcoin does seem to have a pretty wide-spread ability to incentivizing desires to live longer and to be able to be stronger into old age - but along the way, some of us might have bad luck and even genetics or accidents that end up taking away from our quality of life and our longevity... . even though so many bitcoiner guys talk about life-extension ideas that seem to delve into pie in the sky - including ways that snake oil salesmen can take your money.. and none of us can really know.. the various ways that buying some products or services might actually work rather than being filled with claims of being able to achieve life-extension or reverse negative health conditions. --- in other words, reasons to live longer (partially because of bitcoin) but ability to actually benefit from that extra money may not necessarily materialize as much as we might wish to take place.
I really think $250,000+ will be the price of 1BTC at some point in 2025 (obviously it always takes a while for the supply shock to take effect on the price post halving).
We will get the fireworks that we were promised in 2021.
Now is a good time to buy but I am waiting for lower with a large stack of fiat.
I like your analysis, your projection and your attitude.
I liked your plan, and I would also like your lower bids not to be filled… I don’t know if the sats I could eventually stack are worth the pain of the mark to market. I am no a
big swinging dick mature investor as you are.
Speaking about targets, still looking for 170k as first target because of… reasons!
Gosh.. it is really difficult to attempt to figure out how much a blow-off top might go.. even if it is a kind of preliminary blow off top.
Of course, guys here likely know some of my failed calls about deadman zone... .. but I have still had some general correctness from time to time too.. such as:
mid to late 2016: If it goes over $1k don't be fucking selling until at least $2k..
or
late 2017: If it goes over $10k, we are likely going to get at least 15% out of that all by itself.
or
late 2019 & most of 2020 - if it goes meaningfully above $17,250 we are likely to get at least $24k
So I have also had some level of success.. but I also get a bit scared about getting into specifics, even though
my December 6, 2021 numbers and timeline are pretty specific, and I doubt that I have too many reasons to get outside of that kind of framework, even if the actual numbers and the timeline have to be updated to account for what has actually happened (in reality) since December 6.
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