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Question: July 21 Closing Price:
<$5,000 - 16 (12%)
$5,000-$5,500 - 6 (4.5%)
$5,500-$6,000 - 13 (9.8%)
$6,000-$6,500 - 23 (17.3%)
$6,500-$7,000 - 22 (16.5%)
$7,000-$7,500 - 14 (10.5%)
$7,500-$8,000 - 15 (11.3%)
$8,000-$8,500 - 4 (3%)
$8,500-$9,000 - 3 (2.3%)
>$9,000 - 17 (12.8%)
Total Voters: 133

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 20332335 times)
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JorgeStolfi
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April 01, 2014, 04:48:54 AM

This Chinese thread seems to say that bank deposit (?) at OKCoin was still working today (Apr/01) around 09:00 local time.
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chessnut
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April 01, 2014, 04:49:27 AM

would you mind telling me what the chinese law is now?

The regulation was passed three months ago..... ban on third party exchanges. traders will not be able to send yuan to exchanges in china. that is in effect a ban.

Not really.  Anyone (say with a few million in donations from clients of a state owned enterprise)  can buy bitcoin whenever they want.  They just have to pay cash.


yes. good news.
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this statement is false


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April 01, 2014, 04:59:16 AM

...here we are, rallying, 466 and climbing.

this is consolidation, not a rally... you should take off those bull-colored glasses Tongue
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April 01, 2014, 05:00:42 AM


Explanation
ShroomsKit
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April 01, 2014, 05:02:19 AM

Nice little wall at 350-450 has formed. This might give us another 1-4 weeks before 400 is broken, and maybe even a bulltrap to 550 or so where the next shorting opportunity will be.

Didn't you say you would stop posting once you got your cheap coins. Wasn't that around 600 or so? Considering how low we are i'm pretty sure you got all the cheap coins you could afford already. Right?
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April 01, 2014, 05:03:52 AM

I feel some mini rally is coming unless we get some China bad news confirmation.

Sellers look bit exhausted and only that news could change the things.
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April 01, 2014, 05:06:10 AM

I feel some mini rally is coming unless we get some China bad news confirmation.

Sellers look bit exhausted and only that news could change the things.

Pre-confirmed.  Tongue Grin Cheesy
seleme
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April 01, 2014, 05:14:59 AM

I feel some mini rally is coming unless we get some China bad news confirmation.

Sellers look bit exhausted and only that news could change the things.

Pre-confirmed.  Tongue Grin Cheesy

 Grin
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April 01, 2014, 05:16:03 AM

I feel some mini rally is coming unless we get some China bad news confirmation.

Sellers look bit exhausted and only that news could change the things.

Pre-confirmed.  Tongue Grin Cheesy

 Grin
that's racist
TERA
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April 01, 2014, 05:25:36 AM

Nice little wall at 350-450 has formed. This might give us another 1-4 weeks before 400 is broken, and maybe even a bulltrap to 550 or so where the next shorting opportunity will be.

Didn't you say you would stop posting once you got your cheap coins. Wasn't that around 600 or so? Considering how low we are i'm pretty sure you got all the cheap coins you could afford already. Right?
That was a long long time ago with a different chart and different TA. These coins were cheap 2 months ago, but they are no longer cheap because more time has passed, the long term indicators on the chart have changed, and the volume is dwindling. We are clearly in a different pattern than the previous cycles. The 1 week EMAs are about to cross down. I would have been all over these coins 2 months ago but not now.
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April 01, 2014, 05:29:55 AM

What parameters are you using for EMA? 1 week EMA has crossed down 4-5 weeks ago on my Wisdom.
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April 01, 2014, 05:31:05 AM

Nice little wall at 350-450 has formed. This might give us another 1-4 weeks before 400 is broken, and maybe even a bulltrap to 550 or so where the next shorting opportunity will be.

Didn't you say you would stop posting once you got your cheap coins. Wasn't that around 600 or so? Considering how low we are i'm pretty sure you got all the cheap coins you could afford already. Right?
That was a long long time ago with a different chart and different TA. These coins were cheap 2 months ago, but they are no longer cheap because more time has passed, the long term indicators on the chart have changed, and the volume is dwindling. We are clearly in a different pattern than the previous cycles. The 1 week EMAs are about to cross down. I would have been all over these coins 2 months ago but not now.

Ooooh right. I didn't see that coming. Basically you will be crying about bull traps and how we will go down because you want cheaper coins till the end of times.
Well, in that case, time to put you on ignore. Buh bye.
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April 01, 2014, 05:43:00 AM

What parameters are you using for EMA? 1 week EMA has crossed down 4-5 weeks ago on my Wisdom.
Default wisdom parameters: 7/30.  The bottom ema was first breached 6 weeks ago but it did not cross down and still hasn't.
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April 01, 2014, 05:44:32 AM

456$ on bitstamp, it will probably go lower Wink Or we will all be surprise and it will spike up
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April 01, 2014, 05:49:36 AM

Triangle closing. Drop coming. Much fear. Some hope.
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April 01, 2014, 05:53:36 AM

Nice little wall at 350-450 has formed. This might give us another 1-4 weeks before 400 is broken, and maybe even a bulltrap to 550 or so where the next shorting opportunity will be.

Even TERA thinks we could go to $550 soon!
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April 01, 2014, 06:00:42 AM


Explanation
EuroTrash
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April 01, 2014, 06:03:12 AM

Nice little wall at 350-450 has formed. This might give us another 1-4 weeks before 400 is broken, and maybe even a bulltrap to 550 or so where the next shorting opportunity will be.

I think that those orders are from new market meat. Like a friend of mine who called me a fool at 100, and yet he is now patiently waiting for his chance to become my greater fool. Their logic is quite simple: "it looks like it's going to go up but it is crashing now. 1000 is too much, 300 is right, let me put a bid at 350-450."
I think there are many of them this time. This month we'll see them fighting with the butthurt fools who want out of bitcoin.
TERA
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April 01, 2014, 06:06:10 AM

Nice little wall at 350-450 has formed. This might give us another 1-4 weeks before 400 is broken, and maybe even a bulltrap to 550 or so where the next shorting opportunity will be.

Didn't you say you would stop posting once you got your cheap coins. Wasn't that around 600 or so? Considering how low we are i'm pretty sure you got all the cheap coins you could afford already. Right?
That was a long long time ago with a different chart and different TA. These coins were cheap 2 months ago, but they are no longer cheap because more time has passed, the long term indicators on the chart have changed, and the volume is dwindling. We are clearly in a different pattern than the previous cycles. The 1 week EMAs are about to cross down. I would have been all over these coins 2 months ago but not now.

Ooooh right. I didn't see that coming. Basically you will be crying about bull traps and how we will go down because you want cheaper coins till the end of times.
Well, in that case, time to put you on ignore. Buh bye.
The thing is, there is not a such thing as a 'cheap coin'. 'Cheap coin' is a cult term. Coin cheapness is only something that's relative to the past, and relative to a potential future. If price suddenly drops 50% from what it was yesterday, then yes it's a cheap coin because you'll probably get a huge bounce out of it and make a great trade. And, if you think that according to TA this is the last chance to get a certain price before a huge rally in the near future, then that is a cheap coin also.  However, this projection changes with time based on TA and world events.

Here was the situation 2 months ago:
1. Price had suddenly dropped from 800 to 400, with high volume.
2. The chart resembled very closely the conditions in 2013 before the reversal.
Both conditions of coin cheapness were fulfilled. There was both recent high prices and a probably rally in the future. I expected a great bounce/trade with a likely rally play. Therefore, coins were 'cheap' and a bought in. However, I later had to sell when technical indicators reversed and a rally clearly wasn't happening.

Now here are the conditions today:
1. Price has diwndled down from 700 to 460 on LOW volume.
2. The chart no longer resembles conditions from previous cycles, and the 1 week emas are about to cross down. I am no longer expecting a rally any time in the near future, and possibly even a further decline.
Neither condition of coin cheapness is fulfilled. Therefore, coins are no longer 'cheap'.  

You have to realize that things change. time changes things. TA changes. News changes. The only constant in the universe in change. nothing is set in stone. Almost everything I say is based on my stance as a trader based on the current TA and the current news. 2 months ago I honestly thought there could be another rally soon and today I honestly think there is not. If there was another rally, right now we should be at 800 and not 460. I wrote a whole other thread all about how I don't talk my book. Please read it.

Right now my biggest concern is the 1 week ema and the low volume. The price just keeps going down and down without any volume. Without any volume, the trend cannot reverse. It takes high volume to cause a reversal.
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April 01, 2014, 06:25:16 AM

456$ on bitstamp, it will probably go lower Wink Or we will all be surprise and it will spike up

I appreciate the high level of confidence and commitment that you exhume in your prediction!!!   Grin  And surely I am betting that you are going to be correct
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