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September 27, 2024, 11:22:02 AM *
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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
7/14 - 0 (0%)
7/21 - 1 (0.9%)
7/28 - 11 (10.3%)
8/4 - 16 (15%)
8/11 - 7 (6.5%)
8/18 - 6 (5.6%)
8/25 - 7 (6.5%)
After August - 59 (55.1%)
Total Voters: 107

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26465166 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
JayJuanGee
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September 19, 2024, 08:49:35 PM
Last edit: September 20, 2024, 01:00:04 AM by JayJuanGee
Merited by vapourminer (1)

Quote from: El duderino_
And just like that he’s back.
Was talking bearish bullshit to stomp JayJuanGee.

Even though that is called trolling and we are in a public thread, you are influencing a lot of potentially innocent forum members (and WO participants) besides just me.

On a personal level, your trolling comments should not really bee too much skin off of my back, except they end up being potential talking points in which any of us remains free to address.

Also, I am not really calling anything too outrageous in either direction, even though i am surely inclined for up, and I had somewhat thought that we would have somewhere between $120k and $180k this calendar year with a higher high in 2025.. yet I am starting to think the odds of the first part of that have been becoming lower and lower with the passage of time, yet the second half still has pretty damned good odds of playing out.. I just remain unsure about how far we might go in 2024 in which 2025 would have to beat in order for my sorcery wannabe credibility might rise a wee bit MOAR better.

One of the conflicts that I have had with your ongoing historical proclamations for downity (whether you actually meant them at the time or not) is another tentative prediction that I have maintained and still has not broken which is my expectation and my previous willingness (which I might still be willing to back for funzies) is that I expect that the odds remain greater than 50/50 (which makes it reasonably bettable) that the BTC spot price will not get any lower than 20% above the 200-WMA between now and the end of 2025.. so yeah, in recent times we have been getting close to such prices that would cause me to lose such a bet, even though I am still willing to stand behind it.. which truly would be the opposite of your own proclamations in which you have had been stating that you expect lower numbers...  

The contemporary and historical BTC spot prices to 200-WMA prices can be found at https://bitcoindata.science/withdrawal-strategy.  Right now, as I type this post, the BTC price is just over 61% higher than the 200-WMA. Surely a bit better of a cushion as compared with a couple of our recent days when BTC prices had gotten down to $49.6k (August 5) and $52.5k (Sept 7).. in which we got as low as around 31.7% and 38% respectively (I had to calculate those lows manually based on where the 200-WMA was at on those respective days).

Quote from: El duderino_
And just like that he’s back.
Was talking bearish bullshit to stomp JayJuanGee.
just hilarious...

“Success has many fathers, but failure is an orphan.”

I would remember the emotional 'scars' inflicted by constant negging of two well known contributors here.
Can I forgive...sure...but forget? ....naaah.

a few days ago we were all "bulltard cunts".

Now you are raising curiosities in regards to the meaning of your puzzle.. .. I am thinking mindrust and perhaps some other member?  but not sure about your reference...since we never really harassed mindrust, except for his own good and ONLY after he had already panicked, there were many of us trying to get mindrust to come to terms in ways that would have likely had been for his own good as far as any of us could judge we were trying to help mindrust, and sure maybe we weren't really being helpful.  

I know of some other examples of strong emotional interactions between members, and I can understand why sometimes it might not be great taste to specifically state who is the referred-to member(s).  

I still suggest if some members might not be posting with seriousness or they might be vulnerable to emotional breakdowns or they might be purposefully trying to get the goat of other certain other members, then they are likely trolling and misleading other members, even if they might be wanting to attempt to target one member, such as yours truly or it could even be purposefully trolling some other member, even though the remainder of the readers of the thread might get taken in by the contents of the posts..

I am not always saying that I am completely genuine with my posts, since once in a while I will throw out a few exaggerated statements, yet I still figure that most regular members are going to recognize when I am departing significantly from what seems to be my usual character..... and if other members might be mislead into taking action based on the contents of my posts, then they have a certain level of culpability to think for themselves and not to be following the guidance from folks on the internet, even if they might otherwise trust the judgement and guidance of such member(s).
philipma1957
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September 19, 2024, 09:01:03 PM

jjg your posts are too long, but I sum it all up with last low before 2021 high was 3.9-4.0k

last low this time was 15.8- 15.9

around 4x bigger

so 68 x 4 = 268k some time in 2025

I will take 212k
ChartBuddy
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September 19, 2024, 09:01:16 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
d_eddie
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September 19, 2024, 09:02:08 PM
Merited by AlcoHoDL (1)

5 Ants building bridges
8 Bear cubs crying for their mother mom
5 The tide is turning

#haiku

Not a haiku (and a quick fix) — merited for capturing the moment nicely.

Ouch! I recited "crying" as one syllable only. Good correction. Even better from JJG: I liked that dramatic "mommy" at the end of the line.
d_eddie
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September 19, 2024, 09:05:45 PM

Quote from: El duderino_
And just like that he’s back.

Was talking bearish bullshit to stomp JayJuanGee.

Very convincing indeed. I feel a little stomped too.
Gachapin
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bitcoin retard


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September 19, 2024, 09:33:01 PM
Merited by Richy_T (10), OgNasty (2)


Not to be left out, looks like we in the US have ourselves a little explosive issue this morning. They’re calling this assassination attempt number 3 against Donald Trump. Looks like a dog found a vehicle set to explode at his rally today. You can read more about the story in the link below as it develops. This is getting a bit out of control…

https://x.com/dc_draino/status/1836414229844197574

If you seed hate all the time, what would you expect to harvest?
 
EDIT: And no, this is not a conspiracy crusade of the Dems, it's Karma.

when the media portrays you long enough as the new Hitler, there will appear enough people who think they are the new Stauffenberg
Gachapin
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bitcoin retard


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September 19, 2024, 09:50:56 PM

$100.000 Bitcoin before years end.

It will create a psychological shockwave around the world.

Good times ahead!

 


even if the half asian/black/indian woman wins the election?
ChartBuddy
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September 19, 2024, 10:01:14 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
Gachapin
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bitcoin retard


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September 19, 2024, 10:10:23 PM

Quote from: El duderino_
And just like that he’s back.

Was talking bearish bullshit to stomp JayJuanGee.

Very convincing indeed. I feel a little stomped too.

maybe a little bit too convincing ?   Tongue
Tauja
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Vave.com - Crypto Casino


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September 19, 2024, 10:34:09 PM

Go to sleep, dream a dream that you want, tomorrow you become a millionaire.

Nothing is instant, patience is needed.

Just hold.
JayJuanGee
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September 19, 2024, 10:35:01 PM

jjg your posts are too long, but I sum it all up with last low before 2021 high was 3.9-4.0k

last low this time was 15.8- 15.9

around 4x bigger

so 68 x 4 = 268k some time in 2025

I will take 212k

With my allegedly "too long post," in addition to my responding to Paashaas, I was making a few points that don't exactly relate to your supposed summing it up and in which you added a new framework to largely frame your new point(s) in some kind of supposed mathematical narrowness.  You would have to actually read my post if you were trying (or wanting) to relate your point(s) to my point(s). 

Regarding a high for this cycle that might be topping off somewhere in 2025 and anywhere in the ballpark of $212k to $268k, there would be nothing wrong with those kinds of levels and they seem potentially reasonable, even though we surely could end up having undershootings and/or overshootings of such range, so it seems problematic to get too attached to any such range happening in such timeline... while at the same time many of us holding BTC may well already have some plans for those kinds of price ranges that low coiners and no coiners are not seemingly prepared for in terms of either finances or psychology... so surely interesting to see what happens, or even if there might be some broken hearts (and finances) for the coiners who might be placing too much certainty upon such range happening within such timeline. 

The low coiners and no coiners continue to overwhelmingly outnumber the coiners, which seems to be part of the reason that many coiners continue to suggest that we remain in the midst of one the greatest (if not the greatest) wealth transfers in modern history.
Richy_T
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September 19, 2024, 11:00:01 PM

Are you kidding? The right are the gun tards.

Yaright. Remind me which side unloaded into a car in "CHAZ/CHOP", killing one and putting the other in intensive care? Remind me which side had a member shoot himself in the leg during an armed show of power? Remind me which side had a guy put a bullet in the back of the head of a trump supporter simply for being a Trump supporter. Remind me which side had a guy aggressively walk up to a car with a loaded rifle during a protest, leading to him getting ventilated? Have you heard of the John Brown Gun Club?

Both sides have their firearm appreciators but one side is more inclined to use them to commit violence and, given the ownership numbers, overwhelmingly more so.
ChartBuddy
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September 19, 2024, 11:01:14 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
Gachapin
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bitcoin retard


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September 19, 2024, 11:08:56 PM

Go to sleep, dream a dream that you want, tomorrow you become a millionaire.

Nothing is instant, patience is needed.

Just hold.

how do I dream dreams that I want ?
vapourminer
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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September 19, 2024, 11:22:09 PM
Merited by philipma1957 (2), Hueristic (1)

jjg your posts are too long, but I sum it all up with last low before 2021 high was 3.9-4.0k

last low this time was 15.8- 15.9

around 4x bigger

so 68 x 4 = 268k some time in 2025

I will take 212k


ftfy
philipma1957
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September 19, 2024, 11:29:37 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1), Hueristic (1), JayJuanGee (1)

Are you kidding? The right are the gun tards.

Yaright. Remind me which side unloaded into a car in "CHAZ/CHOP", killing one and putting the other in intensive care? Remind me which side had a member shoot himself in the leg during an armed show of power? Remind me which side had a guy put a bullet in the back of the head of a trump supporter simply for being a Trump supporter. Remind me which side had a guy aggressively walk up to a car with a loaded rifle during a protest, leading to him getting ventilated? Have you heard of the John Brown Gun Club?

Both sides have their firearm appreciators but one side is more inclined to use them to commit violence and, given the ownership numbers, overwhelmingly more so.

If you engage in the left vs right concept you are lost.

The left vs right concept is a creation designed to distract you while they make worse laws and steal more from you.

As to who has more guns and who uses them wrongly more often. that is buying into the right vs left ideology.

They both suck and are used to control us.
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September 19, 2024, 11:54:50 PM
Merited by philipma1957 (3), vapourminer (1), psycodad (1), DirtyKeyboard (1)

ChartBuddy
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September 20, 2024, 12:01:17 AM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
Volgastallion
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CONTEST ORGANIZER


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September 20, 2024, 12:57:25 AM
Merited by Torque (4), El duderino_ (4), vapourminer (1), jojo69 (1), d_eddie (1)

I think we need to be extreme carefull with the movements, because now we have some super HUGE players into the BTC, the problem with this pre announced Bullish market is the preannounced part.

So much people is gonna take debt to buy BTC because " is gonna be UP right now after the Halving", "is gonna be UP just after the FED announce", and with that the BIG players can destroy you manipulating the market. So take so much care dont be an idiot and play the long game.

I know a lot of people here is gonna say my comment is shit, but guys we are a 0.0001% of the world and most of here for sure are always be in profit because you enter so much early.But the outside world is diferent.
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September 20, 2024, 01:01:15 AM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
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