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yeponlyone (OP)
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June 16, 2011, 10:35:32 PM
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somebody should make a 'predictacoin' site where you can make you official predictions on market trends and it keeps track of your accuracy, if enough people use it then we are bound to have some people with a high 'prophet' rating.
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Each block is stacked on top of the previous one. Adding another block to the top makes all lower blocks more difficult to remove: there is more "weight" above each block. A transaction in a block 6 blocks deep (6 confirmations) will be very difficult to remove.
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Drifter
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June 16, 2011, 10:36:58 PM
 #2

I really like that idea actually.

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June 16, 2011, 11:20:10 PM
 #3

Me too
If nobody does that before me, maybe i'll make that next week (not nice-looking though, just plain text for the beginning)

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June 16, 2011, 11:20:59 PM
 #4

Yeah I have been suggesting the same thing.  That way you can follow the best predictors.  Like Forex Experts.  Talkgold is running a contest giving away $300 to the person who guess's the closest Bitcoin price: http://www.talkgold.com/forum/r331610-.html
yeponlyone (OP)
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June 17, 2011, 12:20:30 AM
 #5

There is this post by yeponlyone in the Bitcoin Discussion area I'd like to reply: https://forum.bitcoin.org/index.php?topic=18084.0

Quote
somebody should make a 'predictacoin' site where you can make you official predictions on market trends and it keeps track of your accuracy, if enough people use it then we are bound to have some people with a high 'prophet' rating.

I think this is a great idea. There is crowdpark.com where you can do social forecasting, which is also a great idea. Just signed up there and created a "bet" about the BTC price on August 1st.

http://www.crowdpark.com/tech/computer-internet/what-will-the-price-be-for-bitcoin-on-mtgox-on-august-1st-m_5tI0.aspx


They also have something they pay with/bet for (C$). Maybe somebody convince them to pay with BTC or somebody wants to code a crowdpark-like site based on bitcoin. Think that would help bitcoin a lot...
Dayofswords
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June 17, 2011, 12:24:01 AM
 #6

I could probably do this in probably the most stupidest way possible.

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June 17, 2011, 04:20:22 AM
 #7

I seriously doubt you could get any good prediction out of it (it is impossible in principle), but try it as long as you have fun.

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June 17, 2011, 04:28:20 AM
 #8

It's called Bitcoin Options.
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June 17, 2011, 04:47:18 AM
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https://bitoption.org
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June 17, 2011, 06:13:31 AM
 #10

Something I'd really love to see implemented is a nice bitcoin prediction market (google it if you don't know what a prediction market is). Predictions don't even need to be related to bitcoins, you can bet on the temperature tomorrow or the outcome of the superbowl.
Drifter
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June 17, 2011, 02:14:35 PM
 #11

It's called Bitcoin Options.

I figured by the OP, he meant a site with user names that could make predictions, for bitcoins or without, and there is an accuracy meter given, to show the top prediction makers.

Not quite the same.

oneforall
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June 17, 2011, 02:31:53 PM
 #12

It's called Bitcoin Options.

I figured by the OP, he meant a site with user names that could make predictions, for bitcoins or without, and there is an accuracy meter given, to show the top prediction makers.

Not quite the same.

This is exactly what he meant. I know him.
lemonginger
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June 17, 2011, 03:25:08 PM
 #13

That's pretty much exactly how

http://caps.fool.com

runs.

Even to the point of users ranked, different medals ("best at being bearish" 'best at being bullish" "has called over 3 bankruptcys" etc) as well as overall scores and overall accuracy

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June 17, 2011, 03:31:12 PM
 #14

somebody should make a 'predictacoin' site where you can make you official predictions on market trends and it keeps track of your accuracy, if enough people use it then we are bound to have some people with a high 'prophet' rating.

There's already enough 'high prophets'.

Proposal: http://forum.bitcoin.org/index.php?topic=11541.msg162881#msg162881
Inception: https://github.com/bitcoin/bitcoin/issues/296
Goal: http://forum.bitcoin.org/index.php?topic=12536.0
Means: Code, donations, and brutal criticism. I've got a thick skin. 1Gc3xCHAzwvTDnyMW3evBBr5qNRDN3DRpq
codemojo
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October 01, 2011, 02:27:37 PM
 #15

This just launched: http://www.spaculator.com/

It's a silly game now, but maybe it grows into something like an options market in the future.

Check it out, feedback welcome.
payb.tc
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October 01, 2011, 02:41:49 PM
 #16

This just launched: http://www.spaculator.com/

It's a silly game now, but maybe it grows into something like an options market in the future.

Check it out, feedback welcome.

the popup dialog box that says "to upload bitcoins send to this address..."

...is useless in chrome because I can't select and copy the address (i'd have to read and type the whole thing manually).

don't know about other browsers.
codemojo
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October 01, 2011, 02:46:20 PM
 #17

the popup dialog box that says "to upload bitcoins send to this address..."

...is useless in chrome because I can't select and copy the address (i'd have to read and type the whole thing manually).

don't know about other browsers.

I'm developing on *nix which allows select+copy on dialog boxes. Will fix, thanks for feedback.
payb.tc
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October 01, 2011, 02:59:07 PM
 #18

the popup dialog box that says "to upload bitcoins send to this address..."

...is useless in chrome because I can't select and copy the address (i'd have to read and type the whole thing manually).

don't know about other browsers.

I'm developing on *nix which allows select+copy on dialog boxes. Will fix, thanks for feedback.

yeah i guess it's a Windows thing... because i just tried safari and it's also no help.

edit: oh wait! i was able to select+copy in opera... hooray.
codemojo
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October 01, 2011, 05:32:15 PM
 #19

OK I put some jQuery dialog there instead of a popup. Hope it works now.

BTW payb.tc, since Spaculator uses bitcoin addresses as user account names, maybe your service (http://bitnot.es/) might come in handy.
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