The secret diary of a sports bettor 2017 edition

[Wendigo]

My one stop thread for everything sportsbetting related that doesn't fall into any other already existing thread out there. I will write down my thoughts, opinions, reviews, interesting moments, funny moments, bad moments, epic fails, pre-match bets, live bets, future bets and everything else that might be happening in the life of a casual sportsbettor.


Spring cleaning will be conducted once a week.

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[Wendigo]

Dear Diary,


So I was live betting on the Bologna - Juventus match earlier today after Bologna had taken the lead. I waited for the odds on over goals to climb a little bit higher before slapping that bet for 7 units on over 1.5 goals https://sportsbet.io/betslip/WKxuC2SMfe7qY8veF . Then I waited a little bit longer and put another one on the 1-1 correct score for 1 unit https://sportsbet.io/betslip/gqHtxidBfJaJ5BT2F . And voila Dybala scored the equalizer for Juventus shortly thereafter. Awesome I said to myself but I still had that feeling Juventus were going to score a late goal to win the match. So I put another live bet to hedge my correct score bet for 1 unit https://sportsbet.io/betslip/7C7X3jXnrqYipmetm
And guess what? Juventus scored the winning goal in the 94th minute making my hedge bet a winner and bringing more profit than the 1-1 bet 

On a scale of 1 to 10 how I felt today betting:

Intuition 7
Luck 10
Fear 0

[Wendigo]

Dear Diary,

today got home earlier than expected and noticed the Cagliari - Milan match was still on. Definitely the perfect time to do some live betting. Did some kind of a semi-hedge/value live bet that fortunately turned out great in the very last minute again 

Correct score bets: 

1.19 units on the 1-1 @ 1.80 https://sportsbet.io/betslip/HoBRZPaiuQcheG7jY
1 unit on the 2-1 @ 4.45 https://sportsbet.io/betslip/QytzgksZS86kCuS2o
1 unit on the 1-2 @ 5.50 https://sportsbet.io/betslip/arjXojsRYqxjznryc

So in the end a profit of approx. 1.26 units  Not too shabby.

Substituting Fear with the more appropriate Sweat 

Intuition:6
Luck:10
Sweat:5

[Wendigo]

I should have taken that Palermo -0.5 line instead     https://sportsbet.io/betslip/zgH3mNHBz8PsqyrJe

I think this goes to the Epic Fail category 

[Wendigo]

Reviving the diary series with a new live-bet fresh from the Poland U21 - Slovakia U21 match -> https://sportsbet.io/betslip/MKqDgDcSRg4xJRGqz

Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 odds. Not too shabby 

Intuition:6
Luck:8
Sweat:6

[Wendigo]

Had a great livebetting session today focusing on the Confederation Cup and the Euro U21.

4 livebets ranging between the odds of 2.70 and 4.45 and I think around 400% ROI.

https://sportsbet.io/betslip/amudYSHucQgoZvLz2

https://sportsbet.io/betslip/ABfQnKNy2p3YuaxXK

https://sportsbet.io/betslip/ZgY9qz5eALKQpLRo5

https://sportsbet.io/betslip/hdMb5jdGBSQuitnRH

Looking forward to the Spain - Macedonia U21 match.

Laters everyone 

Intuition:10
Luck:10
Sweat:6

[CarlesPuyol]

Had a great livebetting session today focusing on the Confederation Cup and the Euro U21.

4 livebets ranging between the odds of 2.70 and 4.45 and I think around 400% ROI.

https://sportsbet.io/betslip/amudYSHucQgoZvLz2

https://sportsbet.io/betslip/ABfQnKNy2p3YuaxXK

https://sportsbet.io/betslip/ZgY9qz5eALKQpLRo5

https://sportsbet.io/betslip/hdMb5jdGBSQuitnRH

Looking forward to the Spain - Macedonia U21 match.

Laters everyone 

Intuition:10
Luck:10
Sweat:6

Looks good.
This diary is a nice idea. Hope you end your days in the winning side 

[rytyr]

This certainly is a good idea and interesting concept.

I like the terms like sweat and intuition in to reference to each of your bets.

It makes it much more easier to pick which ones you are sure of winning and not too much so and the ones ones in the middle so don't rely to much on those when placing on your own parlays.

Thanks for bringing this new and intuitive method of sports betting to myself and the other forum members.

[Wendigo]

Thanks. I have decided to use a scoring system of 1 to 10 to describe my emotions and what is going through my head while I am betting and I think that it makes for a very interesting read sometimes especially coupled with the considerably sized odds mostly from livebetting  I am still  figuring out how to gauge correctly the values in the scoring system but as it's entirely for fun I think it's coming out pretty alright 

My action is dominated by live plays right now but you can expect pre-match bets as well.
We have very interesting international games tonight and I will be checking the starting squads later on and making some bets hopefully.
Happy Sunday everyone 

[Wendigo]

So today is a wrap and after everything is added up I have gained around 1 unit. I am trying very aggressive livebetting on higher odds and also trying to sorta hedge mid-flight as well to keep the losses at minimum if things aren't looking good. Seems to work for now. And the ROI today could have been much much more if the video assisted refereeing in the Confederation Cup games didn't disallow some goals but oh well   I guess this video assisted refereeing will lead to less goals and will surely make people mad but this is the future and we need to get used to it.

On a side note I am waiting for the NHL Draft and I am very curious to see which players Vegas Golden Knights will get.

Not posting any slips cause I have had around 25-30 today lol  

[Wendigo]

Serbia U21 vs Macedonia U21 BTTS @ 1.75  https://sportsbet.io/betslip/YwvTC2TR6iipZMXJ3

[Wendigo]

And finishing today's action with another BTTS bet Portugal U21 - Spain U21 https://sportsbet.io/betslip/X9ygCA9uWva4y6J7d

My motto is when in doubt just take BTTS

And today has been the first pre-match diary entry ever and it has been a success.

Intuition 5
Luck 6
Sweat 3                                     

[youngagethinker]

Good concept.
The bottom line is to take note of the necessary details of what happened during the bet whether it is material or subtle ( like emotions ). We are in the continual peril because of the lack of lesson in the history but still this diary can only be effective if the practitioner really learned what lies here and control thier own emotions and think practically.

[Wendigo]

Portugal snatched the win vs Russia in a low-scoring match with the lone goal by Cristiano Ronaldo. I thought Portugal would add another one in the 2nd half as they were all over Russia but neither them nor the Russians could score so yeah it was unfortunately a solid under game 

By the way did anyone have Ronaldo to score a goal? I was considering that prop bet but ended up not taking it. Unfortunately again for me 

[tyz]

I like how you write down your experiences on betting and how you categorize the experiences into luck, fear and intuition. Very interesting approach. I have set over 1000 bets in my life so far and I met every situation you have posted in this thread. Seems as if betters have much in common what is worth to share. I'm curious about future experiences of your "betting life".

[Wendigo]

I was messing around the first half of the Cameroon - Australia match and had a bunch of live bets on over 0.5 goals ranging from 2.50 to 4.00 odds and then I decided to put in this gem of a bet lol   https://sportsbet.io/betslip/H2SDTv2dPywScDK8K @ 9.50 odds right before they took down the first half markets. I got super lucky I guess.

Intuition 10
Luck 10
Sweat 1   

[Wendigo]

Macedonia U21 - Portugal U21 was a crazy match 

For the lols:  https://sportsbet.io/betslip/Lbuj9xdo2WvKHD7oi   and    https://sportsbet.io/betslip/MmnyH294FQ2MGcXtR



Intuition 7
Luck 10
Sweat 2   

[Wendigo]

Wow Claudio Bravo saved 3 consecutive penalties and single-handedly carried Chile to the final 

[Wendigo]

Congrats to Germany for winning the Confederation Cup with their 2nd tier team. A lot of young players but 100% achieved efficiency nevertheless