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Author Topic: Prediction about MtGox  (Read 942 times)
kiba
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May 15, 2013, 05:49:35 AM
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I recorded a prediction here: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/18175

The prediction:

US government will indicts MtGox or its officers on criminal charges by the end of 2013.

My confidence is 33%. Subject to change as news reveal more details.

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QuestionAuthority
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May 15, 2013, 05:56:28 AM
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What are you basing your prediction on? Is it pure wild speculation or do you know something we don't know?

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May 15, 2013, 06:00:35 AM
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33% ?

Why 33%

kiba
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May 15, 2013, 06:10:49 AM
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33% ?

Why 33%


I pick 33% because it's a guess. I don't know. However, I do feel that criminal charges is one possible event that could transpires.

With more information, I may be able to make a better more educated guess.

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May 15, 2013, 06:22:01 AM
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I think its 51%, not sure will be 2013 though. I think 2014 more likely in preparation for another financial crash in 3rd Q of 2015.



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