Avalon ASIC ROI ?

[piit79]

Nice chart! Hopefully Avalon ships fast full units.

Nice chart! Hopefully they WILL NOT (Sorry man )

[StringTheory]

Avalon calculated the ROI of their units to be 1 month from delivery.  They did this to the best of their ability.  Any variance from this will be from a large input of unexpected hashing power.

[piit79]

Avalon calculated the ROI of their units to be 1 month from delivery.  They did this to the best of their ability.  Any variance from this will be from a large input of unexpected hashing power.

That must have been quite some time ago Unexpected hashing power? Meaning they didn't expect any other ASICs to come on-line (like ASICminer)? Hm.

[StringTheory]

Meaning some independent developer who doesn't visit these boards comes online with a bunch of hashing power.  They are aware of asicminer.

[piit79]

Meaning some independent developer who doesn't visit these boards comes online with a bunch of hashing power.  They are aware of asicminer.

What I meant was Avalon's ROI might have been 1 month in the beginning of batch 1. Now it's many many months and the second batch hasn't even been delivered yet (fully). Anyway, that was to be expected.

[sundownz]

To expand on the question a bit; if bitcoin prices went to 1000+ USD per coin then the machine would stay profitable.

According to the BTC profit calculator even at 1 billion difficulty an Avalon would produce $834 or so after electricity per month with a $1,000 USD per coin value.

Does this seem at all probable to see this type of value ?

[maxl]

From the Avalon homepage:


How is each batch’s unit price determined?

The price of each unit is the current mining difficulty which at the time of writing, just got readjusted to about 6,695,826. We take that number and multiply it by two ( predicting the network speed will double. ) and calculate the return in a thirty day window, which is about 75 bitcoins. See this site for more details.