Junk Picks: NFL|NCAAF|Rugby (+/- Total Bet Units in 1st Post)

[Junko]

A Sunday afternoon game pick.


Sunday 24 Sept. NitrogenSports NFL, 1% bet, picks in bold


Seattle Seahawks @ Tennessee Titans -3 (2.056).

My Wager: Betslip

Seattle has major offense problems, mainly with their O-line and QB Wilson not looking so good. They barely squeaked by the 49ers last week at home. They are struggling offensively, only scoring one TD this year so far and they even missed the extra point on that one too, I think. Now they travel across the country to play a hungry Tennessee team and the Titans can score points with the weapons they have.

[Junko]

Another pick for Sunday.


Sunday 24 Sept. NitrogenSports NFL, 1% bet, picks in bold

Miami Dolphins -5.5 (1.948) @ New York Jets

My Wager: Betslip

Jarvis Landry, Jay Ajayi and DeVante Parker of Miami all look to be good to go for tomorrow's game against New York despite their injury statuses. That's bad news for the J-E-T-S, JETS, JETS, JETS! as they don't have much talent to begin with. What little talent they do have hasn't been producing. They may be able to slow Miami for maybe a quarter and a half, but playing with heart only gets you so far when you lack talent. I just don't see how they are going to cover Miami's receivers and stop Ajayi at the same time. This should be a cake walk for the Dolphins.

[Junko]

A teaser play for Sunday.

NitrogenSports NFL, 1% bet, picks and odds in bold:

4-Leg (6 point) Teaser, Ties Lose, 1% bet (3.500)

   1. Pittsburgh Steelers -7.5 (+6) @ Chicago Bears
   2. New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles -6 (+6)
   3. Cincinnati Bengals @ Green Bay Packers -8 (+6)
   4. Miami Dolphins -6 (+6) @ New York Jets

My Wager: Betslip

I think I would have gotten better odds had I made this a ML parlay with the same teams which is what I should have done. I'm somewhat confident the favorites should win in their respective match-ups straight up, but the spreads seemed a little long and I want to tease them down.

[Junko]

Sunday results (picks and odds in bold):


Miami Dolphins -5.5 (1.948) @ New York Jets : Loss -1.00 bet units. Betslip

Atlanta Falcons @ Detroit Lions : Over 48.5 (1.948) : Win +0.948 bet units. Betslip

Seattle Seahawks @ Tennessee Titans -3 (2.056) : Win +1.056 bet units. Betslip

4-Leg Parlay 1% bet (13.466) : Loss -1.00 bet units. Betslip
   1. Los Angeles Rams -2 (1.948) @ San Francisco 49ers - Push
   2. Baltimore Ravens -3.5 (1.948) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (neutral site) - Loss
   3. New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles -6 (1.957) - Loss
   4. Cincinnati Bengals @ Green Bay Packers -8.5 (1.948) - Loss

4-Leg (6 point) Teaser 1% bet (3.500) : Loss -1.00 bet units. Betslip
   1. Pittsburgh Steelers -7.5 (+6) @ Chicago Bears - Loss
   2. New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles -6 (+6) - Win
   3. Cincinnati Bengals @ Green Bay Packers -8 (+6) - Win
   4. Miami Dolphins -6 (+6) @ New York Jets - Loss


My Parlay and Teaser plays got blown up. The Jets surprisingly shut down Miami. Meanwhile in London, the Baltimore Ravens team bus must have gotten lost on their way to the stadium from their hotel because they certainly didn't show up to the game. How else to explain the 44-7 loss to Jax.


Sunday Total: -0.996 bet units
Cumulative Total: +2.630 bet units

[Junko]

First NFL pick for this week. Will try to take a closer look at the college games also.


Sunday 1 Oct. NFL, 1% bet, pick and odds in bold

Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos -3 (2.016)

My Wager: Betslip

I tend to try to stay away from betting divisional games like this one, but I'm drawn to this match up. Both are good teams who had disappointingly poor performances in their losses last week. Denver is at home and has a better balance of offense-defense. The Raiders defense got pushed up and down the field by Washington last week and their usually high-flying offense was stymied for only 10 points. I'll go with the Broncos at home giving 3 points.

[Junko]

A college football pick.


Saturday 30 Sept. NCAAF, 1% bet, pick and odds in bold

Mississippi Ole Miss Rebels @ Alabama Crimson Tide -27 (1.931)

My Wager: Betslip

Pretty straightforward here. Alabama is Alabama, while Ole Miss is about the same caliber of team as Vanderbilt, who Alabama beat 59-0 last week. In that game, Bama had their 5th and 6th string players playing from the middle of the 3rd quarter on.

[Junko]

Rugby pick.


Friday 29 Sept. Rugby Union - Aviva Premiership, 1% bet, pick and odds in bold

Saracens -17 (2.028) @ Worcester Warriors

My Wager: Betslip

Some significant injuries for both teams requiring reshuffling of line ups. Warriors are winless after 4 games and have only scored 5 total tries. Saracens, despite their injuries, are strong on both offensive and on defense.

[Junko]

Another college football pick for tomorrow (Saturday).


Saturday 30 Sept. NCAAF, 1% bet, pick and odds in bold

Northwestern Wildcats @ Wisconsin Badgers -16 (1.931)

My Wager: Betslip

Both teams are coming off a bye week. Wisconsin is 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games following a bye week. The Wildcats defense is ranked 90th in yards allowed per game, while their star RB, Justin Jackson, hasn't been very productive for the most part. Prior to their bye week, the undefeated Badgers had an impressive win, crushing a very tough BYU team on the road 40-6. Wisconsin at home should outclass Northwestern in this game.

[Junko]

Friday rugby result (pick and odds in bold):


Saracens -17 (2.028) @ Worcester Warriors - Win +1.028 bet units. (Betslip)

Despite injuries, Sarries score three tries and cruise to a 25-3 victory over Worcester, giving us an easy cover to win our bet.


Friday Total: +1.028 bet units
Cumulative Total: +3.658 bet units

[Junko]

Saturday NCAAF results (picks and odds in bold):


Northwestern Wildcats @ Wisconsin Badgers -16 (1.931) - Loss -1.00 bet units. (Betslip)

Mississippi Ole Miss Rebels @ Alabama Crimson Tide -27 (1.931) - Win +0.931 bet units. (Betslip)


Badgers unable to cover, while Bama rolls Mississippi.


Friday Total: -0.069 bet units
Cumulative Total: +3.589 bet units

[Junko]

Adding an underdog pick for today.


Sunday 1 Oct. NFL, 1% bet, pick and odds in bold

Los Angeles Rams +6 (1.948) @ Dallas Cowboys

My Wager: Betslip

Dallas is the favorite (-6). However they are dealing with some significant injuries. Their defensive secondary is banged up and leading tackler, LB Sean Lee (hamstring), will be a game time decision as to whether he will play or not. On offense, it looks like they will be starting a back up at left guard on an O-line that hasn't seemed to have quite fully gelled yet. Meanwhile, QB Jared Goff and RB Todd Gurley of the Rams are healthy and are producing well with the play calling of coach Sean McVay. I think the line should be closer to a Pick where neither team is favored. BTW, the Rams wins have come against two teams who are a combined 0-6 so far this season. This game should tell us if the Rams are really legit or counterfeit.

[Junko]

Sunday results. (picks and odds in bold):


Los Angeles Rams +6 (1.948) @ Dallas Cowboys - Win +0.948 bet units. (Betslip)

Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos -3 (2.016) - Win +1.016 bet units. (Betslip)


With injuries to key players, Dallas succumbs to the underdog Rams attack lead by Goff and Gurley as predicted. Denver benefited greatly from QB Derek Carr of the Raiders having to leave the game with back spasms.


Sunday Total: +1.964 bet units
Cumulative Total: +5.553 bet units

[Junko]

Monday Night Football


Monday 2 Oct. NFL, 1% bet, pick and odds in bold

Washington Redskins @ Kansas City Chiefs -7 (2.056)

My Wager: Betslip

Kansas City QB Alex Smith is playing lights out, completing 77.4% of his passes for 744 yds, 7 TDs and 0 INTs. RB Kareem Hunt is beasting with a 162 yards per game average. The Redskins have looked impressive in their last two games, but KC is tough at home and should be geeked AF playing prime time on Monday Night Football. 7 points is a lot to give with two good teams playing against each other, but I believe Kansas City's defense will give Kirk Cousins enough problems to keep him from being effective.

[badjacks99]

Adding an underdog pick for today.


Sunday 1 Oct. NFL, 1% bet, pick and odds in bold

Los Angeles Rams +6 (1.948) @ Dallas Cowboys

My Wager: Betslip

Dallas is the favorite (-6). However they are dealing with some significant injuries. Their defensive secondary is banged up and leading tackler, LB Sean Lee (hamstring), will be a game time decision as to whether he will play or not. On offense, it looks like they will be starting a back up at left guard on an O-line that hasn't seemed to have quite fully gelled yet. Meanwhile, QB Jared Goff and RB Todd Gurley of the Rams are healthy and are producing well with the play calling of coach Sean McVay. I think the line should be closer to a Pick where neither team is favored. BTW, the Rams wins have come against two teams who are a combined 0-6 so far this season. This game should tell us if the Rams are really legit or counterfeit.

This turned out to be a great pick, i also had this play on a Betslip and was happy with the final turn out. Im noticing you have picked this chiefs for tonight. I also believe this to be a great pick, kc at home in primetime? Yeah, buddy. I think it will be another one of them dogfights though, redskins have been playing well. Im looking for the chiefs to lay down the hammer in the fourth quarter and winning by 10. Good luck.

[Junko]

Adding an underdog pick for today.


Sunday 1 Oct. NFL, 1% bet, pick and odds in bold

Los Angeles Rams +6 (1.948) @ Dallas Cowboys

My Wager: Betslip

Dallas is the favorite (-6). However they are dealing with some significant injuries. Their defensive secondary is banged up and leading tackler, LB Sean Lee (hamstring), will be a game time decision as to whether he will play or not. On offense, it looks like they will be starting a back up at left guard on an O-line that hasn't seemed to have quite fully gelled yet. Meanwhile, QB Jared Goff and RB Todd Gurley of the Rams are healthy and are producing well with the play calling of coach Sean McVay. I think the line should be closer to a Pick where neither team is favored. BTW, the Rams wins have come against two teams who are a combined 0-6 so far this season. This game should tell us if the Rams are really legit or counterfeit.

This turned out to be a great pick, i also had this play on a Betslip and was happy with the final turn out. Im noticing you have picked this chiefs for tonight. I also believe this to be a great pick, kc at home in primetime? Yeah, buddy. I think it will be another one of them dogfights though, redskins have been playing well. Im looking for the chiefs to lay down the hammer in the fourth quarter and winning by 10. Good luck.

Thanks, man. I was pretty confident in picking the Rams. If it wasn't so early in the season, I might have put 2 or 3 bet units more on it. The thing with that particular pick is that having been born and raised in Dallas, I am a huge Cowboys fan. And I rarely bet on Cowboys games whether for or against my team. One of the things I've learned when it comes to gambling is to not let your emotions guide or sway you in any way. That's why I try like all hell not to put any money on a Cowboys game either for or against. But when I saw the opening line with Dallas as a 6 point favorite, I knew that it was inflated. Even with key injuries on the Cowboy's side, the line didn't move, so that just confirmed it. As a fan, I hoped my Cowboys would win even if it meant me losing money. But as a gambler putting money on the game and looking at both the overall and individual match ups, I just couldn't see Dallas winning this game, much less covering 6 points.

And good call on the KC game for both of us. You were right, it was a dogfight and just like you predicted, KC would shut them down in the fourth quarter where they held Washington to just a field goal. (Hey, you should make a tipster thread if you haven't already ) I always like the Chiefs at home in prime time.

Anyway, happy to see us both win and interesting that we saw these games the same way. 

__________

Monday results (pick and odds in bold):


Washington Redskins @ Kansas City Chiefs -7 (2.056) - Win +1.056 bet units (Betslip)

Nice win to end NFL Week 4.


Monday Total: +1.056 bet units
Cumulative Total: +6.609 bet units

[badjacks99]

Adding an underdog pick for today.


Sunday 1 Oct. NFL, 1% bet, pick and odds in bold

Los Angeles Rams +6 (1.948) @ Dallas Cowboys

My Wager: Betslip

Dallas is the favorite (-6). However they are dealing with some significant injuries. Their defensive secondary is banged up and leading tackler, LB Sean Lee (hamstring), will be a game time decision as to whether he will play or not. On offense, it looks like they will be starting a back up at left guard on an O-line that hasn't seemed to have quite fully gelled yet. Meanwhile, QB Jared Goff and RB Todd Gurley of the Rams are healthy and are producing well with the play calling of coach Sean McVay. I think the line should be closer to a Pick where neither team is favored. BTW, the Rams wins have come against two teams who are a combined 0-6 so far this season. This game should tell us if the Rams are really legit or counterfeit.

This turned out to be a great pick, i also had this play on a Betslip and was happy with the final turn out. Im noticing you have picked this chiefs for tonight. I also believe this to be a great pick, kc at home in primetime? Yeah, buddy. I think it will be another one of them dogfights though, redskins have been playing well. Im looking for the chiefs to lay down the hammer in the fourth quarter and winning by 10. Good luck.

Thanks, man. I was pretty confident in picking the Rams. If it wasn't so early in the season, I might have put 2 or 3 bet units more on it. The thing with that particular pick is that having been born and raised in Dallas, I am a huge Cowboys fan. And I rarely bet on Cowboys games whether for or against my team. One of the things I've learned when it comes to gambling is to not let your emotions guide or sway you in any way. That's why I try like all hell not to put any money on a Cowboys game either for or against. But when I saw the opening line with Dallas as a 6 point favorite, I knew that it was inflated. Even with key injuries on the Cowboy's side, the line didn't move, so that just confirmed it. As a fan, I hoped my Cowboys would win even if it meant me losing money. But as a gambler putting money on the game and looking at both the overall and individual match ups, I just couldn't see Dallas winning this game, much less covering 6 points.

And good call on the KC game for both of us. You were right, it was a dogfight and just like you predicted, KC would shut them down in the fourth quarter where they held Washington to just a field goal. (Hey, you should make a tipster thread if you haven't already ) I always like the Chiefs at home in prime time.

Anyway, happy to see us both win and interesting that we saw these games the same way. 

__________

Monday results (pick and odds in bold):


Washington Redskins @ Kansas City Chiefs -7 (2.056) - Win +1.056 bet units (Betslip)

Nice win to end NFL Week 4.


Monday Total: +1.056 bet units
Cumulative Total: +6.609 bet units

 It can be hard to bet against your own team, to be able to do so shows That you have a cool head and some betting know how. Im also glad to get that we predicted correctly with the chiefs. With that last touchdown in the last four seconds was not exactly what i had in mind, but hey a win is a win. Pretty amazing fashion to cover the spread. Do you have any oppinions yet for thursday night?

[Junko]

With that last touchdown in the last four seconds was not exactly what i had in mind, but hey a win is a win. Pretty amazing fashion to cover the spread. Do you have any oppinions yet for thursday night?

Yeah, that was the craziest last second cover I think I've ever seen. The Over hit as well because of that last freak TD. Cray. And yeah, I do have action on Thursday Night NFL Football:


Thursday 5 Oct. NFL 1% bets, (picks and odds in bold)


New England Patriots @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5.5 (1.948)

My Wager: Betslip


New England Patriots @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over 55.5 (1.986)

My Wager: Betslip

Everyone knows New England rarely loses back to back games, but this year they have a serious problem with their defense - as in, they don't have one. If it weren't for a miracle TD against Houston with 30 seconds left on the clock two weeks ago, the Pats could easily be 1-3. Tom Brady and the offense is clicking away as normal, ranked #1 overall in the league. But like I said, the problem is with their defense. They are ranked last in the league in Total Defense, last in total yards allowed per game and second to last (above just Indianapolis) in points allowed per game. Their defense is basically nonexistent.

NE will be the traveling away team playing on a short week, so they will have less time to recover and prepare. I don't see how their defense will be able to cover both Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson. Against the spread, I like Tampa Bay at home getting 5.5 points. I think it will be a high scoring close game. I've yet to mention, Tampa's defense isn't that great either, hence why I think it will be a high scoring close game and hence, I'm also taking the OVER. I think the total points will be in the neighborhood of around ~60-65 points or so. There's a 40% chance of rain early in the night with winds 13-25 mph. That might have an affect, but I'm still thinking high score.

[badjacks99]

With that last touchdown in the last four seconds was not exactly what i had in mind, but hey a win is a win. Pretty amazing fashion to cover the spread. Do you have any oppinions yet for thursday night?

Yeah, that was the craziest last second cover I think I've ever seen. The Over hit as well because of that last freak TD. Cray. And yeah, I do have action on Thursday Night NFL Football:


Thursday 5 Oct. NFL 1% bets, (picks and odds in bold)


New England Patriots @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5.5 (1.948)

My Wager: Betslip


New England Patriots @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over 55.5 (1.986)



My Wager: Betslip

Everyone knows New England rarely loses back to back games, but this year they have a serious problem with their defense - as in, they don't have one. If it weren't for a miracle TD against Houston with 30 seconds left on the clock two weeks ago, the Pats could easily be 1-3. Tom Brady and the offense is clicking away as normal, ranked #1 overall in the league. But like I said, the problem is with their defense. They are ranked last in the league in Total Defense, last in total yards allowed per game and second to last (above just Indianapolis) in points allowed per game. Their defense is basically nonexistent.

NE will be the traveling away team playing on a short week, so they will have less time to recover and prepare. I don't see how their defense will be able to cover both Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson. Against the spread, I like Tampa Bay at home getting 5.5 points. I think it will be a high scoring close game. I've yet to mention, Tampa's defense isn't that great either, hence why I think it will be a high scoring close game and hence, I'm also taking the OVER. I think the total points will be in the neighborhood of around ~60-65 points or so. There's a 40% chance of rain early in the night with winds 13-25 mph. That might have an affect, but I'm still thinking high score.

Whoa, now this looks like a pretty good pick. For me, its not so much  that I believe in Tampa Bay or anything, for me it's the fact that I don't trust New England's defense . We all know Tom Brady can keep them in a game no matter what, but I'd say if Tampa Bay can capitalize on an interception or two, they have a very good chance of winning. So junko, im gonna follow this pick of yours good luck.

[Junko]

With that last touchdown in the last four seconds was not exactly what i had in mind, but hey a win is a win. Pretty amazing fashion to cover the spread. Do you have any oppinions yet for thursday night?

Yeah, that was the craziest last second cover I think I've ever seen. The Over hit as well because of that last freak TD. Cray. And yeah, I do have action on Thursday Night NFL Football:


Thursday 5 Oct. NFL 1% bets, (picks and odds in bold)


New England Patriots @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5.5 (1.948)

My Wager: Betslip


New England Patriots @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over 55.5 (1.986)



My Wager: Betslip

Everyone knows New England rarely loses back to back games, but this year they have a serious problem with their defense - as in, they don't have one. If it weren't for a miracle TD against Houston with 30 seconds left on the clock two weeks ago, the Pats could easily be 1-3. Tom Brady and the offense is clicking away as normal, ranked #1 overall in the league. But like I said, the problem is with their defense. They are ranked last in the league in Total Defense, last in total yards allowed per game and second to last (above just Indianapolis) in points allowed per game. Their defense is basically nonexistent.

NE will be the traveling away team playing on a short week, so they will have less time to recover and prepare. I don't see how their defense will be able to cover both Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson. Against the spread, I like Tampa Bay at home getting 5.5 points. I think it will be a high scoring close game. I've yet to mention, Tampa's defense isn't that great either, hence why I think it will be a high scoring close game and hence, I'm also taking the OVER. I think the total points will be in the neighborhood of around ~60-65 points or so. There's a 40% chance of rain early in the night with winds 13-25 mph. That might have an affect, but I'm still thinking high score.

Whoa, now this looks like a pretty good pick. For me, its not so much  that I believe in Tampa Bay or anything, for me it's the fact that I don't trust New England's defense . We all know Tom Brady can keep them in a game no matter what, but I'd say if Tampa Bay can capitalize on an interception or two, they have a very good chance of winning. So junko, im gonna follow this pick of yours good luck.

Thanks, man. Tampa Bay isn't an elite team or anything, but like you said, NE's defense just can't be trusted in this spot. The Tom Brady magic factor is always in effect, but I just don't see how they can be favored by so many points given their defense is so poor, not to mention they are travelling and playing on a short week. Tampa Bay will also be getting RB Doug Martin back from suspension so that will add another dimension to their offensive attack. At the very least, they should be able to keep the score close and that's all we'll need. Thanks, again. Good Luck to both of us.

[Junko]

Thursday results (pick and odds in bold):


New England Patriots @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5.5 (1.948) - Win +0.948 bet units (Betslip)

New England Patriots @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over 55.5 (1.986) - Loss -1.00 bet units (Betslip)


Well, New England finally found their defense. We still won our straight bet against the line, but we lost our Over bet. Some college picks coming up. Stay tuned...


Monday Total: -0.052 bet units
Cumulative Total: +6.557 bet units