Thoughts on difficulty month-to-month growth...

[tabraham]

Hello all.  Newbie miner here considering joining the bitcoin rush. Here's a question for the veterans out there running a small to medium size mining facility (feel free to offer a description of what constitutes a small to medium size mining facility in your mind).

I've seen / used various calculators ie. coinwarz, whattomine etc. to determine a probable profit level for 20 & above S9s.  They all seem to present positive results when approaching the game with high levels of hashing power, low cost of power, a consistent rate of difficulty and a favorable BTC value.

But if I try to adjust for future growth of difficulty, the profitability opportunity falls apart.  How do others plan your investment to account for future conditions?

Thanks all for any help & insight you can offer on this subject.

Todd

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[fanatic26]

Bitcoin mining is very volatile based on a number of factors. Forecasting profitability more than a month into the future is virtually impossible. Your best bet is to make an EDUCATED guess on the difficulty changes and hope you are somewhere in the ballpark.