As block segregation is gonna happen on ethereum this time along with the hard fork. We have to wait till the upcoming fork happening day. After that bitcoin and ethreum cost will move again to flight. Whenever the hard fork or halving implementing, that time dump is usually happen.
Don't bother about the difficulty chart bump in the graph. If you fear sell it out. You will surely loose your profit and amount you saved or bought for it.
Do you think that there will be dumping?
I do not fear much, I believe in crypto long term and along with mining I also invest. I do not know what effect will have PoS on Ethereum ... either is cheap to produce and therefore price lowers OR there is more demand as the network fees are lower and the price increases.
It is unclear to me frankly... any hint?
My two cents. This is a market like any other: offer and demand meet and form a price. In this case, it is a market with very small obstacles to the entry of producers (miners).
PoW
The demand for ethereum is driven, unfortunately, by speculation and news not (at the moment) by real use as store of value, commerce vehicle /payment method nor per the utility to execute smart contracts. As anything speculative, DEMAND WILL MOVE BY NEWS (adoption, bans, projects, posibility to pay in stores, competing alternatives, expectations of increase in value...)
The offer of Ethereum is fixed at 3 EHT per block, that is whatever per minute. Miners go in or out the market if the price makes operations profitable, so OFFER IS DRIVEN BY PRODUCTION COST, particular cost and availability of graphics cards and also electricity prices.
Thus, exceptional good news or investment may TEMPORARELY drive the price up, but it will be soon be back to "normal" as more people enter the mining attracted by these prices until is no longer really profitable.
PoS
Once it becomes PoS, the production cost instead of being driven by electricity and hardware will be driven by the cost of staking Ethereum. This cost becomes minimally related to hardware and electricity and very related to the cost of money (interests).
The "producers" (stakers) will chose among buying ethereum to stake it and earn "interests" by minting Ether or chose to have other criptos or fiats or bonds or shares that allow obtaining interests or dividends. Therefore, ETH will be just like any share of a company as far as offer is concerned.
And, as with any share, price will be driven by speculation about the use of the network, real transactions, etc.. and by the attractiveness of the "interest rates" of staking Ether vs the interest rates of Euro, Ruble, Dolar or whatever you chose.
So, my two cents are:
- Price will change from being hardware and electricity related to the opportunity cost of alternative investments in the market.
- As the yield or interest is related to the use of the network, the price will become much more related to new, speculation and in the long term, mainstream adoption as with any startup.
WILL THE PRICE RISE??? It will depend on the real applications in the long term.
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN TO ME? That when PoS comes into effect you are efectively a shareholder of the Ethereum network
Help it grow, promote it and be active and we will all profit from it (think of Apple).
Does this make sense?
