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Author Topic: Just-Dice.com : now with added CLAMs : Play or Invest  (Read 454535 times)
Samarkand
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September 25, 2017, 09:26:58 AM
 #4621

I understand that the purpose of the offsite balance was not accumulating too many CLAMS insite. However, seeing that there's a circulating supply of 2 631 279 clams (https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/clams/), and a theoretical bankroll of 13 852 378 (200 times the current max profit), 5.64 times bigger, it's evident the offsite function isn't being employed as intended. Investors are forced to use a multiplier as big as the rest of investors, so their position isn't deluted. But by doing that, she's lying, like the majority of other investors.

...

Dooglus should just remove the /offsite feature.
It has been used like you describe it (all people have to lie about their holdings in order to not
get diluted) since the introduction of this feature.
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dooglus (OP)
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September 26, 2017, 02:54:47 AM
 #4622

Investors are forced to use a multiplier as big as the rest of investors, so their position isn't deluted

I don't agree with that part. Nobody is forced to risk more than they want to.

I also don't see it as "lying" to use the "offsite" feature to invest more CLAMs than you actually hold. I do it myself. I have at least 25 times more wealth outside of CLAM than I have in CLAMs, so using "offsite max" isn't unreasonable for me to do. If I lose my entire deposit, I can buy more CLAMs and start over. It allows me to invest reasonably without having to convert all my money into CLAMs.

If others want to "abuse" the feature to take excessive risk, that's up to them. They might lose their investment and not be able to replace it, but they knew the risks when investing too much.

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September 26, 2017, 04:07:14 PM
 #4623

Investors are forced to use a multiplier as big as the rest of investors, so their position isn't deluted

I don't agree with that part. Nobody is forced to risk more than they want to.

I also don't see it as "lying" to use the "offsite" feature to invest more CLAMs than you actually hold. I do it myself. I have at least 25 times more wealth outside of CLAM than I have in CLAMs, so using "offsite max" isn't unreasonable for me to do. If I lose my entire deposit, I can buy more CLAMs and start over. It allows me to invest reasonably without having to convert all my money into CLAMs.

If others want to "abuse" the feature to take excessive risk, that's up to them. They might lose their investment and not be able to replace it, but they knew the risks when investing too much.

If someone comes and starts betting for max profit and winning it, investors wouldn't be able to buy the needed CLAMS to deposit them, even if they are online and ready to buy them in an exchange (totally unrealistic). Actually, there aren't even enough CLAMS being offered in exchanges to buy them in that scenario (357703 are available on Poloniex now, that's only about 40% of the insite bankroll, and that obviously includes those listed for way more than the current price, like a 190345 clams sell order for BTC0.008 each, about 4 times the current price). An scenario like a short squeeze would occur in that case. It's just not possible to buy back hundreds of thousands of CLAMS.

What you are allowing, which is basically leverage, wouldn't be that problematic if it wasn't because Just-Dice bankroll is about 1/3 of the total supply of this coin, and average leverage is 1:15. The scenario of someone betting for the max profit may be unlikely, but it just makes no sense to risk getting in that situation. In that scenario, only those that aren't lying with their insite+offsite bankroll (which is probably just a minority of people as you are forced to be at 1:25 not to be deluted) would be able to bear the downswing. Meanwhile the rest of investors would be losing about 7% of their CLAMS in each max profit lost bet, instead of the optimal 1% or a conservative 0.5%.

Maximum allowed leverage on CLAMS should be money supply/insite bankroll (and that's already risky as the rest of existing coins aren't ready to be bought on exchanges). Actually I'd just get rid of the offsite function and just make max profit 1% of the (real) bankroll, equal to our edge.
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September 26, 2017, 10:44:27 PM
 #4624


If someone comes and starts betting for max profit and winning it, investors wouldn't be able to buy the needed CLAMS to deposit them, even if they are online and ready to buy them in an exchange (totally unrealistic). Actually, there aren't even enough CLAMS being offered in exchanges to buy them in that scenario (357703 are available on Poloniex now, that's only about 40% of the insite bankroll, and that obviously includes those listed for way more than the current price, like a 190345 clams sell order for BTC0.008 each, about 4 times the current price). An scenario like a short squeeze would occur in that case. It's just not possible to buy back hundreds of thousands of CLAMS.

I don't see the problem? If there are 357.703 coins available to be bought on polonies (there are probably other sites who sell the coins as well), and the max win is 70k-ish, everyone would be able to buy their CLAMS back.


What you are allowing, which is basically leverage, wouldn't be that problematic if it wasn't because Just-Dice bankroll is about 1/3 of the total supply of this coin, and average leverage is 1:15. The scenario of someone betting for the max profit may be unlikely, but it just makes no sense to risk getting in that situation. In that scenario, only those that aren't lying with their insite+offsite bankroll (which is probably just a minority of people as you are forced to be at 1:25 not to be deluted) would be able to bear the downswing. Meanwhile the rest of investors would be losing about 7% of their CLAMS in each max profit lost bet, instead of the optimal 1% or a conservative 0.5%.

I don't see the problem here either. As an investor, you have the choise to take a higher risk, you don't have to if you don't want to.
Personally, I like to have more profit as an investor, so I do take a higher leverage when I invest. If I lose bigger, I realize that it's part of the game, but in the long run, I'm making more money.
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September 27, 2017, 12:30:33 AM
 #4625

I don't see the problem? If there are 357.703 coins available to be bought on polonies (there are probably other sites who sell the coins as well), and the max win is 70k-ish, everyone would be able to buy their CLAMS back.

God that would be a painful day.

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September 27, 2017, 06:41:11 AM
 #4626


If someone comes and starts betting for max profit and winning it, investors wouldn't be able to buy the needed CLAMS to deposit them, even if they are online and ready to buy them in an exchange (totally unrealistic). Actually, there aren't even enough CLAMS being offered in exchanges to buy them in that scenario (357703 are available on Poloniex now, that's only about 40% of the insite bankroll, and that obviously includes those listed for way more than the current price, like a 190345 clams sell order for BTC0.008 each, about 4 times the current price). An scenario like a short squeeze would occur in that case. It's just not possible to buy back hundreds of thousands of CLAMS.

I don't see the problem? If there are 357.703 coins available to be bought on polonies (there are probably other sites who sell the coins as well), and the max win is 70k-ish, everyone would be able to buy their CLAMS back.


What you are allowing, which is basically leverage, wouldn't be that problematic if it wasn't because Just-Dice bankroll is about 1/3 of the total supply of this coin, and average leverage is 1:15. The scenario of someone betting for the max profit may be unlikely, but it just makes no sense to risk getting in that situation. In that scenario, only those that aren't lying with their insite+offsite bankroll (which is probably just a minority of people as you are forced to be at 1:25 not to be deluted) would be able to bear the downswing. Meanwhile the rest of investors would be losing about 7% of their CLAMS in each max profit lost bet, instead of the optimal 1% or a conservative 0.5%.

I don't see the problem here either. As an investor, you have the choise to take a higher risk, you don't have to if you don't want to.
Personally, I like to have more profit as an investor, so I do take a higher leverage when I invest. If I lose bigger, I realize that it's part of the game, but in the long run, I'm making more money.

70000 would.be losing just one bet. That's not a big deal. One bet of 7% of the bankroll, instead of 1% that it should be. But that player could keep betting and eating our bankroll at a rate of 7% per bet, instead of 1%. There simply aren't enough Clams in existence to keep buying them outside and depositing them on Just Dice. And that's assuming investors were online and had funds ready at the exchange to buy them, which isn't realistic at all.

Optimal leverage is something slightly higher than losing a maximum of 1% of your bankroll per bet (as 1% is our edge), because most bets target much smaller prizes. But 7% is just reckless. Or 12.5% if you are using 25x multiplier.

It simply makes no sense to allow that degree of leverage. Investors would get the same kind of returns as now if everyone was capped as about 3x, but we wouldn't risk being destroyed the day someone bets against max profit.
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September 29, 2017, 07:29:17 PM
 #4627

clam price is rocking. good times




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October 06, 2017, 02:14:48 PM
 #4628

Been losing bankroll profit every single day, even when site bankroll wins.

Anybody know what's happening there?


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October 10, 2017, 03:59:53 PM
 #4629

Does your share of the staking profit depend on (your onsite investment)/(onsite total bankroll) or (your onsite+offsite investment)/(onsite+offsite total bankroll)?
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October 13, 2017, 04:37:01 PM
 #4630

Just-Dice.com

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The really neat thing about it though is that you can also "be the house", and invest any balance you're not using in the site's bankroll.  Then when other players lose, you win.

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October 13, 2017, 11:28:43 PM
 #4631

sick price crash, but clams always comes back




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dooglus (OP)
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October 14, 2017, 12:02:02 AM
 #4632

Does your share of the staking profit depend on (your onsite investment)/(onsite total bankroll) or (your onsite+offsite investment)/(onsite+offsite total bankroll)?

The former.

Offsite CLAMs don't stake, and so don't count in the staking reward calculation.

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October 14, 2017, 12:08:33 AM
 #4633

Been losing bankroll profit every single day, even when site bankroll wins.

Anybody know what's happening there?

I think the most likely explanation is that you're using the wrong day end time. The on-site stats count the daily profit from midnight UTC to midnight UTC. Try doing the same and then see how well your daily profits match the site's reported profits.

We wouldn't expect your profit to be a fixed percentage of the site's profit, since people are going in and of the bankroll pretty often, but it should be close enough.

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Crikien
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October 14, 2017, 12:10:02 AM
 #4634

Looks like the site is down right now for me.  Anyone else?
dooglus (OP)
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October 14, 2017, 12:57:13 AM
 #4635

Looks like the site is down right now for me.  Anyone else?

It seems to be down for lots of people. I'm able to connect if I use Tor, but not directly.

The site's fine, but lots of people are having trouble reaching it. I suspect a problem bigger than Just-Dice. I can't reach bitcoincharts.com either, but again can if I use Tor.

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October 14, 2017, 01:46:27 AM
 #4636

It's down for me :-/
dooglus (OP)
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October 14, 2017, 02:11:41 AM
 #4637

It's down for me :-/

And now it's back, right? It is for me, anyway.

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Crikien
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October 14, 2017, 02:21:33 AM
 #4638

Back up for me as well.  Thanks for the quick response Doog.
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October 14, 2017, 06:58:55 PM
 #4639

Yeah it bounced back pretty quick.

I was a little scared about J-D disappearing after that huge market dump.
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October 15, 2017, 12:17:35 PM
 #4640

CLAM @ 75000 Cool #spaceshuttles to marzzz

https://poloniex.com/exchange#btc_clam

©2021*MY POSTS ARE STRICTLY FOR NOVELTY AND/OR PRESERVATION/COLLECTING PURPOSES ONLY!*It should not be regarded as investment/trading advice.*advocate to promote sharing and free software for the bitcoin community* #EFF #FSF #XTZ ===> START WITH NOTHING AND BUILD IT INTO SOMETHING!
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