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Author Topic: 🤖 Future of Trading - AI vs Humans the Prediction Challenge WIN 0.05 BTC 🤖  (Read 5986 times)
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December 07, 2017, 11:21:29 PM
 #21

My prediction for Friday end of day is $22,518.

Why? Because the daily increase is accelerating, at least until the opening of the Bitcoin futures markets. Today was about +22%, for tomorrow I estimate +30%.
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December 08, 2017, 12:28:19 AM
 #22

The ultimate goal of our project is to stabilize the volatility of the market through new saving mechanisms.
Could you elaborate on this?

Hello Labrader,

the volatality in the crypto markets is mainly because of the lack of liquidity and of the price discovery of a completely new asset class e.g. lack of information about the fundamentals.

In our todays digital world - especially crypto - the volume of data blasts away every human understanding and even the most recognized experts have difficulties to keep up with the newest developments.
This is where the power of Big Data Analysis and Automatic Machine Learning comes into play - it discovers the best possible projects based on all global available data and ever evolving algorithmic market models and could put most needed liquidity in exact such projects.

One example could be:

In the future there will be rumours of china banning the private mining of Bitcoins while nationalizing every ASIC producer and mining farms.
The whole world knows it is real (AP fake tweet sends DOW into free fall) except that it is fake.
AIEVE's Big Data Analysis and Automatic Machine learning could forecast a mega dump and recovery of the price because AIEVE knows the news are fake and could step in to lessen the volatality while profiting.


The ultimate goal of our project is to stabilize the volatility of the market through new saving mechanisms.
AIEVE should not be solely though of as a classical trading tool (Wall Street like trading algorithms) but as a solution for the people to secure and bring confidence into the crypto and bitcoin ecosystem.
If everybody would be using an advanced AI to very exactly predict the market, what would the point of trading be? IMHO, obiously you would need LOW adoption for your tool to make it valuable.

Everybody knowing exactly what the market looks like tomorrow makes for no market at all: the definition of a market is to exchange something of different value for the participants. Not something of equal value.

I mean, the ideea is very cool, but you should keep it secret if you actually plan to use the bot/ai for something.

This is already reality in classical stocks.
Wall Street companies are running super computers for market prediction algorithms and these are fighting over profits with each other - for years already.
The future is not set in stone, it is also ever evolving based on every market (or market relating) participants decision and exactly this is the main problem we humans face: hugely increasing data volumes which nowadays can only be analysed by computer software.

So i believe like everyone is talking about AI becoming medical or legal advisers, it is inevitable that we soon will have AI based financial advisers.


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December 08, 2017, 12:37:37 AM
 #23

So will we be able to use this AI?
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December 08, 2017, 12:40:57 AM
 #24

So will we be able to use this AI?

Yes of course - it would be pretty mean to post it here and not let you guys use it in the end or? Wink

We plan to release the AI for commercial use in 2018!

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December 08, 2017, 02:29:56 AM
 #25

After a very volatile day this is AIEVE's prediction for the next day, let us see if she could learn from her mistakes Smiley





Ps:

My personal Prediction will be 19.000 $ / btc - we will reach 20.000$ but then a pull back because people will take profit!  Wink

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December 08, 2017, 06:20:12 AM
 #26

Ok, I will go with AI cant get fear factor dialed in so I am going to say it will be $15853
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December 08, 2017, 07:21:47 AM
 #27

My prediction is 18,900 for today 8/12

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December 08, 2017, 08:50:35 AM
 #28

My BTC price prediction for Saturday 09 Dec. 2017 end of day is 17014.86$

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December 08, 2017, 09:07:16 AM
 #29

My BTC price prediction for Friday 08.12.2017

$17.720
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December 08, 2017, 10:34:51 AM
 #30

17400 $ for BTC my prediction for Friday 08.12.2017

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December 08, 2017, 10:38:06 AM
 #31

My BTC price prediction for Friday 08.12.2017

$17.720
My prediction is 18,900 for today 8/12


Hello Gpes and yenimailb,

the time limit to make predictions for friday 08.12.2017 was over at 02:30 GMT.

You can make a prediction for the price on saturday 09.12.2017 at 23:59:59 GMT.
You have time until saturday 09.12. 02:30 GMT to post your predictions in this thread!

Good luck and have fun. Smiley



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December 08, 2017, 10:48:21 AM
 #32

Saturday 12/9/2017 is $15,560.00

Unlock my old account please:
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December 08, 2017, 08:39:57 PM
 #33

My prediction for next day... BTC 15650$

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December 08, 2017, 10:53:39 PM
 #34

For Dec.09, 2017 end of day, I predict 14,700 USD for Bitcoin. It would be great if you can also publish who got the best prediction every day for the length of the contest...

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December 09, 2017, 12:06:43 AM
 #35

09 December Saturday prediction:

$20,000
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December 09, 2017, 12:25:56 AM
 #36


The prediction result will be the closing price of Bitcoin on www.coinmarketcap.com in the “historical data” tab.
Link: https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/historical-data/

The winner of the challenge is the participant - human or AI - who has the least prediction error averaged from her/his 10 best predictions.

Your AI predicts a high and a low. The humans predict a close. So how will you compare the two? Will you average the high and the low from your AI?
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December 09, 2017, 12:55:52 AM
 #37


The prediction result will be the closing price of Bitcoin on www.coinmarketcap.com in the “historical data” tab.
Link: https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/historical-data/

The winner of the challenge is the participant - human or AI - who has the least prediction error averaged from her/his 10 best predictions.

Your AI predicts a high and a low. The humans predict a close. So how will you compare the two? Will you average the high and the low from your AI?


Hi qwik2learn,

the green bar in the prediction graphs shows the Low and High, this is one of AIEVE's abilities which will be of utmost importance for trading!
For the challenge only AIEVE's prediction of the closing price matters (which is also part of AIEVES prediction model).


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December 09, 2017, 01:07:21 AM
 #38

My prediction for Saturday 12/9 is 17899
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December 09, 2017, 02:30:10 AM
 #39

AIΞVE's prediction:

Saturday 09.12.2017:

BTC 09.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 15829,05 $



What a day wow!  Shocked

Ps:

My personal prediction 16.500 $!

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December 09, 2017, 03:11:14 AM
 #40

I need to get in on this.. So basically every day we make a prediction and see if we could be the AI.    

If nobody can beat the AI, then what? Does anyone win anything?


For Saturday:    1590



Edit:  I meant 15,900  not 1590.    You can see I'm not editing the price after the fact.    Just missed a zero.

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