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Author Topic: How to double your BTC in a week  (Read 16725 times)
playtin
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August 18, 2013, 01:35:47 PM
 #161

Look at max bet (10.5BTC) on max odds (35:1) vs available bankroll (608BTC) there is your answer.

No it's not risk free. Manage your bankroll accordingly.


EDIT: Good news they lowered the risk of ruin. The site now only risk a maximum of 50% instead of 100%+ yesterday. I've never seen more than 1.5BTC bet on 17:1 and 2BTC on 1:1 so in reality they never risked more than 100%.

FYI: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=87656.msg1145478#msg1145478
Risk of Ruin for Single-0 Roulette (player betting 1 on single number)
BankrollRisk of Ruin
081.605%
100017.216%
20003.547%
30000.75%
40000.258%
50000.083%
60000.025%
70000.008%
80000.001%

This chart indicates that if a casino wants to have a less than 0.001% risk of ruin, they must have a bankroll of more than 8000x the maximum bet on a single number.

01BTC10
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August 18, 2013, 01:47:57 PM
 #162

This is why if a casino don't manage the bankroll responsibly you need to do it yourself. Don't go all-in and get ready to reload.
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August 18, 2013, 03:53:26 PM
 #163

This chart indicates that if a casino wants to have a less than 0.001% risk of ruin, they must have a bankroll of more than 8000x the maximum bet on a single number.

It's probably worth pointing out that bitzino's calculations were based on a fixed max bet.  If the house adjusts its max bet dynamically to be a fixed percentage of the current bankroll then it doesn't need nearly as much.

Just-Dice                 ██             
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Bitsky
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August 18, 2013, 04:38:22 PM
 #164

He forgot to mention that you could've lost the whole bankroll.  As far as the site compromised, could we hope that the website is more secure than it is reliable.
Don't forget that a website owner can always blame a hack for everything. It has happened before that an admin said they got hacked just to run away with the coins.
So when reading "if the website is compromised" I always add "or we just steal them from you" in my mind.
Of course I'm not implying that this could happen here.

Bounty: Earn up to 68.7 BTC
Like my post? Feel free to drop a tip to 1BitskyZbfR4irjyXDaGAM2wYKQknwX36Y
Inedible
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August 18, 2013, 04:58:46 PM
 #165

He forgot to mention that you could've lost the whole bankroll.  As far as the site compromised, could we hope that the website is more secure than it is reliable.
Don't forget that a website owner can always blame a hack for everything. It has happened before that an admin said they got hacked just to run away with the coins.
So when reading "if the website is compromised" I always add "or we just steal them from you" in my mind.
Of course I'm not implying that this could happen here.

Surely you're saying the implication is it COULD happen and not WILL happen.

If this post was useful, interesting or entertaining, then you've misunderstood.
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August 18, 2013, 06:44:40 PM
 #166

well after 4 days of profits each night. last night resulted in a slight loss. So, we will see how things go next.

Phil

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Bitsky
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August 18, 2013, 08:45:03 PM
 #167

Surely you're saying the implication is it COULD happen and not WILL happen.
In dubio pro reo.

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filharvey
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August 19, 2013, 11:53:43 AM
 #168

Now things seem to have broken on the site. Again break even over night, but now can't withdraw any money.



Phil

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01BTC10
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August 19, 2013, 11:56:33 AM
 #169

Site seem on perpetual DDOS.
Hfleer
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August 19, 2013, 12:16:02 PM
 #170

He forgot to mention that you could've lost the whole bankroll.  As far as the site compromised, could we hope that the website is more secure than it is reliable.
Don't forget that a website owner can always blame a hack for everything. It has happened before that an admin said they got hacked just to run away with the coins.
So when reading "if the website is compromised" I always add "or we just steal them from you" in my mind.
Of course I'm not implying that this could happen here.

Falls into the category of counterparty risk.  Something to think about when dealing in Bitcoin.

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filharvey
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August 19, 2013, 02:14:33 PM
 #171

Update on withdrawal. Was able to make one just now. So down to a limited investment now. But it is still pure profit.

Phil

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August 19, 2013, 04:42:42 PM
 #172

Getting all sorts of errors and now even a 403 Forbidden on the website.  Roll Eyes

EDIT: Oh... so moving to a new server. Okay then...?

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August 19, 2013, 06:02:23 PM
 #173

I've been trying to withdraw 30 BTC for 2 daysw now.  Was told earlier that they would look into it.  Sites down and getting  403 forbidden.  Not looking so good.

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August 19, 2013, 06:11:31 PM
 #174

I've been trying to withdraw 30 BTC for 2 daysw now.  Was told earlier that they would look into it.  Sites down and getting  403 forbidden.  Not looking so good.
Quote
We are moving to a new server, shouldn't take longer than a couple of hours
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August 19, 2013, 07:05:06 PM
 #175

We have moved to the new servers everyone, the website should experience virtually no downtime from now on, about 1 hour left until all the checks are performed and invest/login/bet features are turned on again.

We will then get to debunking ponzi claims by the competitors and assisting customers in withdrawals.

Thank you for your patience.
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August 19, 2013, 07:17:15 PM
 #176

We will then get to debunking ponzi claims by the competitors and assisting customers in withdrawals.

I don't know if that was aimed at me, but I've made no claim that you're a ponzi.  Quite the opposite, I've offered advice on how to prove that you're not.

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August 19, 2013, 07:32:54 PM
 #177

We will then get to debunking ponzi claims by the competitors and assisting customers in withdrawals.

I don't know if that was aimed at me, but I've made no claim that you're a ponzi.  Quite the opposite, I've offered advice on how to prove that you're not.

I was always curious, is your website shared or dedicated hosting?
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August 19, 2013, 08:02:35 PM
 #178

We have moved to the new servers everyone, the website should experience virtually no downtime from now on, about 1 hour left until all the checks are performed and invest/login/bet features are turned on again.

We will then get to debunking ponzi claims by the competitors and assisting customers in withdrawals.

Thank you for your patience.

Thanks for the update. Was going to PM you about the Invest link not working, but I'll be patient Smiley.
dooglus
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August 19, 2013, 08:16:29 PM
 #179

We will then get to debunking ponzi claims by the competitors and assisting customers in withdrawals.

I don't know if that was aimed at me, but I've made no claim that you're a ponzi.  Quite the opposite, I've offered advice on how to prove that you're not.

I was always curious, is your website shared or dedicated hosting?

It is hosted on an Amazon AWS instance.

I wonder why you're changing the subject again.

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August 19, 2013, 08:21:24 PM
 #180

It is hosted on an Amazon AWS instance.

I wonder why you're changing the subject again.

Not changing the subject, just find it quite funny that you believe that I should take security advice from someone who hosts on an unsecure shared hosting with a domain registered on Namecheap and take GUI advice from someone who uses Javascript alert as a part of the interface, not to mention the PHP advice from a 17 year old kid.

In any case, thanks for your suggestions, all I know is that you will never find me hatin' in competing casinos threads.

All the best.
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