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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 939933 times)
oda.krell
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June 07, 2014, 10:57:05 PM
 #1601

Sold most in short term near daily sma200

Continuation

Have you bought back?

If he timed it right, he might have even bought back at a small profit.

If I'm right about his volume, slippage turned that small profit into a net zero at least :P

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Gimmelfarb
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June 07, 2014, 11:37:01 PM
 #1602

wave 4 of 1. hmmm. can anyone familiar with EW chart this? never could really figure out all the rules myself, but would love to see this drawn on a chart. need more moon charts around here. Tongue
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June 08, 2014, 12:24:25 AM
 #1603

wave 4 of 1. hmmm. can anyone familiar with EW chart this? never could really figure out all the rules myself, but would love to see this drawn on a chart. need more moon charts around here. Tongue

This is all I come up with. The proportions are whacked if this is indeed an impulse.



To me, it feels forced!
It is easy to count it as a Zig-Zag (5-3-5). It's more natural.


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June 08, 2014, 12:25:52 AM
 #1604

it hasn't gone below $645 yet though. Although now that it did break the support line it is slightly more likely to fall back to $630.

I agree. I am watching for a local bottom around the $630 level. There is fib confluence there with this short term triangle bottom. This could be a good base for a leg up past $700, IMO.



plausible, let's hope so

Didn't hit my $632 bids. Had to buy $638~ or so. But looking good so far, bounced right near the triangle bottom support, and now looking to test the upper bound. Fingers crossed for a breakout to $700s. Tongue

Seems to be pretty much stuck on $650ish but sooner or later it has to move one way or the other.

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July 19, 2014, 02:03:03 PM
 #1605

Masterluc, I'd love to hear your thoughts on our current market
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July 21, 2014, 02:19:26 PM
 #1606

Masterluc, so the multi year bear market prediction of yours is not happening? Or did you already buy back in?

It was too bold and extreme a prediction.

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July 21, 2014, 02:49:14 PM
 #1607

Masterluc, so the multi year bear market prediction of yours is not happening? Or did you already buy back in?
It was too bold and extreme a prediction.

i am more and more keen to that multi bear year market scenario. but would def enjoy some Lucif's update. Smiley
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July 21, 2014, 03:56:57 PM
 #1608

Masterluc, so the multi year bear market prediction of yours is not happening? Or did you already buy back in?
It was too bold and extreme a prediction.

i am more and more keen to that multi bear year market scenario. but would def enjoy some Lucif's update. Smiley

You're tired of the current price? I wouldn't want that and the prediction that time helped me a profit; just want to know what he is thinking now.

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July 21, 2014, 04:47:27 PM
Last edit: July 21, 2014, 05:41:13 PM by hdbuck
 #1609

Masterluc, so the multi year bear market prediction of yours is not happening? Or did you already buy back in?
It was too bold and extreme a prediction.

i am more and more keen to that multi bear year market scenario. but would def enjoy some Lucif's update. Smiley

You're tired of the current price? I wouldn't want that and the prediction that time helped me a profit; just want to know what he is thinking now.

nope im not tired of the current price, and i'd love to break last ATH, but i find it hard to see it happening within the next year or so.

but yea, masterluc, if you are hanging around (and hoping everything is fine for you in Ukraine), we're listening.. Smiley
WillyBTC
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July 21, 2014, 05:39:03 PM
 #1610

This long time of sideways has got me scratching my head. Paging Masterluc!
Wekkel
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July 21, 2014, 07:37:01 PM
 #1611

This long time of sideways has got me scratching my head. Paging Masterluc!

Just wait another 6 months to understand the meaning of slowly grinding lower.

WillyBTC
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July 21, 2014, 07:46:41 PM
 #1612

This long time of sideways has got me scratching my head. Paging Masterluc!

Just wait another 6 months to understand the meaning of slowly grinding lower.

Ouch. Slow grind to retest the $340 low?
Wekkel
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July 22, 2014, 06:15:37 AM
 #1613

This long time of sideways has got me scratching my head. Paging Masterluc!

Just wait another 6 months to understand the meaning of slowly grinding lower.

Ouch. Slow grind to retest the $340 low?

No one knows but I meant to paint a picture of a really 'long time' of no action (sideways or slowly decreasing). I favour that scenario.

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July 22, 2014, 09:09:15 AM
 #1614

This long time of sideways has got me scratching my head. Paging Masterluc!

Just wait another 6 months to understand the meaning of slowly grinding lower.

Ouch. Slow grind to retest the $340 low?

No one knows but I meant to paint a picture of a really 'long time' of no action (sideways or slowly decreasing). I favour that scenario.

In order for that some new horrible news would have to happen. If not, there is absolutely no reason to think we will stay at these relatively low levels for long.

Bro, do you even blockchain?
-E Voorhees
sumantso
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July 22, 2014, 10:06:30 AM
 #1615

This long time of sideways has got me scratching my head. Paging Masterluc!

Just wait another 6 months to understand the meaning of slowly grinding lower.

That's boring, maybe I will actually get some real work done during the time then. Or start sports betting to get my gambling fix.

DjPxH
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July 22, 2014, 02:46:24 PM
 #1616

It's funny to stumble across the initial post in these times of ping-pong sideways-movements. You see, everyone back in last August complained about those boring times yet they didn't know a 1000% increase was to follow. I wonder how we will look back at these 'boring' times Smiley

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RyNinDaCleM
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July 22, 2014, 04:22:27 PM
 #1617

It's funny to stumble across the initial post in these times of ping-pong sideways-movements. You see, everyone back in last August complained about those boring times yet they didn't know a 1000% increase was to follow. I wonder how we will look back at these 'boring' times Smiley

It could be something like "gee I wish we were back up at $600" Wink

Wekkel
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July 22, 2014, 05:08:58 PM
 #1618

This long time of sideways has got me scratching my head. Paging Masterluc!

Just wait another 6 months to understand the meaning of slowly grinding lower.

Ouch. Slow grind to retest the $340 low?

No one knows but I meant to paint a picture of a really 'long time' of no action (sideways or slowly decreasing). I favour that scenario.

In order for that some new horrible news would have to happen. If not, there is absolutely no reason to think we will stay at these relatively low levels for long.

I have seen a lot of positive news and MSM articles on Bitcoin and it did not impact price notably or consistently. There's no hype and that - in the long run - is good.

It's better for Bitcoin to rally due to increased use than because of hype (although hype is a necessary part).

This technology is still in its infancy. I can fully identify with Masterluc's earlier idea of an extended period of 'no price action'. Meaning more than one year at least. I have been through the slow grind after the 2011 bubble. Not very exciting but with an important resolution in the end  Roll Eyes

giveBTCpls
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July 22, 2014, 10:40:27 PM
 #1619

I also see a similarity with the 2011 period, I think we will see a long steady period until next phase. Im ok with it as I can keep trying to get some BTC monthly, if the price goes higher i will be getting basically peanuts.

molecular
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July 23, 2014, 06:54:29 AM
 #1620

I also see a similarity with the 2011 period, I think we will see a long steady period until next phase. Im ok with it as I can keep trying to get some BTC monthly, if the price goes higher i will be getting basically peanuts.

I don't see similarity with 2011. At least not if you mean the excruciatingly painful bear market in the later part of that year. The media proclaimed BITCOIN DEAD!. Only the most stubborn idiots (like me) seemed to hold on to their Bitcoin. Sentiment on forum was terrible. Doomsayers pointed to earlier posts saying "scam", "ponzi", ...

However I also think we might be looking at quite a long period of sideways action... I'd rather compare it to summer 2013, though. Sentiment was mixed. Bulls were bullish, bears bearish. Bears are not very vocal right now, probably because of the stream of good news, but bulls are also kind of exhausted, having called/expected the next rocket just around the corner for up to half a year now.

I have accepted as quite probable we might have to wait a rather long time for the next jump to occur. So I'm rather disillusioned currently, neither buying nor selling. Kind of a capitulation, which is in turn: a good sign.

EDIT: I also give credit to luc for calling a "year-long bear market" late last year. At the time I thought he was nuts. Now one has to acknowledge his call wasn't off by much so far.

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