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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 935735 times)
masterluc
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March 23, 2015, 05:45:33 PM
 #2681

I don't buy what I didn't researched. I don't research because I know it will cost nothing eventually. Because of long fork threat.

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March 23, 2015, 05:49:00 PM
 #2682

I don't buy what I didn't researched. I don't research because I know it will cost nothing eventually. Because of long fork threat.

long fork threat? you mean since its been investigated argued for a long time, whether it comes alive or not wont impact 'cost' (your) bitcoin's value?
masterluc
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March 23, 2015, 05:57:38 PM
 #2683

Every PoW fork uses limited resource - electrical power to enforce it's security. As long as power is limited, miners aim to mine more popular fork. More popular is more secure and visa versa.

So more popular and secure fork drain power, security and popularity from all others. One most popular PoW fork kills others by its existence.

This is long fork threat.

Bitcoin is like Saturn god eating his children.

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March 23, 2015, 06:04:37 PM
 #2684

Are you two talking about the same thing? lol
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March 23, 2015, 06:06:57 PM
 #2685

Bitcoin is like Saturn god eating his children.

got it.. crystal clear. Smiley
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March 23, 2015, 06:13:27 PM
 #2686

Bitcoin is like Saturn god eating his children.

got it.. crystal clear. Smiley

I'm not so clear, does that mean we go up or down?  Cheesy

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March 23, 2015, 06:37:35 PM
 #2687

Bitcoin is like Saturn god eating his children.

got it.. crystal clear. Smiley

I'm not so clear, does that mean we go up or down?  Cheesy

Better get our asses to Pluto to avoid being eaten.



(but in all seriousness, I very much agree with you Luc - I have had the same thought for a long time now.)

Bro, do you even blockchain?
-E Voorhees
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March 23, 2015, 07:29:15 PM
 #2688

Bitcoin is like Saturn god eating his children.

got it.. crystal clear. Smiley

I'm not so clear, does that mean we go up or down?  Cheesy

Sideways for the next few weeks.

https://twitter.com/thefiniteidea

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March 24, 2015, 02:41:52 AM
 #2689

I'd like to share some thoughts about altcoins rise-fall-death cycle.

From the functionality side, this reminds me of Peter R's Altcoin Narrative Cycle.
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March 24, 2015, 09:49:31 PM
 #2690

Honey I ate the kids.

Is it because most shit you have to buy/sell via BTC that keeps BTC champion in the munch off?

Lets hope 1 kid doesn't eat it!



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masterluc
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March 24, 2015, 11:42:08 PM
 #2691

Prediction in act.

On 208 hit next target 120.

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March 24, 2015, 11:56:58 PM
 #2692

Prediction in act.

On 208 hit next target 120.

Luc, if we see a high volume bounce back up off of 208-210 would that signal to you the end of bear?
masterluc
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March 25, 2015, 12:02:37 AM
 #2693

I need picture of this virtual bounce along with indicators to answer )

molecular
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March 25, 2015, 09:24:15 AM
 #2694

Prediction in act.

On 208 hit next target 120.

when you called multi-year long bear market... I didn't believe it.

this prediction: I also don't believe it.

will I ever learn? we will see.

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lebing
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March 25, 2015, 10:07:10 AM
 #2695

Prediction in act.

On 208 hit next target 120.

when you called multi-year long bear market... I didn't believe it.

this prediction: I also don't believe it.

will I ever learn? we will see.


Well we have been getting a huge amount of good news lately, so hey maybe Luc is right.

Bro, do you even blockchain?
-E Voorhees
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March 25, 2015, 12:03:07 PM
 #2696

Well we have been getting a huge amount of good news lately, so hey maybe Luc is right.

good news + bear market === DOWN
birr
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March 26, 2015, 12:50:38 AM
 #2697

Leverged longs are diverging from price
https://tradeblock.com/blog/bitcoin-leverage-and-price-diverge-for-the-first-time-in-2015
What is the significance of this?
BTCtrader71
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March 26, 2015, 02:51:36 AM
 #2698

Leverged longs are diverging from price
https://tradeblock.com/blog/bitcoin-leverage-and-price-diverge-for-the-first-time-in-2015
What is the significance of this?
Perhaps it means someone is loading up on longs in preparation for a sudden pump up in price? I seem to recall this happened on bfx when the price shot up briefly to ~ $450 several months ago. (I really have no idea; that's just the first guess that comes to mind. I'm not sure I believe in the whole manipulation-of-price-by-whales mentality.)

For some reason I had to go to their blog:
https://tradeblock.com/blog/
and click on the link to the blog entry; following the longer link above, it never loaded.

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March 26, 2015, 02:54:23 AM
 #2699

Every PoW fork uses limited resource - electrical power to enforce it's security. As long as power is limited, miners aim to mine more popular fork. More popular is more secure and visa versa.

So more popular and secure fork drain power, security and popularity from all others. One most popular PoW fork kills others by its existence.

This is long fork threat.

Bitcoin is like Saturn god eating his children.

So Bitcoin is eating shit?

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March 26, 2015, 07:28:12 AM
 #2700

I'd like to share some thoughts about altcoins rise-fall-death cycle.

I noticed when Bitcoin enters some long bearish cycle - always appears some fork which starts to rise to btc. NMC, LTC and now DRK. After some time fork dies and next fork appears. So I'll try to analyze this phenomenon.

Let's call next fork "shit".

1. When Bitcoin enters some noticed bearish cycle, people start to be bored. They want permanent rally.
2. Bored people look around and here is a "shit". The same Proof Of Work  shit as Bitcoin, but has some special features.
3. "Oh my god, it's a new paradigm! " - people say and start to sell bitcoin and buy shit. Bitcoin bearish phase accelerates.
4. Meanwhile shit market saturates,  Bitcoin market passing capitulation phase and starts to recover. Bitcoin becomes bullish.
5. People keeping shit - watch for rise of Bitcoin. They move their funds back and create additional bullish acceleration to bitcoin. Shit drops.
6. Bitcoin market saturates and enters correction.
7. Back to point 1.

I call it "small shit cycle", when Bitcoin and shit go in antiphase.

Every alt fork makes few shit cycles and then slowly goes to a toilet pan. Because new alt with "new paradigm" appears and enters it's first shit cycle, it's first step to a pan.

I call it "big shit cycle" - when shit after few cycles goes to a pan and another shit appears.

Meanwhile, every altcoin place is a pan because of "Long fork theorem" which CJDNS founder told me in IRC in 2012.

This is only theoretical thoughts, based on multi year market observations. I hope in some time I'll make a science paper. Hehe.

Define the word "die".

Nmc and LTC are still alive as far as I can tell.  Roll Eyes

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