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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 919399 times)
hdbuck
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January 27, 2015, 03:21:40 PM
 #2541

but the question is.. are you long? ^^
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lebing
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Enabling the maximal migration


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January 27, 2015, 03:56:05 PM
 #2542

I know longterm (4+ years) long position from current levels down to zero is safe enough.


I am usually pretty good at deciphering the Lucif code, but today I am at a loss.
 Huh

Bro, do you even blockchain?
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January 27, 2015, 04:03:37 PM
 #2543

I know longterm (4+ years) long position from current levels down to zero is safe enough.


I am usually pretty good at deciphering the Lucif code, but today I am at a loss.
 Huh

If you are a long-term investor (that will hold for 4 or more years) it is safe for you to buy all the way down.

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cAPSLOCK
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UNLEASH THE FURY!


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January 27, 2015, 04:04:22 PM
 #2544

I think he is being clearer than ever.
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January 27, 2015, 04:56:46 PM
 #2545

I know longterm (4+ years) long position from current levels down to zero is safe enough.


I am usually pretty good at deciphering the Lucif code, but today I am at a loss.
 Huh


if you buy in the 0~260 $ range long term you are ok.
podyx
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January 27, 2015, 05:38:31 PM
 #2546

Please note! If Current daily candle will be shooting star - there is a high chance price will revisit $100

So you would base a 65% decline in price on a single candlestick?

That's awkward
Tzupy
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January 27, 2015, 05:43:18 PM
 #2547

Please note! If Current daily candle will be shooting star - there is a high chance price will revisit $100

So you would base a 65% decline in price on a single candlestick?

That's awkward

I think he means that if buying power stays sluggish and dumps crash through critical support levels, then revisiting ~150$ is probable.
For the bullish scenario a minimum buying power is needed to keep traders from dumping hard.

Sometimes, if it looks too bullish, it's actually bearish
myself
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January 28, 2015, 12:35:28 AM
 #2548

Please note! If Current daily candle will be shooting star - there is a high chance price will revisit $100

So you would base a 65% decline in price on a single candlestick?

That's awkward
read some example http://thepatternsite.com/Blog-May08.html#P16

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
oda.krell
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January 28, 2015, 12:16:39 PM
 #2549

Please note! If Current daily candle will be shooting star - there is a high chance price will revisit $100

So you would base a 65% decline in price on a single candlestick?

That's awkward
read some example http://thepatternsite.com/Blog-May08.html#P16

Yeah, but bad example in the context of this discussion:

Bulkowski on the 'shooting star':

Quote
Day traders that I know depend on the shooting star more often than I think they should, but my statistics are based on the daily charts, not intra day ones. I found that the shooting star candle acts as a bearish reversal 59% of the time. I consider that "near random" performance.

http://thepatternsite.com/ShootingStar.html

But that's his result for traditional markets. Possible that in BTC, shooting star is a better predictor.

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masterluc
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January 28, 2015, 02:38:28 PM
 #2550

Looks like there is kinda h&s pattern since Jan 21 with a target around $170. Somebody illustrate pls

Miz4r
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January 28, 2015, 02:47:16 PM
 #2551

http://thepatternsite.com/ShootingStar.html

But that's his result for traditional markets. Possible that in BTC, shooting star is a better predictor.

Or worse. Since FOMO is so strong in this market you get crazy spikes sometimes followed by big drops back to 'normal' levels, making these shooting stars a somewhat regular thing in this market. Or perhaps it does work as a self-fulfilling prophecy and positive feedback loop, as people become conditioned to sell when they see these candles appear on the charts. And since everyone who is trading BTC has access to internet and free technical analysis everywhere warning about these shooting star patterns, it could be quite a big market force all combined.

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masterluc
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January 28, 2015, 02:52:29 PM
 #2552

Shooting star with top right at serious resistance level tells about further price behavior quite alot.

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January 28, 2015, 03:13:16 PM
 #2553

take a look at this,i'm amazing at the line from 8000 CNY !!!!

http://s22.postimg.org/quw4zdvld/image.jpg

so at which price will it go down tommorrow?
HarmonLi
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January 28, 2015, 03:30:31 PM
 #2554

take a look at this,i'm amazing at the line from 8000 CNY !!!!

so at which price will it go down tommorrow?

Even if we don't break out upwards, do we really have to go down tomorrow? Why not wait for a couple of weeks? I don't think that tomorrow will be the day that decides about the way we'll be going.

Miz4r
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January 28, 2015, 03:34:49 PM
 #2555

take a look at this,i'm amazing at the line from 8000 CNY !!!!



so at which price will it go down tommorrow?

You should use log scale, this is linear scale.

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HarmonLi
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January 28, 2015, 03:39:43 PM
 #2556

You should use log scale, this is linear scale.

Nah, well I think the biggest problem is with him using the candlesticks to draw the lines. Those are just outliers that don't tell us much in my opinion. Things will get interesting as soon we've crossed most people's resistance lines!

hhthinh
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January 28, 2015, 03:45:32 PM
 #2557

we wait then,market's full of surprised
seleme
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January 28, 2015, 04:28:38 PM
 #2558

I know longterm (4+ years) long position from current levels down to zero is safe enough.


I am usually pretty good at deciphering the Lucif code, but today I am at a loss.
 Huh

What's not clear there? He said this price or any below it is good entry for long term (4+ years)


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JustAnotherSheep
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January 28, 2015, 05:04:05 PM
 #2559

Looks like there is kinda h&s pattern since Jan 21 with a target around $170. Somebody illustrate pls
Like this?



or this?



(or are both wrong lol)

Either case would also mean overlap with Jan 15 234 top soon confirming the spike was C rather than III. Although I think 170 bottom is too high in that case, ~130 (or lower) seems more plausible from EW fib ratios.

Is it a bull? Is it a bear? No, it's just another sheep.
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January 28, 2015, 10:36:15 PM
 #2560

Looks like there is kinda h&s pattern since Jan 21 with a target around $170. Somebody illustrate pls

confirmed?
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