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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 921464 times)
lebing
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Enabling the maximal migration


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May 30, 2015, 11:35:11 AM
 #2921


So 0.5 years of bounce stage + 1.5 years of silence stage and there we go.

Silence can include a tiny-little bubble, too. Maybe X2 or X3 and a following contraction until more silence happens.



Great graph. Very insightful to see this visually displaying so clearly what I was feeling.

Bro, do you even blockchain?
-E Voorhees
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1566361889
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RyNinDaCleM
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Legen -wait for it- dary


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May 30, 2015, 02:39:43 PM
 #2922

But I still can't identify bounce stage. So probably bitcoin may continue correction...
Why the bounce couldn't be the period from 152$ to 304$?

The bounce in 2011-12 was an impulse to create the first wave off the bottom. So similarly, we need to see an impulsive rise to confirm that the bottom is in. The rise from $152-315 was a mess and can only be forced into an impulsive count, whereas it is easily and clearly countable in a corrective manner.

Also the proportions aren't working for that scenario. In 2011-12, it was a 7 week rally and the rise to $315 took only 12 days. And since that $304 high is lower than the initial $315 high (and about 3x as long as the 12 day spike to $315), it's not a properly formed impulse.

Tzupy
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May 30, 2015, 06:13:28 PM
 #2923

Permabulls interpret the graph through a 2012 "lens", I do through a 2014 one. Wink


Sometimes, if it looks too bullish, it's actually bearish
inca
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May 30, 2015, 07:09:14 PM
 #2924

Permabulls interpret the graph through a 2012 "lens", I do through a 2014 one. Wink



Yeah. Wrongly.
ImI
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May 30, 2015, 09:35:23 PM
 #2925

Great graph. Very insightful to see this visually displaying so clearly what I was feeling.

aka boring as f
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May 31, 2015, 01:24:28 AM
 #2926

Permabulls interpret the graph through a 2012 "lens", I do through a 2014 one. Wink



Yeah. Wrongly.
Looks like every time the weighted stability goes above the price line, we go up in price.
Newar
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May 31, 2015, 01:54:39 AM
 #2927

They say bitcoin network reaching it's transactions per block throughput...


Some sort of spam experiment?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1075590.0

OTC rating | GPG keyid 1DC91318EE785FDE | Gliph: lightning bicycle tree music | Mycelium, a swift & secure Bitcoin client for Android | LocalBitcoins
masterluc
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May 31, 2015, 02:35:43 AM
 #2928

Progress in indicators

Escape trend is under attack


However this one is alive


Hidden daily bearish divergences still here


realdos
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June 01, 2015, 01:33:59 PM
 #2929

Progress in indicators

Escape trend is under attack
However this one is alive
Hidden daily bearish divergences still here


Breaking the escape trend will lead to a plummet?
masterluc
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June 01, 2015, 05:15:40 PM
 #2930

yep

wpalczynski
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June 01, 2015, 07:19:18 PM
 #2931

We broke the escape trend, any suggestions based on TA where it will bounce?

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June 02, 2015, 04:04:16 AM
 #2932

200 (weekly lower bb). then 100 on break down.

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June 02, 2015, 04:09:09 AM
 #2933

200 (weekly lower bb). then 100 on break down.

When trying to bottom fish the capitulation candle this round, what kind of volume should we be looking for? Less than January? more?
masterluc
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June 02, 2015, 04:18:12 AM
 #2934


When trying to bottom fish the capitulation candle this round, what kind of volume should we be looking for? Less than January? more?
Volume compared to january will say you almost nothing.

Morecoin Freeman
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June 02, 2015, 06:16:04 AM
 #2935

I usually agree but I say for now this is as low as the price can go.
Too many people are willing to buy.
We will probably not see 200 again anytime soon.

Ask the stranger he knows who you really are.
HeliKopterBen
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June 02, 2015, 10:24:25 AM
 #2936

I doubt we will see another crash fractal.  Probably a slow grind lower if it happens at all.

Counterfeit:  made in imitation of something else with intent to deceive:  merriam-webster
h3speros
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June 02, 2015, 10:25:43 AM
 #2937

I usually agree but I say for now this is as low as the price can go.
Too many people are willing to buy.
We will probably not see 200 again anytime soon.

you have any data to back that up? imo longs starts to squeeze after 200-215 so if that fails to hold, then we go deep, question is does it brake now or after bounce not so much if Cheesy

only crypto market predictions, no bullshit https://twitter.com/h3speros
Afrikoin
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June 02, 2015, 10:29:28 AM
 #2938

I usually agree but I say for now this is as low as the price can go.
Too many people are willing to buy.
We will probably not see 200 again anytime soon.

you have any data to back that up? imo longs starts to squeeze after 200-215 so if that fails to hold, then we go deep, question is does it brake now or after bounce not so much if Cheesy

my guess is it bounces off $210/ $208 and we move sideways between $225 and $210 for a while, then, take on $200.



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hdbuck
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June 02, 2015, 10:33:00 AM
 #2939

Huho, this is analysis never ends.. Not guessing.
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June 02, 2015, 10:42:05 AM
 #2940

yes, leave this temple you poor bastards.
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