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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 941375 times)
findftp
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September 01, 2015, 11:59:19 AM
Last edit: September 01, 2015, 03:23:43 PM by findftp
 #3581

For me, it looks like we are in September of 2011. Roll Eyes

For me we already surpassed December 2011.
It also rhymes with the block reward halving somewhere next year.

Basically I compare 3 day chart 2009-2012 with the weekly chart from 2012-2015.
DMI and RSI also rhymes.

If I'm wrong I'll end up being a bag holder Grin.
But boy, what a ride it was...
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molecular
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September 01, 2015, 02:19:48 PM
 #3582

Either bitcoin is an Investment commodity (the ultimate one!) that you hold and speculate on
Or internet *stable* cash money that you you keep on spending

But the latter is not synonym with moonlanding.

And thinking you can have both is ATH delusions.

I don't need to have both at the same time. Alternatingly is fine with me.

PGP key molecular F9B70769 fingerprint 9CDD C0D3 20F8 279F 6BE0  3F39 FC49 2362 F9B7 0769
600watt
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September 01, 2015, 09:05:15 PM
 #3583

Either bitcoin is an Investment commodity (the ultimate one!) that you hold and speculate on
Or internet *stable* cash money that you you keep on spending

But the latter is not synonym with moonlanding.

And thinking you can have both is ATH delusions.

I don't need to have both at the same time. Alternatingly is fine with me.


+1

it depends on internet cash money for how many users(?). if a billion people decide to use it, price has to go to the moon.

if it stays an investment commodity for a few 100k speculators, price may go to the moon.



notme
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September 01, 2015, 09:23:17 PM
 #3584

Either bitcoin is an Investment commodity (the ultimate one!) that you hold and speculate on
Or internet *stable* cash money that you you keep on spending

But the latter is not synonym with moonlanding.

And thinking you can have both is ATH delusions.

I don't need to have both at the same time. Alternatingly is fine with me.


+1

it depends on internet cash money for how many users(?). if a billion people decide to use it, price has to go to the moon.

if it stays an investment commodity for a few 100k speculators, price may go to the moon.


If a billion people decided to use it for internet cash money we would need MUCH larger blocks.

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
hdbuck
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September 01, 2015, 09:47:03 PM
 #3585

Either bitcoin is an Investment commodity (the ultimate one!) that you hold and speculate on
Or internet *stable* cash money that you you keep on spending

But the latter is not synonym with moonlanding.

And thinking you can have both is ATH delusions.

I don't need to have both at the same time. Alternatingly is fine with me.


+1

it depends on internet cash money for how many users(?). if a billion people decide to use it, price has to go to the moon.

if it stays an investment commodity for a few 100k speculators, price may go to the moon.





you have to consider the latter is so less probable tho considering bitcoin's past, but rather young (i'll concede this to you) history.. bitcoin price has mainly been driven from investors and speculators until now rather than some mass adoption or retail bs.

the point being there is no incentive to drop the first, giving up decentralization et al. just based on the hope and *ifs/may/blablabluh* to catch the second.. especially considering the high uncertainty regarding the rest of the financial world nowadays.

that's all.
seleme
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September 01, 2015, 11:06:18 PM
 #3586

Some nice move is coiling, I guess. It's flat as Bitcoin.

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Eivind Nag
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September 02, 2015, 07:31:45 AM
 #3587

Either bitcoin is an Investment commodity (the ultimate one!) that you hold and speculate on
Or internet *stable* cash money that you you keep on spending

But the latter is not synonym with moonlanding.

And thinking you can have both is ATH delusions.

I don't need to have both at the same time. Alternatingly is fine with me.


+1

it depends on internet cash money for how many users(?). if a billion people decide to use it, price has to go to the moon.

if it stays an investment commodity for a few 100k speculators, price may go to the moon.


If a billion people decided to use it for internet cash money we would need MUCH larger blocks.

I found this comment on Reddit to be quite thought provoking regarding block size. It brought a perspective i never though about.

https://np.reddit.com/r/bitcoinxt/comments/3hyb1l/it_seems_like_theres_a_nonetrivial_number_of/cuc4hj6


 
Bassica
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September 02, 2015, 11:38:57 AM
 #3588

Guys, really, please take this discussion elsewhere.

I come here to read Masterluc's TA. This rule used to be enforced and respected. For some reason this debate above has been going on multiple pages now. There's an enormous forum out there where you could and this is discussed in great lenght. Discuss all you want, just DON'T do it in this topic.
Monopoly
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September 02, 2015, 12:38:17 PM
 #3589

Either bitcoin is an Investment commodity (the ultimate one!) that you hold and speculate on
Or internet *stable* cash money that you you keep on spending

But the latter is not synonym with moonlanding.

And thinking you can have both is ATH delusions.

I don't need to have both at the same time. Alternatingly is fine with me.


+1

it depends on internet cash money for how many users(?). if a billion people decide to use it, price has to go to the moon.

if it stays an investment commodity for a few 100k speculators, price may go to the moon.





If &  if & If ... .So many If .....

Yes if many things will happened the bitcoin will go to the moon ....

The problem is nothing happens except crashing .........
podyx
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September 02, 2015, 06:01:42 PM
 #3590

Either bitcoin is an Investment commodity (the ultimate one!) that you hold and speculate on
Or internet *stable* cash money that you you keep on spending

But the latter is not synonym with moonlanding.

And thinking you can have both is ATH delusions.

Why could it not be both?
secousa
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September 02, 2015, 06:45:49 PM
 #3591

Guys, really, please take this discussion elsewhere.

I come here to read Masterluc's TA. This rule used to be enforced and respected. For some reason this debate above has been going on multiple pages now. There's an enormous forum out there where you could and this is discussed in great lenght. Discuss all you want, just DON'T do it in this topic.

This guy gets it.

EVERYONE ELSE STFU and take it elsewhere please.

Will work for BTC. 13CcdYdeTLH9GxKWpeNh7aAoFokbUTQZRu
http://bit-sim.trade
masterluc (OP)
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September 02, 2015, 09:32:35 PM
 #3592

Did some metrics, looks legit.



SmoothCurves
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September 02, 2015, 09:34:32 PM
 #3593

Did some metrics, looks legit.




So, what's next? Wave I ?
masterluc (OP)
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September 02, 2015, 09:40:42 PM
 #3594

So, what's next? Wave I ?

It will be a looong story.... 1 I will recognize in running 3. Its a three-five years.

Fakhoury
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September 02, 2015, 09:42:16 PM
 #3595

So, what's next? Wave I ?

It will be a looong story.... 1 I will recognize in running 3. Its a three-five years.

Could you elaborate more on that bolded part please.

Quote from:  Satoshi Nakamoto
Feb. 14, 2010: I’m sure that in 20 years there will either be very large transaction volume or no volume.
masterluc (OP)
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September 02, 2015, 09:48:14 PM
 #3596

Could you elaborate more on that bolded part please.
I may claim without doubt "This was 1" in a time of running 3.

Fakhoury
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September 02, 2015, 09:50:32 PM
 #3597

Could you elaborate more on that bolded part please.
I may claim without doubt "This was 1" in a time of running 3.

So the Historical III may be within 3-5 years ?

Quote from:  Satoshi Nakamoto
Feb. 14, 2010: I’m sure that in 20 years there will either be very large transaction volume or no volume.
masterluc (OP)
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September 02, 2015, 09:52:25 PM
 #3598

So the Historical III may be within 3-5 years ?

End of Historical III may be in more than 3-5 years. It is running.

rjclarke2000
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September 02, 2015, 09:59:00 PM
 #3599

I understand none of this and I want to.

Can someone with knowledge and a bit of spare time explain this please? ^^
Fakhoury
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September 02, 2015, 10:09:54 PM
 #3600

So the Historical III may be within 3-5 years ?

End of Historical III may be in more than 3-5 years. It is running.

Got it, so what you want say basically is, we are in Wave 1 in a running Wave III, am I right ?


Quote from:  Satoshi Nakamoto
Feb. 14, 2010: I’m sure that in 20 years there will either be very large transaction volume or no volume.
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