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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 941374 times)
exstasie
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May 04, 2019, 09:57:06 PM
 #6181


I wonder why he charted Bitfinex, now of all times. I agree with him but if Bitfinex reverses at the triangle apex, the rest of the market will reverse much earlier as there is a $300 disparity right now. Bitfinex is already in his reversal zone.

Maybe we'll tag $6K on Stamp and Coinbase and that'll be it.

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May 07, 2019, 05:36:23 AM
 #6182


I wonder why he charted Bitfinex, now of all times. I agree with him but if Bitfinex reverses at the triangle apex, the rest of the market will reverse much earlier as there is a $300 disparity right now. Bitfinex is already in his reversal zone.

Maybe we'll tag $6K on Stamp and Coinbase and that'll be it.

looks like we are about to find out soon what will happen.  personally i think it needs to head more north, time will tell.
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May 07, 2019, 06:43:44 AM
 #6183

I agree with his analysis however everybody knows that ~$6000 is a major resistance area. And usually when the general retail market knows something and they are trading on that, it usually ends up doing the opposite.

Sure its possible it might hit $6000 and go straight down. However I think we will need to get some double or triple top for confirmation.

I wouldn't be surprised if there would be a bull and bear trap in there somewhere. Basically breaking the $6000 ahead, heading to almost $7000, causing a huge short squeeze and bull trap and then falling again towards the $4K-$5K area.

Only time will tell.

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figmentofmyass
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May 07, 2019, 06:52:22 AM
 #6184

I agree with his analysis however everybody knows that ~$6000 is a major resistance area. And usually when the general retail market knows something and they are trading on that, it usually ends up doing the opposite.

Sure its possible it might hit $6000 and go straight down. However I think we will need to get some double or triple top for confirmation.

I wouldn't be surprised if there would be a bull and bear trap in there somewhere. Basically breaking the $6000 ahead, heading to almost $7000, causing a huge short squeeze and bull trap and then falling again towards the $4K-$5K area.

Only time will tell.

good point. my experience is usually the price either overshoots or undershoots major levels since the market sees it coming. the chart doesn't look toppy yet so i'm inclined to agree that a squeeze beyond $6k is possible. breaking above $6k will cause many to proclaim a new bull market when in fact it'll probably precede a huge correction to the $4ks or maybe even lower.

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May 07, 2019, 11:53:30 AM
 #6185

Bitfinex xbt price differs from other exchanges mostly because you can't arb it in direct fiat.  Arbing through usdt and usdc doesn't work because of disadvantageous exchange rates.
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May 08, 2019, 05:51:53 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)
 #6186

I agree with his analysis however everybody knows that ~$6000 is a major resistance area. And usually when the general retail market knows something and they are trading on that, it usually ends up doing the opposite.

Sure its possible it might hit $6000 and go straight down. However I think we will need to get some double or triple top for confirmation.

I wouldn't be surprised if there would be a bull and bear trap in there somewhere. Basically breaking the $6000 ahead, heading to almost $7000, causing a huge short squeeze and bull trap and then falling again towards the $4K-$5K area.

Only time will tell.

good point. my experience is usually the price either overshoots or undershoots major levels since the market sees it coming. the chart doesn't look toppy yet so i'm inclined to agree that a squeeze beyond $6k is possible. breaking above $6k will cause many to proclaim a new bull market when in fact it'll probably precede a huge correction to the $4ks or maybe even lower.

The 1st bear fib level is at around 7400 and the next around 10k, it already broke the 200 dma I would super surprised if we got another opportunity to buy at $4000... it’s like when it dipped to the $200s and then went back up once it crossed $400 it never saw $200s ever again. Wishful thinking which then results in fomo later when people miss the train...
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May 08, 2019, 02:40:12 PM
Last edit: May 08, 2019, 05:58:24 PM by dmwardjr
 #6187

Litecoin Block Halving Event Will have us Stair-Stepping Up till around the second week of July in my opinion.  My indicators have us reaching peak exhaustion in the 2-Week Time Frame on the 2-Week Candle beginning July 8, 2019.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5140701.new#new

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May 09, 2019, 04:16:00 PM
 #6188

I agree with his analysis however everybody knows that ~$6000 is a major resistance area. And usually when the general retail market knows something and they are trading on that, it usually ends up doing the opposite.

Sure its possible it might hit $6000 and go straight down. However I think we will need to get some double or triple top for confirmation.

I wouldn't be surprised if there would be a bull and bear trap in there somewhere. Basically breaking the $6000 ahead, heading to almost $7000, causing a huge short squeeze and bull trap and then falling again towards the $4K-$5K area.

Only time will tell.

good point. my experience is usually the price either overshoots or undershoots major levels since the market sees it coming. the chart doesn't look toppy yet so i'm inclined to agree that a squeeze beyond $6k is possible. breaking above $6k will cause many to proclaim a new bull market when in fact it'll probably precede a huge correction to the $4ks or maybe even lower.

I believe the market is running out of steam, and looking for a correction, possibly an ABC. I plan to buy back around 4.5k$, since I doubt it will go much lower.

Sometimes, if it looks too bullish, it's actually bearish
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May 09, 2019, 06:21:37 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)
 #6189

I agree with his analysis however everybody knows that ~$6000 is a major resistance area. And usually when the general retail market knows something and they are trading on that, it usually ends up doing the opposite.

Sure its possible it might hit $6000 and go straight down. However I think we will need to get some double or triple top for confirmation.

I wouldn't be surprised if there would be a bull and bear trap in there somewhere. Basically breaking the $6000 ahead, heading to almost $7000, causing a huge short squeeze and bull trap and then falling again towards the $4K-$5K area.

Only time will tell.

good point. my experience is usually the price either overshoots or undershoots major levels since the market sees it coming. the chart doesn't look toppy yet so i'm inclined to agree that a squeeze beyond $6k is possible. breaking above $6k will cause many to proclaim a new bull market when in fact it'll probably precede a huge correction to the $4ks or maybe even lower.

I believe the market is running out of steam, and looking for a correction, possibly an ABC. I plan to buy back around 4.5k$, since I doubt it will go much lower.

Yeah, you and EVERYBODY else. The only way this gets anywhere close to 4.5k is if we fomo from here. Otherwise you'll be lucky to get to 5k.
marcus_of_augustus
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May 10, 2019, 02:12:55 AM
 #6190

If you weren't buying under 6k or 5k or 4k then wtf? paralysis by analysis?

JayJuanGee
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May 10, 2019, 02:59:32 AM
 #6191

If you weren't buying under 6k or 5k or 4k then wtf? paralysis by analysis?


Waiting to find out what "what's his name" is going to say.

If he says it is going up, then buy.  If he says it is going down, then either sell or wait to buy.  Wink

1) Self-Custody is a right.  There is no such thing as "non-custodial" or "un-hosted."  2) ESG, KYC & AML are attack-vectors on Bitcoin to be avoided or minimized.  3) How much alt (shit)coin diversification is necessary? if you are into Bitcoin, then 0%......if you cannot control your gambling, then perhaps limit your alt(shit)coin exposure to less than 10% of your bitcoin size...Put BTC here: bc1q49wt0ddnj07wzzp6z7affw9ven7fztyhevqu9k
Toxic2040
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May 10, 2019, 03:57:14 AM
 #6192

If you weren't buying under 6k or 5k or 4k then wtf? paralysis by analysis?


Waiting to find out what "what's his name" is going to say.

If he says it is going up, then buy.  If he says it is going down, then either sell or wait to buy.  Wink

pussy.


fuck off and #dyor jjg.



 Kiss

JayJuanGee
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May 10, 2019, 04:20:57 AM
 #6193

If you weren't buying under 6k or 5k or 4k then wtf? paralysis by analysis?


Waiting to find out what "what's his name" is going to say.

If he says it is going up, then buy.  If he says it is going down, then either sell or wait to buy.  Wink

pussy.


fuck off and #dyor jjg.



 Kiss



Nope.....

I am going to wait for "what's his name" to tell me what to do. 

 Tongue Tongue Tongue

1) Self-Custody is a right.  There is no such thing as "non-custodial" or "un-hosted."  2) ESG, KYC & AML are attack-vectors on Bitcoin to be avoided or minimized.  3) How much alt (shit)coin diversification is necessary? if you are into Bitcoin, then 0%......if you cannot control your gambling, then perhaps limit your alt(shit)coin exposure to less than 10% of your bitcoin size...Put BTC here: bc1q49wt0ddnj07wzzp6z7affw9ven7fztyhevqu9k
Wind_FURY
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May 10, 2019, 07:58:20 AM
 #6194

I have been trolling this idea in this subforum. "The rally is driven by Bitfinex's users who are buying Bitcoin up to quickly withdraw their money".

What's the probability that that can be true?

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dmwardjr
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May 10, 2019, 08:03:05 AM
 #6195

I have been trolling this idea in this subforum. "The rally is driven by Bitfinex's users who are buying Bitcoin up to quickly withdraw their money".

What's the probability that that can be true?

And THAT may have been the very recipe Composite Groups (Whales) were looking for to implement their next bullish move; knowing they would have to contend with less resistance.  In fact, they would receive additional assistance without having to spend as much capital.

Follow me on Trading View for excellent signals in Bitcoin/US dollar - Bitstamp - https://www.tradingview.com/u/WyckoffMode/.  You can follow me on Twitter at https://twitter.com/ModeWyckoff My YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC8IbhpQwrTD6BozJPWnyAHA  My Discord Invite Link: https://discord.com/invite/3EJYTytaTT  My Website is in LIVE BETA: https://wyckoffmode.com/
figmentofmyass
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May 11, 2019, 06:17:52 AM
 #6196

The only way this gets anywhere close to 4.5k is if we fomo from here. Otherwise you'll be lucky to get to 5k.

we just pumped $525 and counting in the last 6 hours. does that count as fomo? Tongue

looks like we're steamrolling right through the apex masterluc pointed out. i'm surprised at the lack of volume/resistance. it looks like there is zero supply in the $6000s.

where does the squeeze end?

gentlemand
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May 11, 2019, 09:06:33 AM
 #6197

I have been trolling this idea in this subforum. "The rally is driven by Bitfinex's users who are buying Bitcoin up to quickly withdraw their money".

What's the probability that that can be true?

I'm wondering this, though obviously it's gone past that point now. The premium is actually in the negative at present if you put their withdrawal fees on top.

It could be pondered that the previous bubble kicked off EXACTLY when Bitfinex lost their banking around the $1000 mark.

I know everything needs a catalyst but it would be nice if it were a more wholesome one.
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May 11, 2019, 09:49:38 AM
 #6198

Wind_FURY
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May 11, 2019, 10:10:54 AM
 #6199

I have been trolling this idea in this subforum. "The rally is driven by Bitfinex's users who are buying Bitcoin up to quickly withdraw their money".

What's the probability that that can be true?

And THAT may have been the very recipe Composite Groups (Whales) were looking for to implement their next bullish move; knowing they would have to contend with less resistance.  In fact, they would receive additional assistance without having to spend as much capital.


Then if Bitfinex has been drained by users "buying Bitcoin up to quickly withdraw", would the rally quickly reverse, or do the "composite groups" have control over the market by now?

Bitfinex's cold wallet address, https://bitinfocharts.com/bitcoin/address/3D2oetdNuZUqQHPJmcMDDHYoqkyNVsFk9r


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TaurusBit
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May 11, 2019, 03:38:29 PM
 #6200

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