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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 941375 times)
gizmoh
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June 05, 2014, 09:31:25 AM
 #1521

650 sell 30% of my bitcoin, waiting for 600..

Really? Good luck with that. I'm pretty sure it will not go below $640 anymore. And especially not below $630

I'm pretty sure it will breach 600. To each his analysis!

How Ripple Rips you: "The founders of Ripple Labs created 100 billion XRP at Ripple's inception. No more can be created according to the rules of the Ripple protocol. Of the 100 billion created, 20 billion XRP were retained by the creators, seeders, venture capital companies and other founders. The remaining 80 billion were given to Ripple Labs. Ripple Labs intends to distribute and sell 55 of that 80 billion XRP to users and strategic partners. Ripple Labs also had a giveaway of under 200 million XRP (0.002% of all XRP) via World Community Grid that was later discontinued.[29] Ripple Labs will retain the remaining 25 billion"
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zimmah
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June 05, 2014, 09:34:25 AM
 #1522

650 sell 30% of my bitcoin, waiting for 600..

Really? Good luck with that. I'm pretty sure it will not go below $640 anymore. And especially not below $630

I'm pretty sure it will breach 600. To each his analysis!

That would be extremely odd in my books. What makes you think it will breach $600, or even $640 for that matter? Any charts you can show me that back up this claim? Any news that could seriously cause a drop?
RyNinDaCleM
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June 05, 2014, 11:17:01 AM
 #1523

650 sell 30% of my bitcoin, waiting for 600..

Really? Good luck with that. I'm pretty sure it will not go below $640 anymore. And especially not below $630

We were below that just 30 hours ago, and we are at $646 right now! You're "pretty sure" that it won't drop 0.9%, EVER?

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June 05, 2014, 11:25:33 AM
 #1524

650 sell 30% of my bitcoin, waiting for 600..

Really? Good luck with that. I'm pretty sure it will not go below $640 anymore. And especially not below $630

We were below that just 30 hours ago, and we are at $646 right now! You're "pretty sure" that it won't drop 0.9%, EVER?

I'd give a good 80% chance of it going anywhere +/- $100 from the current price for no other reason than volatility!

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RyNinDaCleM
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June 05, 2014, 11:34:13 AM
 #1525

650 sell 30% of my bitcoin, waiting for 600..

Really? Good luck with that. I'm pretty sure it will not go below $640 anymore. And especially not below $630

We were below that just 30 hours ago, and we are at $646 right now! You're "pretty sure" that it won't drop 0.9%, EVER?

I'd give a good 80% chance of it going anywhere +/- $100 from the current price for no other reason than volatility!

Agreed!

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June 05, 2014, 12:35:35 PM
 #1526

Lucif - was that green candle you?  Wink

Bro, do you even blockchain?
-E Voorhees
zimmah
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June 05, 2014, 06:58:55 PM
 #1527

650 sell 30% of my bitcoin, waiting for 600..

Really? Good luck with that. I'm pretty sure it will not go below $640 anymore. And especially not below $630

We were below that just 30 hours ago, and we are at $646 right now! You're "pretty sure" that it won't drop 0.9%, EVER?

I'm pretty sure my charts are correct, when i say it won't drop below $640 even though the price at that time is $646, you can trust me i'm not making shit up.

I may be proven wrong from time to time, i'm no psychic, but I back up my claims with actual statistical data, and i trust them to be correct most of the time. Has it dropped below $640 yet since i made that statement?

I dare even predict that it will not reach sub-$645 anymore.
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June 05, 2014, 07:04:30 PM
 #1528

650 sell 30% of my bitcoin, waiting for 600..

Really? Good luck with that. I'm pretty sure it will not go below $640 anymore. And especially not below $630

We were below that just 30 hours ago, and we are at $646 right now! You're "pretty sure" that it won't drop 0.9%, EVER?

I'm pretty sure my charts are correct, when i say it won't drop below $640 even though the price at that time is $646, you can trust me i'm not making shit up.

I may be proven wrong from time to time, i'm no psychic, but I back up my claims with actual statistical data, and i trust them to be correct most of the time. Has it dropped below $640 yet since i made that statement?

I dare even predict that it will not reach sub-$645 anymore.

You keep talking about your charts. Why don't you ever post one? Why do you think bitcoin can't possibly drop 1-2% in price?

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June 05, 2014, 07:16:54 PM
 #1529

650 sell 30% of my bitcoin, waiting for 600..

Really? Good luck with that. I'm pretty sure it will not go below $640 anymore. And especially not below $630

We were below that just 30 hours ago, and we are at $646 right now! You're "pretty sure" that it won't drop 0.9%, EVER?

I'm pretty sure my charts are correct, when i say it won't drop below $640 even though the price at that time is $646, you can trust me i'm not making shit up.

I may be proven wrong from time to time, i'm no psychic, but I back up my claims with actual statistical data, and i trust them to be correct most of the time. Has it dropped below $640 yet since i made that statement?

I dare even predict that it will not reach sub-$645 anymore.

You keep talking about your charts. Why don't you ever post one? Why do you think bitcoin can't possibly drop 1-2% in price?

I have posted some in the past, not often, but still.

The reason i say that is because it would break the fib fan and it predicted the min/max price fairly accurately ever since i drew it weeks ago (one fan is older than the next). The likelihood of the fan being broken is pretty small (below 5% in my opinion) therefore it's save to say any values that would significantly go above the maximum value or below the minimum value would be statistically unlikely. And even when it's broken, it seems to recover within a few minutes anyway.



If the fan would be broken it would be most likely broken to the upside. But even that is unlikely to happen within the next couple of days in my opinion. Maybe in a week or two.
Bitcoin_is_here_to_stay
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June 05, 2014, 07:19:13 PM
 #1530

As others said, volatility would be enough to take as below $640 - where we were yesterday, btw - so difficult to imagine why some people think it is impossible  Huh

As to drop towards $600, here is one chart explaining this possibility

https://www.tradingview.com/v/q3nV14D3/
scarsbergholden
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June 05, 2014, 07:23:50 PM
 #1531

Hmm, never really liked to use fib fans or found them particularly useful. But you mentioned this statistical basis earlier, and say less than 5% chance the fan is broken. What is the basis for that statement? @zimmah

RyNinDaCleM
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June 05, 2014, 10:13:04 PM
 #1532

As others said, volatility would be enough to take as below $640 - where we were yesterday, btw - so difficult to imagine why some people think it is impossible  Huh

As to drop towards $600, here is one chart explaining this possibility

https://www.tradingview.com/v/q3nV14D3/

That's a lot of divergence to clear, that's for sure

ampere9765
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June 05, 2014, 10:34:14 PM
 #1533

As others said, volatility would be enough to take as below $640 - where we were yesterday, btw - so difficult to imagine why some people think it is impossible  Huh

As to drop towards $600, here is one chart explaining this possibility

https://www.tradingview.com/v/q3nV14D3/

That's a lot of divergence to clear, that's for sure

Thing is we have been seeing bearish divergences at peaks/ during a lot of these consolidation periods in this rally, and yet, bitcoin keeps rising.
smoothie
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June 05, 2014, 10:44:07 PM
 #1534

How about no.  Grin

How about inverted cup and handle? )



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StarenseN
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June 06, 2014, 08:38:33 AM
 #1535

Here is my take:



watcha thinking about it?
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June 06, 2014, 08:39:47 AM
 #1536

watcha thinking about it?

Bullish.
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June 06, 2014, 09:39:51 AM
 #1537

Here is my take:



watcha thinking about it?

Thanks. That gave me the first good chuckle of the day.

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gizmoh
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June 06, 2014, 11:54:12 AM
 #1538

https://www.tradingview.com/v/qm7cnu9V/



How Ripple Rips you: "The founders of Ripple Labs created 100 billion XRP at Ripple's inception. No more can be created according to the rules of the Ripple protocol. Of the 100 billion created, 20 billion XRP were retained by the creators, seeders, venture capital companies and other founders. The remaining 80 billion were given to Ripple Labs. Ripple Labs intends to distribute and sell 55 of that 80 billion XRP to users and strategic partners. Ripple Labs also had a giveaway of under 200 million XRP (0.002% of all XRP) via World Community Grid that was later discontinued.[29] Ripple Labs will retain the remaining 25 billion"
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June 06, 2014, 12:24:42 PM
 #1539

Excellent.   Grin
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June 06, 2014, 04:22:17 PM
 #1540

I agree. This recent run-up is going to confuse the hell out of all these bulls when it goes the other way.

I really do think this cycle is going to be different.
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