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Author Topic: Analysis  (Read 941374 times)
masterluc (OP)
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October 06, 2014, 10:23:53 AM
 #1921

Yeah, was this really IT? Or more to come ...
What IT? Bottom? During last 2 days - YES. You didn't specified timeframe  Grin

It is big mistake - try to catch "true" bottom and sell at "true" top. It is the best way to loose money because you will never do that. And while you try to do that you loose a lot of money. Nobody perfect.

I see price went too far down and buy. I see price went too far up and sell. Indicators, oscillators wave theories helps me to feel the strength of wave to define whether it weak or still strong. I act on weak wave. Weak bearish wave - buy, weak bullish wave - sell.

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oda.krell
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October 06, 2014, 10:32:03 AM
 #1922

Request for some input, luc:

Would you consider this (orange box) to count as (conditional) support?





Daily SMA20, 3SD. Wick broke support, but close above.

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masterluc (OP)
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October 06, 2014, 10:40:03 AM
 #1923

Your pic says at this volatility level (bb width) -3 line is safe place to buy and -1 line is best place to sell.

oda.krell
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October 06, 2014, 10:45:31 AM
 #1924

Your pic says at this volatility level (bb width) -3 line is safe place to buy and -1 line is best place to sell.

Ha, nice. Thanks. That's a much better way to think of it.

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kryptopojken
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October 06, 2014, 10:55:48 AM
 #1925

Yeah, was this really IT? Or more to come ...
What IT? Bottom? During last 2 days - YES. You didn't specified timeframe  Grin

It is big mistake - try to catch "true" bottom and sell at "true" top. It is the best way to loose money because you will never do that. And while you try to do that you loose a lot of money. Nobody perfect.

I see price went too far down and buy. I see price went too far up and sell. Indicators, oscillators wave theories helps me to feel the strength of wave to define whether it weak or still strong. I act on weak wave. Weak bearish wave - buy, weak bullish wave - sell.

That makes perfect sense Smiley Just wondering if you think we will retest the low 275. Or maybe that doesn't matter right now?
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October 06, 2014, 01:40:32 PM
 #1926

I assume price will not break up bottom BB resistance in two days, so I should say we going down hard. Not really panic I think, but continous downtrend at least until December 2014. With deeps and rips. Volatility returns.

Nearest support at around 300-340.

Spot on prediction!

Rebound to 350-390 expected
Daily macd bullish divergence disappeared

This negates the earlier rebound prediction?

masterluc (OP)
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October 06, 2014, 02:55:15 PM
 #1927

This negates the earlier rebound prediction?
No.

devphp
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October 06, 2014, 02:58:05 PM
 #1928

What happens after rebound?
masterluc (OP)
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October 06, 2014, 03:32:20 PM
 #1929

Probably triangle

thiec
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October 07, 2014, 03:30:16 PM
 #1930

What happens after rebound?

Its drop again  Grin

kryptopojken
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October 07, 2014, 10:26:57 PM
 #1931

Will we break down from this formation?
fewcoins
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October 07, 2014, 10:28:32 PM
 #1932

Will we break down from this formation?

Probably after retesting the 270 low
masterluc (OP)
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October 07, 2014, 10:34:10 PM
 #1933

i dont see any formation yet after last drop

kryptopojken
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October 07, 2014, 10:41:07 PM
 #1934

Correct me if I'm wrong, but I was thinking about this:

oda.krell
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October 07, 2014, 11:55:14 PM
 #1935

Correct me if I'm wrong, but I was thinking about this:

[picture downward channel]

Or, alternatively, upwards breakout out of this triangle:



Not really betting on that though, no volume confirmation or anything.

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fewcoins
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October 08, 2014, 12:03:10 AM
 #1936

Correct me if I'm wrong, but I was thinking about this:

[picture downward channel]

Or, alternatively, upwards breakout out of this triangle:



Not really betting on that though, no volume confirmation or anything.

 Roll Eyes
kryptopojken
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October 08, 2014, 10:29:09 AM
 #1937

Some action now

Perhaps gearing up for some thursday action
StarenseN
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October 08, 2014, 11:34:42 AM
 #1938

I liked this analyse:



Credits to the author: https://www.tradingview.com/v/wh4ID1vm/
kryptopojken
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October 08, 2014, 03:59:10 PM
 #1939

Up we go master?
masterluc (OP)
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October 08, 2014, 04:31:47 PM
 #1940

do you read topic? I said more than enough earlier

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=274613.msg9100468#msg9100468

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