.

[FNG]

$155.55

[derpinheimer]

Tuesday, September 24, 2013   $129.43

$143

Are we stating our expected "HIGH/LOW" [depending on if we are saying its going up or down]

Because otherwise in a 24hr period the price can vary quite a bit ($3.37 today.. actually pretty low)

Im gonna just throw out a random guess and say $149.80 as the high by end of Sept. 24.

[||bit]

Volume weighted average for one day, one week from today. (Gox, GMT)

I'll start.

Monday, September 23, 2013   $127.21

$160

[oda.krell]

Monday, September 23, 2013   $127.21

Tuesday, September 24, 2013   $129.43

I think I liked your other indicator better. But I'll say that much: if the (short term) reversal that would be needed to reach your numbers takes place over the weekend, I'll give your new method all the praise it deserves. I don't see any signs for that happening, but then again, I usually only pick up trends once they started forming, while you seem to attempt to look ahead a bit more.

[tarmi]

Monday, September 23, 2013   $127.21

Tuesday, September 24, 2013   $129.43

I think I liked your other indicator better. But I'll say that much: if the (short term) reversal that would be needed to reach your numbers takes place over the weekend, I'll give your new method all the praise it deserves. I don't see any signs for that happening, but then again, I usually only pick up trends once they started forming, while you seem to attempt to look ahead a bit more.

what reversal are you speaking about?

current mtgox price: 140 $.

so, instead of a drop to 127 $, we will have it to 129. nothing's changed actually.

[Nemo1024]

I think he's referring to this thread: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=269944.msg3175032#msg3175032

My call: $110 one week from today (on Bitstamp)

[oda.krell]

Monday, September 23, 2013   $127.21

Tuesday, September 24, 2013   $129.43

I think I liked your other indicator better. But I'll say that much: if the (short term) reversal that would be needed to reach your numbers takes place over the weekend, I'll give your new method all the praise it deserves. I don't see any signs for that happening, but then again, I usually only pick up trends once they started forming, while you seem to attempt to look ahead a bit more.

what reversal are you speaking about?

current mtgox price: 140 $.

so, instead of a drop to 127 $, we will have it to 129. nothing's changed actually.

I'll paraphrase: we're at 140 now. Going back to either 127 or 129 within the next few days would be a (at least minor) reversal - or if you prefer, call it retraction. And I don't see any signs pointing towards such a reversal. If at all, I see the uptrend becoming stronger again (main point: price and order book development on bitstamp)

[Miz4r]

I have no strong opinion on the direction for the next week but this is my guess:

$161.2 on Wednesday September 25, 2013 (MtGox)

[600watt]

153 gox wednesday, sept. 25th

[Tzupy]

If the drop in money flow continues for some time, we may have a crash like the 5th September.
The next 2 hours are going to clarify how much we drop today.

 

[bitcoin44me]

151 $

[Tzupy]

At last, some movement! The bid sum / ask sum ratio points to 132$, but if volume does not ramp up the price may not drop so much.
If however volume rises, then it's possible to overshoot, like the 5th September, and drop towards 120$.

PS. WOW! It's going down! The whales flinched! WHEEE!

PS2. The bid sum / ask sum ratio now points to 124$, because the drop worsened it.

PS3. Oh crap! Blockchained is down, I'm half blind...

[Miz4r]

I think a prediction with a $5 dollar range is more useful, as nobody in the world can predict the value up to a single dollarcent at a certain point in time. It would just be a coincidence. Here's my predicted range in a week from now:

Saturday, September 28th, 2013 --> $137 - $142

[Adrian-x]

I think a prediction with a $5 dollar range is more useful, as nobody in the world can predict the value up to a single dollarcent at a certain point in time. It would just be a coincidence. Here's my predicted range in a week from now:

Saturday, September 28th, 2013 --> $137 - $142

This isn't a sports book.

Anyways, it would be silly to trade on these calls, or to trade on such a short time frame. That is not how I use these numbers.

These are my canary. They represent a median statistical outcome based on a sampling what has happened in the not too distant past, What matters is the amount of error, and if the error is consistently high or low. It gives me an indication of the amount of forcing the market system is undergoing, and in what direction.

But feel free to make your calls however you wish.

Does: forcing = manipulation?

[derpinheimer]

So your system actually says the market was considerably more bearish in this last 24 hours, huh? [Low reduced by $2.50]

Its weird, because to me its looking bullish. But, this is emotion

Also, there has been little buying or selling. Although I think selling volume is slightly higher than buying.

[oda.krell]

Monday, 2013-09-23, 1d VWAP @mtgox: 133.55 USD

[oda.krell]

Volume weighted average for one day, one week from today. (Gox, GMT)

I'll start.

Monday, September 23, 2013   $127.21

Fun!

I'll have to give a bit of a range though...

Monday, September 23, 2013: 134$ to 146$

Not too shabby for a week out.

Thanks, but not that impressive since I gave a big range.

Also, the "reversal", or at least the further drop, that your method predicted more or less happened, good job. Does that mean you will stop posting the results of it soon, hehehe

[Tzupy]

Code:

               Gox Daily, GMT	High	Low	VWA
Monday, September 23, 2013	$135.30	$130.03	$132.59
Tuesday, September 24, 2013	$134.53	$129.54	$131.84
Wednesday, September 25, 2013	$133.85	$128.66	$131.12
Thursday, September 26, 2013	$133.14	$127.88	$130.37
Friday, September 27, 2013	$132.69	$126.97	$129.74
Saturday, September 28, 2013	$132.55	$125.67	$129.06
Sunday, September 29, 2013	$131.91	$125.47	$128.39

That didn't go well, 10$ difference in the peak. Did you find there a lesson to learn?
For me, the lesson is "don't underestimate the panic buyers". 
Or, more seriously, even if we are in bear market since the 5th September, bullish sentiment is still strong.

[kehtolo]

Friday 4th Oct. $143 / €106.50

[Marbit]

1 week = 127