CyberSensei (OP)
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Activity: 154
Merit: 6
Hello World!
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July 08, 2018, 10:54:43 AM |
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Merhaba arkadaşlar bugünden başlayarak geliştirdiğim machine learning traininginin sonuçlarını elimden geldiğince hergün paylaşmaya çalışacağım. Şuan için algoritma Poloniex den USD_BTC günlük verilerinin; high, low, open, close, volume, quoteVolume, weightedAverage dataları üzerinden eğitildi ve bu verilere göre bir sonraki günün High Close değerini tahminleme yapmaktadır. Yeni websitem yayındadır. Artık güncel tahminleri site üzerindende takip edebilirsiniz: http://www.mlcoinpredict.comMakale ve kaynak kodlarım: https://github.com/CyberSensei1/mlcoinpredict/tree/masterTahminleme:Sayısal:Tarih | Tahmin | Gerçekleşen | Fark | Sapma | ModelVersiyon |
13.03.2018 | 8976,317172 | 8731,113525 | -245,2036472 | 2,81 | V1 | 14.03.2018 | 8477,03999 | 8337,79648 | -139,2435102 | 1,67 | V1 | 15.03.2018 | 8280,859692 | 8437,7648 | 156,905108 | 1,86 | V1 | 16.03.2018 | 8329,696946 | 8258,663731 | -71,0332146 | 0,86 | V2 (Günlük Close) | 17.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 7850 | -1619,999983 | 20,64 | V2.0.1 | 18.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8200,492702 | 89,14770557 | 1,09 | V2.0.1 | 19.03.2018 | 8111,344997 | 8611 | 499,6550033 | 5,80 | V2.0.1 | 20.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8886,888597 | -583,1113864 | 6,56 | V2.0.1 | 21.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8905,700967 | -564,2990162 | 6,34 | V2.0.1 | 22.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8712,007204 | -757,9927791 | 8,70 | V2.0.1 | 23.03.2018 | 8670,441763 | 8712,007204 | 41,56544097 | 0,48 | V2.0.2 | 24.03.2018 | 8934,660979 | 8907,7 | -26,96097946 | 0,30 | V2.1.0 | 25.03.2018 | 8493,148073 | 8454,814447 | -38,33362605 | 0,45 | V2.1.0 | 26.03.2018 | 9469,999983 | 8116,523046 | -1353,476937 | 16,68 | V2.1.0 | 27.03.2018 | 8326,875008 | 7782,716713 | -544,1582952 | 6,99 | V2.1.0 | 28.03.2018 | 7951 | 7943,583816 | -7,41618365 | 0,09 | V2.1.0 | 29.03.2018 | 8009,373293 | 7080,402768 | -928,970525 | 13,12 | V2.1.0 | 30.03.2018 | 7659,969799 | 6837,725325 | -822,2444735 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 31.03.2018 | 7127,338161 | 6933,879205 | -193,4589557 | 2,79 | V2.1.0 | 1.04.2018 | 7256,693464 | 6823,020401 | -433,6730627 | 6,36 | V2.1.0 | 2.04.2018 | 6945,494074 | 7058,894148 | 113,4000738 | 1,61 | V2.1.0 | 3.04.2018 | 6931,885888 | 7412,270339 | 480,3844506 | 6,48 | V2.1.0 | 4.04.2018 | 7052,834962 | 6769,945088 | -282,8898733 | 4,18 | V2.1.0 | 5.04.2018 | 7078,508917 | 6775 | -303,508917 | 4,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.04.2018 | 7057,937995 | 6613,545638 | -444,3923576 | 6,72 | V2.1.0 | 7.04.2018 | 7040,25437 | 6890 | -150,2543704 | 2,18 | V2.1.0 | 8.04.2018 | 6880,957851 | 7030 | 149,0421489 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.04.2018 | 6881,962534 | 6761,537785 | -120,4247498 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 10.04.2018 | 6896,766281 | 6834 | -62,76628092 | 0,92 | V2.1.0 | 11.04.2018 | 6901,172837 | 6966,460062 | 65,28722596 | 0,94 | V2.1.0 | 12.04.2018 | 6896,005695 | 7929,999999 | 1033,994303 | 13,04 | V2.1.0 | 13.04.2018 | 7649,478221 | 7875 | 225,5217793 | 2,86 | V2.1.0 | 14.04.2018 | 7999,974796 | 7996 | -3,974796597 | 0,05 | V2.1.0 | 15.04.2018 | 8255,423452 | 8356 | 100,5765483 | 1,20 | V2.1.0 | 16.04.2018 | 8241,011038 | 8060 | -181,0110377 | 2,25 | V2.1.0 | 17.04.2018 | 8247,063088 | 7891,1 | -355,9630883 | 4,51 | V2.1.0 | 18.04.2018 | 8237,709934 | 8164,190618 | -73,51931639 | 0,90 | V2.1.0 | 19.04.2018 | 8221,204699 | 8286,999998 | 65,79529896 | 0,79 | V2.1.0 | 20.04.2018 | 8218,61315 | 8860 | 641,3868502 | 7,24 | V2.1.0 | 21.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8931,999998 | 334,3490449 | 3,74 | V2.1.0 | 22.04.2018 | 8597,650954 | 8791,999999 | 194,3490455 | 2,21 | V2.1.0 | 23.04.2018 | 8488,35637 | 8934,977783 | 446,6214126 | 5,00 | V2.1.0 | 24.04.2018 | 8635,415103 | 9633,630952 | 998,2158487 | 10,36 | V2.1.0 | 25.04.2018 | 9792,444341 | 8860,024074 | -932,420267 | 10,52 | V2.1.0 | 26.04.2018 | 9120,702345 | 9286 | 165,2976553 | 1,78 | V2.1.0 | 27.04.2018 | 9857,500000 | 8920,01 | -937,4900001 | 10,51 | V2.1.0 | 28.04.2018 | 9341,98048 | 9330,761257 | -11,21922267 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 29.04.2018 | 8960,446625 | 9423,799996 | 463,3533717 | 4,92 | V2.1.0 | 30.04.2018 | 8942,240653 | 9218,792931 | 276,552278 | 3,00 | V2.1.0 | 1.05.2018 | 9022,085907 | 9218,792931 | 196,7070238 | 2,13 | V2.1.0 | 2.05.2018 | 8778,332575 | 9245 | 466,6674246 | 5,05 | V2.1.0 | 3.05.2018 | 9090,563238 | 9.746 | 655,5196241 | 6,73 | V2.1.0 | 4.05.2018 | 9004,851370 | 9719,999999 | 715,1486287 | 7,36 | V2.1.0 | 5.05.2018 | 10156,181298 | 9878,367954 | -277,8133438 | 2,81 | V2.1.0 | 6.05.2018 | 10083,484415 | 9670 | -413,4844151 | 4,28 | V2.1.0 | 7.05.2018 | 9638,091161 | 9390 | -248,0911614 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 8.05.2018 | 9211,669277 | 9020 | -191,6692772 | 2,12 | V2.1.0 | 9.05.2018 | 8901,250038 | 9300,4 | 399,149962 | 4,29 | V2.1.0 | 10.05.2018 | 9210,145095 | 9020 | -190,145095 | 2,11 | V2.1.0 | 11.05.2018 | 9320,340540 | 8385,231466 | -935,1090737 | 11,15 | V2.1.0 | 12.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8471,752489 | 223,5654355 | 2,64 | V2.1.0 | 13.05.2018 | 8248,187054 | 8701,613284 | 453,4262299 | 5,21 | V2.1.0 | 14.05.2018 | 8760,848245 | 8671 | -89,84824455 | 1,04 | V2.1.0 | 15.05.2018 | 8757,557413 | 8449,740002 | -307,8174116 | 3,64 | V2.1.0 | 16.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8336,803816 | 79,67414442 | 0,96 | V2.1.0 | 17.05.2018 | 8257,129671 | 8050 | -207,1296713 | 2,57 | V2.1.0 | 18.05.2018 | 8260,194061 | 8240 | -20,19406148 | 0,25 | V2.1.0 | 19.05.2018 | 8252,409096 | 8219,5 | -32,909096 | 0,40 | V2.1.0 | 20.05.2018 | 8251,965914 | 8525 | 273,0340858 | 3,20 | V2.1.0 | 21.05.2018 | 8847,403750 | 8381,242778 | -466,1609715 | 5,56 | V2.1.0 | 22.05.2018 | 8315,537058 | 7985,231216 | -330,3058421 | 4,14 | V2.1.0 | 23.05.2018 | 8110,254948 | 7509 | -601,2549482 | 8,01 | V2.1.0 | 24.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7575,000001 | 620,2021467 | 8,19 | V2.1.0 | 25.05.2018 | 7080,402768 | 7450,000002 | 369,5972337 | 4,96 | V2.1.0 | 26.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7331,756869 | 376,9590149 | 5,14 | V2.1.0 | 27.05.2018 | 6954,797855 | 7347,476167 | 392,6783128 | 5,34 | V2.1.0 | 28.05.2018 | 7409,405644 | 7100 | -309,4056435 | 4,36 | V2.1.0 | 29.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7456,493412 | 446,3500777 | 5,99 | V2.1.0 | 30.05.2018 | 7010,143334 | 7381 | 370,8566659 | 5,02 | V2.1.0 | 31.05.2018 | 7292,965537 | 7490 | 197,034463 | 2,63 | V2.1.0 | 1.06.2018 | 7842,557276 | 7530 | -312,5572766 | 4,15 | V2.1.0 | 2.06.2018 | 7276,837061 | 7644,228132 | 367,3910714 | 4,81 | V2.1.0 | 3.06.2018 | 7621,812463 | 7710 | 88,18753691 | 1,14 | V2.1.0 | 4.06.2018 | 7624,054030 | 7487,935522 | -136,1185083 | 1,82 | V2.1.0 | 5.06.2018 | 7659,194321 | 7622,730026 | -36,46429531 | 0,48 | V2.1.0 | 6.06.2018 | 7619,872985 | 7650,000002 | 30,12701717 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 7.06.2018 | 7643,215621 | 7694,093517 | 50,87789522 | 0,66 | V2.1.0 | 8.06.2018 | 7643,700220 | 7610,621651 | -33,07856938 | 0,43 | V2.1.0 | 9.06.2018 | 7647,059773 | 7490 | -157,0597732 | 2,10 | V2.1.0 | 10.06.2018 | 7644,782391 | 6763,9132 | -880,869191 | 13,02 | V2.1.0 | 11.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6874,596078 | -120,8977977 | 1,76 | V2.1.0 | 12.06.2018 | 6995,493876 | 6540 | -455,4938757 | 6,96 | V2.1.0 | 13.06.2018 | 6300,000000 | 6292,300843 | -7,69915767 | 0,12 | V2.1.0 | 14.06.2018 | 6076,608922 | 6626,92864 | 550,3197176 | 8,30 | V2.1.0 | 15.06.2018 | 6816,291353 | 6376,151227 | -440,1401266 | 6,90 | V2.1.0 | 16.06.2018 | 6142,433614 | 6483,839624 | 341,4060093 | 5,27 | V2.1.0 | 17.06.2018 | 6495,406395 | 6442 | -53,40639476 | 0,83 | V2.1.0 | 18.06.2018 | 6493,753999 | 6714,485415 | 220,7314159 | 3,29 | V2.1.0 | 19.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6746 | -26,27734055 | 0,39 | V2.1.0 | 20.06.2018 | 6772,277341 | 6753 | -19,27734055 | 0,29 | V2.1.0 | 21.06.2018 | 6769,888491 | 6712,632766 | -57,25572554 | 0,85 | V2.1.0 | 22.06.2018 | 6768,481117 | 6041,6665 | -726,8146171 | 12,03 | V2.1.0 | 23.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6164,342518 | -348,1867496 | 5,65 | V2.1.0 | 24.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6151,8143 | -360,7149675 | 5,86 | V2.1.0 | 25.06.2018 | 6512,529267 | 6240,000002 | -272,5292658 | 4,37 | V2.1.0 | 26.06.2018 | 6476,457771 | 6078,4 | -398,0577708 | 6,55 | V2.1.0 | 27.06.2018 | 6319,126532 | 6137,870579 | -181,2559532 | 2,95 | V2.1.0 | 28.06.2018 | 6065,647457 | 5872,999999 | -192,6474575 | 3,28 | V2.1.0 | 29.06.2018 | 6220,289026 | 6197,500001 | -22,7890254 | 0,37 | V2.1.0 | 30.06.2018 | 6272,239589 | 6390,523688 | 118,2840988 | 1,85 | V2.1.0 | 1.07.2018 | 6684,538116 | 6348,8 | -335,7381161 | 5,29 | V2.1.0 | 2.07.2018 | 6684,538116 | 6614,231082 | -70,30703405 | 1,06 | V2.1.0 | 3.07.2018 | 6647,233881 | 6497,659409 | -149,5744717 | 2,30 | V2.1.0 | 4.07.2018 | 6643,933601 | 6585,603139 | -58,33046165 | 0,89 | V2.1.0 | 5.07.2018 | 6630,635947 | 6532,215386 | -98,42056168 | 1,51 | V2.1.0 | 6.07.2018 | 6626,883213 | 6605 | -21,88321327 | 0,33 | V2.1.0 | 7.07.2018 | 6619,601073 | 6760 | 140,3989273 | 2,08 | V2.1.0 | 8.07.2018 | 6757,248283 | | | | V2.1.0 |
Güncel Model Ortalam Sapması | 4,01 |
Bu sapma oranından büyük olan sapmalar yukarıdaki tabloda kırmızı altındakiler ise yeşile boyanmıştır. Grafiksel:*Grafik günlük olarak güncellenmektedir. Model değiştikçe eski tahminlemeler grafikte ezilmektedir. Değişiklikler: -V1 : Günlük High tahminleme -V2 : v1 de hatalı dataset fark edilip değiştirildi ve günlük high yerine close tahminlenmeye başlandı. -V2.0.1 : Temel parametre düzenlemeleri yapılıp yakınsaklık arttırıldı. -V2.0.2 : Modele eğitim tarih aralığı arttırıldı. -V2.1.0 : Model son 2 gün hariç sürekli eğitilecek hale getirildi. Twitterda link'indende takip edilebilir. 08.07.2018 tarihli tahmin eklenmiştir. 6757,248283
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