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Author Topic: BITCOIN UPDATE AND TECHNICAL ANALYSIS  (Read 230 times)
GeckoTrader (OP)
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August 07, 2018, 12:32:07 PM
 #21

BTC POPS

BTC has popped roughly 3% from the $6,910 level and is nearing the most recent high of $7,129 on the 1H.

Whilst we did break the $6,910 level, the bulls have succeeded in propelling BTC higher after price collided with the previous $6,836 wick high as outlined on the chart.

We must admit, we were expecting price to sink a little lower and hit the $6,770 level however, we’re still ahead of the game and are not letting perfect get in the way of good.

We didn’t play this long trade but we’re looking intently at the price action to plan our next move accordingly.  As always, we will keep you all posted.
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August 07, 2018, 04:13:34 PM
 #22

The price level is going down and it is sad to witness this. The people need to be patient. The market did recover from the dip and it will get better again. We just need to be patient, that's all.
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August 09, 2018, 04:55:29 AM
 #23



It now seems evident that we are clearly in a wave 3 down which would mean the relief rally from 5800-8470 was a corrective ABC in nature, meaning that once this 5 wave down structure is complete, it is only the beginning of a larger correction and not the end.

We want to point out that We have no intention of buying the ensuing wave 4 but only looking to short any strength, preferably in the 6.6-6.7k region.

It is no secret we have been calling for an end of bear market target at 3.2k which has been brought up a few times before.

Whether this happens or not is trivial as we are active traders, and trade what we see, which in this current climate, there are not too many bull cases to be made. BTC
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August 10, 2018, 04:04:03 PM
 #24

As mentioned in our last TA update, BTC bounced just shy of the 23-fib level and will as expected, continue its downward trajectory further. We’ll be keeping our eyes set on a few key levels as we make our descent - we could be in for a bit of turbulence.

As price nears $6,265, this will be a region to watch since we have historically bounced twice from here before. We are expecting price to break through without too much of a fight however and the next stop will likely be close to $6,100 - $6,000.

There may indeed be a bounce at this level as well and we will be looking closely to see how the price action unfolds.  There may be some short-term counter-trend trades which present themselves but we will also be looking for shorting entries as the prevailing bear trend ensues.

Buckle up ladies and gents  Wink
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August 16, 2018, 03:52:44 PM
 #25

The bulls have managed to regain some control after refusing to let BTC fall below the key support level of $5,800.

Yesterday, price did again test yearly lows, wicking $5,860 before being propelled higher to the top of the range at $6,550 which we currently find ourselves in.  On the 4H we have made a double top and price has again wicked the higher extremity of $6,636 - if you dial down to the 1h, you can see that a small sell off happening.

This is to be expected after a 13% surge in price from the lower end of the range.  We’re still printing lower highs and lower lows and the trend is still bearish but as we come back down, it will be important to see how BTC interacts with the $6,200 range.

If we enter into sideways consolidation here as we have done so previously at this level, we will be looking closely for signs of strength to indicate a leg higher, pressing up to $7,000.

If we break through this level we’ll be looking to short back down to $6,000 and possibly below depending on how the price unfolds – these are our musings but it is still too early to tell.

Coming up.
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August 21, 2018, 06:11:47 AM
 #26

BTC climbing higher 

BTC is slowly grinding higher and is making its way towards the top of the consolidation range. We’ve failed to break through $6,578 previously (and prior to this $6,537) so we will be looking to see if this slow crawl up can push through these points. Both $6,800 and $7,000 look like possible targets depending on the timeframe.

It is possible that BTC is in an ascending triangle - a breakout above could present an opportunity to go long to the levels mentioned above. A rejection and subsequent breakdown below could provide a good shorting opportunity to take back down to the $6,200 level or possibly lower as this is the prevailing direction of the overall trend.
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August 21, 2018, 10:05:55 AM
 #27

The bulls have managed to regain some control after refusing to let BTC fall below the key support level of $5,800.

Yesterday, price did again test yearly lows, wicking $5,860 before being propelled higher to the top of the range at $6,550 which we currently find ourselves in.  On the 4H we have made a double top and price has again wicked the higher extremity of $6,636 - if you dial down to the 1h, you can see that a small sell off happening.

This is to be expected after a 13% surge in price from the lower end of the range.  We’re still printing lower highs and lower lows and the trend is still bearish but as we come back down, it will be important to see how BTC interacts with the $6,200 range.

If we enter into sideways consolidation here as we have done so previously at this level, we will be looking closely for signs of strength to indicate a leg higher, pressing up to $7,000.

If we break through this level we’ll be looking to short back down to $6,000 and possibly below depending on how the price unfolds – these are our musings but it is still too early to tell.

Coming up.
I do not think that bitcoin price is going to bounce back below 6000$. I hope that bitcoin price is expected to cross 8000$ figure again, and after that it will continue to increasing and will very soon cross 10000$. I think that bull run has now started and therefore bitcoin price is expected to increase too much.
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August 22, 2018, 06:17:30 AM
 #28

BTC Update

Earlier today BTC dropped roughly 3.7%, falling from around $6,450 down into the $6,200 region. Price wicked the lower end of the support and consolidation zone and was propelled back higher in what is becoming the same old song and dance.   

Since the 9th of August, price has consolidated and launched out of this $6,200 zone at least three times. It is apparent that the bulls do not want price to go below this point but we have so far failed to garner the momentum to push above the resistance at $6,600.

Somethings got to give

This sideways action isn’t riveting by any stretch but the recent and uncharacteristic predictability of BTC price behaviour is presenting some opportunities to capitalise on price movement within the range.

Currently we are in a no trade zone but should price continue to climb higher to $6,580 or above, we will consider looking at placing some sell orders and ride it back down.




🚨The short squeeze🚨

It looks like the short squeeze has happened after all and is pretty much at our target area for shorts right now.

We are NOT shorting just yet, but rather looking for some kind of bearish rejection candle on 4h to confirm our theory.

#CAVEAT FOLKS
GeckoTrader (OP)
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August 23, 2018, 06:37:34 AM
 #29

💥ETF Rejection💥

The Proshares ETF application was denied by the SEC.

The application required a rule change to be accepted by the SEC. When handing down their decision the SEC explained that the rules could not be changed and that the decision in no way means the SEC does not believe in the viability of blockchain technology.

The Proshares application included a long and a short $BTC product tied to $BTC futures contracts. It came as no surprise that the application was rejected as the Proshares products were tied to a highly volatile and leveraged 9 month old asset class.

It should also be noted that this product is not physically backed by $BTC.

This may play well into the hands of the Vaneck-SolidX application which is due to be decided in one months time.

The SEC is tasked with protecting retail investors. The Vaneck-SolidX ETF product has a unit size of 25 $BTC with a target audience of institutional investors.

In comparison to the failed attempts of previous ETF applications, the Vaneck-SolidX application appears far superior.

The proverbial red herring rejection today will undoubtedly send the market into a downward spiral, a great shorting opportunity.

#CAVEAT
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